Tuesday 31 May 2022

Bets 31.05.2022

 United Nations out the Derby sums everything up right now....


3.10 Newbury - Scampi 11/2ew

3.40 Newbury - Piffle 12/1ew

4.10 Newbury - Dream Show 12/1ew

Sunday 29 May 2022

Bets 29.05.2022

 Good to get a couple winners and few places yesterday. Limited the accas and made a big different to end of day numbers. Ew plays less risk less reward but fine.

13.33 marrianafoot 9/2ew

2.45 Above the curve 7/4

3.25 pretty tiger 7/4

Friday 27 May 2022

Bets 28.05.2022

 Looked back over last few weeks. Mad couple silly big bets. Got done into places by horse backed off boards last min who didnt' look well in on paper and worse two horses I backed last time out have won this last week (th week I took off). Primo I backed 40/1, won 28/1. FUMING. Anyway all good.


Haydock 1.10 - He's a Gentleman 9/1ew (4places) Form with Barley who winner for me

Haydock 1.45 - Atagirl 22/1ew (4places) 3yr old sallowance makes it 2nd top rated. Listed winner. Course winner. Distance winner.

Haydock 2.20 - Scarlet Dragon 10/1ew (5places) Best handicapped horse in race on best form

Haydock 2.55 - Lady Hayes 11/2 ew (4places) Decent on rating and trends. Solid run over C&D last year in a G2

Haydock 3.30 - Pogo 8/1 ew (4places)

Haydock 4.05 - Mitrosonfire 16/1ew (4places)

Haydock 4.40 - Windseeker 8/1ew (3places)

---

Chester 2.35 - Origintail 9/4 chucked in on handicap debut surely

Chester 3.10 - Mancici 28/1ew (3places). Speculative sure, but if puts in 50% better effort will go close.

Chester 3.45 - Oh This is Us 6/1ew (4places) Loves it here, good draw, best handicapped on top form



Saturday 21 May 2022

Bets 22.05.2022

 Fack. Right. Accounts have been zeroed with these bets from minor wins yesterday. Then I won’t be back for 1 week. 7 day deposit block on all accounts…

3.45 Concert Hall 14/1

4.35 Latin Lover 10/1

5.35 Pendelton 8/1

6.40 Eapresso 7/2


Laterz


Bets 21.05.2022

 Have tried so many differing angles over last couple days, but been absolutely blasted. 

Going back to old using just RP and videos. Handicap heaven today. If I have a negative PnL today going to take a week off......


York 1.40 - Another Batt is the best handicapped on best form, but surely a progressive horse in the pack? Tomfre would have won this last year off this weight, but was so poor last time out but been backing so many horses this year in hope will bounce back, so will pass this time. Escobar is tempting but maybe a place job until mark goes down a few lb.s

Oo De Lally has the profile of a 4 year old improver. Gets a solid 7lb claim, drawn okay, Balding is good enough form so seems versatile regarding ground. 

Oo De Lally 6/1ew


1.45 Goodwood - SHouldn't bet in a race like this, but River Pride in good form and back to 7f can go close.

River Pride 13/2ew


York 2.20 - I can't see anyting massively well handicapped. COnserative if ground goes soft may be the one based Sailsbury run, but Meade's runner dont' typically fair well at York and given is fave not sure can back it. Piastrella was also of some interest, but will stick with a horse I backed last time out in Zulu Tracker. I thougth was well handicapped last time. Gone down a lb, back with Coakley and still think the Wanees form is okay. Draw centre good so can pick which way to go but assume lower better.

Zulu Tracker 11/1ew


Haydock 2.35 - Supposeldy you need handicap experience to win this race according to stats and Outgate is interesting with course form, but I think Tollard Road is well handicapped off 91


Tollard Road 16/1

Outgate 10/1


York 2.55 - The form with Raasel and  Rebel at Dwn stick out for me. I backed Alligator Alley last time so be pissed if wins today but I think Sir Titus is better handicapped looking at formlines with Raassel and also Alligator not raced well yet on this ground?

