Wednesday, 8 January 2014

Bets 08/01/2014

12.10 Donny - Nordic Quest 5/2. Hendo has it form now. 9 winner in last 14. His horses go pretty well at Donny too. Traniner aside Nordic Quest will be suited by step up in trip and the form of last race has been franked.

12.40 Donny - Groomed 12/1 came back from a break in a C4H on heavy ground off 114 and finished a decent 3rd. Had he run off 107 like he is today back from a break on slightly easier ground he would have won. Nesterenko 9/4 is the Henderson favourite and although claimer negates the penalty is a tough ask only a week after. However the horse he beat got pretty close to Captain Cutter and 3rd place was 20 places behind so can't be ruled out. I can't work out if Forced Family Fun is well handicapped or not. Using Akdam as a marker he his and he is 11/2 and been back all morning. Hmmm.....

1.10 Donny - Sir Pitt 5/2 was 5th in the Triumph Hurdle couple years ago. Clearly had problems inbetween but has been absolutely hammered in betting so either its a bookie trap or someone knows he has returned to some decent enough form

1.40 Donny - Karinga Dancer should win on form and ability but is only 8/11

2.00 Lingfield - Karam Albaari 5/1 down in class and only 1lb higher than last C&D win. Good chance as form is good.

2.10 Donny - In races like this with little jumps form I got for those I think were best on flat and have good trainer form. Diamond King 8/15 is clearly that horse so probably just a double with Karinga Dancer in previous as pretty short. Uppingham 8/1 might well be the danger along side Themanfrom Minella based on flat form

2.45 Donny - Danandy 12/1 is ahead of the handicapper based on Stratford 3 races ago. Problem is jumping has ruined chances twice last. 12/1 is a big price if gets jumping together. Honest John is not in good form at the moment but he loves Donny and won a decent enough handicap over C&D here last year. Triangular 10/3 the favourite is perhaps in a place now where having dropped 20lbs and wit the trainer in good form has no more excuses

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3.10pm Update..

Kempton 4.10 – Perfect Cracker 3/1 looks decent enough but Poitin 16/1 looks HUGE price. Ran to a mark of at least 90 is last Listed race but only running off 69?

Kempton 4.40 – If Expose 3/1 takes to Kempton no reason can’t win from opnly 2lb higher

Kempton 6.10 – New Rich 3/1 has a chance to enhance C&D record


Kempton 7.10 – Odin 3/1 for the Hatrick


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