Decent start to Meydan on Friday, but despite saying Varfotino was solid and Isolate would win easy tried to find a bigger price :)
11.55 Aintree - Cherie Dam 11/8
12.40 MR - Asta La Pasta 11/10
1.10 Leo - Mighty Bandit 5/4
1.45 Leo - Ataboycharlie 10/1ew
1.50 Wolves - Mart 3/1
4.05 Wolves - Mount Athos 11/10
Meydan 2.05 - Ponntas 9/1ew - Ran pretty well in this last year. Will try to make all again. Mischief Magic will come running home strongly. Just wonder whether 5f is the right trip.
Meydan 2.40 - Lahfaty and Wolves 5.45 El Bufalo Double 3/1
Meydan 3.15 - Danyah should win this, but with a 8lb penalty willing to risk another. Vafortino looks a solid option from this draw but I like the look of Es-Unico 14/1ew. First run out the way and has form on turf. Decent draw
Meydan 3.50 - Royal Mews 7/1ew. Can Isolate get out the gates quickly and is it fit and ready? If yes, wins easy, but not at 4/6. Prefer the ew on Royal Mews.
At this point I think I'd hit a treble on Lahafty, Danyah and Isolate (10/1)
Meydan 4.25 - Highland Avenue 14/1ew. 10f is just too far. This trip is the best and looks better than this time last year. Totally destroyed the Darley Stakes field.
Meydan 5.35 - Dubai Future 11/2. Small on New Comedy 22/1ew
Southwell 4.20 - Perfect Swiss 9/1ew. Won race last year, screwed last two races and could argue last 4 races. Winner in waiting.
Ascot 1.20 - Welcom To Cartries & Ascot 3.05 - Might I Double 3/1
Ascot 2.30 - Toonagh Warrior 10/1ew, Jaramillo 20/1ew
I'm only blogging Jumps festivals, Chelts races, Meydan and decent or nursery AW races.
Chelts 1240 - Weallbeencaught 11/8 (Top 2). Worried about Are You Wise To That.
Chelts 115 - Prince Escalus 15s Win, 7/4 Top 3. Zero sense is bigger than Madara and Calico based on last run. In Excelsis on form wins, but PE ran a about a stone better so much better value.
Chelts 150 - Thunder Rock Evs (Top 3). If Moniral is back to form after windop can beat TR. So Scottish just don't know with this Irish Raiders, but on paper less convinced about it.
Chelts 1425 - Broadwaybob 7/5 (Top2). I think Broadway is chucked in, but so many dangers. Backed City Chief enough times, Malina Girl clearly still something in hand. Venetia's horses all winning so wil be close.
Chelts 3.35 - Bottany Evs (Top2). If Nurse Susan returns to form massive danger and Windtothelightenign could still have lbs in hand. Wouldn't rul TheatreGlory out with form behind Honeysuckle.
At lot of caution, but think is a decent place acca to be had. I'll prob slap a tenner otn on each of them to win anyway :)
Doncaster 1215 - Coastguard Station 10/11 Top3
Doncaster 1250 - Aazza 12/1ew
Doncaster 315 - Twoshotsoftquilla 6/1ew
Newcastle 309 - Dubai Station 8 win, 10/11 Top3
Newcastle 344 - Appellant 12/1ew
Meydan 2.05 - Golden Speech 12/1, Sikoskry 11/1
Meydan 2.40 - Branwell 6/1, Big Team 6/1
Meydan 3.50 - Laasudood 5/1, Fight Zone 8/1
Meydan 4.25 - Freedom Fighter 3/1, Leading Spirit 6/1
Meydan 5.00 - Qareeb 9/2, Made In Dubai 6/1
Meydan 6.10 - Chief of Navy 10/1, Show Maker 10/1
Sandown 1.15 - Kotmask 11/4
Sandown 1.50 - Southoftheborder 6/5
Newcastle 3.10 - Restorer 7/1, Oscar Doodle 8/1
Newcastle 3.45 - Open Choice 7/1, Trais Flour 4/1
1155 Newbury - Manimole 7/4
1230 Newbury - Lord Baddeley 18/1ew
140 Newbury - Off to a Flyer 7/1, Soaring Glory 33/1ew
215 Newbury - Under Control 11/8
250 Newbury - Monbeg Genuis 8/1, Midnight River 9/1
115 Haydock - Lutrell Lad 10/1ew
205 Ascot - Strong Leader 5/1ew
220 Haydock - Emitom 12/1ew
330 Lingfield - El Hombre 9/1ew
335 Haydock - Docpickedme 7/1ew
615 Wolves - Civil Law 7/1ew
240 Meydan - Hyde Park 12/ew is best handicapped over this C&D and will hopefully step up after first run of season
1550 Meydan - Ranaan 9/2 good draw, well handicapped
backed last night, thought would have time for more today, but alas
Two decent places and two wins, so all good.
Chelts 110 - Kemble Brewery 5/4
Chelts 145 - Railway Hurricane 5/1ew
Chelts 220 - City Chief 5/1, Cloudy Glen 7/1
Chelts 330 - Knickerbockerglory 12/1ew
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Navan 1245 - Freddie Robdal 5/1ew
Navan 230 - Devilscoachman 6/1, Gevrey 9/1
Decent 20/1 winner last week as well a a decent ew 6 fold. Was one placed horse of a ten fold placed acca (vomit)
1235 - Burdett Road 2/1
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1310 Chelts - Wick Green 40/1ew
Wick Green is weighted to reverse placings with stable mate Mole Court after a decent C&D run. Was deffo keeping on well up the hill. Don't think the ground will be an issue. Has won on soft and good/soft. Pauling won the race last year and horses are running well enough. Megan Fox raced 3 times last year, with a 2nd and 3rd place so no concerns there.
From the same race Strictlyadancer 6/1 ran on so well from the back and with a 7lb claim is also going to go close
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1345 Chelts - Good Risk It All 15/8
STD not riding any of his dad's horses and Coffey needs further. Alaphillpe smashed by GRIA lto
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1420 Chelts - Notlongtillmay 18/1 Antepost
Called this one out before ran lto. Will go close as this trip is the right one. Triple Trade franked the form yesterday too. I'm gutted Stage Star and Real Whacker have turned up though. If by some miracle Torn and Frayed is fit could romp them all though.... Angels Breath is really well handicapped but not sure the hill is for him.
At the weights Unexpected Party, Stage Star, NotlongtillMay are going to be very close together. The Real Whacker though could jump them into the ground. Hmm. Okay so the Real Whacker 13/2ew also
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1455 Chelts - Judical Law 13/2ew
Decent C&D form lto and is still improving. This Pipe nag could be anything
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1530 Chelts - Springwell Bay 2/1
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1436 Lingfield - Regal Reality 11/4
130 Newcastle - Sound Angela 5/1ew. Only a few run at Newcastle at when this is, must have run over a stone better than mark.
205 Newcastle - Sense of Duty 2/1 Was so excited to see this one back on the track. Maybe all the injuries took it's toll, but still over C&D was so impressive have to give one more chance.
345 Newcastle - Furzig 16/1ew, Onesmoothoperater 20/1ew both can win off these marks. Both decent at Newcastle. Hopefully one goes close.
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1225 Aintree - Josh The Boss 6/4
1335 Aintree - Remastered 11/2ew
210 Aintree - Master Chewy 13/8
245 Aintree - Frero Banbou 9/1ew
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1240 Wincanton - Meatloaf 5/4
150 Wincanton - Knappers Hill 4/5
300 Wincanton - Rubard 8/11
332 Wincanton - Lime Avenue 9/4
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Decent big prices places in the Melbourne Cup. Dunno why I jumped on the Vauban bandwagon. Silly.
Meydan is dangerous today as don't know who needs the run, but I want in from Day 1 this season :)
Meydan 2.40 - Miami Joy 9/2ew should go very close
Meydan 3.50 - Qarreb 16/1ew is the best handicapped horse on best form, but reckon will need the run, and also worst jockey in race onboard, so small play only
Meydan 4.25 - Pitchers Point 22/1ew won on return last year and finished last season much better than previously.
Meydan 5.00 - Al Tariq 14/1ew runs best fresh, running in pattern class and on best form wins albeit could be regressing.
Meydan 5.35 - Triple Venture 9/2 ew
4.00am -
Main Bet
Vauban 7/2 -
Coins on
Daqiansweet Junior 90/1 and 5/1 top 8
Ashrun 40/1 and 5/1 top 6
Kempton 1.30 - Glory Sky 9/2,
Kempton 4.00 - Saavy Knight 12/1ew
Kempton 4.30 - Mount Athos 15/8
Kempton 5.05 - Arena Del Tiempo 14/1ew
Kempton 5.40 - Smalleytime 14/1, Dutch Kingdom 20/1
Hereford 3.20 - Hermes Boy 4/1 (Tracker horse, been slammed in betting so backing it blind)
Warm Heart / Austin R double
710 - Lumiere Rock 18/1ew
750 - Kirstenbosch 20/1ew
830 - Master of The Seas 6/1ew
910 - Idiomatic 9/4
950 - Auguste Rodin 5/2
2240 - Saudi Crown 9/1ew
2325 - Jasper Krone 12/1ew
2359 - Elite Power 6/4
Just hitting the muggy treble 9/1 in first three races - Siskany, Silver Knott and Cody's Wish
1227 Newmarket - Telemark 11/4
210 Newmarket - Dashing Roger 7/1ew
247 Newmarket - Glimpsed 11/2, Beautiful Love 4/1
357 Newmarket - Ivory Madonna 16/1ew
Not a good record at the breeders. Nothing like Meydan for me.
740 Santa Anita - Unbridled Mary 10/1ew
900 Santa Anita - Crimson Advocate 4/1
1020 Santa Anita - Hard To Justify 11/1ew
1100 Santa Anita - Timberlake 4/1
1140 Santa Anita - Endlessly 8/1ew
12.50 Newmarket - Komat 33s exchanges. Very few with V form. Ignore last race as lost shoe.
13.25 Newmarket - Max Vega 14s
2.00 Newmarket - Mexcali Rose 5s
Chelts 1.15 -
Red Rookie 13/2 Ran a blinder in the Arkle before coming down at the last. Will win something this year :). Will follow this one, but given how well ran in the Arkle maybe a big Chelts handicap...
NotlongtillMay 10/1 is in the PaddyPower and probably more lilkley to win that given the distance. Currently 18/1 for it. However, just looking at the Turners Novice surely good value despite top weight?
Chelts 2.25 -
The Wolf 20/1 is on better terms that Lord Accord for their rematch. Lord Accord didn't come off the bridle in that race until close to home, but I think The Wolf (assuming in good nick) can give it a decent battle up the hill.