Sir Titus 13/2ew


Haydock 3.10 - Backed Go Bears all last season and maybe this wins today. I think the Cox nags will go close to beating it. Both solid improvers and probably better value. Cattura maybe the pick as Kirby choose this? Or maybe Flaming Rib will be the one. Hmm. WIll stick to COx ones as they look like still improving.

Cattura 10/1

Wings of War 18/1


York 3.30 - I'm relying on Ed Walker and Coakley again. Glenartney was struck into last race, running over too short at Donacster, screwed up a list race here by being slow away and then hanging. Was thought of good enough to run in the Muisodora and only 6lenghts behind Snowfall. If gets some luck today I think will go really close as potentially still a chuck of improvement left. I just hope stays.....

Glenarthy 6/1ew


Haydock 3.45 - King's Lynn maybe the one to take advantege IF Winter flops.

Kings Lynn 11/2 ew

 

Haydock 4.20 - Tentative but checking some logic out. Good draw, winner over distance, back to form so hopefully improving again. Good run last tiem from poor draw and form franked. Trainer and Jockey don't necessarily do well here hence the tentativeness.

Bicep 10/1ew


York 4.42 - Haggas is smashing them in, but Maplewood without the 7lb is well handicapped. WIth it is half a stone well in...

Maplewood 11/4


Goodwood 4.35 - Mr Beaufort ahead of mark. Adzeni booked. 

Mr. Beaufort 5/1ew


Haydock 4.45 - Muntadab is best handicappe horse so could baounce back any time, but I reckon Unlce Jumbo is next best handicapped. Looked unuklcy two races out and last race bit difficult to ride. If gets some luck and keep in check will outrun odds.

Unlce Jumbo 25/1ew




Friday 20 May 2022

Bets 20/05/2022

 Getting beat down. Still tracking. Nearly 1k down since 06/05/


1.35 Goodwood - Wodeton 9/2ew

2.10 Goodwood - Bella Veneta 40/1ew

2.45 Goodwood - Montassib 11/8

3.20 Goodwood - Lysander 5/2

4.30 Goodwood - Cheerry Cola 25/1ew


1.20 Haydock - Legendary Day 9/2ew


Thursday 19 May 2022

Bets 19/05/2022

 3.50 - Jumira Bridge 15/2ew, So Savvy 50/1ew, rfc


Will look at sandown cards shorlty


Sandown 5.40 - She's a rocket 11ew

Sandown 615 - De Veags Warrior 16/1ew

Sandown 6.45 - Grenoble 10/1ew

Sandwon 7.15 - Reach for the Moon 11/4

Sandown 7.45 - Fransceso Celmentatin 1/2

Sandown 8.20 - Professional Widow 5/2



Sunday 15 May 2022

Bets 15.05.2022

I said yday evening after flop bets with 0 research wouldnt bet like that again. Just did the same thing now :) :) :) also with rfcs




Saturday 14 May 2022

Bets 14.05.2022



 Decent forecast in first race made another good day.

Not much time today. Punts on singles and doubles too

Friday 13 May 2022

Bets 13.05.2022

 back in the game yesterday with Lilac Road. I won't add my pre-race bets to the pnl, but I made a decent whack from them.


York 1.50 - Hannon nag looks decent sure but I can't take my eyes of the Burke nags. Yashat and Pillow Talk. Assume Lee picked to ride Yashat so perhaps more up my street also with more experience. Lost Angel who was beat by Yashat beat PIllow Talk, though Pillow talk had a much tougher race. 

Yashat 6/1

rfc Yashat/Pillow Talk 


York 2.25 - Grande Dame probably wins, but Perfect News a lot more experienced and GD has maybe a stone improvement to find? 

Perfect News 5/1


York 3.00 - If Rogue Bear stays, wins.

Rogue Bear 2/1. May back this with the faves in 1.50 and 2.25...


York 3.35 - At the weights Search For A Song wins. I was ready to back Kypios in this but an NR, so next best thing on form

Search for a Song 9/4


York 4.10 - New Comedy 11/2


York 4.45 - Challet 6/1. Safron may go close to reversing form.


