Saturday 28 January 2017

Bets 28/01/2017

12.00 Chelts - Charlie Parks 8/11. I have this 16/1 for Triumph. Interestingly Defi is shorter in the AP Triumph market, but I like CP.

12.35 - Get Involved 66/1 to grab a place. Dickin string in good nick, won on soft, whilst 2lb out handicap, was 2nd on a chase debut here at Chelts.

1.10 - Couldn't bend between Shantou Flery 13/2 and Aso 15/2 for a while. but solid C&D horse on soft. Booking of Davy should mean Shantou edges it. Worth a small forecast too.

2.50 - Cantlow 6/4. Looks solid.


E/w Trixie Below:

4.35 - Le Rocher 9/1 looks huge. G1 winner, G2 winner on the course and L Clyne who beat this last time was second to the New One!

Donacaster 3.40 - Bigbadjohn 9/2 looks chucked in based on form with Our Kaemper and Ibis Du!

Lingfiled 2.25 - Kingston K 7/1 is chucked in based on run over C&D.

Thursday 5 January 2017

Bets 05/01/2017

Southwell 12.35 - Autumn Tonic 7/1 e/w RPR s OR and way was finishing over C&D says good chance

Meydan 3.05 - Shamaal Nibras doesn't look like will stay and on high mark, not sure why is fave. Desert God won the Indian St Leger by 7 lengths. How good is that race? Suspect is chucked in off a mark of a 100. Not sure, so will pass over. ZAin Eagle stays. Carbon Dating ran in the Derby, and walked the last race. Huge possibility that potential has now been unlocked but this is a big step up  in class and got put up 8lbs. I like Rio Tigre. Solid runs here in Group races, but best races over further. Good Trip looks a dirt horse. Tempus T is an ex Gosden horse but dont think is any good. Zambucca shouldn't be shorter price than Zamaan. If Emirates Flyer stays could be chucked in. Was running behind of Kingsman and looks a better turf horse. First run in over a year and 4/1 so big short to take. Golden Wood has a good chance here as runs best over this distance on good ground and Soumillion is up. I just can't work out from french from if is well handicapped. Zamaan 14/1 e/w gets the tentative vote with Desert God 6/1 e/w next. Decent carnival form and the race that takes the eye is better graded handicap on 4th Feb half lenght behind Think Ahead. Was flying home off a strong pace which will get today, off 2lb lower. The step up in in favour looking at older French form.


Meydan 3.40 - Only focussing on the CD winners. Saltarin Dubai is going to blaze a trail here. Interesting G1 Argentian Runner could well be the answer, but no form at Dubai so will pass. The pace is an important factor today though. Trinity Force on paper will get very close to making up the 7 lenghts on Storm Belt at the weights and is good ew value at 20/1 but think are others with better chance. Storm Belt has a favourites chance but was allowed to dictate the pace and won't today. Jeeran very tempting as both Storm Belt and he were 14 lenghts behind Special Fighter so at the weights Jeeran is far better value. I really like Hunting Grounds chances as well. Jeeran 14/1 e/w, Hunting Ground 8/1 e/w

Meydan 4.15 - Ertijaal 6/4 should be far too good

Meydan 4.50 - How Polar River lost the Derby last year will never know. Worries me how poor last run was. Fitzgerald looks a danger but last race didn't look great. I'm going to punt on one of my Achilles heels; Emotionless 7/2. A dirt bred horse a ripped new holes in 110 rated horses. I backed in last race very confident. The market also spoke that day but didnt delivery. Not worried about draw and Appelby's horses were flying in Auz last year. Fingers crossed we'll see a machine today

Meydan 5.25 - Ertijaal 11/4 is one of those frustrating nearly horses. But this is a big step down in class ans should take all the beating. Silent Attack worries me.

Meydan 6.00 - American Hope 3/1 has a big chance. This is a trappy race so outsider for me is Shaishee 33/1 e./w. Solid mark based on previous CR run in a G2.