Bets 30/01/2014

The bookies have certainly got the favourites right today. I picked my horses before the prices were out and all led to the favs!

2.40 Meydan – I don’t usually seem to bag these 5f tur  f sprints but will give it a go. Racy is too high in weights. Hitchens in poor form and too high in weights. My Propellor ran too badly in last race to consider as did Seachanach. Roicead has been walloped up the handicap and looks better at 6f than 5f and much more competitive than last easy win. Ahtoug might be able to win again but if you use Steps as a marker this race has to go to Medicean Man 10/1 and on paper puts him ahead of Desert Law and Take Ten too. Dungannon is interesting but this is a step up in class, not claimer and has to defy another raise. Masamah ran well for me last time but not sure the rise will help and MM again beats him on paper using Steps. Fityaan was disappointing last time and not sure can back again. There are two others I can’t shift off the shortlist. Beat Baby and Merhee. No idea how good BB is. Easily winning last two races but I think until I’ve seen him race can’t be confident. And Merhee 7/2 has to be backed. Decent debut and we know most De Kock horses step up again after first run.

3.15 Meydan – Argh – this is a tough one. Have 5 on shortlist. Rebel Song might find this too tough in this company, but stuck with Ottoman Empire, String Theory, Intrigo and Start Right. Start Right never starts right and although travels well doesn’t seem to find any gears so sack him off. We have to trust that Intrigo is going to stay the distance and clearly has a chance if he does. String Theory 4/1 could be special and has to be the main bet and Ottoman Empire is a solid place claim might do better from a decent stall.

3.50 Meydan – Flotilla is clear by 10lb on weight and rating on Shuruq, but Certify surely would have gone on to be a higher rated horse? Hmm it might be that she needs this race, so I am not going to punt on this one.

4.25 Meydan – Tamarkuz 3/1 looks another decent horse in the making. Also possibility Mufarrh 15/2 bounces back to form

Kempton 4.50 – Greensward 8/1. Not sure Just One Kiss is that well handicapped based on previous handicap form.

5.00 Meydan – A number of these have great chances, but I’ve always been a fan of Mushreq 4/1

5.35 Meydan – Too many with maybe chances. Maybe Aussie Reigns if the draw was not so bad. Think the favourite Haafaguinea 7/2 might be the one