Bets 20/12/2024

2.05 Meydan - Bilhayl 13/8. Small cover Ponntos to beat Bilhayl

3.15 Meydan - Danyah 2/1 best horse in race, but only on best from and not consistent. If Ehraz 40/1ew were to recapture form would be a decent ew play. August 23 was last time ran on GF and could have won a decent big handicap

3.50 Meydan - Artorius 15/8 best horse on paper. 

4.25 Meydan - Measured Time shouldn't lose this. Sean 10s and Alfareeq 25s might be worth doing something with

5.00 Meydan - Autobahn 2/1 is best horse on show and should win, but it's one of those races anyone could pull something out like Nevershow Weakness at 16s

5.35 Meydan - If Flying Honours bounces back to form of 2 years back wins. Otherwise New Comedy 20/1ew is a massive ew shout based on best runs over C&D. Royal Power may just hack up but on paper not massively well handicapped even though will continue to improve.

6.10 Meydan - If Takeed 22/1ew gets an uncontested early lead could kick on

Boring faves in pattern races so tried to find some big ews, but two handicaps are interesting for bigger prices.

Bets 13/12/2024

 2.40 Meydan - Market looks right with Kibo, Aldhaja, Fall of Rome.

Fall of Rome 13/2ew. Went of fave lto. Always runs a stinker fto and improves for next run. Think step up in trip will be fine. Aldhaja backed lto and I worry about drop in trip. Kibo running well but doesn't look on paper massively well handicapped. Meqdam and Classic City were interesting at massive prices, but stuck with FoR.

3.25 Meydan - Weak looking race and the form race is the one won by Onight last week. Fuming as pipped gamekeepe.

Matloob 11/2ew. Going to go very close from the front.

3.50 Meydan - Imperial Emperor 4/7 shouldn't be beaten

4.25 Meydan - Surely just between Tactical Bound and Cupid's Dream. 

Tactical Bound 11/8 clear on ratings but trainer in poor form. Dubawi farms Meydan so high hopes for Cupids' Dream who ran a cracker on debut behind a now 102 rated horse, but I bet Cupid's Dream 2/1 w/o TB

5.00 Meydan - Strobe 5/4

5.35 Meydan - Killer Collect 11/8

Boring fave picks today

Bets 06/12/2024

 2.05 - Razeen Dubai 4/1ew to try to make all

2.40 - Gamekeeper 5/2

3.15 - Aldaja 4/1ew

3.50 - Tuz is miles clear but a joke price. Morning 16/1ew is the big improver.

4.25 - Age of Baroque 10/1ew

Bets 05/12/2024

Lol. 11/1 and 9/1 winners on the flat. Jumps rubbish as always. Going to keep trying with jumps. I used be good at them, though was just the main festivals tbf :)

Stats plays.

12.45 MR - Viyanni Evs. Derham won this last year. Has a crazy stat with horses who have joined him from another yard on first run. 65% in C2 below. Derham 38% at course and only trainer with a winner in last 14 days. OBrien the best jockey in the race at this course with 21%.

2.25 - Leicester - Johnny Mac 10/3. Sheppard 50% at course and currently 38% SR. Does well with gelding at Leicester in C4 and below 57%. Horse won off higher mark, C&D winner and going back RH. Stan Sheppard has won on the horse before and is 29% at the course.

2.28 MR - Zmiinyi 6/4. Bailey 27% course and current SR is 33%. Best in race on both. Also 65% win 6/7yr old Geldings under 7/1 in MR Chases.

20/1 Treble

4.10 Chelmsford - Star Pupil 6/1ew. If it's held up forget it, but if prominent is going to go very close. On paper it should anyway....

Bets 04/12/2024

Not expecting any returns today. Waiting for Meydan...

#1 Lingfield 11.20 - Monsieur Beaulieu 9/1ew finished really strongly over 6f lto. Extra furlong will do the trick.

#2 Haydock 12.40 - Left field punting. CEst Quelquun 50/1ew. IF rediscovers form from Sept '23 when ran over this distance on soft could blow this lot. It's a big if, but Hamilton horse usually come alive about now. Hamilton is 29% here and Doyle is 25%. In fact none of the other jockeys have ever won here. Topkapi Star was interesting but trainer in dire form.

#3 Lingfield 2.55 - Grey DArs 25/1ew chucked in on old form. Was winning earlier this year. First run back a potential blow out.

#4 Kempton 5.10 - Clyonite 11/1ew

#5 Haydock 5.18 - Another wild pick. Pacini 100/1ew. Another from the Hamilton stable. Another Gordon Elliott castaway and another who if finds the form from Feb this year when ran 11l behind Bottler'secret in a G3 could also blow this lot. Same again though BIG IF.

#6 Dundalk 5.00 - Big flat nursery handicap :) though it's Dundalk.

Temps Leve 25/1ew. Draw good. Looks fiddled to me. Ran okay over 7f at the track and was staying on well, then dropped to 6f to get a mark. Didn't fool the handicapper being given 69. Ran poorly over 6f again and then was actually unlucky lto. Had to switched maybe 6 times before got clear and once clear wasn't losing ground on the winner. With the claim now 10lb lower over C&D again. JOB nearly won the race last year. If Your Call makes the cut then big danger.

#7 Kempton 6.40 - Bernaldo 20/1ew

Bets 30/11/2024

 And back to normal with the jumps yesterday.

12.07 Newbury - Listentoyourheart 15/8 - Other than Sansrisk nothing has produced much close to Listentoyourheart who is also full of improvement after a total romp lto.

1.15 Newbury - Califet En Vol 15/8. Hendo farms this race and this one cantered in last time.

1.54 Newbury - Lac De Constnace 9/1ew handicapped to win based on lto despite falling. Skelton won this twice before. Still unexposed.

2.25 Newbury - Jeriko Du Reponet 13/2ew. Ignoring last two runs as Hendo was having a 'mare last year. Assuming resumes progress after Supreme trial can win this. Dual C&D winner. Aston Martini bodged me lto...

3.00 Newbury - Galia Des Liteuax 10/1(back on better ground) and Colonel Harry 10/1 (assuming stays) potentially handicapped. 

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2.10 Newcastle- Sir Gino Evs

Bets 29/11/2024

 A decent 7/1 winner yday.

Newbury 12.15 - Hendo farms this race albeit with short price horses (under Evs) in the last 3 years. Just on this race record along having a small ew on Fernado (10s on exchange)

12.45 - Asta La Pasta 7/1ew

1.55 - Captai Teague 5/2

2.30 - Galonp De Chasse 5/2 looks best handicapped to me

3.30 Muss - Lydon Red 7/1ew

Bets 28/11/2024

 1.35 Musselburgh - Just Gino 7/1 ew

McCain 23% at Musselburgh, Hughes 22% at Musselburgh. McCain couple winners in last few days and couple big priced places horses. McCain Musselburgh Novice Handicap Chases over 2m4f+ under 3 chase runs 8/15 wins 11/15 places. It's Gino ped is one of the better ones for going, class and distance. Only slightly neg is 0/2 at course, but it's a small sample so willing to ignore this. It's drifting in the market but was enough promise in that Warwick run before slipped for me to back this.

3.20 Musselburgh - Top Man Tom 7/1ew

Thompson 18% at Musselburgh, Mania 21% at Musselburgh. Though Thompson not hit form yet, this is prime time for him usually operating around 17%. If bounces to form is well handicapped on previous form. Was also winning 3m PTPs so step up in trip no worry. Thompson won the race couple years back also.

Bets 23/11/2024

 2 happy winners at Meydan. Back to jumps though :(

2.05 Ascot - Fortescue 7/1ew. Daly in decent form. 10lb (+3lb with claimer) than last winning mark. A course winner and his handicap form off this mark in fields under 12 has 5 wins from 7 although all wins were at 3m. Kitty's light never won when carrying such weight

2.30 Haydock - Catch Him Derry 13/2ew. Aimed at the race. In decent form. looks to have more up the sleeve. Durrell/Skelton combo is solid at Haydock.

3.20 Ascot - Marator 2/1 can win again with the claim

3.05 Haydock -  Gold Tweet 14/1ew. Won the Cleeve in Jan. Reckon is a 160 horse over fences.

3.40 Haydock - Credo 8/1ew. Ran a blinder in this race last year. 2lb lower. Ran very well lto n ground probably slightly quicker than ideal. Honeyball in decent form.

Bets 22/11/2024

 2.40 Meydan - All the better chances are drawn high which is frustrating. Tawalla and Fall of Rome are both drawn really well but no C&D form to really assess. Tricky race but plumping for Tolmount 15/2ew. If can get pushed to the front, given non of the 5 inside are typical front runners, can go close to winning again today.