Yes Indeed 14/1 too well handicapped to leave unbacked.
Chelts 3.00 -
Rock My Way 20/1 lost his way after winning the Ballymore Novice. Money suggests maybe found it's way again and if so is well handicapped
Hurricane Harvey 25/1 a solid C&D run penultimate race and Fergal usually gets on the scoreboard early doors.
Few coins only.
1.25 Newmarket - Ancient Wisdom & 2.00 Newmarket - City of Troy & Newmarket 3.50 Knight
2.25 York - Montassib 12s, Aleezdancer 16s. Small on Wagyu 30's so don't cry if wins.
2.40 Newmarket - Goshen 18s, Bashful Boy 190s
Taking it easy this month.
Only one race today
3.45 Ascot - Escobar 50/1ew and Orbaan 33/1ew both AP.
Given the draw Fresh looks to have a lively chance. O'meara also runs Pearl D'or who s very interesting. Either way sticking with the two AP bets only.
If draw was not a factor would still be all over both Escobar and Orbaan. Suggested backing Escobar before the Ayr Gold Cup. If Orbaan flops here he'll surely be trying to win the Balmoral on Champs Day.
Ascot
2.12 - Final Watch 4/1
2.47 - Scenic - 10/11
3.22 - Daysofourlives - 6/1
3.57 - Naqeeb 7/4
5.05 - Rohaan 4/1
Newcastle
5.45 - Siam Fox 12/1ew
Scrapping along with the odd winner here and there.
1.15 Longchamp - Jayarebe 18/1ew, Henry Adams 12/1ew
1.50 Longchamp - Zandy 16/1ew
3.05 Longchamp - Through Seven Seas 12/1ew, Bay Bridge 14/1ew, Hukum 20/1 AP
3.50 Longchamp - Stay Alert 20/1ew
4.35 Lonchamp - Kerdos 11/ew
5.00 Longchamp - Kinross Evs
2.20 Ripon - Mannerism 9/2
Looks well enough handicapped. Land of Legends ran well enough in a G3 nto.
2.25 Newmarket - Porto Fortuna 13/2ew
Second best in race on numbers, distance, ground, weight, so the value
2.40 Haydock - Silkie Wilkie 9/2
Dropping back to a handicap with a claimer and so has a decent chance. C&D winner too.
3.15 Haydock - Knebworth 7/1, Gulliver 10/1
Fancy Knebworth, but would be gutted if Gulliver won after being on it lto only to be drawn wrong side.
3.30 Ripon - Mr Wagyu 6/1ew
Backed lto, and ran 2n best from a high draw. Hopefully still in form as really well handicapped now. C&D winner too
3.40 Newmarket - Zozimus 22/1ew
Was 3rd in this off a mark of 94 from arguably a poor draw. Is running of 84 with a further 5lb claim today. Draw is interesting and I think as long as stays with the high drawn lot is well drawn in stall 20. Has improved massively every race over the last 4 races without going up the handicap.
4.10 Chester - Red Mirage 10/1ew
Back in May landed a rach with Revich and I tracked this waiting for soft C&D. Not quite full C&D, but low draw and soft so good enough
4.25 Haydock - Racingbreaks Ryder 14/1ew
Course winner. Won on soft. Hills won this race twice. Less competitive race than last 3 races. Can outrun odds
5.25 Newmarket - Accidental Agent 15/2ew
Creeping into form, whilst slipping down the weights. A decent C&D winner and Dobie loves Newmarket with a SR of 19%
Longchamp
1.33 - Emily Dickinson13/8
2.58 - War Chimes 25/1, Louis Quatroze 33/1
3.38 - Mimikyu 16/1, Sea Silk Road 7/1
4.08 - Isaac Shelby 3/1
1.50 Newmarket - Potapova 8/1, Ameynah 16/1. Does Silver Lady really have enough experience.
Ameynah has some really good form over 8f fast in my view.
2.25 Newmarket - Time Lock 8/1, Voodoo Queen 16/1
3.00 Newmarket - Ylang Ylang 11/4
6.00 Newcastle - Asadjumerirah 13/2
7.30 Newcastle - Carlton and Co 6/1
8.00 Newcastle - Irish Flame 10/1
8.30 Newcastle - Phoenix Star 11/2
4.25 Gowran Park - Krabat 9/1. I had this tracked since Dec 22. Been hammered from 28/1 to 9/1 so backing it blindly, half stakes :)
2.25 - Centurian Dream 14/1ew (4 places)
3.00 - Sweet Harmony 10/1ew
4.45 - Victory Dance 6/1ew
5.18 - Ranger Thunderbolt 6/1ew
Silver Cup and Gold Cup high draw screwed yesterday, so all picks had zero chance. Not sure why I didn't check on the draws. Still a couple places and couple wins. I saw Cold Stare running again so backed last minute. Didn't think would run.
3.00 Curragh - Ocean Quest Evs
3.35 Curragh - Vestigia 7/4
4.10 Curragh - Brazil 8/1ew
That was better. 6/1, 10/3, 4/5 winners. a 15/2 that could have, should have won and a couple useless ones.
Far too much racing today. Focus on Ayr.
Ayr 1.15 - Fools Rush In 16/1ew. Was keen on this the other day when was withdrawn. I'm cynical because think was withdrawn as trainer banked on Euchen Glen that race. Ran an big race in the International. Lto ran a solid race over the extended trip and this pot is worth trying for.
Ayr 2.25 - Gulliver 8/1ew. A welcome winner lto. Was following it off a cliff. Now is in a winning mood and still absolutely chucked cannot not back it again. A slow start the only thing in the way.
Wobwobwob is very tempting but also (with smaller stakes) plucking for Be Proud 33/1ew. 2nd in Bronze Cup of a similar mark and smaller stakes as last run was a real worry.
Ayr 3.00 - Pretty Crystal 5/1ew. Darnation looks to be the best formline. 7f was too far for Pretty Crystal. Beat Symbology who beat Dorothy Lawrence. Burrows form is not good so enough to dodge the fave who also not proven on slower ground
Ayr 3.35 - Mr Wagyu 14/1ew and Magical Spirit 22/1ew On paper the handicap favours Rohaan, Escobar, Mr Wagyu and Magical Spirit. Escobar is due to go down 6lb and then bolt up in the Challenge Cup (50/1 AP). Evan's form stink atm. Summerghand will likely place. My Wagyu's time has come. Bang in form. C&D winner and Quinn going well enough. Magical Spirit won the Silver Cup before and running better than last year. "This race has been his target for a while"
Ayr 4.10 - Elemental Eye 11/1ew (3p). Not sure why bottom of market. Ran a blinder two races back and the form is decent enough. Lto no luck in running.
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Newbury 3.15 - Seven Questions 4/1
Newbury 5.00 - Golspie 10/1ew
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York 4.20 - JM Jungle 8/1ew
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Newmarket 4.00 - Grand Providence 10/3
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Wolves 7.00 - Sail on Silverbird 5/1ew
Wolves 7.30 - Marefuori 6/1ew
14/1 winner best since Ascot I think.
Ayr 1.45 - Flacciancello 10/3 has solid form and Fahey does well in this race
Ayr 2.15 - Purosangue 2/1 Should be a G3 winner. Big Evs franked form now. Beautiful Diamond clearly has form with Relief Rally, but unproven on softer ground
Ayr 2.50 - Queen Me 11/2 ew massive drop in class. Ryan had solid day yesterday
Ayr 3.25 - Cold Stare 15/2 ew Best handicapped on best form. Rock Melody biggest threat. Market looks right.
Newbury 2.25 - Serene Seraph 4/5
Newbury 3.35 - Royal Supremacy 9/2ew G1 entry, solid debut, decent ped for heavy
Newbury 4.10 - Aldaary 4/5 - Top rated. Loves heavy. Zero excuses.
Kempton 8.15 - El Hibri 6/1ew. Best handicapped on this course. Trainer in good nick. Last run proves maybe back to form
Ayr 2.25- Ben Macdui 8/1ew
Ayr 3.00 - Fools Rush In 14/1ew
Ayr 4.10- Hortzadadar 14/1ew
7.00 Chelmsford - Iconic Moment 12/1ew
8.00 Chelmsford - Amor De Mi Vida 11/1ew I've not backed it but if heads under 8/1 will back it
Added:
3.20 Yarmouth - Trefor 9/1ew
5.30 Pontefract - Monther Mary 8/1ew
A nice welcomed winner again yesterday.
FYI - My accas are now only 10% MAX of single outlays in a day. I am going to reduce to 5%. It's where I'm burning my winnings. Looked back through old blogs and accas like I do now did not exist!
3.45 Yarmouth - Infinite Cosmos 6/1ew
4.00 Beverly - Count D'orsay 11/4. Annoying was planning to go 6/1ew yesterday :( Down in class, in good form
4.25 Listowel - Gevrey 7/1ew
A winner! Can't believe it. lol. No idea why decided to hit some jumps racing yesterday. Both flopped
3.15 Listowel - Dragon of Malta 9/2ew
4.35 Yarmouth - Katey Content 9/2ew
5.45 Yarmouth - Cover Up 11/2ew
8.00 Newcastle - Slipping Jummy 11/2ew
Thought Stone of Destiny had the race. URGH. Couple places. All good.
7.30 Kempton - Almarin 12/1ew is a non sensical price vs King Cabo based on the race lto over C&D. Looked pretty unlucky to me.
8.00 Kempton - Photon 16/1ew is a decent ew is reproduces form at the course June.
8.30 Kempton - Geelong 11/2ew can win. Stays further so Marquand will have to drive this early.
Updates 1.30pm...
3.10 Fairyhouse - Starry HEaven 11/1ew
3.20 Listowel - Jackpot de Choisel 8/1. Formlines decent enough Bojack 20/1. Potentially chucked in.
5.20 Brighton - Noitre Maison 5/1ew
Lol. Annaf. Enough said.
3.35 Donny - Vetvier 14/1ew. Fast improving and I think the most unexposed in the field. Reckon already a 102+ horse and if improves again will outrun 14/1
5.20 Donny - Stone of Destiny 7/1ew. Was cruising lto. Found nothing, but given his last win was the Portland and Appleby's form got to go close.
Classic. Down in the dumps. Lose faith. Punt an 8/1 shot at 4/1 w/o the fave and wins :)
Ah well. All good.
2.25 Donny - Doesn't seem to be any pace low. Up the middle Significanly and Hurricane will blaze. With the soft groun, Live The Moment interests me. Close to the pace. Loves Donny and win lto will hopefully put it on a recovery mission. Haynes is 23% at Donny an ONeill 17%
Live The Moment 25/1ew on exchanges.
Kimngrace looked really unlucky lto. Ran okay on soft. I'd be only picking this if the ground was faster
Kimngrace 12/1ew
Really hope Annaf doesn't win after following off a cliff.