York 5.20 - Peggy Soioux 11/1, Red Warning 20/1 rfc







Wednesday 11 May 2022

Bets 12.05.2022

 Old habits yesterday. Oops. Down £509.60 in total


York 1.50 - Alligator Alley was running in breder juvenile turf couple years ago. solid C&D winner. Back with a very respectable run after a long lay off. sure there's the bounce to worry about but was sandwiched between 100+ rated nags so this is by far the best handicapped horse on best form in race.


Alligator Alley 8/1


York 2.25 - Lilac Road unlucky not to beat VIlle De Grace couple runs back. Stoute tends to have horse fit first race I think Lilac Road needed last race. Much better value at 9/1


Lilac Road 9/1


York 3.00 - Trais Flour well handicapped horse in race on best form and a bit of a cliff horse in big handicaps for me. Lookd pretty unlucky last time out, just not wholly inspired by form at York. The one who loves York and probably best handicapped is Whats the Story. Mighty unlucky in this race last year and 9lb lower today. Needs some luck 

Whats The Story 11/1ew

Trais Flopur 9/1ew (NR)

Rfc 95/1


York 3.35 - Was daft taking on Emily Upjohn. When I look back at AoB big winner this year all had a prep run. The one yesterday hadn't daft to go so big also (of course). So be interesting to see how Blue grass gets on more just as a test of trends? El Bodegon sure beat Stone Age but that was first run for Stoen Age and improved massively next time out. Desert Crown could be anything and it a guessing game. Magestiral I have antepost for the Debry so dont't feel the need to back it now but think decent. A lot of money for Royal Patronage and I can never get his horses right. 

rfc Magesterial / Bluegrass. 33/1 I might keep an eye on the market and if any last minute money for the AoB nag will latch on


York 5.20 - Master Millineir should get within 2lenght of a horsewithnoname and with the strng course record has a squeak to reverse form.

Master Milliner 3/1





Tuesday 10 May 2022

Bets 11.05.2022

A casual £210 down since 06/05/22. Good to track.....

Sussex was not declared for Dante, so some more APs dead. Going well.....


York 1.40 - Forza Orta looks a decent handicapper and will hopefully keep progressing. Rowan knows the horse well and FO and stable in good form. However MJ's nag Kingss Prince is chucked in if repeats some its early juvenile form. Clearly has to bounce back, but it's MJ so it can. Gaassee beat nothing on turf debut with a 5lb claim and up 9lb for an easy AW handicap win. Could be hosed in, but not enough form on turf for me. Zabeel is interesting back from hurdling but will stick with two. Will hit r/fc too


York 2.25 - Abermama Gold ran 6 lengths behind the winner in this race last year. Now 14lb lower, had a win op (Dalgeish runners post wind op have strong strike rate) and to top it off D Souse booked. Last time horse and jockey teamed up Oct20 and won 9/1. Ran to an RPR of 102 when winning a listed race over C&D. Assuming wind op did the trick this nag gona notch up a number of handicap wins.

Makahanah loves it around York and I think of this mark / weight / ground looks decent value. I just hope Murry gets going on Makky early enough as always doing best worked late on and staying on. Will hit r f/c too.

Premier Power could be dangerously handicapped with Hurricane Ivor formlines and also with Aberama Gold

If Strike Red wins will be annoyed as backed last time out, but wonder whether this be a better punt at Royal Ascot...?


York 3.00 - If Minzaal had a prep there'd be no problem calling it to win, but probably best left to the July Cup or RA. Emaarty Ana is top rated and a C&D winner with a run. Hoping Dubai just a blip. Hurrican Ivor markedly stepped up after first run last season. Ran a crazker in skybet handicap here, has won in quick succession too before.