3.15 Meydan - Gaassid looks the sort to progress to a group horse. Guns and Glory is decent on day but not at this trip. Moonshiner looks decent also. Killer Collect 9/4 is proven, the best horse in the race on all known form and has the experience to win this. I put a tiny cover on Moonshiner at 14/1

3.50 Meydan - Walk of Stars nearly completed a massive trixie for me on world cup night with Laurel River and Tuz. Walk of Stars 13/8 is the best horse in the race, but it's tricky. Meshtri is blinkered now and if that sharpens him up could return to form

4.25 Meydan - Go Soldier Go is the best handicapped in the race. Is a listed winner over C&D and if puts up a similar performance wins this. However, Nass not firing yet and there are some race fit horses here. Lahresh 5/1ew is the one I prefer. Has come back over the break much improved and if keeps on improving can win. Ran a decent race lto especially once got into top gear and hopefully with fitness onside and trainer now in decent nick can turn the tables with Lion's Mane. If Shamikh doesnt bounce after a long time off is a huge danger.

Bets 20/11/2024

 4.30 - Hello Miss Lady 8/1ew

8.30 - Celtic John 16/1ew

Bets 17/11/2024

 3 faves won . planned paradise might have won if ridden more prominent and jumped the last better.

1.10 - Naff race, but probably Ace of Spades

1.45 - A race in which so many are unexposed and so can't know what many would do. Take a chance on Bob Bob Ricard 12/1ew. Seem to be going well enough before hampered like time out over C&D. Assuming Guard Your Dreams 12/1ew  is not regressive can also go very close.

2.20 - Naff race, but probably Matata

2.55 - Hyman and Abuffalosolider are the two clear improvers in the field, but this race doesn't always go to improvers. Monbeg Genius 16/1ew was a big priced AP bet for the Ultima last year and gutted didn't quite make it, but if comes back to form(might need 1st run) can go really close. Does He Know 6/1 is running off same mark that won the race off 2 years agi

3.30 - Fiercely Proud 16/1ew. unlucky to fall lto. has potential to win off this mark and meets all the key trends. Teddy Blue 18/1ew doesn't meet too many race trends but Derham is horse transformation master and Teddy Blue ran crackers in the Betfair Hurdle and Swinton last year so does have the class

4.00 - Minella Hollow

AoS, BBR, Mat, DHK, TB, MH

Bets 16/11/2024

 urgh the jumps :)

12.35 - East India Dock 5/2 - Best horse in the race.

1.10 - The Newest One 6/1 really stepped up lto and like Chelts when good ground. 

Planned Paradise 20/1ew was given a crap ride lto from the back. When races more prominently does a lot better and got some gears on a good day.

1.45 - L'Eau Du Sude 10/11 - Best horse in race

2.20 - In Excelsis Duo 12/1ew. The Chelts handicap race on good in April earlier this year is why picking this. Ginny's D is the big danger of course

2.55 - Thanksforthehelp 6/1 - If bounces back to form just wins.

3.30 - Hamsiyann 11/4 - Couldn't pick between the top3 in this race so went with Martin steamer. 

4.00 - No idea. Darts for dun. St Irene 18/1, Riveria Walk 28/1 on peds. 

Bets 15/11/2024

Chelts 1.10:

1) Plaisir Des Flos 5/1 still improving and fits a lot of trends.

2) Phamtomofthepoints 11/1 also started improving again, just in time for a race Pipe loves to win. Also only one of two with a G3 entry.

Double Powerful for the other place ;)

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Chelts 1.45:

1) Resplendent Grey 9/2 Looks a massive improver and think step up in trip will bring even more. Buddy One is rated 16lbs better but on the face of it looks a better hurdler. Hyland is prob the biggest threat, but happy to take the outsider in a 4 runner rave.

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Chelts 2.20:

1) Jonbon but no bet. Chelts is the place to take Jonbon on, but not sure with this small field it's worth the bother

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Chelts 2.55 - Conflated 7/2. Most of these are out of the weights, and with Conflated getting a 7lb claim I'll back it. 3rd in the gold cup and if takes to this discipline and back to form (not asking too much :)) can win

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Chelts 3.30 - Valgrand 6/4. Brushed aside 135 and 127 horses by 17 and 23 lengths respectively lto at Chelts. Potters Charm really had to work for it last time out but Valgrand races times when cruising in comparison means I'm going for Valgrand. Took some 50s for the Supreme on the Ex.

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Chelts 4.00 - Letterston Lily 6/1ew is going to fly up the hill. Bowen better position it properly.

Bets 13/11/2024

Bang 12.25 - Tanganyika 11s win, 6/4 top4 - Williams targets this race and could be massively unexposed over fences. Williams also generally smashed chase races at Bangor. Couple big dangers though so played 25% win 75% place. I'm doing this a lot atm.

Bang 12.55 - You Wear It Well 9/4 - Chelts winner. Runs well fresh. Trainer in good form. Jockey loves it round here. Top rated at this distance. Shecouldbeanything literally could be anything as is progressive with a g1 entry, but has a penalty and YWIW has been aimed at this race.

Bang 3.35 - If Aston Martin 11/2 bounces back to form wins and same story for Cheddleton 25/1

Bets 09/11/2024

3.30 Wincanton - Mofasa 11/2, Lord Accord 4/1

3.45 Donny - Waxing Gibous 14/1ew, Beamish 40/1ew back in trip could be very very interesting....

Bets 08/11/2024

 2.05 Meydan - Costa has once again started the season well, but is triple handed. I have zero interest in this race but Costa did state he thought La Yetal would go well this season, so just for fun to kick off Meydan

La Yetal 12/1ew

NR - So now backed Daayyem 11/2

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2.40 Meydan - Elyabi 7/1 was a massive 40/1 winner for me last year. If manages to front run without too much bother can win from the front. Elraaed 7/1 looks a likely improver and that race over 7f suggests will improve for step up in trip.

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3.15 Meydan - Followed Morning off a cliff last year. No doubt will step forward this year, but keen to see if fixed stalls issues first. Also think 7f might be a better trip. Meshakel likley best handicapped but not improcing any more. We all love Kafoo, but Mojeyrr 9/2 can easily reverse form based on weights. Magic Petition 40/1ew is overpriced on best form.

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4.00 Meydan - Quartier 8/1ew was 3rd in the 2k guineas. Started last season well, trainer in decent nick so if puts up a similar performance to the 2kg, just wins from a decent enough draw. Al Jaddaf and Meshtri were close up but stuck with Quartier

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4.35 Meydan - Nothing appeals to me. If Million Doro was drawn better would have considered it

5.10 Meydan - Ezaj wins from a better draw but at 9/2 can't do it. Might win today and I'll cry but pass either way.

 

Breeders Cup - Fri and Sat

9.45 - This Japanese horse looks rapid. Ecoro Sieg 4/1. It's times are unbelievable after only 2 races. Smashed the track record lto and even though that was over 6f, it's first 3f were fire. I take Shareholder 12s and Arizona Blaze 20s, for the tricast.

10.25 - Another Japanese pick for me. American Bikini 4/1. If stays win. Monster ped and most winners of this race are stepping up in trip. Scottish Lassie 3s for the forecast.

11.05 - Lake Victoria Evs. G1 horse. A stone ahead of anything else any horse has produced so far. Must not get trapped from Draw 1. Trust Ryan to sort that out given so much better than the rest. Thought Process and Scythian for the tricast. Totally Justified 66/1ew small 

11.45 - I do like the look of East Avenue but I'm assuming will be bunch of horse fighting the lead and Chancer McPatrick 4/1 will pick up the mess. Gaming and East Avenue to pick up the tricast

12.25 - Henri Mat is the best horse in the race and Ryan has won this race from 14 before. I just can't play this risk. Mentee and Satono Carnaval are the most impressive over 6f and if stay can beat most of these. I'm on the Jap theme tonight so pluck Satono Carnaval 12/1ew. 3 horses have won from stall 1 in the last 7 years. I'm worried about Rachel King's experience but still going in. Mentee, Henri Mat for the tri

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7.00 - Vavha 6/1ew beat Society before but in the last race looked trapped the whole way. Ways and Means still needs to improve to beat Vavha on best form. 

7.41 - Cogburn 13/8 is ridiculous. Surely one of the best 5f US horses of recent times. 

9.01 - Taking on the Euro's with Far Bridge 11/1ew. Don't think is that far off Lux and Emily. Would have played Jayrabe but distance not tried before which a big neg in this race.

9.41 - Fierceness 4/1. Forever Young next. Taking on COT. AoB 0-14 in this race. Is CoT running for Stallion status?!

10.25 - Full Count Felicia 10/1ew to make all and stay out of trouble. Cinderella for the forecast

11.45 - Notable Speech 3/1 if puts best foot forward, just wins. Carl Sparkler is interesting.

Bets 26/10/2024

 Champions Day not great, but Kind of Blue finally came through so very happy about that.

2.05 Donny - Ah I was praying Aberama Gold 7/1 was going to be drawn high, but alas. I can't not back it though as is the best handicapped horse in the race by a long way. Blue Storm 6/1 is going to be tough to beat I think though.

