Bets 13/03/2020 Chelts Day 4

I can find the winner of the Pertemps in Jan but then for some reason change my mind on the day. I was all over Samcro then changed my mind last minute! :) Ah well. Very short of time today

1.30 JCB - This will be a serious race. Some high class unbeaten but not really tested nags. I've watched them all run. Allmankind could grind them to the ground but he wont get his own way upfront. Sol looked visually the best I think, but partly Im going to rely on the BHA who've rated Solo as 157, which is seriously high post a few races. Solo is also the shotest for the QM next year. Nicholls compared Solo to Master Minded........

Solo 4/1

2.10 - Doesn't get easier. Mohasayed would have won the race on paper last year at the weights. Had a wind op so a risk now. Stolen Silver ran well against Chantry house and is G2 winner so going with this.

Stolen Silver 12/1

2.50 - Hmm. Fury Road 7/1

3.30  - Tough again Kemboy 10/1

4.10 -  Billaway 4/1

4.50 - Eclair De Beaufeu 7/1

5.30 - Front View 4/1, Ecco 50./1

Bets 12/03/2020 - Chelts Day 3

Well, I can't quibble about landing a 70/1 forecast but I'm still down for the week :)

1.30 Marsh - I was really keen on Samcro for a while, but Faugheen absolutely hammered Samcro so would be mad not to side with Faugheen. Itchy Feet looks a huge threat mind and rated 155 at the age of 6 based on last performance could easily beat the oldboy. Might be worth a consideration for a doble with Champagne Platium later on card as a formline double. Given Eassygame did not frank the form is Faugheen as good as another potenial improver in Mister Fisher. He absolutley flew up the hill in the Rymans chase here in Dec and again given his age has surely got more in the tank.

Mister Fisher 6/1 1pt ew

Should get ma $ back if Faugheen raises the roof.


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2.10 Pertemps - This one is tough.

Stoney Mountain looks very interesting as a plot as won very weell in Styerrs Handciaps and did all that was needed to qualify for this race and looked to be travelling better than Sire Du Berlais but have SDB 8/1 AP. Sunset Showdown could be a huge price but the drift is worrying. But rellly the Storyteller looks totally chucked in based on chase mark

StoryTeller 9/2 2pts
Stoney Mountain 33/1 0.5pt ew
Sunset Showdown 66/1 0.5pt ew

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2.50 A Plus Tard 15/8 2pts

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3.30 Paisley Park 4/5 2pts

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4.10 - Given how Imperial Aura won SImplay The Betts has a solid chance. Still fooked off with this after backed it in the only 1 race it's lost in 4!

Blazer if does not bounce must have solid chance. 4th in Coral cup few years back and looks to be back to form


SImply the Betts 2pts 7/2
Blazer 14/1 0.5pt ew

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4.50 - Concerita 4/1, Time to CHill should be rated about 140 but is 80/1!

Consrita 9/2 2pts
Time to Chill 80/1 ew 0.5pt

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5.30 -

Denise Abe 8/1 ew
Fitazhenry 8/1ew


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short of time. obvs rfc all the way as well :)

Bets 11/03/2020 Chelts 2020 Day 2

Crossbar challenge yesterday - tick. FFS.

Ballymore 1.30 - Envoi Allen. Festival winner, G1 winner, solid.
Cross Country 4.10 - Tiger Roll, solid.

Envoi Allen / Tiger Roll 2pt double 9/4

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RSA 2.10 - Minella Indo won the Albert Barlett last year, has taken to chasing well enough and De Brom is flying right now, but whilst was probably a better hurdler than Allaho, Allaho hit a RPR of 164 last time, 15lb more than Minella.

The form of Pym shouldnt be underestimated but can only really punt one in this given the price but I would have backed Easy Game given nely collared Faugheen and has beaten Alloha, but not over 3m which the neg.

Alloha 7/2 2pts

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Coral Cup 2.50 - Dame bolted up last time and still has lbs in hand, has course form, goes on soft so nothing not to like. I'd back Franco if had won as the trip, but this is a step up. Alfa Mix looks solid and was 18 odd lenghts ahead of 3rd in last race which has decent look to it, but then by that assessment Kilenora  at a huge price with 7lb claim must have a better chance? Not sure after poorish G2 run. Champagne a small ew cahnce maybe but cant tell if  well handicapped or not as whilst Thyme Hill form is good not sure if has progressed as much. Black Tears looks a decent ew to me. Ran well at festival last year and looks like on a decent mark.