3.35 Donny - Can make a case for most of these. I'm going totally bonkers.
Alexandroupolis 33/1ew - Bred to win the leger. Related to Camelot and Kew Gardens.
Denmark 100/1ew (Antepost) - Backed it before ran at Haydock and couldn't work out why was 10 times the price of Middle Earth after run at York.
5.20 Donny - Hmmm
Empirestateofmind 9/1ew - I lost my mind backing this all day long 4 races back. Quinn is in decent form now and the horse has all the conditions to suit. 2nd last year and running off higher but think it's in better form
Liberty Lane 6/1 small saver
2.05 Chester - Blue Stocking & 1.50 Rosallion - 6/4 Double
1 winner, 6 losers. One bet tomorrow. Keeping a low profile. Will paper bet only rest of races
1.50 Doncaster - Dancing Gemini 4/1 without War Rooms.
Minimum stakes till find a winner :)
Backed these last night.....
1.50 Chinese Knot 15/2
2.25 Kodiac Thriller 22/1
3.00 See The Fire 13/2
3.35 Sumo Sam 3/1
4.10 Iron Lion 11/2
4.45 Vaguely Royal 11/2
Still havin' a 'mare.
*1.35 Kempton - Bellocci 30/1ew (3p)
*1.50 Haydock - Regal Reality 6/1ew
*2.35 Ascot - Spangled Mac 8/1ew
*2.45 Leo - Just Beautiful 8/1ew
*4.00 Kempton - Motazzen 5/1ew
*4.20 Ascot - Bridgestones 7/2
*5.05 Leo - Merlin Giant 10/1ew
*5.40 Leo - Gypsy Woman 12/1ew
*5.30 Ascot - Woolhampton 14/1ew
Haydock 1.30 - Feud 13/8
Haydock 2.35 - Level Up 13/2ew
Haydock 3.45 - Persuasion 4/1
Ascot 4.10 - Tafreej 11/8
Two days in a row of whitewash. Can't find excuses either!
Small stakes until find form.
Goodwood:
1.35 - Carp Kid 16/1ew
2.10 - Louis Qaurtorze 4/1
2.45 - Je Ne Sais Quoi 4/1
3.20 - Novel Legend 3/1
3.55 - Whendealisdone 4/1
Well then. Won't be doing that again. I'm now every close to break even for the year :(
I've had massive days at the top meets but other than that been very poor - average and I've lost a lot of money this year chasing massive accas! Silly
2.25 Sandown - Coppice 11/2ew best at weights
3.00 Sandown - Andaleep 14/1ew
1.35 Chester - Fools Rush In 28/1ew.
2.45 Chester - Fair Wind 10/3
5.05 Chester - Seahouses 10/3 backin off a cliff....
Didn't look at the odds before picked these. Backed on the exchanges. Let's see what happens :)
Newcastle 5.45 - Tafsir 11/1ew
Newcastle 6.15 - Classy Clarets 5/1ew
Newcastle 6.45 - Yaaser 17/2ew
Newcastle 7.15 - Consquistador 15/2ew
Newcastle 7.45 - Bashful 14/1ew
Newcastle 8.15 - Heartswood 7/1ew
Newcastle 8.45 - Fine Wine 10/1ew
1.50 York - Nostrum Evs
3.00 York - Kinross 7/4
3.35 York - Sciptwriter 16/1
4.10 York - Fresh 14/1
4.45 York - Purosangue 7/4
5.20 York - Haunted Dream 6/1
A 9/1 winner and a 10/1 place. Better than Day 1, but still.
1.50 - Dark Moon Rising 12/1ew.
In form. C&D winner, and I think best on handicap stats. Ran in the Dante and never really recaptured form. Looks to hand turned a corner this season and improving with every run now.
2.25 - Broome 7/1ew.
The best over this distance on G+
3.00 Action Point 16/1ew.
Ignore the Ascot run as lost a shoe. Big run lto over the distance today. Kylian and Hateem messing around with distances and not right for me
3.35 Bradsell 4/1.
Top rated. Beat Highfield Princess last time they met. Khaadem and Aesops fable interesting for big ew plays but sticking with one. Hollie to bring up the double with Action Point ;)
4.10 Sisyphus Strength 8/1ew.
Improver. Ran a blinder in the Fashion Stakes so defo well handicapped. Decent draw.
5.15 English Oak 4/1.
Thought Ed Walker was bit unlucky twice yesterday not to at least place. On paper this is chucked in
No excuses yesterday from me.
1.50 - Cherry Blossom 5/2
No Nay Never decent 2 yr ped at York and trust in Moore to measure the Make All ride. Irish don't have a great record in this so some coins on Beautiful Diamond at 10s
2.25 Persica 6/1ew
Hannon has a decent record in this race and Persica looked decent lto
3.00 - Akhu Najla 7/1ew
- Tried to find a big price outsider, but improving 4years old do well in this race and this one is totally chucked in on GF ground. Stall 2 and 3 will blaze out setting this up perfectly.
3.35 Warm Heart 7/1ew
Going to my Ribblesdale hero. Convinced ground was the key, which was reason for effort lto. Few coins at Sea Silk 25s
4.10 Scenic 12/1ew
Plumping for a 3 year old and the best of these looks to be Scenic. Looks highly progressive and got some decent York form and form behind Warm Heart and Bluestocking
4.45 Aragon Castle 13/2ew
On paper this looks the only improver ahead of it's mark.
5.20 Naomi Lapaglia 12/1ew
Improving and enjoyed it's last run. Atwaads do well at York too.
1.50 York - Alligator Alley 11/1, Venture Express 25/1. Bergerac and Nomadic Empire were next on list
2.25 York - Cogitate 10/3
Gregory/Paddington Double 5/2
4.10 York - Znndabad 7/1, Themaxwecan 16/1
4.45 York - Lady Hamana 16/1
5.10 York - Starlust 4/1, Barnwell Boy 20/1
Sandown
3.45 Two Tribes 11/2ew
4.15 Arecibo 16/1, Mookatail 20/1
4.45 Skellet 6/1ew
5.45 Whats The Story 10/1ew
6.15 - Miss Down Under 25/1ew
6.45 Cresent Lake 8/1ew
Rain overnight will no doubt screw everything, but this is the only chance I have to look at the cards.
1.50 Newbury - Arrest 6/4
Top rated + 3year allowance and will love the ground
2.40 Ripon - Prince of Bel Air 12/1ew
Grab the rail and make all. Hope the jockey is strong enough to make use of the claim
3.00 Newbury - Scholarship 16/1ew
Not sure if I am doing this because missed Cox's Just Bring It in the week after backin so many times before it or whether just makes sense given is a C&D winner on soft and Cox has won this race twice, also with 3year olds.
3.10 Newmarket - Crocus Time 5/1ew
Good draw, good mark based on C&D run.
3.15 Ripon - Monsieur Kodi 7/1ew.
On ratings Guilliver and Summerhand win this esp with O'meara in good form. I back Guillver 33/1 antepost, but given the rain draw will be really hard. The rain will also make it harder for Summerhand. Monsieur Kodi won nicely last weekend for me and think can go in again. Lakota Blue was nearly the bet instead given the C&D win, but not fully convinced 6f is best distance.
3.35 Newbury - Mostabshir 8/1ew
Chindit surely best over 1m. Most of these won't like the likely soft ground. Risk on Mostabshir. Dam side was great on soft. It's just not working out at 1m? Has weakened out of it 3 times over 1m, so maybe this trip might unlock something. Willing to risk it given the issues the others will defo have on soft and the fact is close to top rated with the 3year old allowance.
4.00 Curragh - Mysteries 12/1ew.
Ylang Ylang and Matrika are 1st and 2nd faves for the 1KG so surely the formlines to follow. Mysteries has good Curragh form, trainer banged in a 16/1 winner yesterday, has the most experience in the field along with Pearls and Rubbies an Territories and decent 2yr record at the Curragh.
4.15 Doncaster - Prince of Pillo 11/1ew.
If recaptures some of the Childers form over C&D could easily win this. Can make excuses for some of these races. It's a risk as could really have regressed but it's a Class 3 so let's go.
4.50 Doncaster - Kentucky Bluegrass 7/1ew.
Good draw, back to ideal 7f. I hope nothing worse at GS as otherwise may not make it home. Trainer in good form and ahead of mark based on run few races back.
5.10 Curragh - God Knows 7/1ew.
Based on last run over C&D is maybe half a stone in hand. Drifted around a fair bit lto too. Should go close
Sunday
6.15 Sandown - Miss Down Under 25/1ew
If wind surgery has worked could easily outrun odds here.
1.50 Goodwood - Monsiuer Kodi 15/2 ew
2.25 Goodwood - Adjuvant 8/1ew
3.35 Goodwood - Mr Wagyu 18/1ew, Albassheer 18/1ew, Sterling Knight 18/1ew
5.20 Goodwood - Liberty Lane 11/2, Greatgadian 18/1ew
Just got to France. No time today, but faves looks okay today.
1.50 Goodwood - Law of Sea 8/1ew
2.25 Goodwood - Nostrum 4/7 (No bet)
3.00 Goodwood - Revich 20/1ew, Sonny Liston 28/1ew
3.35 Goodwood - Highfield Princess Evs
4.10 Goodwood - Hamish Evs
4.45 Goodwood - Starlust 3/1
5.20 Goodwood - Masso Batie 5/1
When the ground was GF I cleaned up in the early part of the season. Maybe why I nail Meydan too. Just seem to be very inconsistent when the ground is a mess like it is again today....
Goodwood 1.50 - Goldsborough 33/1ew. Course winner on heavy ground over shorter. Looked beat 3f out that day but really stayed on. Think 10f will be fine. That last race was a mess so will forgive. There are loads of unexposed horses but the one's I like have no course from or distance form so too much of a gamble.
Goodwood 2.25 - Bobsleigh 17/2ew. Eve's horses back in good form. The Coventry form is god enough for me given the winners coming out of it. The ground a concern but Elzaam ran fine on soft so be disappointed if didn't make top3.
Goodwood 3.00 - Artistic Star 13/2ew . Im sure Espoionage has been laid out for a race which AOB has won 3 times from 6 horses and that typically his horses come on from the first run of season, but I don't think won that comfortably lto. Chesspiece ran average on soft in the Darley and I'm not convinced improved lto. Crisford is in decent form though. I think Artistic Star still improving. I think the KE form is decent and AS got closer to King of Steel lto than in the Derby so hoping more to come
Goodwood 3.35 - Above The Curve 12/1ew - Should have beaten Nashwa in the Prix D'Opera on very soft ground. Will be very soft today, so has a chance to tray at 4x times the odds of Nashwa. I think something has to go wrong with Blue Rose Cen for Above The Curve to win, but you never know.