2.40 Donny - Royal Playright 14/1ew

3.15 Donny - Promethean 8/1ew

3.50 Donny - We Dare To Dream 12/1ew. Wild Nature/WDTD fc 21/1

4.25 Donny - Baradar 11/1ew, Rhythm Master 22/1ew

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1.10 Chelts - Guard Your Dreams 6/1

2.20 Chelts - Vanillier 20/1w, Kinondo Kwetu 20/1ew

Bets 19/10/2024

A lot of caution this weekend. Ground could be a bog and I hate bog betting.

1.20 - Sweet William 10/1ew & Trawlerman 6/1

1.55 - Not sure what will happen with draw. Think pace maybe more lower and historically lower draw on soft does better here. Still gutted about Kind of Blue in the sprint stakes. Would have been some payday. I have this Kind of Blue 20/1 AP, but today I prefer James Delight 12/1ew. Moore/Cox combo is decent. Horse is still improving and should have beaten Spycatcher lto (fluffed start)

2.35 - I want a 3 year old that is still improving and is a proven stayer. 

Content, Kalpana and Grateful are the highest rated 3year olds and with their allowance in effect are top rated. Content ran too poorly to be true last time out and Study of Man (Kalpana mare), doesn't have the best G1 record and offspring yet to win at Ascot so at 3/1 that's a big risk especially as not proven on soft.

Grateful improved maybe half a stone last time out running on soft for the first time over a distance longer than today and would have romped with a clear run. Is bred beautifully and for sure still improving. For me 18/1ew Grateful is a decent ew.

Thought Wingspan could improve further up in trip but Grateful has already proven it.

Smaller play on Content 6/1 as is the best horse in the race.

3.15 - Henry Longfellow 8/1ew. Solid form at Ascot and on soft. Top rated at the weights.

4.35 - I backed Bopedra 12/1ew and Mr Professor 16/1ew, but State Actor 8s, Mexicali Rose 28s all tick my lists

Bets 12/10/2024

 Always nice to bang a 25/1 in. Can't believe missed Empirestateofmind. Said was one of best handicapped in Cambridgeshire. Won 18/1 today. Damn.

No time for write ups

2.05 Y - Magico 15/2

2.40 Y - Woven 18/1

3.15 Y - Valiant Knight 10/3

5.05 Y - Austrian Theory 7/1

1.15 NW - Lead Artist 9/4

Bets 11/10/2024

 Small stakes only. Waiting for Meydan to start again really...

1.07 NW - Verse of Love 2/1

1.47 NW - Treasure Isle 8/1

2.25 NW - Miss Fascinator 10/1

3.35 NW - January 13/2

4.10 NW - Imperial Sovereign 18/1

1.30 Y - Naxos 8/1

3.45 Y - Vince L'Amour 25/1

Bets 05/10/2024

Ascot 2.25 - Al Aasy 2/1.Trappy race. Best horse on best form is Hamish, but not looked right last two runs. Al Aasy absolutely trounced Al Qareem last time out so no reason to back against this time.

Ascot 3.00 - Vadream 7/1ew. Assuming stays soft best horse over this distance in these conditions.

Ascot 3.35 - United Approach 16/1ew is well handicapped. I was hoping would only get a small rise lto as was giving away 3-4lbs plus 3lb to the winner's claimer. Purely on paper despite the rise is 3-4lb head of mark. The draw could play a big part so I'm sticking with one. Hopeful of at least a place.

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Newmarket 1.30 - La Pasionaria 14/1ew. The Musidora form says this could potentially be very well handicapped.

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Redcar 4.30 - Naepoint 7/2. C& winner. Bethell hot atm. 8/12 with Irish bred 8-10f handicaps at Redcar. Draw good

Bets 28/09/2024

I don't like heavy ground betting. I'm crap at it. End of season too, so just did a handful and not that enthused by them

Haydock

1.30 - Flying Finn 20/1. Decent mark, likes heavy. 

Skipper 4/1. Not as well handicapped, but trainer flying and Calyx on heavy in handicaps 3/6 and 6/9 at Haydock. Maybe a 11/1 double with Sir William in the next. Calyx double!

Newmarket

3.40 - Going against trends somewhat this week. I suspect many trainers line up an improving good ground horse for this race. It's been G-GF for the last 14 years so we may find a surprise this year. Or I'm chatting sh1te and we won't. The two best handicapped horses are:

Bopedro - 14/1ew

Empirestateofmind 66/1ew (backed earlier in the week)

4.45 - Granger Bay 7/2

Bets 24/09/2024

Saturday started off really well and then went downhill fast :)

End of flat season junk.

3.55 Beverley - La Boo 9/1ew to make all. Ran over C&D on second start behind horses rated 80 - 106. If runs anywhere close to that is romping home. Reckon improved a stone lto with application of headgear. Trainer has the best SR at Beverley in this race. Is 30% SR in 3yr old handicaps at Beverley in last 4 years. If you fine tune that is 7/17 (41%) in 3yr Beverley handicaps (Aug - Oct) when horse is running in same class or down in class from last race and last run was between 1 - 6 weeks. Got the low draw, so let's go Jo.

4.55 Listowel - Narmar 7/1ew. Gutted. This opened at 14/1 and missed the price. I was really keen on this at 50/1 for the Irish Cambridgeshire and was really unlucky in running not to at least place. Much easier race, obviously and I still think it's chucked in but Henry DB is not in the same form. That said he has a 29% SR here and Carroll is 16%, both the best in the race.

Bets 21/09/2024

 Ayr 1.15 - Mr King 14/1ew. Form with the fave Mirsky can be turned around with the 6lb pull. Ignore lto race. That York race is the one to watch. Came from the back, switched couple times and found some extra gears twice to make up ground. Be very keen if price shortened to single figures.

Ayr 1.50 - Enfjaar 4/1. Varian @ Ayr 7f+ on GS or quicker is 10/20. Forget lto. Ran wide over too short. Should have one the Coral handicap. Is on the up and still unexposed. Varian won this before.

Ayr 2.25 - Tough. Lucky Man 30s on exchange. Won well lto, won of higher marks, trainer in good form and meets a bunch of trend. Its 14s with bookies so have to be very worried about this gap to the exchanges, but fook it. Spencer gone close twice with this race. Summerghand 7/1. Last time I do this :)

Ayr 3.35 - Rohaan 11/1ew. Massive chance. Solid run in the race lto. Lower in weights and comes into the race in better form. Good draw.

Ayr 4.40 - Abduction 6/1ew. Was a NR is the Silver Cup. Must think a good thing for this race if dropping out of that...? Ran well couple races back and now dropped to an attractive mark. C&D winner. Goldie in form. Fingers crossed

Ayr 5.15 - Kitsune Power 12/1ew. Consistent on turf. Easterby knocking on the door for a winner and gone close twice in this race. Back to good ground I think it's the best handicapped horse in race behind Eugen Glen who surely regressive now.

Newbury 1.30 - No Half Measures 8/1ew

Chester 4.15 - Radio Goo Goo 5/1ew

Newbury 5.35 - Retracement 5/1ew Chucked in

Bets 15/09/2024

3 winners yesterday including a 16/1. 6 blanks.

Wanted to spend time on the cards today, but no chance. Half stakes.

Curragh 

1.50 - Strike Red 6/1

2.25 - Purple Lily 5/2 Strong form, still unexposed

3.00 - Red Letter 10/3

3.35 - She's Quality 25/1ew - New tactics worked last time out. Make all and win. Thanks. 

4.10 - Henni Mattisse Evs

4.45 - Kyprios 4/5

5.55 - Mashoor 18/1ew

Doncaster

2.05 - Brave Nation 9/2

2.40 - Parbous 9/2. Golden Mind 30/1

3.15 - Topango 12/1. Cell Sa Bella 40/1

3.45 - Hartswood 16/1ew

4.15 - Kings Lynn 15/2ew

4.50 - Young Fire 15/2ew

5.25 - Jump The Gun 40/1ew

Bets 14/09/2024

Donny

1.50 - Wolf of Badenoch 3/1 - Best horse on paper

2.25 - Aberama Gold 16/1ew. Solid course form. 9lb below last winning mark. Best handicapped horse on best form in race.Albasahaer 10/1. Not sure if this is the aim, but ran a massive race lto. Course winner. Shagraan was next on list.

3.00 - Poet Master 7/2. Assuming Kinross not the old force used to be, this is best horse in race. Lead Artist's rating is based of 1m, not 7f, so even though Poet Mast has a G2 penalty is the best on ratings. I am worried about Burke's current form, but hopefully class sees this C&D winner home.

