Thursday 22 September 2016

Bets 22/09/2016

2.00 Newmarket - Eminent 8/1 was 18/1 last night. I'm following cash that is all; Frankel filly. Okool 3/1 most likley though

2.35 Newmartet - Fortune of War 12/1 feasibly well handicapped here.

3.10 Nemwarket - Unforgettable Filly 11/10; romped last time

3.40 Newmarket - Escobar 11/10 and 25/1 Antepost for 2KG; unbeaten solid

4.15 Newmarket - Seamour 3/1, bloody Baker killed me last time on a decent acc with this one. Knows better now but much tougher

4.50 Newmarket - William Hunter 11/2 on the upgrade enough in hand

5.20 Newmarket - Great Order 2/1 looks chucked in here, War Glory the threat I think




Sunday 18 September 2016

Bets 18/09/2016

4.10 Uttoxter - Gabrial The Great will blaze a trail and claimer Alan Johns will hold up Fayette Country 9/2 and come storming home. Needs to make sure does not give too much ground away though. Last time over C&D in C2 was about 10 lengths down. Dropped 2lb plus a 5lb claim, down in class and TV in decent nick, big chance. I've gone e/w 9/2

Saturday 17 September 2016

Bets 17/09/2016

I've had sooo mnay 2nds in the big handicaps last few weeks, but good to land the Bronze Cup winner yesterday. I've stopped going each way even though today is one of those days I should, I'm sticking with otn. I think I'm making a rookie mistake back a few O'Meara runners today as stable in such bad form but they are on good marks.

AYR

Ayr 1.35 - Thiurd Order 13/2 ahead of mark, form good

Ayr 2.00 - Bletchly and Draumfad Bay both stepping down from G2 company. DF beat Brave Anna by over 2 lenghts and Bletch only by a head, so on paper even though prefer Bletch Drumfad Bay 8/1 is far better value.

Ayr 2.35 - If Kickboxer was drawn low would have lumped but not. Instisaab 8/1 should have won last time out, C&D winner time to make amends. Eccleston 14/1 is on a winnable mark, decent enough course form and was flying home late last time. Shipyard is again coming in for a lot of support so interesting, but will pass.

Ayr 3.10 - Fort Bastion has dropped to a tempting mark but is in dire form. Morando is the likley winner, but I cant back 3yr olds in competitive handicaps when ground is not good or better. So, Two for Two 10/1 C&D winner is very good form gets my pick

Ayr 3.45 - Both Magnus Maximus and Final Venture are ahead of their mark but both drawn badly. Goldie nearly had two big priced winners yesterday so going with his C&D winner Jack Dexter. Backed 20/1 Antepost. The other one you have to back is GForce 14/1 Group1 winner once rated 118 looking like back to form in last race. Growl 6/1 is however a solid fave based on form. The tricast pays 1100/1 :)

Ary 4.10 - Flight Officer 4/1. SBS back to form. Ground is right, draw not important at this distance

Ayr 4.55 - Thats the Spirit 6/1. Listed winner once rated 106 back in C3 handicap and back to conditions that suit. Stable form a worry though

Ayr 5.30 - Hardstone 10/1 won this last year from 6lb higher.

NEWBURY. Differing reports all between heavy and good, good to soft which is fooking annoying. How are we supposed to bet with that kind of info

Newbury 1.10 - Swiss Storm 5/2 cost me a lot of money last time. I want it back :)

Nebury 1.45 - Dartmouth has to deal with a penalty or soft ground. Robin of Navan 3/1 is a G1 winner on soft and at the weights can beat the fave

Newbury 2.50 - I canb't decide between Muzdawaj 8/1, Waht About Carlo 14/1 and Sennoicak Star 33/1

Newbury 3.25 - Cotai Glory 4/1 top rated good course form and on soft behind Profitbale. Needs to bonce back to form though as Ridge Ranger looks a huge inform threat

Newbury 5.05 - Crystal Ocean 9/4

NEWMARKET

Newmarket 1.35 - Spirit of India 7/1

Newmarket 2.05 - Whoxthecat 5/1

Newmarket 3.15 - Borocco 14/1

Newamarket 3.50 - Solid Ebor Form, Shrewd 16/1. Ravenous 16/1 form also very very good

Newmarket 5.00 - Elrazzy 5/2 chucked in. Form massively franked

Newmarket 5.35 - Zwayyan 5/2 ahead of mark

WOLVES

Wolves 7.10 - Kindly 2/1 back on AW. Well in on AW mark

Friday 16 September 2016

Bets 16/09/2016

3.05 Ayr - Orient Class 8/1

3.20 Newbury - Who Dares Wins 7/2

4.15 Ayr - Dark Defender 10/1, Classic Seniority 16/1

Thursday 15 September 2016

Bets 15/09/2016

Ayr 2.00 - Silvery Moon 8/1. C&D winner, down in class and in trip, ground in favour

Ayr 3.05 - Jay Kay 6/1. C&D winner, solid formline

Ayr 3.40 - Asian Wing 9/2. Course winner who cantered to win here last time, but have to ignore current form

Yarmouth 3.50 - Dawn Missile 7/2 solid form

Ayr 4.50 - Almodovar 7/4, C&D winner, top rated.