Goodwood 4.10 - Dodies Impact 25/1ew - Loved the ground in the Brocklesby and assuming now settled into the Cox yard can potentially refind form. If Channon's form was decent I'd be all over Grays Inn, but at 2/1 it's hard to do given a bunch of unexposed 2 year olds. Balon D'or 25/1ew might be interesting off top weight
Goodwood 4.45 - Alpha Cruis 14/1ew
Goodwood 5.20 - Ornellia 3/1 - Form is solid. Pedigree is decent for heavy ground
Goodwood 5.55 - Ran out of time. Looking at draw and pedigree got to Another Baar, Lakot Blue, The Thames Boatman all 20's + but no more time :(
Curragh 2.00 - Pearls and Rubies 6/5. Strong Ascot form
Curragh 2.35 - Albasheer 6/1. Backed this at Ascot. Is really well handicapped and been a load of money for it.
Gusavus Weston 16/1 ran a cracker lto over C&D. Is maybe not in decline as the numbers say. The form is working out okay. Can easily outrun odds. Had to put coins on Hispanic 26's as backed twice last
Curragh 3.10 - I keep falling off a cliff with Art Power. Taking a big chance with Lady Tilbury 40/1ew. Improving. Ran well last time. Ran very well at Curragh over too far the time before. Has a chance to make the top3. Coins on Maria Branwell 60's
Curragh 3.45 - Taking another big risk. Be Happy 28/1ew
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Newbury 2.25 - Rainbow Dreamer 25/1ewb. Course winner. Distance winner. Hasn't run on turf over 2m for a while but has had some decent runs. The Northumberland I think will be decent enough form for a good chance to place. Some coins on Eugen Glen
Newbury 3.00 - I'm following Anaaf 14s off a cliff. Should have won lto. 3rd in the Kings Stand. Should have finished ahead of COmmache Falls in the Clipper. Kevin give him the ride he needs! please
Newbury 4.45 - Mama Joon 3/1 Surely the Oaks form wins this?
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Newmarket 3.40 - Bass Player 28/1ew, best at the weights over C&D on best form but has regressed. Clover into a bit of form so could be the spark needed. Coins on First View 20s
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FAVES - Art Power, Pearls and Rubies, Mama Joon, Savethelastdance acca
Haydock 3.15 - Cold Stare 7/2 - Backing this till it wins now :) Surely has to win soon. Being a C&D winner will help. O'Meara won the race last year too.
Newbury 3.35 - Fox Journey 2/1 - Potentially unlucky last two races. Looks to be improving still and probably the best handicapped. 2/1 is short and if doesn't win today wait till it's a classic Stoute 4year old mopping up
Newbury 4.10 - Spring Fever 9/4 - another shortie but won so easily lto. Night Sparkle will be fuming Spring Fever is here as also chucked in.
Ropey Guest was the one that went astray at the weekend on a tough day. Would have been a massive win but drifted offline to the slower part of the track and Biggles/Moore took the prize :( Got it totally wrong with Haggas....
Wasn't going to bet this week, but hey...
2.35 Ayr - Beechwood Star Evs
3.10 Ayr - Our Dickie 5/1
3.45 Ayr - Aberama Gold 12/1
4.20 Ayr - Global Humor 9/1
7.30 Wolves - Brigitte 7/1
8.30 Wolves - Seargeant Pep 12/1
So many non runners yesterday but some solid results at York and Ascot. Newmarket again did me.
Think Haggas will have a stonker today... Had to stop at 20 singles, all on the nose, with some lay outs on exchanges between 1.2 - 2.5 depending on prices
York 2.00 - Rhoscoyln 12/1 - Current form stinks. Last okay run was in the Victoria cup on soft and on soft groun Rhosoyln and What's the Story are the best on best form. It's a major risk, but O'Meara is hitting winners and the last time won was off 92. Now down to 91. At 12/1 given the ground willing to chance.
Blue For You 13/2 - Given O'Meara's form can't not back this too. Last time these two met over C&D vs current weights ought to be very close.
Will hit RFC too
York 2.35 - Kerdos 10/1 - I'm worried that Cox only has a 4% SR at the course, but trainer in form, Kerdos in form and goes on soft so hopefully has a good chance. Was a toss up with this, Great State and Silkie Wilkie and even Nyhmpodra who will love the soft but Balding's horses are all over the shot atm.
York 3.10 - Millebosc 10/1 - Has been gelded so no idea what will happen, but just scroll back to 2021 and before and if this horse bounces back to that kind of form has over a stone in hand
Faylaq 22/1 - Despite a unlucky loss in the NH consolation over 2m, I think the horses best distance is over this sort of trip and am convinced one of the best in the race too. Ordinarily an improver would be on my list, but the soft ground can often change that.....
If Balding's lot were in form Nobel was interesting and Scampi who nearly landed 22s lto for me also on the list, but sticking with the 2 above a Goldie and Haggas have both won this race before.
York 3.45 - Hamish 4/6
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Ascot 1.35 - Arecibo 20/1 - I wish Cowell was banging winners as think this old boy has a chance on soft ground. In decent form, I just hope can maintain it as remember was 2nd in the Kings Stand only 2 years back. Crowley booked.....
Dream Composer 18/1 - Solid form. C&D winner. Reckon low will be the place to be given the ground.
Ascot 2.20 - Aldaary 5/2 - Course winner, distance winner, soft ground winner. Top Rated. No excuses.
Ascot 4.05- La Yakel 2/1
Ascot 4.40 - Five Towns 9/2. Hoping draw is low. Solid form after Quick Change nearly won a listed race. Shaggas has also won this race 4 times!
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Chester 4.27 - Witch Hunter 6/1
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Newmarket 2.50 - Snipers Eye 10/1 looks thrown in
Lose Your Wad 12/1 a cliff horse, but maybe soft will be the key
Newmarket 4.00 - Snazzy Jazzy 60/1 Regressed or a plot. Suspect regressed, but at 80s on exchange will gamble
Ropey Guest 22/1 - Could have won this last year if drawn better
Newmarket 4.35 - Azure Blue 7/2 - Can't believe didn't back it lto. Think can improve again.
Art Power 22/1 - So desperate for this to be a G1 winner. Has gone very close a few times, and with Easterby in good nick maybe it might happen!
Shaquille owes me nothing after a monster 12/1 win lto but could easily romp this.
Newmarket 5.10 - Davideo 6/1, Reina Del Mar 10/1
1.50 Newmarket - Seendid 8/1ew. C&D winner who potentially well handicapped.
2.25 Newmarket - Star of Mystery shouldn't lose but too short
3.00 Newmarket - The Maxwecan 16/1ew. Being running well enough of late. Assuming if was still lame would not be running today. I think this is his best trip. Small cover on Berkshire Rocco as now a cliff horse of mine..
3.35 Newmarket - Remarquee 5/1 is best at the weights. Arguably unlucky to lost to Tahiyra. I'm assuming Hornby got first choice today otherwise Prosperous Voyage could easily win back to back. Many towards the top of the market are coming back in trip couple furlongs and I can't have them
4.45 Newmarket - Harry Magnus 9/1. Blew start lto and before that short of room. Before this won easy enough
5.20 Newmarket - Conquistador 11/4
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2.05 York - Nothern Express 3/1
2.40 York - Swingalong 15/8
3.25 Ascot - Just Bring it 12/1
4.00 Ascot - Tamilla 12/1, Sumo Sam 12/1
4.35 Ascot - Elraaed 7/2
5.10 Ascot - Popmaster 4/1
1.50 Newmarket - Tower of London 13/8. Could make a case for a couple, but the fave just edged it for me and I hate backing faves
2.25 Newmarket - Purosangue 11/4. This was flew lto. Widest draw was a worry but think it's just going to go from the off and find where ever it needs to be. Worried about Malc, but the form doesn't seem to be working out.
3.00 Newmarket -
Desert Cop 12/1ew chucked in on that form behind Shaquille and ran well enough in the Kings Stand on a trip too short. Has top weight which the only niggle for me.
Frankness 7/1ew should have placed at Royal Ascot and ran on really well; looked unlucky. Return to 6f is correct.
Realised I've picked two Balding horses, one draw either side of the field! Hope one can do it!
5.20 Newmarket -
Bodorgan 7/2 followed it last time and flopped but if finds it's 2yer old form wins.
Bling on the Music 12/1 is in the same camp. If finds it's 2year old form wins
Midday Update:
6.00pm Doncaster - Lakota Lass 16/1ew. The 2yr old handicap did not work out for me yesterday at all... Back to a 3yr old handicap. Lakota Lass and Peaceful Story on paper look the best handicapped. Went for the bigger price of course....
2.20 Yarmouth - Primose Maid 20/1ew
3.20 Yarmouth - Sun Festival 11/8
4.20 Yarmouth - Anglo Saxon (Top 2) Evs
4.55 Yarmouth - Hans Solo Berger 8/1ew
4.30 Lingfield - Grey Gray (Top 3) 6/4
3.10 Catterick - Seeing if I can apply 3yr handicap logic to 2yr old handicaps. Just a trial. Heroic Angel 10s, Foxfield 36s
3.40 Catterick - Pop World - 10/1ew
8.00 Kempton - Tenrai 25/1ew
Saturday was decent enough. Could have been amazing if Annaf had a clear run and Scampi was not far off winning at a massive price.
Keeping the brain engaged until Thursday. Big racing. Weather could cause havoc mind.
Wolves 1.30 - I'm Too Tired around 9s
Wolves 4.15 - Exorbiant around 9s
Both can win off these marks over this C&D.
There's no liquidity on the exchanges. Moments after put £50 on the exchanges at 10s both horses prices started contracting with betfair sportsbook, paddy power and willhill (all automated responses from exchanges no doubt). Not all has matched but it's sitting around 9s. See how much actually matches by morning!
After a couple poor weeks post Ascot for some reason opted to play top 2 bets. Savvy Victory obviously won at 11/1 but I bet top 2 at 3/1 Oh well. All good. Kylian romped at 3/1 also.
Skybet and massively limited my betting now so using the exchanges more and more. Accas will go on wherever I can get them on.
1.50 Sandown -
Annaf 7.07 Win, 2.28 Top 3. In form and towards the top over this distance. Appebly did well with Raasel in this race and in good form currently.
Existent Win 32, 4.1 Top 4 is far too big given how ran in the race last year. Crowley onboard today will make a big difference
2.25 Sandown -
Indemnify 8.2 Win, 2.13 Top 4. In good form and a C&D winner. Think the draw is good and was supposedly a decent bet for RA but didn't make the cut. The form is not mind blowing but still doing okay. If Sceptic was not drawn wide would have backed this too. Perotto and Spirit catcher next on list, but sticking with one
3.00 Sandown
Bridgestones 4.6 Win. Was so badly hampered at Ascot and would no doubt have won the race on the far side. On paper ought to find it hard at the weights with Magical Sunset but I feel MS is s better 7f horse.
