Friday, 20 June 2014

Bets 20/06/2014 - Royal Ascot Day 4

Day 4 and I am happy to say it’s Jay Desai 3 – 0 Bookies. We were big on course on Cannock Chase and Leading Light. Had I gone on my hunch about the draw and picked Born in Bombay, would have been laughing. Either way a lot of placed horses meant money was safe.

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped up more today:

2.30 - Osaila 20/1, Sexy Legs 12/1
3.05 – Saxo Jack 10/1
3.45 – Eagle Top 12/1
4.25 – Kiyoshi 14/1
5.35 – Pastoral Player 25/1, Secret Art 40/1

I’m off to Barcelona this morning so time is short, but here goes…

2.30 Albany Stakes – So many unexposed decent looking two year olds. I probably would stick to proven class which is Patience Alexander 9/2 and Sunset Glow 5/1. Appelberry 33/1 might be one to pull a shocker! However, after looking at high draw advantage might be foolish not to back something drawn high?

3.05 Wolferton – Hmm. Sham Desai has been itching to back a Botti horse all Ascot. Edu Querido 100/1 is rated 106, 3lb lower than when didn’t run too badly in a Meydan handicap. Everything suggests a step up in trip is going to suit. A lot of these horses have been aimed for this race which makes it even harder. My view with these types of races is you going or horses running at Listed level or stepping up into. I find the ones stepping down from Group races are they are generally too high in the weights (clearly, unless they have come down a lot in the weights)

If you put Bold Sniper and Café Society in a rematch I’m convinced even at these weights Café Society 6/1 beats the Sniper. Although Sennockian Star is a C&D winner, not convinced is up to scratch at this level. I’ve looked through most of these and I’m struggling as could find a case for nearly all of them. Even tempted by Boomshackerlacker 40/1!

3.45 King Edward VII Stakes – I’m not having Adelaide. Sure I’ll regret it, but just can’t. Dylan Mouth is interesting, but doubt the Italian form is that good. Snow Sky had interrupted prep and not sure how good form is. I think Bunker 14/1 and Odeon 14/1 look big ew chances. The former ran very well in the Dante considering was comeback run. And Odeon sweated up a bit too much and needed quicker ground in the Dante. Their form in the Dante is the best on offer here, surely?

4.25 Coronation Stakes – A few of these come here without a seasonal prep run. My view, is good luck to them. I know the trainers aren’t mugs but must be a tough ask. All eyes will be on My Titania, but mine will be on Rizeena 15/2. She ran okay in the Guineas, but I have a strong hope she will run very, very well at a track that really suits her. After what AOB did with Bracelet, would not be overly surprised if Tapestry outran her price. She was favourite for the Guineas for a reason!

5.00 Queens Vase – Do we find next years Gold Cup winner here today? Montaly 14/1 is really interesting me. Has some very good form and excitingly by Yeats who we know all about. On paper Marzocco 9/4 will go close

5.35 Buckingham Palace – Woah hard, and short of time. Here goes. Santefision 22/1 good chance on last years race mark. Blessington 11/1 could be miles ahead of handicapper. I hope he is. Obviously Horsted Keynes and Russian Realm have huge chances if draw does not do them



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