3.40 - Sunway 5/1. Tough race. Aob running 3. No Ryan. JB surely too inexperienced? Illinois form with LA means Sunway is better value

4.15 - Dayofourlives 9/2

Bath

4.30 - Miss Show Down 10/1, Sabrimento 9/1 - Both well handicapped

Musselb

5.50 - Molten Sea 9/4 Probably chucked in if back to form

Bets 08/09/2024

Man that was some nearly shizzle yesterday. Been keen on Kind of Blue for this race for a while and gutted to see Haggas in form. A lot of winners an places yesterday but no jackpot (again).

1.40 York - Windlord 13/8  - Form is decent

2.15 York - Grandlad 14/1ew. When Dorney Lake figures it out, is going to bolt up in a handicap. There seems to only be pace from Grandlad and Law of Average. Grandlad ran really well over C&D enough to show is well handicapped over C&D. My worry is Horton form, but has a 25% SR here.

3.25 York - MArkoon 10/3. Backed lto. I want redemption :) Is really well handicapped and Haggas is on fire again and won this last year.

4.00 York - Significantly 8/1ew back from small injury, down in class, solid C&D runner, trainer on fire.

Bets 07/09/2024

Ascot 

1.35 - Run Boy Run 10/1ew - Won on soft lto. Granger Bay has well and truly franked the form today. Spencer had 2/2 winners today. Turner is a positive booking as the pair are 29% win together.

Wizard of Eye looks like such an obvious bet, but worried about the ground being too soft? Maybe have a small cover on it

2.10 - The Reverend 4/1. Looks chucked in on paper. Haggas is 34% in 3year old handicaps in Aug/Sept within some other conditions which this meets.

3.20 - Rhetorical 3/1. Exactly same write up as above :) Hosaam the danger.

3.55 - Fresh 9/4 (TBC). Backed this AP for the 1.35 @ 8/1. Annoying running in this much weaker race. Should just win. Went very close in the International. New Image franked from. Won over C&D on soft. Big chance, but the problem is Rohaan. 5/5 over C&D when G3 or lower. Hmmm. Maybe the 10/1 Fresh / Rohaan rfc is safer play?

   

4.30 - Rowayeh 3/1 - Redemption day. Blocked last two times on turf including over C&D at RA.

5.05 - Badri 9/1ew. A solid C&D runner, in good form as is the trainer.

Haydock 

1.50 - Master Builder 5/2 - The York form is decent.

3.35 - Kind of Blue 20/1ew - Backed this Antepost. Not sure can win as didn't improve s much as hoped lto. 4 or 5 could back in this, so no leaving it.

Thirsk

6.10 - Oso Rapido 20/1ew. Loves this race and can win off this mark. Ignore last race. Was running from 14lb out the handicap. Very odd. Race before wasn't great but C&D horses can always bounce back. Trainer in good nick

Bets 31/08/2024

Time constraints today. See how far get....

2.10 Chester - Marchogion 9/1ew

2.40 Chester

Boardman 12/1ew earlier in the week. Winner in waiting.

Under Siege 5/1

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4.35 Curragh

Shayzann 11/1ew meets a bunch of trends and is defo well handicapped based on lto

Narmar 50/1ew Drifted to bottom of the market as if has no chance. In it's last 3 non-handicap runs horses around it suggest is defo well handicapped off 85. Could have won the premier handicap at Leopardstown, but started slowly and got blocked a number of times. Ran poorly lto on yielding ground and ran badly on soft/yielding on only other run on slow ground. Good ground tomorrow. Bookie the Seff. Why is it drifting like this? Maybe cos' Brommers who is in top form rn, is 0-50 at Curragh?

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1.30 Beverley - Walter Hartright 9/4

2.05 Beverley - Democracy Dilemma 9/2ew

4.55 Beverley - Zapphire 11/2ew

Bets 24/08/2024

Could have, should have with Canoodled. Had Vauban, Shadow Dance and Al Noud in a trixie. If only put Canoodled (who of course wasn't held up in, instead of Al Noud!

Ground will be a massive unknown now with all the rain so going half stakes.

1.50 - Phantom Flight 8/1ew to make all and be gone. Decent current form. Best run probably at this festival couple year back when bolted in by 5 lengths in a handicap. Scott in decent nick. If you exclude the 3 year olds who historically struggle in this race, doesn't have that much to find on ratings.

2.25 - Equator 9/1ew. Don't like this race, but this is dropping in class from the Queens Vase and is ahead of mark. Jock is the worry.

3.00 - Audience 13/8. Is pretty much one stone better than anything in this field.

3.35 - Hipop De Loire 15/2 ew, Relentless Voyager 14/1ew both well handicapped for in form trainers. Burdett Road, My Mate Mozzie and Wise Eagle all on the shortlist but two is enough!

4.10 - Summerghand 9/1ew. Dark Thirty 28/1ew. Summerghand ran a blinder lto and now going for a hatrick in this race of a much lower mark. Dark Thirty is well handicapped and drawn near the only pace in the race.

4.45 - Ardennes 28/1ew, Fuji Mountain 33/1ew. Darts for fun only. Stupid race.

5.10 - Chasing Aphrodite 18/1ew won like a well handicapped horse at Sandown. A good 5lb claim and will try to make all. Andaleep 16/1ew is going to win soon. I don't think draw works today but not taking the risk :)    

Bets 23/08/2024

 1.50 - Shadow Dance 11/2ew 4p. Front / prominent runner. Stable in good form. Stable won this before. Draw is fine. Current form is decent. Previous runs suggest still well handicapped. Should go very close. Thought Dark Moon Rising may have been big at 33s, but keen on Shadow Dance.

2.25 - Vauban 7/2. Mullins popped in a 12/1 and 9/1 winner today. I think/hope Vauban will be firing today. Proven at the course and 2m will be perfect on fast ground.

3.00 - Shadow of Light 13/2ew. 

3.35 - Asfoora 13/8

4.10 - Al Noud 13/2ew. Would have backed Canoodled 28s if wasn't a hold up.

4.45 - Ultrasound 9/2. Form is decent. Eyecatcher lto. Stable in good form and have won this race before.

5.20 - Dosman 5/1 for the Varian hatrick. Volterra 18/1ew first or last.

Bets 22/08/2024

Well knew yesterday would be tough. Should have backed the obvious AOB faves. Also turns out forgot to look at drawbias. Maybe would have considered a few other things, but either way looks like prominent front runners drawn low for shorter distances is the way to go....

1.50 - Heavens Gate 5/2. Experience looks key in this race and with the form AoB is in wouldn't be taking this one on. Miss Lamai was interesting, but one is enough.

2.25 - An Outlaw's Grace 4/1. Blind bet on Hannon who farms this race. Booked Moore to get it done. Draw 13 is now the worry.

3.00 - Bennetot 20/1ew. Low draw :) O'Meara :) Chucked in. Probably 100+ rated. I'm just worried about it being held up

3.35 - Queen of The Pride 5/2. Nearly no bet the race, but this one is probably going to make a 120 horse if keeps progressing

4.10 - Satin 13/2ew. Another Moore booking. Top rated, even if giving some of the 3year olds weight.

4.45 - Dividend 20/1ew. Some interesting form lines and also on horse with a group entry

5.20 - Miss Information 15/2 and Raknah 12/1ew. Miss Info decent race last time from a poor draw and clearly well handicapped. Raknah will try to make all and hold on from MI.

Bets 21/08/2024

Really tough day. Could easily back a bunch of faves, but what would be the point in that ;)

1.50 - Silkie Wilkie 18/ew. Meets a whole bunch of trends. Step back in trip is key. Decent claim. Decent record over C&D. Democracy Dilemma was next on list, but Cowell form and record at York are not inspiring. 3year olds have a poor record else would be on Kylian as looks well handicapped. Sticking with the one.

2.25 - The Lion in Winter 5/2

3.00 - Euphoric 80/1ew. With Charlton in such poor form can't have King's Gambit. Los Angeles should win with Euphoric will be the pace setter. However, I just wonder, whether, with the ground Euphoric, bebe of Frankel who has better sire stats than Galileo, Saxon Warrior and Camelot over C&D, might just not be caught. Unlikely, but for shits and giggles at 80/1happy to throw some coins at it.

3.35 - Zarakem 12/1ew. Not sure worth taking on CoT, even though a fair few potential dangers, but this one ran a blinder behind AR lto and worth a pop to repeat the decent effort.

4.10 - Get Shirty 18/1ew. Risky given lto run, but over C&D, towards the top for me on best form.

4.45 - Pepsi Cat 18/1ew. If can ignore last run is well handicapped.

5.20 - Rokuni 22/1ew.

Bets 17/08/2024

2.25 Newbury - Myconian 9/1ew. Decent form. Once rated 99. Looks to be finding spark again.

3.00 Newbury - Be Frank 12/1ew. Interesting Ian Williams bought this. Creeping down the weights. Decent enough claimer. In good form. Has won 30% of 3yr+ handicaps at Newbury.

3.35 Newbury - Tiber Flow 4/1. Kikkuli needs to get head in front before restore belief. With Charlton so out of form and Haggas so in form, Tiber Flow is pick. Jumby is biggest danger.