4.50 Sandown
Classic 10.1 Win, 2.44 Top 3. New Business is from STS so no worry pedigree wise will go well at Sandown. Looks well handicapped on AW form but not on turf. Classic ran really well last time considering how keen it was. Was last off the bridle and with softer ground and a better run can go close.
1.30 Haydock
Squealer 5.00 Win. Winner in waiting on this mark. Tinkler just needs to start winning!
2.05 Haydock
Lordship 4.7 Win. Still chucked in. Missed the bigger prices for this one.
Chillihi 13 Win. Huge run lto. Gassee was next on list
3.15 Haydock
Scampi 23.05 Win. 3.05 Top 5 looked unlucky at Epsom. Won really well time before this and perhaps the extra furlong just too far lto? This can win if trying
Cumulonimbus 12 Win. C&D winner
4.25 Haydock
Kingdom Come 8.2 Win, 1.99 Top 4
2.30 Sandown - Kylian 3/1 on exchanges
3.05 Sandown - Sleeping Lion 3/1 (w/o Yibir)
3.40 Sandown - Devils Point (Top 2) - 5/1
4.15 Sandown - Savvy Victory (Top2) - 3/1
4.50 Sandown - Seahouses 4/1
After the first two race winners thought was going to be decent. Only one other winner and a big ew place so not bad, not great. Backed these all yesterday evening.
1.50 Curragh - His Majesty 7/2 - Still gutted about this one at Ascot. Drawn wrong and slow start. It's C&D win after only second run was very impressive. It's going to be a decent race for sure though
2.25 Curragh - Commache Falls 5/4 best form
3.00 Curragh - Harmony Rose 25/1, Joe Riggins 8/1
4.15 Curragh - Farnborough 8/1ew. Chucked in like a few of these, but 3yr olds have a decent record and the only 3yr old in field.
4.50 Curragh - Transadental 9/1ew. Won a huge pot for me lto. Think still ahead of mark, but the fave Yerwanthere does look solid.
5.25 Curragh - Salt Lake City 9/2.
6.00 Curragh - Golden Twilight 20/1ew
Thought Parr Fire 25s was going to win after a poor start. Jockey had no control in the final furlong. At least it placed, otherwise would have been three days of clean sheets.
12.20 Newcastle - Batal Dubai 11/2ew ran a better race over C&D than Raatea given weight/age etc. Raatea won this last year and is surely going very close given current form but have to go with what I see as bigger value in Batal esp with Oisin booked who is superman at the track.
12.40 Newmarket - Star of Mystery 11/8
1.30 Newcastle - Blow Your Horn 4/1. In great form and well handicapped still
1.57 Chester - Etolie D'Alexandre 5/2 - The best form on show, a 5lb claim and trainer in form and one that also won this race last year.
2.50 Curragh - Apache Oulaw 11/2ew. Curragh 6f good ground is the perfect mix. Ran between Age of Kings and Blackbeard in the Railway ove C&D at this meeting last year.....
3.25 Curragh - Never Ending Story 11/2ew. At the weights has the best chance esp being a course winner and a solid lto run in a G1. Clearly concerned Moore has chosen to ride Above The Curve.
3.42 Chester - Equatorial 6/4 - Well handicapped, good draw
4.35 Curragh - Roman Bull 18/1ew. Doing okay on AW, but last two runs on turf makes this one chucked in
5.10 Curragh - Ghost Dance 20/1ew.
5.40 Curragh - Line Out 40/1ew.
Hmm. Need to head back to 3yr old handicaps and decent quality races only.
3.30 Yarmouth - Zouzanna 5/2 - Dangerous taking on a Haggas fave, but Zounzanna looks well handicapped on debut
5.05 Doncaster - Parr Fire 25/1ew. B365 are nearly double the other bookies. Hmmmm. Parr Fire is a course winner which is good advantage here. Tinkler slowly coming into form. First time visor, draw good enough. Could go close!
7.25 Chester - Hey Lyla 8/1ew. If Franny bounces out think can make all and win this from a slightly tricky draw. Tajalat looked the risk from a good draw but hasn't yet raced handily which not sure will help.
7.35 Newmarket - Dark Kestrel 11/2 - Noted it last time as potentially well handicapped but didn't show it. Couple of novice races that show this but will it reproduce today? Didn't lto.
5.50 Kempton - Sail on Silver Bird 12/1ew. Debut race over C&D puts this one right in the mix. Buick has been booked. Bell, whilst doesn't have too many winners at Kempton has had a couple of decent winners recently. Have no real explanation for previous run. Perhaps was the C&D.
6.50 Kempton - Balagh 3/1. For some reason put this in my tracker. I know it's a maiden and should not bet in theses races..... half bet, no acca.
7.20 Kempton - Covert Legend 8/1ew. Solid C&D debut and well handicapped, but does need to settle better
The most enjoyable Royal Ascot on record for me. Massive priced winners all over the place.
12/1, 16/1, 10/1, 11/1, 12/1, 25/1 and 11/4 winners
9/2, 66/1, 11/1, 7/1, 20/1, 9/1, 10/1, 25/1, 22/1, 18/1, 33/1 placed
The exchanges meant got even bigger prices and just a shame didn't land any massive accas. Anyhow a lot of horses to track from the meeting.
Had a few bets last night on the exchanges.
2.00 Brigthon - Billaki Mou 4.7 win, 2.1 placed
4.00 Brighton - Sir Winston 2.83 win
5.00 Brighton - Bernard Spierpoint 3.84 win, 2.02 placed
Really thought Matrika 10/1ew was going to win yesterday but up popped Frankie.
Shaquille reared and so screwed any chance, or so I thought. Woe just wow. Dacking boooom!
Rest of day was average but Unless 28/1ew and Continuous 17/2ew placed
*Bold is what I've backed. Rest is just chat. All of Detorris horse's going to be over bet which means a lot of value has gone in some of them.
Off to Ascot today so not really spent as much time as I would have liked.
Ascot 2.30 - The first short price fave I'm backing this festival. Pearls and Rubies 5/2. Ran the best debut of anything in this field. I have a naggin worry that 7f is not the right trip, but I think her class may just get her through.
Just seen that fillys have only won 1 in 27 of this race. HMMMM....
Count Palatine 25/1ew might be worth a small ew given the form and eye-catching run lto
Ascot 3.05 - Antartic 6/1ew is the best horse in the race. The form is decent
Ascot 3.40 - I really want to back an Applebly runner because I think Al Suhail has a decent chance. However I can't bring myself to do it.
Artorious 9/2 was a very decent 3rd in this last year when behind two Appleby horses. A year older running off the same weight and looks a better horse on paper. Going to go very close to winning again.
The Astrologist 66/1ew worth a small poke given it's run in the Al Quoz. I've backed on the exchanges in the 60's and will probably put a lay in running as may not make it to the line
Ascot 4.20 - This is uber tricky. Can make a case for so many of them. Pyledrive is the best in this field but looks like this is a warm up for the King George in July. Not sure Hukum will run on ground this fast. Deauville Legend ran a blinder in Melbourne, but feels risky back him first race back and not convinced can improve that much more?
Changingoftheguard 10/1ew is going to improve a stone (I hope) . Grand Alliance could well be thorn at a huge 33/1
Free Wind 2/1 is going into an acca.
Ascot 5.00 - There are so many potential plots in here.
Saint Lawerence 25/1ew - If bounces back to form is well handicapped. Ran well in the commonwealth trial here and the kings stnd last year which was surely to shorter trip. Will it boune back don't know but been some money for it.
Albasheer 60/1ew - Ran two very good races over 6/7f in 20' & '21. Ran well enough inbetween 107 & 113 horses lto. Straight course specialist Spencer booked. Watson having a cracking week could run at a big price.
Kape Moss - 40/1ew - Think is nearly a 100+ rated horse and with a decent 3lb claim will have another length in hand
Orazio 7/1 - Cover bet only as shed loads of money for it
Ascot 5.35 - Knockbrex let me down lto, but think better at 10. Canute will go close. Lion of War let me down 4 times and fricking goes and wins nto at 15/2! fuming.
I really want to back Appelby again! Think Local Dyansty is very interesting, but can't do it given form. Will do an Applebly acca later
Cuban Dawn 14/1ew one of a few who are unexposed and could hugely improve for step up
Lose Your Wad 50/1ew - I'm sure by this point in the day I would have lost my wad so fitting to confirm it with this one. Backed it lto as thought was well handicapped. Was bumped so not given a chance to prove it
Ascot 6.10 - Irish 123
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Pearls, Covey, Free Wind, Dawn Rising Acca
Appleby acca
Hills Acca
Random placed accas
I'm off. GL
Day 3 = Bang!
If His Majesty broke levels and was drawn better, convinced would have won. Warm Heart was a ridiculous price and rightly won. Docklands was absolutely chucked in and duly obliged, and Waipro rounded off an solid day. From £800 down to £1.5k up for the week. Will lay £750 tomorrow and £750 on Saturday so any wins are now upside for the festival
Win - Warm Heart 16/1, Docklands 10/1, Waipro 11/1
Placed - His Majesty 11/1, Bertilinni 7/1, Royal Cape 20/1, Subjectivist 9/1, Emily Dickinson 10/1, Spangled Mac 25/1
Unplaced - Davideo 11/1, Surely Not 12/1, Lir Special 14/1, The Gatekeeper 85/1, Tylos 100/1, Drumroll 6/1
Was great dodgin Al Asifah and Elite Status yesterday. Not sure can dodge the faves today so an acca to cover it but I'm alwys looking to take them on ;)
LLB, Tahriya, King of Steel 6/1 Treble
2.30 Ascot:
Martika 10/1ew - The market always underestimates the improvement AOB juveniles make. Half sister to the Wow Signal.
Carlas Way 5/1 - Massive debut. Will go close, but I'm only playing a cover stake and very small RFC
Navassa Island ran the best debut of everyone looking at the numbers, but will leave as-is
3.05 Ascot:
If/when LLB wins I'm taking home over £500 in Antepost bets/accas.
The only horse that might pull a shock is Shaquille 12/1ew. Looks to be the only one with potential improvement left. Thumped a good bunch of horse including Noble Style by 3 lengths lto. Certain if was trained by a top trainer would be a 5/1 shot. Still has a tough task to beat LLB. Shouldhavebeanhearing interesting based on last run behind LLB.