Dame De Compaigne 5/1 1pt
Black Tears 0.5pts ew 16/1
Rfc 70/1

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3.30 Champion Chase - Defi ought to win but given now 2/5 and Poli must be a huge danger not worth betting on or adding at any accas.

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4.50 Boodles Hurdle - All formlines seem to point to Blacko. I like Repitio too.

Blacko 5/1 1pt
Repetitio 14/1 ew 0.5pt
Rfc 80/1

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5.30 Bumper - Not sure I've ever won a bumper at Chelts! All paper says the fave Appreciate it, is the winner?

Well I have no idea really so will hit the Mullins outsider like when Relegate won couple years back and Darling Daughter as Oneil says she on the best Elliott nag

Five Bar Brian 40/1 0.5pt ew
Darling Daughter 16/1 0.5pt ew
Rfc 400/1

Bets 10/03/2020 - Chelts 2020 Day 1

1.30 Supreme - I have Chantry House Antepost @ 40/1 and I wouldnt stop anyone from punting it given the solid C&D win. The only neg is Hendo's record in the race and given he has chucked 3 nags at the race suspect he not fully confident.

Asterion Forlonge is the obvious fave and must go in a fave acca, but doesn't feel like value. I don't like nags dropping down in trip and Shishkin has not beaten anything of value.

Fiddlerontheroof smashed the Tolworth and Abacardabras the Paddy Power and I can't decide between them.

Fiddlerontheroof 6/1 1pt
Abracabras 11/2 1pt

rfc  35/1 0.25pts = 0.5pt

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2.10 Arkle - Notebook holds the cards surely? Watching videos can't see ow Fakir can turn the tables on Notebook but more likley Cash Back could especially as Mullins farms this race with French nags.

Rouge Vif is proabably a 160 rated horse given what I've seen but Im worried about the ground and Cheltenham based on last run here. Hmm.

I like strong stayers in the Arkle and Fakir and Brewingupastorm tick those boxes. I'm torn between them but Fakir was a big let down at the festival or me last year so preferance is for Brew but I'm backing both :)

Brewinupastorm 11/2 1pt
Fakir D'O 4/1 1pt 

rfc  25/1 0.25pts = 0.5pt

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2.50 Ultima - Where to start. Actival is too big for me. Ran well in this last year and lost a shoe and now 6lb lower. Connections ran him in a G2 last time out so they are surely hopeful the nag has improved and trainer in decent nick.

Altanta Blaze was battling out with Le Bruil last year at the festival before falling and I think was travlleing well, so keen to back this again as a decent previous festival performer. Had wind surgey so it's an extra gamble but at the price worth it

Actival 28/1 0.5pts ew
Altanta BLaze 33/1 0.5pt ew

rfc 720/1 0.25pts = 0.5pt

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3.30 Champion - I have Call Me Lord @33/1 and still hope has a decent chance with the course form against him. Eptante looks to prefer a flatter track so I will dodge. Pentland well beaten by Call Me Lord.

Ballyandy could have beaten Call Me Lord with a more prominent ride as he flew up the hill and looks some ew value her. Darver Star ran a blinder against Envoi Allen and nealry nabbed Honeysuckle when 7lb higher so again some solid ew value.

Ballyandy 22/1 0.5pt ew
Darver Star 12/1 0.5 ew

rfc 230/1 0.25pts = 0.5pt


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4.10 Close Brothers - Benie should not be beaten but not playing at the prices

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4.50 Northern Trust - Espoir Du Guye is still well handicapped and fomr has been franked. Williams nags love the deep ground so ought to see this go close

Whatmore interests me. Daly in decent form. I think has decent handcap form and the G2 before this was hampered so better than his current mark.

Espoir Du Guye 7/1 1pt
Whatmore 14/1 0.5 pt ew

rfc 90/1 0.25pts = 0.5pts

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5.30 NHChallenge

Lord Du Mesil 6/1 1pt
Springfield Fox 7/1 1pt

rfc 40/1 = 0.5pts

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notes for write up
maybe hit eptante, asterion benie treble 20/1 even though doubts
De Bromhed might have couple decent shouts with captain guineas 16/1 and put the kettle on 16/1
hit 3 ew yankees x1.5pts total
hit 5 ew 5 folds 0.25pts ew
hit 3 solid trebles? 0.5pts e
which are preferred runner in each? hmm