Saturday 23 November 2019

Bets 23/11/2019

Haydock 12.05 - Second in g2 bumper annd would be unbeaten over hurdles if didnt fall Thebannerkingrebel 13/8

Haydock 1.50 - Man Of Plenty 201/1 ew 2nd in this couple years back off a weight now wih cliamer that good go close. Clealy still rate the horse given running in listed handicaps, so this is a step down in class

Haydock 2.25 - Breaking Waves and Tedham looks decent both staying on in last race. I'm torn but will go with Breaking Waves 8/1ew who looked in better shape but Tedham now second run post wind op so who knows? rfc?

Haydock 3.40 - Speculative punt on Kings Monarch 8/1ew. Ran a few decent races over shorter distances. Suspect needed last run. If gona stay will be today as Lee does well in handicaps on this course and suspect wouldnt bother otherwise.

Ascot 12.20 - Valtour is so obvious, but looks a 3miler and having been chasing will he take to hurdles over less distnace? Probably, but lets go Vinnie Dev 15/2 ew, who is fit and looked well last time out or maybe a rfc? hmm

Ascot 1.30 - Oscar Rose 5/1 could have won this last year. Has improved since, bolted up last time, gets a decent 3lb claim and trainer in form.

Ascot 2.40 - If the Cap Fits 3/1, won this last year and at the weighs even though seems to be money for Rocksana shouldnt turn the tables? Call ME Lord looks best at Sandown

Ascot 3.20 - Marracuja 14/1 ew if is ridden more prominently has solid chance of a lowly weight. Has been rated higher and stable still in good nick.

Ascot 3.50 - El Torando 10/1 ew purley based on trainer form in bumpers



Sunday 17 November 2019

Bets 17/11/2019

12.45 - Voodoo Doll 20/1 ew solid course form, lower mark ran well last time out

1.15 - Be surprised if it wasnt one of the top 3 in market that won. Urgent looks best weighted on current form but Kingswell has beaten it before and Fact of Matter in the mix too all based on C&D form behind Tiger Roll. Given I can get 70/1 - 85/1 for combi tricast I'd rather change that :) Maybe Fact of Matter 5/1 gets the vote given age on his side and maybe more improvement left

1.50 - Getaway Trump 11/8 will be fit now and weight onside to reverse form with Al Dancer

3.00 - Bennys Bridge 8/1 solid C&D horse. Bolted up last time and hopefully still improving so overcome the rise.

4.00 - Time Flies By 5/6






Saturday 16 November 2019

Bets 16/11/2019

12.05 - Solid 3rd in Champion Bumper, wins a G2 on hurdling debut; Thyme Hill 6/4 has to be the one to beat

12.40 Nicholls farms this race and Mick Pastor 5/4 looks the part on paper. Horse beat last time out has gone on to win a G1

1.15 Wholestone is the obvious choice looking at ratings, but Rockpoint 11/1 whose second run back post wind op might be worth an ew instead. Won the albert barlett trial last year and hoping will improve a whack and turn the tables on wholestone

1.50 - Potters Legend 8/1 won by 11 legnth last seen over fences. At this weight would have won the Kim Muir coupld years back. The way finishes of races suggests the extra trip is needed

2.25 - Slate House 5/1 looked solid last time out. I think the rise may even underestimate him yet.  A solid C&D winner so decent chance

3.00 I cant believe Tobefair has won at 15/2 and 8/1 given his Pertstemps second to Sire Du Berlais, but now up 20lb a serious ask. The BUther Said 6/1 was 18lb worse off than Ramses De Telisse last time out and finished well enught to suggest is plenty ahead of mark

4.00 - Midnight Castillo 9/4 hit 110 RPR on debut. Looks decent on paper