Yarmouth 5.00 - Myopic Evs

Ayr 5.20 - Lottery. Keep an eye on this for the drawbias. Malaysian Boleh 12/1 the horse that broke a £3k acc and then bolted up next time out.... Looks like Ellison brought him back to life judging from last run

Yarmouth 5.30 - Gothic Empire 12/1 won by 8l over C&D. Back in grade from a C3.

Saturday 10 September 2016

Bets 10/09/2016

Donny 2.35 - Red Pike 20/1, Outdo 20/1, Double Up 12/1... HMMM.

Donny 3.10 - Addaay 6/1

Donny 3.45 - Idaho 4/5 is 7lb clear on ratings

Donny 4.20 - Harbour Master 2/1

Donny 4.50 - Czabo 12/1, Can't Change It 12/1

Donny 6.00 - Argus 10/3

Leopardstown 4.35 - Pyromaniac 8/1

Leopardstwon 5.35 - Persuasive 3/1

Leopardstown 6.45 - Minding 3/1 has won 6 G1s......

Leopardstown 7.20 - Big Time 5/1




Friday 9 September 2016

Bets 09/09/2016

1.55 Donny - Nemoralia 10/11. Course winner and best form on table. Should have won at the Breeders last year. Best horse in the race. Sadly favourites don't do well in this race and I worry about Stable form, however still think will take something very good to be Nemo.

2.30 Donny - The Morny form is by far the best formline so Tis Marvellous 3/1

3.05 Donny - Too tough at top of market so going long shot All Talk N No Do 33/1 C&D winner off feather weight with James Doyle up. Baker gone to Seamour 7/1 which might be a clue or might just be stable arrangement. No idea

3.40 Donny - Sheikhayedroad 6/1. Course winner and arguably better than QFM based on Goodwood Cup run. Big chance. Clondaw Warrior huge threat was second in this last year.

4.15 Donny - Taamol 2/1

4.50 Donny - Top rated, 3yr allowance, Khairaat 2/1

5.25 Donny - Get Knotted 11/2 solid run over C&D

Thursday 8 September 2016

Bets 08/09/2016

1.55 Donny - Rosabell 12/1. Beat Grizzel 4.5 lengths and some form with Equimou who ran with credit yesterday. Potentially ahead of mark. The problem with 2yr olds, only the trainers really know how much they've improved and money markets are the ones to follow. Worth watching before the off if you don't have a job! Blooming Lovley 10/1 had money last night and this arvo

2.30 Donny - Blending 11/4

3.05 Donny - Pretty Perfect 8/1. Romped a G3 few races back. Quicker ground didnt suit but extended trip will play to strengths

3.40 Donny - Stormy Clouds 13/2 & Mubtasim 11/2. Firefrigth might run well at huge prices but will stick with the to drawn well with solid form and decent weights. Stormy CLouds is here off a light weight as well and how was 10/1 last time I'll never know with the form line. Global Applause has ended up costing me a lot in antepost bets and is by a few pounds the best horse in the race, but I just think is a 5f horse.

4.00 Chepstow - Jabbar 3/1, back in trip on good mark

4.15 Donny - Lusory has the most potential, Poets Word the most hype, but Central Square 11/2 has the course form, jockey and stable form.

6.00 Donny - Nearly landed the handicap yesterday. Got 2nd and 3rd for 3 picks. Today. Higland Acclaim 10/1 has won off this mark before and in good nick; Celebration 14/1 brings best form to the table; Fairway to Heaven 10/1 won of this mark at Doncaster 3 years ago with Dettori onbaord. Big D back onbaord. Lucky Beggar was next on list.

7.10 Chelmsfordf - Honorina 5/4 chucked in based on form behind Nemoralia

Wednesday 7 September 2016

Bets 07/09/2016

Donny 2.00 - Akhlaaq 6/4. Prominent in antepost markets for big races

Donny 2.30 - Andok 6/4 looks chucked in especially after second in last race bolted up yesterday. Notalot won't be far way. Mr Hobbs is 14/1 into 6/1. Hmm. Sticking with Andok.

Donny 3.00 - On all known form Muthmir 7/2 wins. The 2yr old Equimou 8/1 is worth a nibble with the Danvers formline and 28lb allowance!?

Donny 3.35 - WhotheCatz 40/1 (Currently a reserve) but big ew chance if gets in. Lottery otherwise. Sophiesticated Heir 9/1. Was 14/1 last night so just following money no other explanation. Bluff Craig 4/1 looks a worthy fave

Donny 4.10 - Take The Helm 14/1. Horse behind in last race won next time out. TTH was unluckly last time. Meehan in good nick and won this race last year.