3.40 Ascot:
Maskud 7/1ew - a 4 yr old drawn high fits first trends. Ran in the Hampton Court last year and on this form alone is well handicapped.
I backed Teumessias Fox at 50s last year as saw the potential. Collected big on it's last run. Will go close today, I just think the draw may be tricky if does not get to the front. HMS President is interesting, but stick with one as already quite sort for a big handicap.
4.20 Ascot:
Hmm. Do you really want to take on the fav.
I have Queen For You 16/1 Antepost and was fuming when bet at York. Really should have won that race.
Tahiyra is so short couldn't back it, and I'm not convince will necessarily like the GF.
Mediate 5/1ew - Will love the GF. Won the Breeders on Firm. I think worth taking a chance on.
5.00 Ascot:
Jackie Oh 7/1ew - I backed her for the Oaks but never ran. Think has some class in her on pedigree. Am a bit worried about the trip but this will be inevitably run at a serious pace that will hopefully help
Unless 28/1ew - I reckon has half a stone in hand. I can't find anything else with this much in hand on paper
5.35 Ascot:
Continuous 17/2ew - I backed this for the Jockey Club and can't explain it but I thought ran a cracker in the Dante for first run back. For some reason have it backed AP for the the Eclispe. hmm. I think King of Steel ran a cracker lto but I want to think/hope it circumstantial.
6.10 Ascot:
Hispanic 16/1ew - This is a 100+ rated horse and the fact it's the only one entered in a G1 - G3 race says that too. 5f looks right. No Nay Never pedigree who won the Nofolk over C&D
6.55 Goodwood - Swift Asset 12/ew
7.05 Newmarket - Golspie 16/1ew
Day 1 = Disaster. Day 2 = Bang, Crossbar, Flop. Day 3 = Uneasy
Crimson Advocate was beautiful. Managed to get 20s on the exchange.
Farrh To Shy had to check left so many times and then Queally took foot off pedal before the line screwing a couple of ew accas. Grand Dam and Queen no good. Alabama was done by the draw but at least placed. I can only imagine how well Jimi Hendrix was handicapped for it to win up that rail!
2.30 Ascot:
They all have to beat Elite Status but 13/8 not my kind of bet...I also have it in an Antepost bet at 2/1 so can't bet it again. The two horses in behind him last time out have been walloped. American Rascal and No Nay Mets could both be decent. I hope the latter gives a perfect toes into the race for the horse drawn next to it in His Majesty.
His Majesty 11/1ew - Form with Givemethebeatboys. Draw is good. 5f is a slight doubt but it's AOB whose is in decent form
3.05 Ascot:
Burglar is ahead of mark but has to show can stay, as is Davideo, Sisyphus Strenght and Cloudbreaker. Perfuse and Inquiring Minds both look ahead of mark but not sure the latter could turn the tables.
Davideo 11/1ew - Watching videos of them all gone with Davideo. Galloped away the further is went skipping off the ground.
Bertilinni 7/1ew - Small play given AoB form and record in the race
3.40 Ascot:
Al Asifah will be difficult to beat....
Warm Heart 16/ew - Not sure why is nearly triple the price of Bluestocking.
4.20 Ascot:
Coltrane will land me a decent enough Antepost double so even though most likely winner not backing today.
Subjectivist 9/1ew - Ran to pretty much the same level in the Dubai Gold Cup as did in '21 and if runs to anything close to when bolted up in this race will give Coltrane a problem.
Emily Dickinson 10/1ew - Adding this 13.22pm
At this point time to hit Elite Status, Al Asifah, Coltrane (Top2) Treble 9/1
5.00 Ascot:
Docklands 10/1ew - Bolted up last time at Ascot, and surely still lbs in hand
Surely Not 12/1ew - Decent formline
Royal Cape 20/1ew - I backed this few days back. Looks chucked in (forgot I backed it)
Good Karma, Quatum Impact, Racingbreaks Ryder all on the list, but finding it tough to nail colours to anymore
5.35 Ascot:
Drumroll 6/1
Waipro 11/1
6.10 Ascot:
Nothing in the field meets any of my usual handicap trends/pointers, so not much hope, but some funky prices on the exchanges ;)
Lir Special 14/1ew - Varian decent record in race
Spangled Mac 25/1ew Solid Meydan handicap form
The Gatekeeper 85/1ew - Long time off after poor run in the Coventry, but on the mend and can hopefully improve again.
Tylos 100/1ew - I'm certain hates Ascot and looks like excels on heavy, but beating Gorak like that means could be massively chucked in?
Hit an AoB ew acca of sorts? Foolish? Let's see? His Majesty, Bertinelli, Warm Heart, Emily Dickinson, Carracci, Drumroll
Dettori also has some very interesting rides today..... All his rides around 6s and 7s.....
Ouch.
Inspiral was beaten by a horse I'd not heard off. Hateem placed nicely at 33/1. Kings Stand no excuses. Franceso blew the start and was game over after that. Raymond Tusk no idea. Ahorsewithnoname winning just puts the cherry on top given how much could have won on the Ceasererwitch!
**First choices - if pushed....looks a really hard day.....
Ascot 2.30 :
Hot Front 85/1ew (8 places) - Mother won the windsor castle.
Baslam 16/1ew - Wooton Bassett decent 2yr record at Ascot
**Crimson Advocate 12/1 - Looks very fast.
Ascot 3.05 - All straight wins giving backing 3.....
Adelaise 11/1 (Backed couple days back) - Really unlucky lto
**Farhh To Shy 22/1ew - Ran really well in this last year. much lower in the weights. Great run last time. I hope Spencer doesn't give him too much to do, but can go close.
Looked at love interest and don't tell claire but two is enough money lost :)
Ascot 3.40 -
Grand Dam - 7/1
**Queen Amintatu 9/1
4.20 Ascot -
**Bay Bridge 4/1 - Thankfully didn't beat Lux ltm, but think can turn the tables today
5.00 Ascot -
Dawn of Liberation 40/1ew - Backed this a few days back. If doesn't win here I think will be aimed at Glorious Goodwood for another pop. Think is well handicapped.
**Point Lynas 25/1ew - 3lbs ahead of handicapper. Form is decent. I hope for a place at least
Atrium 28/1ew - A cliff horse on my list. No other reason ;)
5.35 Ascot -
**Peking OPera 6/1 - Aob horses second run of season do well, good record in race too, plus decent day yesterday.
6.10 Ascot -
Alabama 18/1ew - Was supposedly very good. If the blinkers have done the trick could be a big price. Related to Sioux Nation so has chance on pedigree too
**World of Darcy - 12/1
A nice freebie with Be Frank yesterday. Been at a conference all day today and back again tomorrow. Bad timing............
I have no idea what will happen to the ground tomorrow. So annoyed after such great weather it starts to screw round now. I don't think will get any worse than good though. There is a difference between good and good to firm when comes to finding the edge, but hey such is the merkage we have to deal with.
Ascot 2.30 Queen Anne - I just can't see beyond Inspiral 2/1. I think every horse is exposed. The race that Inspiral ran on seasonal debut as Royal Ascot last year was, with the fillies allowance, at least half a stone better than anything that any of them that have run at Ascot. Modern Games is the biggest threat. Nothing other than boring in this race. Top 2 in the market. Trying to make a case for an ew with Lusail or Berkshire Shadown, but just can't. So sticking with just Inspiral.
Ascot 3.05 Coventry - Who knows what hand the draw will have in the outcome so ignoring it to a certain extent on Day 1. Haatem 33/1ew bust a 2,500/1 acca on Oaks day by missing the break. I partially want my redemption but I do think has a chance. On paper Asdna looks solid, but on collateral form I think Bobsliegh is nearly the same and therefore given Hateem 33/1ew (5 places) should have beaten it I have to punt it.
Ascot 15.40 Kings Stand - I normally try to avoid horses moving up and down sprinting distances, but Highfield Princess really is the best (at best) over 5f and on ratings should win. Coolangatta cold be nything but not hard any hype on this one? If Manaccan is worthy of being this short then Mitabby and Happy Romanace are much better value on formline. Here's what I've decided:
Inspiral / Highfield Princess Double 10.5/1
Happy Romance 45/1ew 4places
Mitbaahy 12/1
Ascot 4.20 St James - No bet as can't pick between 3 of 9
Ascot 5.00 - Bring on the Night looks like a hotpot? but trying the value with Irish Lullaby 20/1ew
Backed these last two yesterday
Ascot 5.35 - Francesco Clemente 13/2ew (5 places) - Pretty gutted didn't win lto but I have enough excuses for it. At the weights has the best chance. Will surely be fully geared up for this and race experience is my only doubt. Buckaroo look better at shorter. King of Conquest was fit lto when being FC but has a 3lb penalty for that win. Foxes Tales didn't rn well lto nor in the race last year. Highland and Bolshoi an Solid Stone could go well, but sticking with the one.
Ascot 6.10 Raymond Tusk 40/1ew (5 places) - Vauban may be tough to beat, but Raymond Tusk ran 4lenghts behind Get Shirty last year but didn't come into the race in great form. This year, down 4lbs, King in banging form and ran a blinder ltm. Draw is similar to last year and given Fuiraja Prince won from 16 few years back am stretched to say draw is bad. 66/1 was a crazy price; shame I missed it. 40's ew still better than back the fave.
Could well be a few decent faves accas to think about with Insprial, Highfiled Princess, Bring on The Night and mabe even Chalean and Vauban
Windsor 7.35 - Be Frank Top 2 11/10
Couple early ones for Tuesday as in the tracker
Ascot 6.10 Raymond Tusk 40/1ew (5 places) - Vauban may be tough to beat, but Raymond Tusk ran 4lenghts behind Get Shirty last year but didn't come into the race in great form. This year, down 4lbs, King in banging form and ran a blinder ltm. Draw is similar to last year and given Fuiraja Prince won from 16 few years back am stretched to say draw is bad. 66/1 was a crazy price; shame I missed it. 40's ew still better than back the fave.
Ascot 5.35 - Francesco Clemente 13/2ew (5 places) - Pretty gutted didn't win lto but I have enough excuses for it. At the weights has the best chance. Will surely be fully geared up for this and race experience is my only doubt. Buckaroo look better at shorter. King of Conquest was fit lto when being FC but has a 3lb penalty for that win. Foxes Tales didn't rn well lto nor in the race last year. Highland and Bolshoi an Solid Stone could go well, but sticking with the one.
I really should have waited till the weekend.... idiot.
Westeneese given awful ride. Can't win from that far back at York. Shining Blue beaten at 15/2 by 'the biggest threat'. No Nay Nicki beaten by the horse that back lto at 6/1 and broke a 400/1 acca. Harvanna won at opening odds of 8/1. The losing is fine, it's the salt in the wounds that hurts :)
I think it's a really stupid day to bet today having looked at the cards....