York 3.35 - Emily Upohn loks decent for sure, but right now AOB is farming everything so backing The Argave at 8/1. HAs serious pedigree performance. If does win 33/1 for Oaks will be a gift. I backed Snowfall in this last year but didn't back the AP on Oaks :) May go big on oddschecker with an in running lay


York 4.10 - No way should be backing 3 Kevin Ryan horse today, but really on paper The Cookstown Cafu is really well handicapped. Was so keen on System last time, but really flopped. Hope doesn't screw me today :)


York 4.45 - I rarely do this as I normally need proof of turf performance. However Obisdian Knight is potentially really well handicapped based on last race Crowley rode it

Minzaal, Gaaase, Emily Upjohn, Samburu muggy fave acca 22/1


13:40 York Forza Orta  15/2 Total: £ 10   Return: £

13:40 York Kings Prince  20/1 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

13:40 York Forza Orta / Kings Prince rfc  150/1 Total: £ 10 e/w  Return: £

14:25 York Aberama Gold  16/1 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

14:25 York Makanah  16/1 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

14:25 York Aberama Gold / Makanah rfc  228/1 Total: £ 10 e/w  Return: £

15:00 York Emaraaty Ana  12/1 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

15:00 York Hurricane Ivor  25/1 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

15:00 York Emaraaty Ana / Hurricane Ivor rfc  230/1 Total: £ 10 e/w  Return: £

15:35 York The Algrave (With in running lay) 8/1 Total: £ 100   Return: £

15:35 York The Algrave (Place bet) 7/4 Total: £ 75   Return: £

16:10 York The Cookstown Cafu  11/2 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

16:45 York Obsidian Knight  11/2 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

Acca Total: £ 150   Return: £0



Bets 10.05.2022

1.15 Chepstow - Dundory won so easily over C&D last time out. SIr Plato should go close to truning tables.

3.10 Beverly - Son and Sannies to lose

3.40 Beverly - Elixsoft is race not too soon. Only given a hard ride for a furlong or so so hopefully all good. races 7lb lower too.


Need some fave morale / pot boosters :)

13:15 Chepstow Dundory 11/4 Total: £ 20   Return: £

15:10 Beverley Son and Sannie 7/4 Total: £ 20   Return: £

15:40 Beverley Exilsoft 2/1 Total: £ 20   Return: £

  Acca Total: £ 40  Return: £0

Monday 9 May 2022

Antepost Bets

 Now that I have got the tracker back I've whacked all my AP bets in. Some of these are very stupid :)

Some serious leverage on a couple of horses. Didn't realise until put it all in one place!!!!


AP English Derby Nations Pride 14/1 Total: £ 30 e/w  Return: £

AP English Derby United Nations 50/1 Total: £ 30 e/w  Return: £

AP English Derby Newfoundland 50/1 Total: £ 30 e/w  Return: £

AP English Derby Magisterial 25/1 Total: £ 30 e/w  Return: £

AP  English Derby - United Nations (50/1), Oaks - Thoughts of June (14/1) Double ew Acca Total: £ 10 e/w  Return: £

AP Kings Stand Whenthedealisdone 66/1 Total: £ 30 e/w  Return: £

AP The Oaks Thoughts of June 100/1 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

AP  English Derby (Point Lonsdale 9/1), Emily Upjohn (Arc 33/1), Concert Hall (Oaks 12/1) Trixie ew Acca Total: £ 40 e/w  Return: £

AP  English Derby - Reach For The Moon (10/1), Oaks - Concert Hall (16/1) Double ew Acca Total: £ 20 e/w Lost Return: £0

AP The Oaks Concert Hall 16/1 Total: £ 30 e/w  Return: £

AP  English Derby - Magisterial (25/1), Oaks - Thoughts of June (16/1) Double ew Acca Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

AP  English Derby - Waterville (16/1), Oaks - Concert Hall (16/1), St Leger - Stone Age (25/1) Trixie ew Acca Total: £ 10 e/w  Return: £

AP Norfolk Brave Nation 16/1 Total: £ 30 e/w  Return: £

AP Commonwealth Averly Jane 14/1 Total: £ 50 e/w  Return: £

AP Dante Stakes Sussex 20/1 Total: £ 30 e/w  Return: £

AP  English Derby - United Nations (50/1), Dante - Sussex (20/1) Double ew Acca Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

