Bets 25.03.2023

Curragh

• Curragh 3.25 - I seem to be drawn to a race on 6th November at Naas and using Current Option as a marker I think Cosmic Vega 16/1, Miss Mirabell 40/1 and Emporio 11/1 all have chances. Comfort Line 40/1 was tempting. Not sure what I'll bet here yet. Emporio is likely the best given the weights though was looking for the line last time.
  
  
• Curragh 5.07 - Khafaaq 12/1ew

Meydan

Put most of these up yesterday. I'll have a couple of fave accas, but it's going to be a tough day for sure.

• R2 - Royal Mews 11/1ew 5p can get the rail and save some ground to turn the tables on couple of these. Will want some fast pace to be set by something coming from wide and then pouncing late; very late.
  
  
• R3 - Quickthorn 16/1ew 5p sky - Goes well fresh. Won the Lonsdale G2 by a casual 14lenghts. Subjectivist will clearly put up a fight for the lead but surely can't return to preinjury day form.?
  
  
• R4 - Duke Wai 14/1ew 5p sky. Has drifted massively. 20/1+ now but I think can go close to beating Sight
  Success who is the likley winner. Al Suhail back in trip is too odd for me, but the next danger.
  
  
• R5 - Derma Sotogake 8/1ew 5p sky. Solid pedigree for Meydan. second highest rated horse. Make it a 4/1 shot
  
  
• R6 - Sibelius 14/1ew 4p sky - Plum draw. Moore could be hard to beat. Backed into 9s.
  
  
• R7 - Lord North 6/1ew 5p willhill. Do Deuce a NR so gona get a crap R4, but big chance assuming ground not firm. If Real World bounced back to form is a big danger
  
  
• R8 - Win Marilyn 20/1ew 3p 365. Drifted to 25/1, but Equinox should win this race. Used Stone Age as a marker to assess it's the value pick, but 3p might be tough to make the frame.
  
  
• R9 - The top 3 all draw very high. Taking a massive put on Bendoog 66/1ew 4p. Still improving and hopes for a place assuming 1 of the top screw up from a wide draw. Emblem Road was interesting but Panthalassa at 16ew is also very tempting now.

Bets - 25.03.23 - Dubai World Cup Night

 No handicaps, so not going overboard, but also trying hard to get faves beat

R1 - No bet

R2 - TBC - Top of market looks right

R3 - Quickthorn 16/1ew 5p sky

R4 - Duke Wai 14/1ew 5p sky

R5 - Derma Sotogake 8/1ew 5p sky

R6 - Sibelius 14/1ew 4p sky

R7 - Lord North 6/1ew 5p willhill

R8 - Win Marilyn 20/1ew 3p 365

R9 - TBC - Top of market looks right

Bets 17.03.2023

I lost all profit and half the budget for the festival today. Convinced myself not to get too stuck in, but oooops.

1.30 - Triumph - If Blood Destiny wins I get couple hundred back of an old acca. It's top rated and would be my pick today but no need to back it again.

Jupiter Du Gite 40/1ew is potentially massive. Looking back at the Newbury run, nearly all the horses have come out and won and recorded an RPR of 128 on first ever hurdles race which is better than anything here. Was a total flop next time out, but if settles could spring a surprise place.

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2.10 - County - Looking for a big price. Anna Bunina 66/1ew small coins. I don't think can win but form is solid anc chance of a top 8 with skybet

Glory and Fortune 50/1ew is mental. If reproduces his betfair hurdle form or champion hurdle form from last year is going very close

Aucunrisque 22/1ew worth a pop. So far ahead of mark still.

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2.50 - Seabank Bistro 22/1ew. 4th in the Champion bumper. Few lengths behind Corbetts Cross who is 3/1 when giving 5lb with a 5lb claimer, so the price is non sensical to me.

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3.30 - Galophin Des Champs 6/1 Antepost and A Plus Tard 12/1 Antepost

Lucinda is in such great form and always had a soft soft for Ahoy Senor 22/1ew today (5 places)

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4.10 - Le Malin 22/1ew and Chris Dream 9/1ew

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4.50 - Impervious 7/2 Antepost 

I had backed River Etele 20/1ew in an handicap for the festival (NRNB thankfully). The fact remains in this race must mean something. Apparently bouncing.

If it gets really testing Pink Legend would be interesting.

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5.30 - Au Fleuron 28/1ew ran close to Banbridge last year. Down couple lbs and surely has improved?

Irish Hill 14/1ew worth a nibble

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Rfcs

1) Blood Destiny / Jupiter Du Gite

2) glory and fortune / aucunrisque

3) Corbetts cross / Seabank bistro

4) Galopin / Plus / Ahoy Senor

5) Le Malin / Chris Dream

6) Impervious / River Eltet

7) Au Fleuron / Irish Hill

Bets 16.03.2023 - Chelts Day 3

 Decent day yesterday. Landed a decent treble and rfc. Who knows what will happen to the ground, so trying not to get carried away. 