Donny 4.45 - Hmm. Mount Logan 7/4. Course winner but has a lot of weight to concede. tough.. Not sure why Windshear 14/1 is soo big

Donny 5.15 - Seamster 18/1 C&D winner; ignore last race. Tyler Wonder 14/1 decent Irish form and well in at weights based on last run. Musharrif 12/1 better off at weights than Seamster. Urgh such a crap race really.


6.00pm update.
After Tyler Wonder 14/1 was chinned on the line I need some more action:

6.25 Kempton - Hellfire 13/8. Solid run last time when hampered.

6.55 Kempton - Always A Dream 11/4, solid run 2 races ago.

7.55 Kempton - Pacofilha 7/2 decent RPR at Kemp over furlong less, staying on well

8.25 Kempton - Paladin 20/1 ew

Saturday 3 September 2016

Bets 03/09/2016

2.40 Ascot- Squats 9/1, Yattawee 9/1
3.10 Ascot - Stargazer 5/2
3.40 Ascot - Boomerang Bob 50/1, Shamson 7/1

2.25 Haydock - Frankuus 9/2
3.30 Hyadock - Walpole 13/2
4.00 Haydock - Confessional 12/1, Dutch Masterpiece 8/1
4.30 Haydock - Quiet Relfaction 5/1, TIn Man 8/1

3.45 Kempton - Arab Spring 6/5

3.55 Thirsk - In The City 11/4

Friday 2 September 2016

Bets 02/09/2016

Haydock 2.45 - Frankel foal cost me a fair bit in losing accers yesterday. I did call out the two biggest threats who ended up 1st and 2nd. There was no money for Swiss, but Harba 11/10, there is solid support for.

Haydock 3.20 - Course winner, solid last few runs, good draw; Cosmic Chatter 8/1. Mass Rally 20/1 Solid course performer and just a good loyal old boy

Haydock 3.35 - The 2 C&D winners drawn best, in the best form and on winning marks are Apricot Sky 7/1, Orient Class 7/1. Thorntoun Lady 28/1 is best at the weights but awful form last 4 races.

Haydock 4.30 - Lord Ben Stack 16/1 course winner, form franked by Cymro yesterday. Grapevine 8/1 decent enough yr old form. I'm probably being stupid here as Muzdawaj is the likely winner.

Haydock 5.00 - Alnashma 3/1 on the bid for a 4 timer


Ascot 4.55 - Takatul 2/1 on the bid for a 4 timer







Thursday 1 September 2016

Bets 01/09/2016

The faves on paper look decent, but almost inevitably I'll get merked on a fair few of them.

Haydock 2.00 - Elrazzy 7/4. Gosden currently on 30% SR and here at Haydock in this type of race is 32%SR. Hanagan ride 22% SR at the track. Money for the horse throughout yesterday evening. Blew the start on debut, lost at least 5 lengths and then flew home to take 4th so looks decent enough. Looks by far the best of those that have run. The one horse that has not run is Smashed so know nothing about how good could be. High Command is a beaten fve so could bounce back but didn't look great.

Haydock 2.30 - Swiss Storm 11/8 - Frankel Crop. Gallop reports are positive. No early evening money which odd, but let';s see. Pens Dutch worries me on paper and Roaring Character is the best of those who has run under belts

Haydock 3.00 - Bloody Star Archer. Cost me before and draw is bad. Top drawn over a mile at Haydock do really really well so Inception 16/1

Haydock 3.30 - Zwayyan 6/4 is defo ahead of mark. Bolted up last time. The horse he beat was beaten less strikingly by Sky Kingdom, Mulk and Munthaa. The biggest worry is always will he take to Haydock and 3yr olds don't do that well in this. Hmmm

Salisbury 3.40 - Perfect Angel 2/1 beat Promsing who went on to be second in a Group race. Also beat Boquet Des FLores who although not won is highly thought of.

Haydock 4.00 - Dark Emerald was a solid 2nd in this last year but at the weights Muwaary 7/4 is 7lbs better off. Muwarry get perfect trip though maybe wants ground slightly quicker. He was given far too much to do at York but the Jersey stakes form shows up to winning a race like this. Forge is a huge danger but after Thikriyaat got beat into last the form takes a bit of a hit.

Haydock 4.30 - Stars Over The Seas is the obvious pick here, but the ground is not as quick as would like and Haydock form is dire enough for me to take on. SBS horses still need a watching brief after a torrid year, but on paper is chucked in. Gabriels King 14/1

Haydock 5.00 - Amateur racing harder to pick the winner. Hmm. Dark Amber looks like a bit of a plot now in new headgear, but Diletta Tommasa 4/1 get the vote. Ignore last two runs on AW, won on turf race before that, has the best jockey in the race