Bets 04/10/2025

Careful today - ground will cause problems

1.15 Ascot - Nadra 8/1ew

Back to soft will suit more than most

2.40 Newmarket - Spiritual 33/1ew

Speccy but chance if catches others asleep

3.00 Ascot - Annaf 8/1ew

Best on numbers

3.35 Ascot - Balmacara 11/1ew and Hickory 8/1ew

Both are ahead of marks. Balamacara is offically 7lb ahead of mark and soft ground will be right up street. Hoping low is place to be drawn. 

4.10 Ascot - Venuture Captial 13/2ew

Last chance for this one for me. Should be winning off this mark

4.50 Gowran Park - Nas Na Riogh 9/1ew

Quite well faniced lto. Think cheekpieces will really sharpen up and penultimate race ran really well after break.

Bets 27/09/2025

2.05 Haydock - Duran 7/1ew

Duran must be the stable's only winner here in the last 5 years. On a winnable mark and in great form.

3.15 Haydock - Fondo Blanco 9/2

Positive jockey booking, on a winnable mark.

3.40 - Real Gain 11/1ew

Tough race. Seen many conflicting stats in this race depending on how you look at it, so not spent too much time on it.

Real Gain the only C&D winner in the field. On a winnable mark. Will try to make all and grab the rail.

5.55 - Completely Random 20/1ew

Ran a blinder in the Wokingham. Couple pounds down, easier race. Drawn wrong last two races, good draw now, and Charlton stats very decent (60% at track in Sept and 50% with 4yr+  track, and 33% SR last 14 days....). Solid previous course form and step up in trip looks exciting. Feels more like a 6/1 shot, but Indian Summer does loo a worthy fave. 9/1 top 2 is tempting.

Bets 20/09/2025

If Wobwobwob didn't fluff the start would have placed. It gets tougher this time of the year so playing less races and less stakes. 

1.15 Ayr - Khafiz 5/1ew

Well handicapped on paper and sire and Varian have strong stats for this.

2.05 Newbury - Stressfree 15/2ew

Better value than Dramatic Star. Last off the bridle, coming from wide storming home.

2.25 Ayr - Rousing Encore 20/1ew

1 of 5 horses that met the trends I like. Decent C&D record, and decent strike rate in C2 races with certain other conditions. It was pretty soft on Derby day, the day this one should have won, so ground is fine. Decent run lto when drawn wrong. Trainer/jockey stats not overly strong and few others can make case for (Roberto Caro, Candy esp) but stick with one small stakes

3.35 Ayr - Desert Falcon 18/1ew

Decent winner last week for us. Signficantly ran in that same race (a close second) before winning this. Stays 7f so will try to make all again and burn them all off. 

Bets 19/09/2025

Newbury 2.55 - French Affair 11/2ew

Officially 2lb well in. 

Ayr 3.05 Star of Lady M 10/3

Best on numbers though Beautiful Diamond is a live danger.

 

Ayr 3.40 - Wobwobwob 12/1ew

Previous winner of the Silver Cup, back to 6f ran well lto on wrong side of track so hopefully stays in good nick which is likely with stable in good form.

A few of Goldies were of interest but couldn't pick between them. Kat Bobs was really interesting but kept to one dart.

Bets 18/09/2025

DRAFT - Didn't post these last night. Forgot to hit publish, so prices are gone on the 2.15. Looking at rest of card now.

Ayr 2.15 - Never Dark 16/1ew. Back to form lto. Jardine doubles his SR with first time blinkers. Dropped massively in the weights since the Silver Cup and Marquand who has a 25% SR at Ayr is booked.

JM Jhingree 11/1ew. Didn't want to back two in the race but Goldie does well with horses of this profile and seems to be a fair but of support for it.

Ayr 2.45 - Flying Finn is 25s and been on tracker for a while. It's just not soft enough today?

3.15 Ayr - Aeolian 5/4

3.45 Ayr - Waiting All Night 4/1

4.15 Ayr - Quiet Resolve 10/3

5.20 Ayr - Surrey Belle 3/1

Bets 14/09/2025

Rosario 12/1 placed. Just needed bit more ground. Prydwen 16/1 placed. Just needed bit less ground. Rahiebb 50/1 so close also. Another 14/1 and 10/1 placed as well. Nice to know in the right space looking for winners but alas need more winners like Convergent's who was a decent 10/3 winner.

2.40 Donny - Back in Black 13/2ew

Formline with Shout is decent. Will be ready for Autumn campaign post a decent blow out in a decent enough handicap. Stats all fine.

3.00 Donny - Desert Falcon 11/1ew

Should be fine on soft. Will try to make all and watching it's penultimate race looks to have more in the bag.

4.10 Donny - Jabarra 10/1ew

Backed lto. Not sure would have won if rerun, but think is best horse this distance. Varian obvs is great form which will help

1.30 Curragh - Carla Ridge 18/1ew

 Potentially ahead of mark

3.15 Curragh - Mgeera 10/1ew -

 If breaks well is going to go really close. Has won a G2 even after missed the break. 

Eroandpsyche 50/1ew Sunday fun bet. 2nd in the race before. Back to life lto from a tough draw

Bets 13/09/2025

Maxi King slammed in the betting but only placed, so was nice when Sword Maker was also slammed but duly obliged with couple other winners.

1.15 Doncaster - Point of Contact 9/1ew

1.50 Doncaster - Gewan 7/4

2.25 Doncaster - Rosario 12/1ew. If breaks cleanly, wins. Jordan Electrics 11/1ew. Will cry if Air Force One wins after backing last two times.

3.40 Doncaster - I'm on Lambourn 12/1 and Rahiebb 50/1 Antepost so not looking at the race again for today

4.15 Doncaster - Nova Centurai 2/1

4.50 Doncaster - Mustazeed 10/1ew - Assuming it's soft got a good chance as long as doesn't break slowly like Rosario.

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2.40 Chester - Prydwen12/1ew. Does stay, but needs to step up. A good race to do it in....

3.23 Chester - Jan Steen 14/1ew. Early form is decent. Gelded. Soft will suit. Return to early form and will outrun odds. 

4.00 Chester - Let's Dream 15/2, should have won lto. Winner over C&D in a higher class. Needs to race prominently to avoid traffic

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2.50 Leo - Tribal Nation 10/1ew 

3.50 Leo - Convergent 10/3 best at weights (by far)

4.55 Leo - Expanded 10/1ew  best at weights

5.30 Leo - Hotazhell 12/1ew big fan of horse since bet Dela. Now got soft and ran a cracker lto.

6.05 Leo - Harbour Wind 12/1ew