Bets 24/06/2017

2.30 Ascot - September was HUGELY impressive on debut.

September 5pts 5/4
I also took 20/1 for 1kg next year.

3.05 Ascot -Elbtreth 14/1 1pt e/w

3.40 Ascot -Across the Stars 16/1 1pt ew

4.20 Ascot - Tin Man 6/1 1pt ew, Long on Value 20/1 1pt ew

5.00 Ascot -Sqauts, Amaour, Eastern Impact, Danzeon, Racous all on short list. Bloody draw, don;t know where to go :(

Racous 11/1, Amazour 16/1, Squats, 22/1, spread across track, 1pt ew

5.35 Ascot - Qewy 9/2 1ptew

Bets 23/06/2017 - Ascot Day 4

Thankfully only about 10 people read this blog. Ascot is usually the meeting I clear up every year, but last 2 days have wiped me out. 2 days left to salvage

Ascot 2.30 - Alpha Centruri 5pts win

Ascot 3.05 - Assume have to back one of these who ran in the Derby. Hmm which of the 5 though?! Or not? Crystal Ocean is rated 110 post 3 races so could have a lot more improvement than the rest of these. Permian, Best Solution and Khalidi looked beat it the Derby. Salouen and Glencadam Glory were staying on pretty well.

Crystal Ocean 11/4 5pts win
Saloeun w/o CO 11/2 0.5pts e/w
Glencadam Glory w/o CO 0.5pts e/w


Ascot 3.40 - Caravaggio should win. I have Blue point 8/1 Antepost. Clearly Harrys Angel is massive threat but can't back as well

Ascot 4.20 - Winter looks the class horse

Carravagio/Winter - 5pt Double win

Ascot 5.00 - Not getting any easier. Can't pick between Desert SKyline, Secret Advisro, Haripour and Stradivarius. With my form, probably none of them :)

Desert Skyline 8/1 1pt e/w
Stradivarius 11/1 1pt e/w
0.5pt R FC

Ascot 5.35 - Sixties Groove 8/1 1pt ew, Oasis Fantasy 20/1 1pt ew 0.5 RFC

Alpha Centuri, Crysal Ocen, Carra, Winter 2.5pts Quad
Clemmie, Salouen, Strav, Sixities, 0.5 ew yankee
Oasis Fantasy, Desert SKyline, Crystal Ocean, Clemmei, ew trebs, quads

Bets 22/06/2017 - Ascot Day 3

Oh boy; Day2 sucked.

Ascot 2.30 - Havana Grey and Frozen Angel bring the Sound and Silence formline. FA is CD winner, but draw has not been kind. Havana Grey looks solid either way. True Blue Moon also brings solid from posted Listed win. Santry is potentially decent too

Santry 7/1 1pt win
Havana Grey 8/1 1pt win
True Blue Moon 18/1 1pt ew

Ascot 3.05 - Only taking one formline here; Prix Du Jockey. So leaves Taj Mahal, Orderofgarter and Bay of Poets. Having seen the race, Taj looked like the pace maker and had the run of the race. The other two did not so would expect them to reverse the form

Orderofgarter 8/1 1pts ew
Bay of Poets 11/1 1pts ew
0.5 pts Rfc

Ascot 3.40 - Mori has been backed like cannot lose. Gracious Diana thumped her by 7 lenghts, albeit Mori flopped the start and was her debut but at 10times the price, might be daft not to play ew/ Naughty or Nice bring decent form across from Ireland and looked solid in last race.

Naughty or Nice 8/1 pts ew
Gracious Diana 20/1 1pts ew
Mori NoN forecast 1pt

Ascot 4.20 - Order of St George was very impressive last year and looks like he recaptured form in last race. Big Orange is an unknown stayer. Sheikhzayedroad looks a solid ew bet, but at the prices Quest For More is far better value and remember he beat Vazirabad in a G1 last year.

Order of St George Evs 4pts win
Quest for More 28/1 0.5 pts ew

Ascot 5.00 - Looking back to big handicap at Goodwood which Sutter C won. Several reopoosing each other today, and of them Medahim looks to have best chance after total blockage. Ronald R landed me a solid 14/1 last time,  but can't see him beating Son of the Stars today as he got totally merked by uneven ground and expected mega progression post 3rd race. Colibri looked really unlucky last time out.