5.15 Newbury - Markoon 2/1. Assuming stays is chucked in.

2.45 Ripon - Danzan 14/1ew. Is the best handicapped on best form. Yes was years ago at peak, but ran really well lto and down another lb.

3.20 Ripon - Emperor Spirit 20/1ew. 

3.25 Curragh - Girl Like You 10/1ew

5.45 Curragh - Sunday Sovereign 20/1ew

Bets 03/08/2024 - GG Day 5

 So much for not liking staying races. Picked the 25/1 winner and a 50/1 3rd place.

No time for write ups again :(

2.25 Goodwood - Euchen Glen 22/1ew, Intiso 20/1ew

3.00 Goodwood - Grateful 10/1ew

3.35 Goodwood - Purosangue 11/2ew

4.10 Goodwood - Mission to Moon 4/1

5.20 Goodwood - Rowayeh 6/1ew

Backed the Jim Goldie horses in last two at Hamilton with Eughen Glen for banter.

Bets 02/08/2024 - GG Day 4

 A good 6/1 and 9/1 winner yesterday. Been a really good 3 days so far. Missed a lot of good prices last night :(

1.50 - Don't like staying races much but let's try: Master Milliner 12/1ew. Single 40/1ew. Nachgeist 40/1ew

2.25 - Al Musmak 3/1

3.00 - Orbaan 10/1ew, Perotto 8/1ew

3.35 - Big Evs 9/4. 

4.10 - Ciecro's Gift 5/2

4.45 - Do It Now 11/1ew, Tangers 12/1ew

5.20 - Give it to me oj 12/1ew, New Chelsea 8/1ew

10.15am Updates:

Had a small acca flutter also on Temporize, Holloway Bay, Desperate Hero, Haunted Dream, Do It Now, New Chelsea

Bets 01/08/2024

 A massive treble with Blue Prince, French Duke and Al Anoud yesterday.

Very little time today :(. It's 1am and am starting the research....

1.50 - Tough race to start

Approval 8/1ew. Backed at Ascot. Expected more. Lord of Love ran a binder yesterday off 91 so form is there.

Arabic Legend 16/1ew. Once settles is going in and why not today in a race Burke won last year.

3.00 - Meydaan 7/1ew

3.35 - Elmaka 7/1ew

4.10 - Fearless Freddy 7/1ew

4.45 - Shagran 6/1ew

5.55 - Market looks right with Westridge 5/1 Treasure Time 5/1. Qirat will have it tough from the draw

Bets 31/07/2024 - GG Day 2

 Taterstall made all and didn't get caught :)

1.50 Goodwood - Previous winners all had at least 4 runs, which ruled out a couple of big prices I fancied. In the end couldn't get away from the top 3 in the market which is very annoying. French Duke, Subsequent and Lord of Love. The combi tricast pays approx 100/1each leg.

If I had to pick one it'd be French Duke 10/3.

2.25 Goodwood - Kathmandu 7/2 is top rated. Meehan won is 1 placed and 1 win from 2 runners in the race. My only neg was first time tongue tie.

3.00 Goodwood - Pretty much no interest in this race, but still had 3 bets! Idiot!

I backed Ametris 14/1ew lto. Formlines via It Ain't too suggest may not a good as Celadine or Aeseterius, but I remember Bell being pretty positive about Ametris so let's fly with it. King's Call 6/1 Top 3 is interesting only as Ryan has had 3 places from 4 runners in this race and seems to be money for it atm

Usdi Atohi 11/1ew 

3.35 Goodwood - Don't play 5 runner races.

4.10 Goodwood - Al Anoud 6/1ew. Beckett firing, won this twice before. Tony Montana ran well yesterday so form is decent and lto was just too far. From the draw will need to get a good early position. 

4.45 Goodwood - Not sure why Coto is 6/4 when on formlines Lucky Gift 14/1ew beat it. Bailey's Jubilee 10/1ew beat Lucky Gift (just) so playing with these two.

Lucky Gift is the main pick given think can turn the tables with BJ based on watching the race. LG was cruising before had a barging match with BJ.

5.20 Goodwood - The Turpinator 16/1ew. C&D winner in cracking form along with stable. On a winnable mark for sure. Blue Prince 11/ew ran a blinder lto over C&D and 1lb lower this time out. Change for Good an Billyjoh were next on list.

Bets 30/07/2024 - GG Day 1

Forgot how tough the GG cards are....Couldn't settle one one horse in any race so a lot of rfcs :)

1.50 - Coral Handicap

Tony Montana 9/1ew 8lb pull with Enfjaar who is 3/1

Killybegs Warrior 16/1ew with the ground turning in favour the handicapper has taken a punt which could help KW if bounces back to form. It's a Johnston horse so that's always possible.

2.25 Vintage Stakes

The Parthenon / Amori City 20/1 rfc. Couldn't pick between the two so opted for the rfc.

3.00 Lennox

Noble Dynasty / Kinross 10/1 rfc. Same as above

4.10 - Coral Handicap

Fair Wind 3/1 - progressive. won really easily lto.

Tatterstall 14/1ew - could make all and not be caught.

JM Jungle / Lord Riddiford rfc pays 30/1 if fancy a trainer fc.

5.20 - Fillies Handicap

Forever Blue 16/1ew

Imperial Express 14/1ew

5.55 - 

Dance and Romance 6/1ew

Cuban Melody 11/ew

Bets 27/07/2024

 Ascot 2.25 - Doom 9/1ew. On paper Soprano is the one to beat highest rated at the weights, but took a step back lto. Friendly Soul been off for a while and odd stepping back in trip. Doom ran really well lto over C&D and on a number of occasions had to adjust. With a straight runner would have finished closer. Haggas has won this race before.

Ascot 3.00 - Summerghand 25/1ew. Backed lto. Ran well at a big price and can see it happening again.

Ascot 4.50 - Silver Sword 10/1ew

York 2.40 - Silkie Wilkie 6/1ew, Badri 14/1ew

Bets 20/07/2024

2.25 Newbury - Sleeping Lion 16/1ew. Am worried the rain may ruin chances, but this oldboy has been been improving last 3 runs and can take advantage of a decent mark. Course winner, Charlton in good form and I'd think he be outrunning odds today.

3.00 Newbury - Regional 5/2. Best horse in race and in form. Trainer is not though. Can Callum really bag a double. Territories ped says don't bet it either, but I'm going in. Kind Of Blue is interesting. I've taken the 20/1 for the sprint stakes at Haydock in Sept once matured more. Think will be fighting to be the champ 3yr old sprinter.

3.35 Newbury - Miss Collado 14/1ew (AP). Backed earlier in week. Missed Ascot for this. Hannon loves this race. Draw good. Also back Mythical Composer 8/1 (AP) same time. Seems I also placed the tricast with It Ain't Two! lol

2.35 Curragh - Hurricane Ivor 11/1 to make all

3.05 Curragh - Believing 6/4 best horse in race

3.40 Curragh - Galileo Dame 30/1ew. Highly speculative, but The Cheshire Oaks is the race I used to pick Port Fairy for the Ribblesdale. I'm not sure based on that race GD should be 30's vs PF 6s. Held up at Chester is not smart.

4.50 Curragh- Gibbs Island 9/1ew

Bets 19/07/2024

 Newbury 1.50 - Couple bets on the exchanges. Both of these ran in  maiden here and if can reproduce will g close. Bella Taslina 4.5s. Interwined 80s

Newbury 4.10 - Big Cyril 5/1ew. Solid lto. Decent formlines.

Newbury 5.20 - Divine Presence 2/1 the one to beat. Put a very very small cover on Meribella at 17s on ex.

Bets 13/07/2024

2.12 Newmarket - Not Real 9/1ew

2.50 Newmarket - Livenandletlive 9/1ew

4.00 Newmarket - Summerghand 25/1ew

4.35 Newmarket - Vandeek 7/2

1.45 Ascot - Kings Lynn 8/1ew, Badri 10/1ew

2.20 Ascot - Quddawah 7/4

4.07 Ascot - Passion and Glory 14/1ew

4.42 Ascot - Canoodled 12/1ew

3.10 York - Haunted Dream 6/1ew, Kingfisher King 16/1ew

Bets 12/07/2024

Newmarket 150 - Travolta 10/1ew

Newmarket 225 - Tales of The Heart 12/1ew

York 205 - Hectic 16/1ew

York 240 - Great Generation 5/1ew

York 420 - Sisyphean 6/1ew

Bets 11/07/2024

1.50 Newmarket - Portland 8/1. Trip will bring best out (I hope)

2.25 Newmarket - Ain't Nobody 11/2. Decent winner lto. Think the Windsor Castle could be decent form.

3.00 Newmarket - Moswaat 12/1ew will finally get the ground needs again and is arguably the best handicapped horse on best form.

