Bets 07/07/2012

Boomting. You may have noticed I've started lumping on favourites I really fancy, and it's starting to pay off. I was never going to back So You Think so a little bit peeved he's out as lowers the prices of the rest of the field, but Good Will Humping for him.

Tom 'Pricewise' Segal from the RacingPost has tipped up four today:
Sandown 2.05 - Night Carnation 5/1
Sandown 2.40 - Con Artist 16/1, Stage Attraction 14/1
Sandown 3.45 - Crackerjack King 12/1

My thoughts later.....                    

10.30am update....

Sandown 2.05 – This is uber tough and one probably to avoid. Tom Segal has plumped for Night Carnation 5/1 to repeat his last year’s victory. The draw plays a huge part in this race and I did my homework and it’s true. You have to stick low. I can’t decide who I want to pick between Spirit Quartz, JnJ, Elnawin. I’m veering towards JnJ (7/1) and as long as the jockey times the front running right, might be hard to peg back in the testing ground.

Sandown 2.40 – Segal has gone with Con Artist 16/1 and with the SBS stable returning to form is a good price. He has also gone with Stage Attraction 14/1. I’m doing well with my favourites and although backing one in a huge handicap field at shortish odds is never a good idea, Gosden is still flying and I think Trade Commissioner (5/2) is decent.

Sandown 3.10 – Starscope 10/11

Sandown 3.45 – Tommy S has picked out Crackerjack King 12/1. Never originally on my shortlist, but after Afsare franked his form, you have every good reason to think that this is a solid bet! I can’t have the ‘unlucky’ Farrh. Nathaniel is a better 12f horse and it’s his first back in a while, but can you rule out Gosden? Bonfire’s get a huge allowance but none of his form stacks up. Twice Over worries me as does have good form here, but I’ll only ever back him at York or Newmarket. The one I wanted to back all week but didn’t is Cityscape 11/2, who is a solid consistent performer. Could have had him at 14/1 if wasn’t so lazy, but I am

Sandown 4.20 – Cavalryman 7/2. Best OR, and think is better than this class.

Haydock 2.55 – I’m not likely to shift away from Gosden’s team and Great Heavens 7/2 has bolted up on heavy previously and gets a lovely weight allowance.

Haydock 3.25 – And just like I can’t get away from Gosden’s team, I can’t get away from McCain’s boys. Lexi’s Boy 5/2 can progress a bit further I reckon. Shame Lee is not up, but still think he has another win in him. At bigger prices a few I like but not sure which way to go. Number Theory 10/1, Easy Terms 11/1, and Becausewecan 40/1. Hmmm.

Haydock 4.35 – Gabrial The Great was backed heavily at Ascot. Think the Morning Line and Segal did that though. Proofreader 5/2 was hard ridden for a long way and just kept pulling it out the bag. Tactics will play a part meaning Spencer probably edges it, but I’m staying on the Gosden bandwagon.

Haydock 5.10 – Alben Star 3/1 has run in some decent races, however Morache Music should bag this 10/11. Potential forecast?

Haydock 5.40 – Tioman Pearl 7/2. Penultimate race was very impressive and Varian has a tremendous strike rate at Haydock

Total Staked £726.11, Total Returned £847.64

£12.50 e/w Night Carnation 9/2 - LOSE £0.00

£12.50 e/w Crackerjack King 8/1 - LOSE £0.00

£31.11 Trade Commissioner 5/2 - WIN £108.89

£40.00 Starscope 10/11 - LOSE £0.00

£25.00 Cavalryman 7/2 - WIN £112.50

£25.00 Lexi's Boy 9/4 - LOSE £0.00

£50.00 Morache Music 5/6 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Trebles N/A - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00

£35.00 Great Heavens 3/1 - WIN £140.00

£10.00 Tricast N/A - LOSE £0.00

£2.50 e/w Con Artist 14/1 - LOSE £0.00

£12.50 e/w Cityscape 13/2 - LOSE £0.00

£5.00 e/w Trebles N/A - LOSE £0.00

£5.00 e/w Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00

£12.50 e/w Becausewecan 40/1 - LOSE £0.00

£12.50 e/w Easy Terms 11/1 - LOSE £0.00

£25.00 Alben Star 3/1 - WIN £100.00

£10.00 e/w Con Artist 16/1 - LOSE £0.00

£12.50 e/w Stage Attraction 14/1 - LOSE £0.00

£12.50 e/w Judge N Jury 7/1 - LOSE £0.00

£25.00 Great Heavens 7/2 - WIN £112.50

£70.00 Quads N/A - PLACED £67.50

£5.00 Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00

£12.50 e/w Number Theory 10/1 - WIN £181.25

£25.00 Proofreader 5/2 - NR £25.00

£12.50 e/w Treble N/A - LOSE £0.00

£25.00 Tioman Pearl 7/2 - LOSE £0.00

P&L @ 07/07/12:
£3,438.39
AntePost P&L @ 07/07/12:
£1,633.42
Total P&L @ 07/07/12:
£5,071.81