2.10 Chester - Vintage Clarets 4/1 wins if makes all. Cannot let Speedacus or Copper Knight sneak inside.
2.15 Sandown - Magical Morning 25/1ew. On best form wins, but will be tough back in distance but mybe the windop has done some magic.
2.35 York - Fortamour 10/1 ew. Needs a clear run to show worth but is handicapped to win.
3.05 York - Roberto Escobasr 4/1
3.20 Chester - Reidh 25/1ew. Backed this ltm as thought was well handicapped. I can't really explain the performance. Was travelling really well until 2f out. I did think last time maybe 8f was too far so 7.5f could be perfect. The biggest risk is Graham Lee not won at the track for the last 36 races... hmmm
3.40 York - A handicap I can't sovle. Washington heights caked me twice being 2nd. Can it go one better? Backed Rabaah last time out and in a handicap is very interesting, but maybe not at York?. Mill Stream ran well in the Acomb and 6f willl be great but drawn middle may not help. Northcliff ran a bliner over C&D and Rousing Encore could also blown the long odds. Dark Kestrel could be chucked in. Broookln Nine Nine was also one I backed last time. Pah sod it. Leaving it
I'm done can't handle anymore. Get ready for Tuesday now
Since about March I've really found which type of races I excel in. Bit annoyed I played yesterday but the last race bailed me out. I used play pretty much same stakes for all odds. Since March I now broadly speaking:
upto 5/2 - 2pts + 0.5pt on exchange
upto 5/1 - 1.5pt + 0.5pt on exchange
5/1+ 0.75pt ew + £0.5pt otn on exchange upto 12/1
12/1+ 0.5ptew + £0.w5pt otn on exchange upto 12/1
Sometimes I double down but have not placed anything bigger than 5pts since March which is good discipline.....shame I still bet when I know I shouldnt (many more races like this today) and shame I still bet too much on accas chasing the dream.....
1.50 York - Westerneesse 3/1 - Really strong formline. Pedigree says will stay so that's the main risk. Poets Dawn was interesting at a big price but not heard of the jockey and the stats don't look great for him.
2.25 York - Bazball 9/1ew. Top Speed rating in the race. Burkey does well in this race.
3.00 York - Pink Crystal 5/2. Well handicapped based on listed run behind Blue Azure. Ran very well at York Shaggas in great form
3.35 York - Shining Blue 5/4 - I can't believe I didn't back Shining Blue on 27 May. For some reason didn't bet in the race but still chucked in today. Chichester looks a threat
4.45 York - No Nay Nicki 15/2ew - Will need luck in running but if gets it will fly home close.
4.25 Sandown - Leadenhall 7/1ew. Defo stays the trip, I just hope not still running green. Ran well at the course on debut albeit on soft. Okay handicap mark, but can't find too many better handicapped.
8.30 Goodwood - Monty Bay 11/2ew - Well handicapped on debut
Couldn't stay away, and I know I will regret it....
1.50 Newbury - Dark Island 14/1ew. Didn't get any of a run lto for a long time and then hung markedly right. Only 1/2 stakes as amateur rider race
2.50 Newbury - Fox Island 66/1ew. Territorites do better 3yr+ esp at Newbury. Purely a pedigree punt on hope this follows suit. Given it's 66/1 I doubt it, but 1/2 stakes again to find out
3.25 Newbury - Believe You Me 25/1ew. If sorts it's greenness out and stays will outrun odds. I think if the first if is sorted will fix the latter.
3.10 Notts - Hildegard 9/2 - Good mark for H Debut.
3.45 Notts - Gulliver 11/2 - Going to win a few on the trot at some point.
3.35 Yarmouth - Universal Grace 17/2ew
5.10 Yarmouth - Bernard Speipoint 11/8
Only 1 placed from 4 yesterday.
Last 2 bets before the weekend and then it's Ascot!
Windsor 7.10 - Dream Composer 11/2ew
Windsor 7.40 - Desperate Hero 7/1ew
ew double
20/1, 20/1 places, 8/1 and 10/11 winners.
1.35 Goodwood - Al Ruffa 9/1ew
3.10 Navan - Juno Beach 20/1ew
5.15 Beverley - Star of Lady M 16/1ew
5.45 Beverley - Queen of The SKies 16/1ew
9/1 winner yesterday. If I was betting only singles would have been happy but got trigger happy with accas. Oops.
Keeping money for Ascot so not covering too many races/horses.
1.15 Haydock - Not sure where will be fastest on the track. Last meeting was high numbers. Yesterday rails were on the inside, today they are in the centre. Equaliateral is the best horse. Down in class. The draw is buggin me. Also Clareden House I backed lto went into my tracker before the race is here. As is Korker the horse that can't get a clean break from the stalls.
Equilateral Top 3 10/11
1.50 Haydock - My Wagyu would have landed a decent treble at Epsom, but I was worried about trainer form as I am again today. I'm sure will win today now I'm choosing to avoid it :)
Silver Samuri won this last year and is only marginally higher in the weigths but you know me looking for a juicy outsider and today it's Nomadic Empire. The best on this going, over this distance in my book and whilst Wagyu and Volatile Anaylst look the best weighted, O'Meara has won this race twice and NE has run well at the track before.
Nomadic Empire 20/1ew
3.00 Haydock - Super difficult. Only betting as Sky offering 3 places. Moodaara looked immense at Kempton, but that was AW. Mimikyu has a penalty to deal with. Time Lock screwed me last time out and in fact the last three times just struggle to get head in front coming 2nd each time. Sea Silk Road's run in the Ribblesdale was probably the best run of all the horses in this race over this distance so popping my money here, but ew 3 places
Sea Silk Road 8/1ew 3places
4.10 Haydock - Another tricky one. If Overrule's gelding op works and runs to marks of first two runs, can win this
Overrule 9/1ew
4.45 Haydock - I backed Just Bring It lto at 16/1. Was backed into 11/2 and was an unlucky 4th. Should def have been 2nd at least. It's been smashed from 9/2 into 2/1. Huge drop in class. I know this is not a value bet though but still doing it. The value bet has to be Dornoch Castle. Back to quick ground on a track know likes. If bounces back to best is very well handicapped
Just Bring It 2/1
Dornoch Castle 20/1ew
5.00 Beverly - Split stakes between Senseofentitlement 11/1 and Eyeofthebeholder 16/1
Thirsk 1.40 - Your Spirit 16/1ew
Brighton 2.00 - Bonkerinabundance 9/1ew
Thirsk 3.10 - Just Janet 5/1ew
Goodwood 7.00 - Fahari 9/1ew
11/2 and 20/1 SP winner. Can't for the life of me understand why Blank De Noir drifted from 10s to 20s. Another 4 figure profit day. I've totally stopped looking at twitter and oddschecker and it's been paying off (for now)
6.50 Chelmsford - Bodega Nights 50/1ew
7.20 Chelmsford - Penzance 11/2ew
8.20 Chelmsford - Howth 20/1ew
8.50 Chelmsford - Invested 4/1
5.40 Yarmouth - Going to the Moon 7/1ew
8.30 Leopardstown - Bataan 9/1ew
Newbury 2.35 - Rosallion 11/2ew
Newbury 3.45 - Hydration 10/3
Newbury 4.20 - Eximious 5/2
Kempton 7.20 - Strictly Dreaming 50/1ew
Kempton 7.50 - Marksman Queen 9/2
Curragh 8.00 - Blanc De Noir 10/1ew
Notts 4.00 - Secret Guest, Installation, Boy Browing 250/1 rtc ;)
A nice 20/1 winner. Love 3yr handicaps ;)
5.30 Lingfield - Billaki Mou 6/1ew
8.10 Lingfield - Doonbeg Farmer 25/1ew. I swore never to punt in the bottom rung of classified stakes, but here I am, trying something out.....
Well no more punting through a French card. Wasted all that time and missed Major Partnership 10/1 who I backed last time out in Dubai. Do'h.
Just messing with some 3yr old handicaps.
5.07 Gowran Park - Booyea 20/1ew
5.35 Thirk - Desert Illusion 9/2
5.45 Winsdor - Mahboobah 33/1ew
7.15 Windsor - Spartan Arrow 9/2
Going well in UK&I so venturing to France....
1.08 - Dorothy Lawerence 7/4
3.05 - Continous 4/1ew. Fuming fuming had this lined up for the race but was awaiting the draw. Got a plum draw. Been smashed in from 13/2. Gutted. Was going to have a big ew, as has a stonking chance. Am ew as just don't know enough about the French formlines.
3.50 - Sautnerne 11/2ew
5.00 - Demain 3/1
5.35 - Couer De Pierre 8/1ew
Another day that could have been immense. Still decent. Missed all the racing but surely Hateem wins if doesn't screw the break and damnit let the draw make me pick Streets of Gold over Olivia M. Anyhow 3 big wins and another 4figure profit.
Racing is much harder today :(
12.50 Epsom - No interest
1.30 Epsom - I have Auguste Rodin 8/1 Antepost and The Passenger 20/1 Antepost. Enough. Arrest has been hammered cos of Dettori so get a better price on AR in accas ;)
2.10 Epsom - Prosperous Voyage 7/4. Course winner. Top rated. Dettori on. Down in grade. No excuses.
2.45 Epsom - This is tough as no previous race trends to assess. Going to back two on the nose on the exchanges. Both at 30s. Swift Asset and Minnesota Lad . Swift will prob go in acca.
3.20 Epsom - I can't find any angles in this race either. Total free for all. Chucked some coins on the nose also on the exchanges. Claredon House 10s, Sampers Seven 14s, Came From the Dark 20s. Clarendon will prob go in tracker
3.55 Epsom - Another really tough one. Something will be lurking down the bottom of the handicap. Maybe Silver Sword? Pedigree good for Epsom. The 3 I like are all at the top. Cite d'Or is hugely overlooked but due to trainer form can't do it. Torito is going to be well backed due to Gosden, but Lose Your Wad 16/1ew is the pick. Would have finished closer in the boodles and I think is a 100+rated horse.
4.30 Epsom - If trainer form wasn't so poor I'd be having a decent bet on Caius Choister 11/4, but it's slightly tempered
5.05 Epsom - No time to look through every runner but Mr Wagyu 7/2 has a faves chance for sure
5.10 Doncaster - Mindset 8/1
2.00 - Haatem 4/1. Looks solid. Never worth ignoring 5+ length wins over sprinting distances esp on quick ground. I don't think the current fave form with Ziggy's is that strong. A race that Hannon's do well in too.
2.35 - Austrian Theory 7/1. Nearly didn't bet. Wanted a guaranteed front runner and will stay. I think on this ground and back in form AT can do this. There are a number of horses drawn inside that like to front run but as long as doesn't get stuck out wide has a decent chance. Dutch Decoy would win if front runs but typically is held up and I think is a risk to that.