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Smaller bets for interest

4.10 Newmarket - Pearl of Windsor 16/1ew.

Bets 06/07/2024

4th child arrived. Will knock me back years punting again :) Sleeeepy...

Sandown 13.15 -Swindon 7/1ew. Least exposed. I like the Chepstow form. If can break well, can make all and go close.

Sandown 13.50 - Desperate Hero 5/1ew. Stick with inform sprinters. This one potentially still improving an even though lbs to find with a few question marks about their current form.

Sandown 2.25 - Ceciro's Gift 6/1ew is chucked in.

Sandown 3.00  - Juddomonte 1-2. I backed Indelible 9/1 earlier in the week so will put a small fc on with Clove Hitch.

Bets 29/06/2024

1.35 Newcaslte - Lir Speciale 14/1ew. Only neg is trainer form

2.04 Newcastle - Spycatcher 9/2ew

2.15 Newmarket - Celadine 12/1ew. Good draw. Trainer won this before. Foaled early. G1 entry. Kingman good ped for this.

2.35 Newcastle - Legendary Day 16/1ew. 5lb lower than last year with claimer when deffo had a chance.

3.40 Newcastle - Eldrickjones 9/1ew

Bets 22/06/2024 - RA Day 5

Chesham

Pentle Bay 9/1ew - Strong trends bet. Decent trainer, jockey and draw

(17/21) Foaled in March or before (means had longer to grow!), 

(16/21) Ran over 6f lot (means gets the distance experience)

(14/21) Won last time out

(14/21) Returned 7/1 or shorter. I think will go off shorter :)

Hardwicke

Continuous 13/8 best horse in race. Trying to get it beat but I can't in a solid way.

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Jersey -

Never So Brave 14/1ew

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Wokingham -

Dark Trooper 10/1ew is absolutely chucked in on paper and is one of 5 that meets 7 of the top

Most met the top trends (No more than 4 runs this season, ran within 6 weeks, won over 6 or 7). Then...

(20/24) Age 4 or 5

(20/24) Finished 6th or better LTO

Based on draw this week, would opt for stalls 10 or higher.

This leaves Dark Trooper, Harry Three, Ferrous, Rumstar, Torivega (I don't think will like ground)

I backed Dark Trooper yesterday, but tonight have gone over the trends to happy to see is on the list, so sticking with it as already won a C&D handicap on GF

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Golden Gate - 

Approval 8/1 - Chucked in, but not sure about the draw.

Bets 21/06/2024 - Day 4 Royal Ascot

Only 1 winner yesterday. Back to reality. Not much time again today/tomorrow.

2.30 Albany -

Simmering 20/1ew - Form is strong with Arabie. Did really well on debut against Arabie who had previous experience.

Burning Pine 33/1ew - Just seen a video of debut. Romple. Pedigree decent. Draw might be a problem.

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3.05 Commonwealth - 

Military 25/1ew - I think it's a big advantage to stay further than 6f in this race. Many of the winners won or were tried over 7/8f. Round it down to 4 or 5 horse. One looks at it's ceiling. One is beaten on form with another and so end up with Isherin, Evade and Military Order. Isherin likely winner tbh, Evade beaten by complex formlines lines. So Military. Best race as 2year old was at Newmarket and perhaps if over 6 would have won. Form of that race is decent enough. Improved both runs this season, back to quick ground, maybe can outrun 25/1.

Was going to back Starlust, but blinkers worried me. Form is decent behind Star of Mystery

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3.45 Coronation - I can't pick between 4 horses, so passing.

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4.25 Duke of Edinburgh

Struth 20/1ew - Back to form and well handicapped.

Bague D'or 12/1ew - Looks progressive and seems to be targeting Ebor. Could probably get in off this mark though so not sure should back this. Will check couple items in morning if get time 

Kolossal/Mandoob are the best handicapped horses on paper, but both coming back from layoffs. If the market springs either of these from 66/1 may have a small ew

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Sandringham 5.05

Without Words 14/1ew - Chucked in

Indelible 5/1 - Look best handicapped but draw is killer

Cat Ninja 25/1ew - Next best

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5.40 - KE VII - No time to look

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6.15 - Palace Handicap

Sommilier 16/1ew, 

Dark Vintage 25/1ew

Airman 25/1ew. TBC

Bets 20/06/2024 - Royal Ascot Day 3

Urgh Might Erui set off too late. SP 50/1. Shame as had it in a treble with Running Lion 14/1 and Ilinois. 100/1 fc in the last and a large number of ew accas put me miles up. Can't possibly lose RA now.

Think today is AOBs day.

2.30 Norfolk Stakes 

#1 Saturday Flirt 14/ew - This one ran 5.5f faster than some of this field ran 5f on GF. Was a big baby on debut, but looked to have serious gears. Hopefully can improve from that

#2 Moving Force 25/1ew - Fahey's record in this race last few years is insane. He has two, but how can Shareholder be 6/1 and this 25/1 when MF is 7lb better off now. The AoB horse is by far the best in the race but GF in a big unknown risk.

3.05 King George V Stakes 

#1 Gallantly 12/1ew - I remember backing South Pacific £250 22/1ew after Detorri won me £7k after winning first number of races. Haven't backed (from memory another AOB runner in this race, but Gallantly looks well handicapped. Liked it's last race. Quick times. Same route as Secret State couple years back

3.45 Ribblesdale 

#1 Kalpana 11/2ew Had this earmarked for Ascot for a while. 

#2 Port Fairy 10/1ew - Bypassed the Oaks, I assume for this. Only 1 horse has won this before after only 2 starts, hence trying to find something to beat Diamond Rain

4.25 Gold Cup

#1 Gregory 11/2ew. Unexposed at the trip and think will improve massively for it. I think Gosden will have a 1-2 in this race.

#2 Trawlerman 6/1ew - Should have gone much closer in the Dubai World Cup. Will be battle of the Golden Horns.

5.05 Britannia

#1 Qirat 8/1ew - Really impressive lto.

#2 Monkey Island 28/1ew - Massive improvement from 2 to 3. On a good mark but not chucked in. All my fancies are drawn under stall 10 which is not worth the risk

#3 Air Commander 20/1ew - Clearly well handicapped on it's AW race and looking at last couple races think the quick ground will really help. Problem is this is drawn 2 so Ryan Moore I think will have to make all. At the price, given think AOB will have a decent day going for it.

 

5.40 Hampton Court

#1 Portland 12/1ew - Was on this AP for the Derby (Rightly or wrongly) I thought ran really well at Sandown and I hope Moore is prominent with him tomorrow. Only AoB dart in this race which is oftern telling. Only dart for me also.

6.15 - Buckingham Palace Stakes 

#1 The XO 33/1ew - Big eyecatcher for me lto. Hit the front too soon. Hopefully the fast ground will help.

#2 Dark Thirty 33/1ew - Solid consistent handicapper. Hannon won this twice with 4yr olds in last 4 years.

#3 Mostabshir 12/1ew - Just for my own sanity given was in the Sjt James last year running to a mark of 108...

Bets 19/06/2024 - Day 2 Royal Ascot

Decent enough yesterday. Short of time yesterday so didn't complete all checks when punted them. Looks a tough day though.

I've listed in preference.

Queen Mary 2.30 - Smaller stakes on the 2yr olds. Darts only.

#1 Mighty Erui 20/1ew - Bought by Qatar, looks rapid. Cromwell loving RA

#2 Amestris 20/1ew - I like that Newmarket maiden form. Can argue Miss Rascal (who many are tipping) was the best of those but with the draw I think can do better. Bell states is better than two fillies he has sent to this race who finished 2nd!

#3 Kassaya 12/1ew - Solid profile.

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Queen's Vase 3.05 - 

#1 Illinois 5/2 - Hopefully won't turn into a cliff horse. Backed for St Leger also. Form best on show.

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Duke of Cambridge 3.45 - 

#1 Running Lion 14/1ew. Rogue is the best horse in the race on all known form, but Running Lion 3/3 over 1m and so can bounce back and go close

#2 Sea the Lady 12/1ew. Head has brought 1 to Ascot and won, so taking note of this at Ramaetuelle later in week. He seems keen on her.

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Prince of Wales 4.25 - 

#1 Alafalia 9/1ew. Could have beaten AR lto if didn't fluff start. Runs well fresh. Runs well at Ascot and GF.

#2 Lord North 25/1ew - I know this is not the right thing to do. It's an emotive bet. However at peak form this is the best horse over distance, ground and course. Form behind Charyn is strong on a ground which was too soft and distance too short. Ran better in Dubai WC than suggests.

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Royal Hunt Cup 5.05 - 

#1 Crack Shot 28/1ew - Really tough and I could back 5 or 6 so this is tough. Stuck with 4 year olds proven on quick ground and looks to have improved a ton from 3 to 4. This one ticked my boxes

#2 Coeur d'Or 12/1ew - Won the Irish Cambridgeshire Trials. Warm up this season over much shorter and was coming home strongly. Love a Weld horse at RA

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Kensington Palace Stakes 5.40 - 

#1 Ahazara Palace 14/1ew looks to have improved couple stone over winter and form is working out. SDS had a solid day and booked for this.