Son of The Stars 6/1 2pts win
Colibiri 12/1 1pt ew
Medahim 33/1 1pt ew


Ascot 5.35 - Utah 14/1 1pt ew, Drohaid 12/1 1pt ew. 0.5 Rfc

Mori, OSG, Son of Stars 1pt Treble
True Blue Moon, Naighty or nice, Quest For More, Son of Stars, Yankee 0.5ew
Santry, Ofgarter, sonof star, master signer yanke 05.ew

Bets 21/06/2017 - Ascot Day 2

Doesn't get more painful than that. 14/1, 15/2, 7/1, 16/1, 40/1 all placed. E/w bets meant I made a profit, but when you look at the results Hobson, Aurelia, Ribby, Barney; defo a quad of obvious winners. Anyhow....

Today looks tougher (i think). Struggling to nail colours towards back end of day

2.30 Ascot - Le Brivido has the best form in the book by a long way and is 8lb clear on ratings.

Le Brivido 10/3 5pts win

3.05 Ascot - Happy Like A Fool is Wards best juvenile

Happy Like Fool  Evs5pts win

3.40 Ascot - Smart Call is top rated by 5lbs here but trppy race

Smart Call 4/1 2.5pts e/w

4.20 Ascot - I;m a sucker for Jack Hobbs.

Jack Hobbs 10/3 4pts win
Mekhtaal 16/1 0.5pts e/w

5.00 Ascot - I can't work this one out. Got 5 on the list still. El Vip 9/1 1pt win , Abe Linclon 10/1 1pt win, GK Chesteron 16/1 0.5ptew, Bossy Guest 18/10.5ptew, Another Touch 33/1 0.5ptew 


5.35 Ascot - Drumfad Bay looks pretty well handicapped here based on some of the horses has beaten back in Ireland.

There are still a lot on shortlist. urgh. Gymnaste obv well in, Grecian Light well handcicapped on older form, On Her Toes, ahead of mark, Tisbutadream lot of money for and CD winner, Asking could be improver, Dancing Breeze based on easy beating of Natavia could be chucked in, Lady Freya might still  be ahead of mark based on demolition job last time out, Propser I'm sure I backed for Oaks so could be chcuked in, Queen OF Time ahead of mark. URGH

Drumafad Bay 16/1 1pt e/w
Grecian Light 20/1 1pt e/w
Prosper 22/1 1pt e/w
Lady Freyja 40/1 0.25pts e/w
Total 6.5pts

Abe Linclon, Drumafad, Le Briv, Smart Call, Jack Hobbs, Happy Like Fool - Trebles, ew quads, ew fivs, ew 6fold (5pts)
Le Briv, Happy Like Fool, JAck Hobbs 2.5pt treble
Grec Light, GK Chestron 0.5pt ew double

Bets 20/06/2017 - Ascot Day1

Ascot 2.30 - In the QEII last year Ribchester didn't look the easiest of rides even though started to pull back Minding. Lightening Spear has 3lb extra to deal with so on that race not really that much between them, but I'm not convinced LS is G1 winner as shown in last 5 attempts. Mutakayyef destroyed a G2 field at the festival last year so has a solid chance on quick ground. Dutch connection beaten on formlines. Oh This is Us would have been decent outsider after luckless run last time but poor form at Ascot. Ennaad has cost me enough money and just didn't look good enough at Ascot last time. Cougar Mountain is a big eachway price as has place in this race before but fully exposed. Deauville is 16/1 which with Moore onbaord is frankly farcical. SO in short Ribchester, Mutakayyef and Deauville on shortlist

Ribchester on firm ground at the price looks short, so
Deauville 14/1 1pts e/w
Muakyyef 15/2 1pts e/w
R Fc 0.5pts
Total 5pts

Midday update - Mutty will be a NR so 3pts reinvested back on Ribchester


Ascot 3.05 - Hmm. I think Derrick, John & Michael might bag themselves a 1-2 here. Murillo beat a decent horse who wasn't far behind Declarationofpeace; a hot fave for later in day. Arawak is well fancied by Ward.