3.10 - Emily Upjohn 11/4. Westover was mightily impressive to have got so close in Meydan to Equinox, but travel and tough races can take it out of a horse? It'll be a decent race either way and will take the should be Derby winner on with the should be Oaks winner.
3.45 - Cadillac 14/1ew. Over 10f on good ground, this has got to be the best horse at the weights. Toshizou ran a blinder in the Howden considering how many times had to switch
4.30 - Savethelastdance Evs - Find it hard to take on a horse that came from last to first and win a Listed race by 22 lenghts.
5.10 - Streets of Gold 5/1ew - Tossed up with Olivia Maralda but the draw swung it
5.45 - Lord Rapscallion 10/1ew - Best weighted on best form and can go close with a clear ride. Pocket the Profit interesting
2.10 Beverley - Van Gerwen 6/1ew
2.20 Hamilton - Rock Melody 9/2ew
3.10 Beverley - Sir Maxi 5/1ew
4.10 Beverly - Golden Sands 11/2ew
ew yankee for bantz
100% should stick to decent racing/festivals....
3.00 Leicester - Chorus Line 7/1ew
4.30 Leicester - Destined 15/8
6.10 Lingfield - Ekil 9/2
7.40 Lingfield - Revolutionary Man 5/1
10/1, 7/2, 9/1 winners in the first 3 races. Thought was going to be an epic day. Still decent but not the big one.
3.05 Leicester - Little Helen 5/1 looks well handicapped. The 3 in behind all have won since and one is now 74 rated.
4.15 Leicester - Cabinet of Clowns 7/1 back down in class big chance.
4.48 Leicester - Cruise 11/1. Ran a decent on debut and then not sure what happened. Improved over a maybe 2 stone for a the new trainer. Not heard of Sansgter but horse was last race by 6 lengths and whilst wasn't much of a race may well be a few lbs ahead of mark back on turf.
Given hit so many ended up in massive profit given the accas hit.
Won
Chipsted 12/1, LBB 6/4, Spirit of Applause 20/1
Placed
Dawn of Liberation 50/1, Craven 40/1, Another Investment 6/1 , Korker 3/1, Live The Dream 7/1, Tafreej 4/1, Haseefah 6/1, Absolutely Flawless 6/1
Unplaced
Impulsive Reaction 40/1, Feel The Need 12/1, Reidh 12/1, Just Bring it 16/1, Bodorgan 14/1, Selwaan 12/1, Swift Asset 20/1, King of Scotia 7/1, Vega Mabnifico 5/1, Safecracker 12/1
-----
Irish racing never been my forte as just don't know the formlines as well as in GB. Proved it again yesterday with a no show in all 3 IRish picks, though the horses prices were hammered so maybe was not far off?
2.15 - Transcendental 8/1 is interesting. Improving every race over the last half a dozen of so whilst mark is slipping. Was a lot of early money for this and normally worth taking note when it's from Crowmell's yard....
2.45 - Luxembourg 7/2. Keen to take Vadeni on. This wasn't the plan for the horse. Stoute is not is great form so putting a line through Bay Bridge. Luxembourg finally came good in the Irish Champion Stakes and was maybe a tad unlucky in the Arc not to finish better. Assuming will come on a heap for the run lto
3.15 - Just Beautiful 9/1 - Nearly convinced this is a 110 rated horse on quick ground over a mile.
3.50 - Mediate 7/1 Antepost
4.25 - Mister Mister 6/1 - PAddinton is surely the formline to follwo. Drumroll had a fitness edge over MM lto. MM was held up and jock was high in the saddle for a longer time than any other. Given far too much to do. Think can turn the tables over a longer trip.
4.55 - Eziva 10/3 - Likely one of the top 3 in market will win.
5.25 - Morph Speed 10/1 - Distance winner of a lower mark. Thought good enough to run in the Chester Cup. Massive step in in form on reappearance over a trip too short. If comes on for the run can go close
Might look at a acca w/o some of the faves with above.
Way too much racing...
1.35 York - Another Investment 6/1
2.40 York - Korker 3/1, Chipsted 12/1
3.50 York - Impulsive Reaction 40/1ew, Craven 40/1ew
4.25 York - Feel The Need 12/1, Reidh 12/1
Haydock 2.25 - Just Bring it 16/1, Bodorgan 14/1
Haydock 3.00 - LBB 6/4
Haydock 3.30 - Live The Dream 7/1
Haydock 4.10 - Spirit of Applause 20/1ew
Goodwood 2.05 - Tafreej 4/1
Goodwood 3.10 - Selwaan 12/1ew
Goodwood 3.45 - Haseefah 6/1
Goodwood 4.20 - Swift Asset 20/1ew
Curragh 4.15 - King of Scotia 7/1
Curragh 4.50 - Vega Mabnifico 5/1, Safecracker 12/1
Chester 4.05 - Dawn of Liberation 50/1ew
Chester 4.40 - Absolutely Flawless 6/1
Yesterday was decent. 28/1 just pipped, 12/1 winner and couple other winners and places.
Backed these last night....
2.25 Goodwood - John Chard VC 6/1
3.15 Haydock - Makarova 5/1
4.00 Bath - Desert Illusion 12/1ew
6.00 Curragh - Impact Warrior 4/1
Still thinking about the below ones...........
3.00 Goodwood - Split stakes on Blue Missile 7/1, Inner Space 8/1
3.35 Goodwood - Split stakes on Lyndon B 6/1, Nikaaza 5/1
5.20 Goodwood - Split stakes on Grandmaster Flash 12/1, Yorksea 11/4
7.00 Curragh - Verhoyen 14/1ew
7.30 Curragh - Gambe Veloci 11/1ew
a 12/1 winner always makes a poor runs feel less painful.
Haydock 3.30 - Chasseral 2/1 makes sense. Form is good behind Shaquille an Washington Heights. I wonder if Treble Glory 28/1ew is worth a few coins. The form behind Mill Stream reads really well. Last two races has been held up. If gets held up again will be annoying as this is a good C&D to try and make all.
Catterick 4.40 - Kitai 14/1 is chucked in if you ignore the last two races. Not sure what excuses there are. Wins or comes last.
Wolves 4.50 - Grand Central 28/1ew Back in Feb at Wolves ran a cracker over too far. Back in trip and down 9lb. Trevor rides well at the course, trainer had a few winners of late. Current form of horse is dire, so has to bounce back but maybe the Tapeta can do this.
Sandown 6.12 - Silastar 13/8 short but well handicapped still
Sandown 6.42 - Hackman 8/1ew to make all
Sandown 7.42 - Cash 5/1ew. The form with Westover is not ignorable. Maybe the better best is Cash without Desesrt Crown. Stoute farms this race.
Sandown 8.15 - Indemnify 12/1ew. Similar to top 3 bets, if bounces to form is chucked in.
Sandown 8.42 - If Greek Order 2/1 stays will likely win. Almarin 25/1ew. That Yarmouth race is interesting. 2nd now much higher rated and 3 went really close at Keenland in much better race than this.
2.00 Yarmouth - Alpha King 9/2 chucked in if fit. Samshed in betting
5.45 Yarmouth - Revolutionary Man 5/1 chucked in if goes on turf as well
3.30 Ayr - Al Husn 10/11 chucked in
5.05 Kempton - Clarkos Back 12/1, Papal Music 12/1
8.20 Southwell - First Man 6/1 if wind surgery works chucked in
Alpha, Man, Man trixie
Carlisle 5.15 - Prince Achille 3/1 should have won lto over C&D
Winsdor 5.00 - Vespasian 2/1 Formline with Great State
Winsdor 6.35 - Lethal Nymph 6/1ew
Windsor 7.05 - Fluerir 9/1 ew. Form behind Coppice?
Better yesterday. It's a hard day today. Pippin for some longshots only.
2.05 Newmarket - If this was 7f I'd be smashing Yellow Lion 33/1ew. Worth a play still as better ground may give more of a chance to get the mile. Acotanco rfc
2.40 Newmarket - Rogue Lightening 18/1ew. Eminency rfc
3.15 Newmarket - Signcastle City 14/1ew. Powerdress rfc
1.50 Newbury - Rabaah 9/1ew. Noble Syle rfc
3.00 Newbury - Bertinelli 8/1ew
3.35 Newbury - Laurel 4/1
4.10 Newbury - Dawn of Liberation 25/1ew
4.45 Newbury - Lmay 9/1ew
3.42 Thirsk - Justanotherbottle 8/1ew
Designer was backed from 8/1 into 4/1 but either the ground was too quick or closer to the rail the ground was just a lot slower with winners again coming more central
State Occasion was backed from 18/1 into 10/1 but fond the pace too quick but also ran against the rail and when moved more central towards the end picked up the pace.
ED was backed from 12/1 into 13/2 and was useless. I wrote in my comments not looking at the cards again incase back more. Obviously called out Croupier who won.
Passenger should have won but was useless. At this point I turned off.
Chesspiece won as per my comments to round off a shocker.
York 1.50 - Not a race should bet in but keeps me engaged for future form. Got to Love A Grey 10/3 collateral form with the Brocklesby. Split the stake with Dorothy Perkins 7/1
York 2.25 - Queen for You 4/1 has been priced up at 14/1 for the Coronation Stakes. 93 RPR on debut. Juliet Sierra 12/1
York 3.00 - Aramaic would be an interesting pick but bee off for long time. Nobel 5/1 is well handicapped but all horses in here have questions
York 3.35- Broome finally came good in Meydan. Followed it for so long. Had Quickthorn in that race in Meydan and would have been epic if won. Backed it because of the form against Coltrane at York. I hope doesn't win today :( I'm backing Siskany 9/4
York 4.10 - New Business 4/1 was travelling the best against Kathab before emptying out. Who will improve more. Let's see
York 4.45 - Titan Rock 15/2, Mudamer 28/1ew could be stinky plot
York 5.15 - Spartan Arrow 9/2 and Clearpoint 12/1 cliff horse
Newbury 1.30 - Flag of Truth 10/1
Newbury 2.05 - Tuxedo Junction 9/2
Newmaret 2.50 - Honinton 4/1
1.50 York - Designer 8/1ew. Improving C&D winner
2.25 York - State Occasion 18/1ew. Improving C&D winner
3.00 York - Eileen Dubh 12/1ew. Loves the C&D.
3.35 York - Passenger 5/1ew
4.10 York - Looking for Lydia 16/1ew
5.20 York - Knockbrex 9/2
One race, one horse. Not looking at Twitter or Oddschecker to put me off (like it did yesterday on Soul Sister 18/1 and Azure 12/1)
Laters