#2 Aurora Dawn 10/1ew - Another Walker horse. Looked pretty unlucky lto

#3 Cell Sa Beele 33/1ew is a big risk as have to ignore lto. If you can then beat Breege at Ascot now a G3 winner. On paper got whooped in Sandringham but was top 3 on wrong side of track. First was Magical Sunset who also a G3 winner. So is potentially well handicpped here.

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Windsor Castle Stakes 6.15 - 

#1 Gabaldon 16/1ew. Ran a very quick time over 5f on debut. Faster than Crimson Advocate before that won here last year.

#2 Ain't Nobody 8/1ew - Last race of day. Simply following some money.

Bets 18/06/2024 - Day 1 Royal Ascot

2.30 - Queen Anne.

Maljoom 14/1ew. Has to bounce back. That's the big risk which is obviously a big concern, but if can, is the best on GF. Should have won the St. James couple years back. Haggas has a decent record in the race. 4 runners. 1 winner. 2 placed

Witch Hunter 40/1ew. Won the Buckingham at 50/1 after being slow away. With the likely pace could coming flying home 

3.05 Coventry.

Andesite 8/1ew. Decent debut. Son of Chesham winner and half bro to Queen Mary winner. Royal Ascot blood. Not sure how draw will play out but is enough pace either side.

Ya Mo Be There 11/1ew battled it with Andesite lto. Think they could go h2h again.

Symbol of Honour 8/1ew to replace Andesite. 

3.45 Kings Stakes.

Big Evs could be such a silly price here but for some reason I am still stuck between. 

Asfoora 8/1ew - Hard to weigh up but potentially on best form is better than the field. Think will try make all.

Rogue Lightning 10/1ew. Wathan bought this for million bucks so I assume they think it's decent.

Markarova 33/1ew - Ran well lto. If can avoid being keen an hanging I think 5f GF Ascot is really going to suit.

4.25 St James Palace

I have Henry Longfellow Ap with City Of Troy in a 20/1 double. Tough race to win for HL, but I don't want to back anything else as so many have a chance. Hannon says Ros is best he has ever trained. 

5.05 Ascot Stakes

Zannzabad should have maybe won Chester Cup. Divine Comedy bolted in lto and probably better on faster ground. Nurset and Amulhit are very interesting.

Divine Comedy 8/1ew

The Grand Visor 25/1 ew. Not sure why such a big price. 10lb than last year when could have been close to winning this. Definitely not 10lb a worse horse. If gets a clear passage can go close on this grond

5.40 Wolferton.

Israr 7/2. Best horse in race and probably ran a CB lto. 

6.15 Copper Horse

Naqeeb 16/1ew. If the pieces work has a massive chance

Alkasib 7/1ew.

Bets 15/06/2024

Sandown 3.15 - Star Style 5/1ew

Sandown 4.25 - Get The Music On 7/2

York 3.00 - Klondlike 3/1

York 3.35 - The Coffee Pod 25/1ew

York 4.45 - Orbaan 16/1ew

Bets 08/06/2024

Spent no more than 20 mins on this. Pretty crap racing. Ascot soon, although 4th child soon may scupper it all this year and for the next couple :/

1.50 Haydock - Pink Crystal 18/1ew

2.25 Haydock - Struth 8/1ew

3.00 Haydock - Sea Theme 6/1ew

3.35 Haydock - Quinault 12/1ew

4.10 Haydock - Tourist 14/1ew

4.45 Haydock - Tinto 12/1ew

5.20 Haydock - Gressington 5/1ew

Bets 02/06/2024

 Not bad. Not great. Should have backed Persica even though missed price. Shouldn;t have changed mind on Roschlyn. Ended up backing Dream Composed as saw a fair amount of money for it. Wagyu being chinned was painful CoT 7/1 was lovely. Should have listened to ped on Runnin Lion. List goes on :) Was in the right place mostly.

5.10 Hamilton - Kings Lynn 15/2 ew. Form boosted massively by Dream Composer and Misty Grey.

Put a small double on with Diego V in Chantilly

Bets 01/06/2024 - Derby

13.25 - Perisca. Missed the ew price so not going to back it. Going with Golden West 16/1ew. Looks well handicapped and Masar (sire) won the Derby. 

2.00 - Running Lion 15/8 - Best horse in race. On paper is still improving and came back a much better horse over the break. I didn't back Luxemborg yesterday as focussed on the sire stat. Ignoring the fact Roaring Lion's offspring are 0/6 at Epsom. Small saver on Chic Colombine 8/1 as gets a huge allowance

2.35 - Regal Reality 9/2 best horse on best form. Other than Royal Dubai everything looks pretty exposed.

3.10 - Tears of a Clown and Enchanting. Both 20/1ew

3.45 - Silkie Wilkie 9/2. Lame price but best handicapped. Dream Composer and Chipstead next but just back SW.

Derby - Ancient Wisdom 7/1ew. I was really hoping Portland was going to run. Anyhow. I backed City of Troy 7/1 and Los Angeles 11/2. I read a stat about Justify 3yr olds and that Camelots are 0/34 at Epsom. All roads point to Ancient Wisdom. 10 of last 11 winners drawn 7 - 12, so all systems go.

5.15 - Relentless Voyager 9/1ew, L'Astronomie 22/1ew

5.50 - Mr Wagyu 6/1, Mums Tipple 10/1 as a cover

Bets 31/05/2024 - Oaks

This time last year was very close to 2,400/1 quad in the first 4 races, but Haatem fluffed the start in the Woodcote.

2.00 Woodcote - Been so busy forgot to bet New Charter 9/4. Think was 9/2. Ahhh Solid form with Mountain Breeze who is fave for the Albany. Megalitihic was the only danger I could see in the field. New Bay ped perfect for this. I'm not sure it's value now, but alas punting it anyway.

2.35 - Last year focussed on a front runner who I know will stay. Bencare 12/1 ew fits the bill this year. Twice a course winner. Ran well enough in the Licoln Trial before wandering around. I've forgiven Kingscote now after winning on Kerdos, but he has a good record at Epsom. I'm nearly convinced Orbaan 16/1ew is back. Running of 12lb lower than last year when a decent fast finishing 3rd. I just think needs better ground, but at 16s I'm happy to have a small ew. Koy Koy 11/2 is the one to spoil the party. In Meydan was not ridden prominently like needs to, to win. Would have finished closer lto. I'm not backing Koy Koy though as two is enough but there's a tempting tricast here.... If Dutch Decoy wins then I cry. Bopedro I'm keeping for an HQ Handicap.

3.10 - I have Emily Upjohn 11/4 Antepost. I do worry about Shoemark. Camelots have never won at Epsom which is madness given he won the Derby, but that crosses Lux off. Feed The Flam is interesting, but I have no need to do anything else.

3.45 - Bolster 9/2ew - Should have backed it when earmarked as was 7/1. Anyhow. I had 4 or 5 I liked in this. Killybeg will make all and hopefully Bolster will sit prominently and win it. Improved a lot last time out and think ground should still be soft enough.

4.30 Oaks - Ylang Ylang 15/8 just wins. Form, ped, draw, running style all points to it

5.40 - I was keen on both O'Meara horses but changed first pick to Spanish Star 8/1ew. Remember this winning last year and no idea how collared Darkness. Running of 2lb lower and previous race suggests in good form. Rhoscolyn could surely go close, but perhaps given is due to go down -1, will shed some more ready to bolt up at Glorious Goodwood.

7.15 Donny - Sky Warrior 7/1ew

Bets 25/05/2024

 York 1.35 - Do you just back Royal Pleasure 5/1? Last run says yes, but I hate the draw. So many I fancy today are draw high. Urgh. Will back this one, but leave the rest. I also like Little Muddy 16/1ew based on current form and some previous C&D runs.

York 3.20 - River of Stars 5/2. Best horse in the race for me. Won this last year also.

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Goodwood 1.30 - I like Al Shabab Storm 4/1. Only thing I'm worried about is Advertise prog just don't seem to cut it C2 an above. Big worry.

Goodwood 2.05 - Regal Jubilee 5/2 to bounce back to form

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Haydock 1.15 - Be really surprised if Candonomore 5/1ew didn't place. Given it's mark I'd hope it wins. Did a 

Haydock 1.50 - Kerdos 14/1ew was maybe unlucky not to win lto. Profitable (sire) won this race. Beautiful Diamond 6/1 next best. Maybe even the tricast with Vadream...

Haydock 3.00 - English Oak 9/4. Banging on the door. Down in class. Stable in form an have won this race before.

Haydock 4.10 - The Amazon 11/4 - How has it got away with this mark?

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Chester 4.05 - Boardman 8/1ew is going to win as some point soon.