Arawak 7/1 1pts e/w
Murillo 7/1 1pts e/w
R Fc 0.5pts
Total 5pts

Ascot 3.40 - If a 3yr old wins this, then fair play to Wesley Ward. We all smashed into her last year and made our money, but this year for me has to be Marsha. She has won the Prix A'bbaye. Won the Temple House giving 4 lbs away but is now has 3lb pull due to the way the group penalties work. Got to be a solid bet here. I expect to see WDC ourun price today along with Goldream but still sticking with Marsha

Marsha 10/3 5pt win

Ascot 4.20 - A lot of talk about Barney Roy turning the tables today. I missed what others saw. I think Churchill had the slower ground on that rail after watching the meeting. Sticking with Chuchill who smashed Thunder Snow (rated 118) very easily.

Churchill 4/6 5pt win

Ascot 5.00 - Don't like staying handicaps, so no real strong fancy

Endless Acres 16/1 1pt e/w
Magic Circle 12/1 1pt e/w
R Fc 0.5 pts
Total 5pts 

Midday update - Totally should have researched this properly as Beyond Conceit 6/1 2pts win looks decent


Ascot 5.35 - Declarationofpeace based on formline of Murillo looks decent enough. Massive gamble (at time of writing 9pm on 19/06 on James Garfield who gave a 10 lenght headstart to scoot home)

Declarationofpeace 7/2 4pts win
James Garfield 40/1 0.5pt e/w
5pts total


Marhsa, Churchill, Ribchester 1.5pts Treble
Marsha, Decofpeace, Curchill  1.5pt Treble
Moore may have a huge day so Murrillo 7/1, Deauville 14/1, Decofpeace 7/2, WDC 14/1 0.1pt ew L15 (3pts total)
Deauville, Murillo, Marsha, Churchill, Endless Acres, Decofpeace, 0.1 trebles, quads ew, fives, ew, sixfold ew  Total 5pts
Beyond Conceit Marsha 1pt Double

Bets 10/06/2017

4.05 haydock mitchum swagger 4/1 course winner likes soft moore onboard
5.25 newmarket firnas 2/1 ahead of mark
7.15 chepstow adeel 11/8 chucked in off this mark

1.30pm update
3.40 newmarkt batts rock 7/1 backed last time got heels clipped annoying
2.55 haydock excelston 5/1 running back into form ised yo be high class
5.00 beverly all you 11/2 claimer and running on well last time

Bets 03/06/2017

Bent over yesterday (again). I either have amazing days or total wipeouts

Epsom
Tartini 4/1
Laugh Alud 11/10
Oh This Is Us 7/2
Desert Law 9/1
Cracksman 5/1.
Gawdawpalin 4/1
Clear Spring 14/1

Bets 02/06/2017

2.35 Epsom - If Remarkable takes to Epsom then brings the best form into the race, but it's an if and also might find this hard of top weight. Sixitis Groove is a solid 7lenght course winner but back from break and takes big step back in trip. GK Chesterton looks solid and Appebly yard in form, but not won any races of any significance. Spring Offensive ran well enough in Irish Lincoln after break and was favourite for the Thisk Hunt Cup last time out but had a merklish draw. Ran well enough in this race on paper last year, but when you watch the race, hit several bad passages and was mega keen all the way around. Looks much more settled now in races and as long as gets the breaks (or makes it like before), Spring Offensive 9/1 2pts ew gets the vote

3.10 Epsom - Something is not right here. US Army Ranger 14/1 2pts ew was 2nd in the Derby last year behind a horse than won both the Irish and British Derby. I was fuming as has US Army Ranger 20/1 Antepost and came from last to first, hampered on the way right round the outside. Clearly loves Epsom

3.45 Epsom - Brorocco 5/1 2.5pts ew Solid CD winner from last to first. If Fidawwy takes to Epsom have a real problem as this one caked Fastnet Tempo by 7lenghts

4.30 Epsom - Rhododendren 6/5 5pts win. Still think should have won the 1kG. Livid. Winter obvs now massively franked the form

5.15 Epsom - I have no idea really. Mr Scaramanga 20/1 1pt ew only beaten 2lenghts by Churchill, won a massive race in Qatar and nearly beat Law and Order with 3lb penalty, so to me is rated 106 which is top rated in race.

0.25pts e/w Trebles, 0.25pts ew quads, 0.5pt ew fivefold