12.40 Donny - Groomed 12/1 came back from a break in a C4H on heavy ground off 114 and finished a decent 3rd. Had he run off 107 like he is today back from a break on slightly easier ground he would have won. Nesterenko 9/4 is the Henderson favourite and although claimer negates the penalty is a tough ask only a week after. However the horse he beat got pretty close to Captain Cutter and 3rd place was 20 places behind so can't be ruled out. I can't work out if Forced Family Fun is well handicapped or not. Using Akdam as a marker he his and he is 11/2 and been back all morning. Hmmm.....
1.10 Donny - Sir Pitt 5/2 was 5th in the Triumph Hurdle couple years ago. Clearly had problems inbetween but has been absolutely hammered in betting so either its a bookie trap or someone knows he has returned to some decent enough form
1.40 Donny - Karinga Dancer should win on form and ability but is only 8/11
2.00 Lingfield - Karam Albaari 5/1 down in class and only 1lb higher than last C&D win. Good chance as form is good.
2.10 Donny - In races like this with little jumps form I got for those I think were best on flat and have good trainer form. Diamond King 8/15 is clearly that horse so probably just a double with Karinga Dancer in previous as pretty short. Uppingham 8/1 might well be the danger along side Themanfrom Minella based on flat form
2.45 Donny - Danandy 12/1 is ahead of the handicapper based on Stratford 3 races ago. Problem is jumping has ruined chances twice last. 12/1 is a big price if gets jumping together. Honest John is not in good form at the moment but he loves Donny and won a decent enough handicap over C&D here last year. Triangular 10/3 the favourite is perhaps in a place now where having dropped 20lbs and wit the trainer in good form has no more excuses
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3.10pm Update..
Kempton 4.10 – Perfect Cracker 3/1 looks decent enough but Poitin
16/1 looks HUGE price. Ran to a mark of at least 90 is last Listed race but
only running off 69?
Kempton 4.40 – If Expose 3/1 takes to Kempton no reason can’t
win from opnly 2lb higher
Kempton 6.10 – New Rich 3/1 has a chance to enhance C&D
record
Kempton 7.10 – Odin 3/1 for the Hatrick
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