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Curragh 2.30 - Backed Art Power 5/1ew earlier in week. Think my 3rd Tim Easterby horse today. Hmm. Top rated and won this race last year.

Curragh 4.15 - Timourid 33/1ew 

Curragh 4.50 - Monasterboice 14/1ew

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Windsor 6.05 - Sensorium 13/2ew. Missed the 14/1 price but in a recent video Dylan said was 'ready to win'. 

Bets 17/05/2024

2.15 York - Magic Mild 15/2ew, Invincible Annice 16/1ew

2.45 York - Reach 9/1ew, Eilen Dubh 12/1ew

3.15 York - Bolsena 11/2ew

4.15 York - Under Seige 7/4

4.45 York - Danzan 10/1ew

5.20 York - Midnight Affair 18/1ew

2.30 Newbury - Cracksing 11/2ew

3.23 Newmarket - Firayn 20/1ew

Bets 15/05/2024

 2.15 - Klondike 9/2 - Based on the Bahrain Trophy and the listed at Goodwood race before is well handicapped. Haggas won this race 2 / 3 times and in good form.

2.45 - Lethal Levi 15/2ew - 2nd in the race last year and other than a slow start his reapparance was better than last season and running off 5lb lower

3.15 - Dilligent Harry 22/1ew - I backed this yesterday as was a crazy price for anyone who keeps a close eye on Meydan. May not win as a number in here with a very good chance. Backed Fivethousandtoone 25/1ew also. Shouldhavebeenaring 25/1 burnt me last time, but put small cover on

3.45 - Friendly Soul Evs. Classical Song does worry me a bit though....

4.15 - Elmonjed 7/2 - Chucked in (assuming stays 7f)

4.45 - Tuscan Point 33/1ew

Bets 11/05/2024

Lingfield 1335 - First Officer 9/2 - Improved last 3 runs. All other stats are fine. Esmeray, though, could be totally chucked in.

Lingfield 1350 - Aimeric 9/4. Was trying to take it on with a few like Track of Time and Global Heat. Base Note chucked in on AW form, but all points to the fave in this

Lingfield 1425 - Rubies and Red 11/2ew - On ped, wins. Also had the AoB prep run which most need. Daneille is being well backed but Cracksmans have not won at the track and only won 1 race at this level from 20 attempts, hence taking on. You Got Me was interesting also, but stick with one.

Lingfield 1500 - Meydaan 8/1ew. A derby trial where none won last time out. Hmm. I backed Illinois 33/s for the Derby at some point, although think still can. Meydaan looks a decent ew on stats. Think between Meydaan and Illinois. 

Lingfield 1610 - South Kensington 9/1ew. Based on that Newmarket race last year can win this. 30% place SR for first time cheekpieces for Palmer.

Ascot 1330 - King of The Plains 9/1ew - Based on a few turf runs last year looks well handicapped. Oisin back in saddle and lto was impressive enough, albeit was last season

Ascot 1405 - Topanga 11/1ew. Chucked into a G3 on seasonal debut. Oisin gave up after a blocked ride and its decent form with Relief Rally and the 1KG winner Elmaka

Ascot 1440 - Arabian Storm 14/1ew. Looks a crazy price to me. Based on the listed race at newmarket is well handicapped. Got the draw. Trainer got the form. Got the best sire ped for this race. Suspect could be a cliff horse for me if doesn't win today will win a decent handicap at HQ.

Ascot 1510 - Reposado 12/1ew. Ped bet only. 

Ascot 1545 - Too Bossy For Us 10/3

Ascot 1620 - Miss Apilles 8/1ew Ran well enough behind couple good ones, even though they didnt win nto in step up in grade. STS decent ped,  Ed Walker is firing and thought this would be 4/1 or lower.

Ascot 1655 - Alcazan 25/1ew Tough race. Banking on high draw being okay. Thrown into a Listed race so must think something of her. Good return lto. Teal going okay. With a good lb is below last winning mark now

 

Bets 10/05/2024

Not having a good time of betting atm :)

Chester 130 - Fools Rush In 20/1, Boardman 9/1

Chester 205 - Mr Hampstead Evs

Chester 305 - Passenger 9/4

Chester 345 - Zoffee 13/2, Atzec Empire 4/1

Chester 415 - Law of The Sea 11/2

Ascot 400 - Western 10/1

Ascot 435 - Terabb 5/2, Aljezur 50/1

Bets 09/05/2024

 

Bets 08/05/2024

Chester 1.30 - Beyond Borders 9/1

Chester 2.05 - Kodi Beat 7/1

Chester 2.35 - Kings Merchant 4/1

Chester 3.05 - Port Fairy 9/2

Chester 4.45 - Evocative Spark 14/1

Bets 05/05/2024

 Not too bad with a 9/2 and 6/1 winner and a couple of places, but marginally down on singles.

Couldn't have picked a few of those winners today.

1.50 Newmarket - Kalpana 7/4

2.25 Newmarket - Silver Lady 4/1ew

3.00 Newmarket - Cannon Rock 12/1ew

3.40 Newmarket - Cinderella's Dream 16/1ew

5.25 Newmarket - Sea The Thunder 4/1ew

Bets 04/05/2024

I've assumed ground will be GS. Big risk. Friggin hate when rain does this :(

13.10 - Unequal Love 9/2ew. G2 entry. Top rated for me. Haggas won this race twice, in good form and can reverse with Funny Story.

13.45 - Summerghand 9/2ew. Thought might be a better price, but wishful thinking. Just watch the last race back. The risk is gets caught in traffic again, everything else points to this.

2.20 - Dutch Decoy 15/2 - Backed lto and still fuming at the ride Fanning gave it. Tougher race, and statistically not wise backing a 7year old in this race. 

Majestic 10/1ew. With Channon is such good form might eeek out a few lbs improvement and if so will go really close.

2.55 - Mitbaahy 3/1 - Other than trainer form didn't see any negs. 

3.35 - I don't have any AP bets. CoT ticks all the boxes. 8/11. hmmm. 10 years ago, I'm sure I'd have lumped :)

For fun I'll got City of Troy / Taskforce 20/1 Sfc.

4.10 - Hope You Can Run 16/1ew

4.45 - Moswaat 9/1ew. Entered in the Commonwealth and Prospect Stakes form looks okay to me.

5.15 Newmarket - Christian David 9/1 e/w, Indivar 12/1ew

5.50 Newmarket - Rowayeh 6/1, Crack Shot 6/1

Bets 03/05/2024

 Amazing. I only bet £20 on singles. Normally reckon would have done at least £100.

Lots of decent places even if just one win.

DATE	Bets	Wins	SR%	Staked	Profit	ROI%
Thu May 02 2024	15	1	6.67%	480.00	120.00	25.00%

Carrying on with same testing for now. Gutted it started raining for the Guineas weekend :(

Date	Time	Day	Course	Selection	Jockey	Trainer	Type	Hcap	Cls	Dist	R4?	Rnrs	Odds	SP	BOG	Stake	W/EW	Pos.	P/L	C.P/L	Comments
03/05/2024	15:00	Fri	Newmarket	Love De Vega	Oisin Murphy	C Johnston	FLT	Y	2	7f	0	0	25/1	-	Y	20	EW	-	0.00	0.00	TS+
03/05/2024	15:40	Fri	Punchestown	Private Ryan	Mr J Scallan	S Doyle	CHS	N	4	2m 4f 55y	0	0	10/3	-	Y	20	W	-	0.00	0.00	XGap1
03/05/2024	16:15	Fri	Punchestown	Perceval Legallois	Mark Walsh	G Cromwell	CHS	Y	1	2m 4f 55y	0	0	4/1	-	N	20	EW	-	0.00	0.00	BlueTrainer,ULTO
03/05/2024	17:25	Fri	Punchestown	Ferns Lock	Mr J Hendrick	D Christie	CHS	N	3	3m 160y	0	0	7/1	-	Y	10	EW	-	0.00	0.00	XGap
03/05/2024	18:10	Fri	Newcastle	Queen's Guard	Kevin Stott	Michael Bell	AWF	Y	4	5f	0	0	9/4	-	N	60	W	-	0.00	0.00	RPROR, TS-
03/05/2024	18:35	Fri	Punchestown	Predators Gold	Mr P W Mullins	W Mullins	HDL	N	1	2m 4f 140y	0	0	20/1	-	N	20	EW	-	0.00	0.00	BlueTrainer
03/05/2024	19:40	Fri	Punchestown	I Am Mimi	Mr D G Lavery	G Cromwell	NHF	N	4	2m 2f 181y	0	0	10/1	-	Y	20	W	-	0.00	0.00	BlueTrainer
03/05/2024	19:55	Fri	Newcastle	Feel The Need	Tom Eaves	M Herrington	AWF	Y	4	7f 14y	0	0	17/2	-	Y	20	EW	-	0.00	0.00	FF+9, ULTO