Sunday 8 May 2022

Bets 09.05.2022

 United Nations only winner at weekend and maybe a decent position for Derby


Catterick 2.30 - Wholly speculative, but a drop back to 5f may be key here. Primo has show near to nothing of late but I backed WIngs of War in the racee Primo ran in. Look at the race now and WIngs of War G2 winner (109 rated), Mr McCann C2 winner (102 rated), Maglev running  in G2s (98 rated) and even the horse behind Conducive rated 60. Primo is running back in 5f on good ground with a jockey who does relatively well at Catterick on a mark of 48!......At 40/1 up for an ew punt


Wolves 3.40 - Jumped on trainers ocmments that 11/1 was too gernerous for Robasta. On paper not convinced by 7f but backing it blind either way ;?


15:40 Wolves Robasta 11/1 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

14:30 Catterick Primo 40/1 Total: £ 20 e/w  Return: £

Acca Total: £ 10   Return: £0







Saturday 7 May 2022

Bets 07/05/2022

No idea what weather will do to track. Assuming will be good/gs.


Fuming that Latin Lover switched the entire width of the course at Ascot. Sure would have won, but the jocks know where best ground is but 0.2 difference on goingstick debatable to me.

 Ascot 1.45 - Boss POwer maybe better on AW, but Stoute flying and hoping track will suit as if does will go well.


Ascot 2.20 - Al Aasy deffered a race at Chester to come here so clearly thoughts are has better chance winning here. 8lb clear of anything in the race so likley winner but final race on Champions Day puts me off enough. Stowell a solid C&D winner, had a prep run and Gosden nags can improve beyond reasonable numbers.

Lingfield 2.40 - United Naitions ran on well last time. AOB in stonking form. 50/1 AP for derby worht nibble for bants.

Asscot 4.05 - I love handicaps, but not this.I'm confused about draw and so many maybes.

Dark Shift solid C&D winner, Popmaster has a confident trainer, solid course record and step up looks the right thing and Aratus, well maybe this is the group horse in a handicap? Clearly One Ruler is the group horse here but was a cliff horse for me so all to prove


Ascot 4.40 - If Tw4isted Reality repeats that form behind Ashadaa wins here.


Ascot 5.15 - World of Windover interesting. 


Out of time. URGH:


13:45 Ascot Boss Power 9/1 Total: £ 20 e/w Lost Return: £0

14:20 Ascot Stowell 4/1 Total: £ 20 e/w Lost Return: £0

16:05 Ascot Pop Master 25/1 Total: £ 20 e/w Lost Return: £0

16:05 Ascot Dark Shift 11/1 Total: £ 20 e/w Lost Return: £0

16:05 Ascot Aratus 16/1 Total: £ 20 e/w Lost Return: £0

16:40 Ascot Twisted Reality 10/1 Total: £ 20 e/w NR Return: £20

00:00  United Nations 4/1 Total: £ 20  Win Return: £96

17:15 Ascot World of Windover 9/1 Total: £ 20 e/w Lost Return: £0

Acca Total: £ 55  Lost Return: £0




Friday 6 May 2022

Bets 06.05.2022

 I re-read some of my earlier blogs to find some inspiration and pulled out the Excel I used to use. Let's see if helps my discipline or not :)

Will work on formatting later. Have hidden most of the columns.


Okay, we are back up and running.....Still need to sort formatting. Used to enter it all manually 10 years ago. Not doing that again. Will automate it all.




13:30 Chester Boosala 9/2 Total: £ 20 e/w Placed Return: £19
14:05 Chester Baryshnikov 4/1 Total: £ 20  Win Return: £92
15:15 Chester Solent Gateway 5/1 Total: £ 20 e/w Lost Return: £0
16:35 Ascot Latin Lover 14/1 Total: £ 20 e/w Placed Return: £38
Acca Total: £ 30  Lost Return: £0