1.30 - Mighty Potter Evs. 10lbs clear on rating. Ignoring last the festival last year as remember it busting through a rail before the race started. Backed it at 50/1 for the GC next year months back.

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2.10 - Bosses Oscar 10/1ew. Comes here in similar form to when was second in this race. Running off 4lb lower. Should go close.

I really didn't want to back the favourite but impossible not to. Won walking last time out. Thanksforthehelp 9/2

JP is going to have a solid couple of days with Thanksforthehelp 9/2, Impervious 3/1, Corbetts Cross 4/1 and a few others

Backed Bear Ghylls 25/1ew Antepost. Can still get this price. Was hoping would run much better than did in last race, but ultimately was 4th in the Ballymore in 21 and if stays and reproduces that form has a stone in hand off this mark.

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2.50 - Shiskin 10/11. Keeping it simple. Janadil could give most to do, but not backing it. Ga Law was of interest as a 33/1ew but again staying away.

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3.30 - Top 7 horses all within 7lb of each other and can make a case for all of them. I think Blazing Khan 4/1 is the least exposed and so popping for this. The ground must be concern.

Gold Tweet 8/1ew ran a fast time over C&D. Money pouring in for this.

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4.10 - I backed Haut En Coleurs at 25/1 couple races back and put the phone down thinking beat Fakir. Of course if fell at the last :( Backed next time and lost to a 164 horse. Wasn't expecting it to be in a handicap. Saw it yesterday and backed it at 10/1ew as is well handicapped and jocked with a decent claimer. Pricewise has tipped it so price has crashed.

Datsalrightgino 8/1ew look well handicapped

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4.50 - I am taking Luccia on due to ground and pedigree. Magical Zoe 8/1ew. Held up in last race, and absolutely tanked home and was even hampered long the way. A 128RPR after 3rd run. Model Kingdom was second to IEP next time out.

Foxy Girl 12/1ew good pedigree

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5.30 - Another horse I backed last time and was gutted as was done by a nose was Dunboyne at 25/1. Gutted. Worth a go here at 9/1ew as Elliott has a good record in this race.

Rfcs played:

1) Maxxum/Thanksforhelp

2)BlazingKhan/GoldTweet

3)Haut De C/Datsalritegino

4)Magical Zoe/Foxy Girl

Bets 15.03.2023 - Chelts Day 2

Didn't think Marine National or Honeysuckle would do that, but El Fabio 8/1, Constitution Hill Evs, GDM 5/2 and C Rambler 7/1 sorted a decent day. 

Had 5 accas 5, 6, 7 fold and all were left down by just 1 each. Standard

Will hit a fe Rfcs accas

1) IEP/Champ L

2) Gerri C/The Real Whacker

3) Beacon Edge/Fil Dor

4) Exilir DN/Dinoblue

Bets 14.03.2023 - Chelts Day 1

Today is a strange betting one for me. I have relatively few AP bets but most seem to be today so little outlay. Will hit some tricasts, placepots and accas instead.

No time to write out, so coped and pasted my excel

Bets 11/03/2023

Planned to study Chelts but with the weather creating too much ground uncertainty I'd rather wait until Monday. Do have a couple of decent good/soft ground handicap picks but not hit the button. Instead wasted time looking at Saturday's cards.

• Sandown 1.15 - Havaila 12/1ew
• Sandown 1.50 - Henri The Second 8/1ew
• Sandown 2.25 - Zoffany Bay 13/2ew
• Wolves 2.40 - Tinker Toy 5/1
• Sandown 3.00 - Saint Bibiana 8/1ew
• Gowran Park 3.45 - Cayd Boy 3/1 - Sil Ver Klas 11/1 + rfc
• Sandown 4.45 - Golden Whiskey 11/2ew

No idea how horrendous the ground will be at Sandown or whether it will even be on, so could have just lost 30 minutes of my life :)

Bets 05/03/2023

 I haven't been blogging for a while, but I have been punting and relatively successfully until the last couple weeks. Anyhow I've kicked started again. Let's go.

Poor racing so going for pennies with longshots, most of whom need to totally bounce back but have conditions to suit

2.50 Wexford - Only One Plan 14/1ew

3.20 Ffos Las - Holderday Ridge 33/1ew

3.45 Leo - Country Queen 33/1ew

4.55 Leo - Lieutenant Command 25/1ew

Bets 04/03/2023

Meydan 12.05 - Kemari 7/2 - Senor Toba 6/1

Meydan 12.40 - Raaeb 33/1ew

Meydan 1.15 - Could Be King 20/1ew 

Meydan 1.05 - Lahresh 7/2

Meydan 3.10 - Al Suhail 5/4

Meydan 3.45 - Real World 5/2

Meydan 4.20 - Tuz 4/1

Kelso 1.50 - Mctigue 10/3 - Tritonic 25/1ew

Kelso 2.25 - Feronily 7/2 - Banjaxed 22/1ew

Kelso 4.45 - Ghandi Maker 5/2

Newbury 2.45 - Lord Baddesley 5/1

Newbury 3.25 - Onemorefortheroad 7/1

Navan 3.10 - Neigh Botha 9/1ew