Bets 31/08/2014

2.05 Curragh - Today we will see this years Racing Post Trophy winner - Ol' Man River. Buzz out of the Ballydole stable for this one. Has been backed in from 40/1 into 25/1 this week for next years Derby. The only problem with backing him today is only 4/5, first run and tough draw. Instead might have a few bob some Ante Post markets.

3.05 Curragh - Cappella Sansevero 5/4 in the best horse on show

3.35 Curragh - Palace 8/1 was beaten by todays favourite Carla Bianca. Weld's other runner also beat Palace. But, AOB stable in much better form than early season and at this distance every reason to think Palace can reverse the form.

4.35 Curragh - Segal has gone for Hanasour 7/1. Bold Thady Quill 25/1 e/w 5 places with B365 has a solid e/w chance. Maybe Hint of a Tint 11/1 is slightly better here at Curragh.

France

1.30 Deauville - Fireship 9/1
2.40 Deauville - Gatewood 11/10
3.10 Deauville - Zejel 7/4

Bets 30/08/2014

Man have I missed punting. Working 6am till 8pm again and is killing my game. However had a phat lump on Time Test yesterday and it satisfied my craving.

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has gone for:

Beverley 2.25 – Line of Reason 16/1

Chester 2.55 – Russian Realm 8/1

Sandown 3.15 – Diamond Dove 10/1

Sandown 3.50 – Ajmany 10/1, Rydan 16/1

My go, although health warning about the weather. I never have good days when weather jockeys about. I’m also going to bet on pretty much every race. £150 otn on every bet, so could blow a wad!

BEVERLEY

Beverley 2.25 – Segal reckons Line of Reason 16/1. Rocky Ground 5/1 and Addictive Dream 12/1 might be better bets

Beverley 3.05 – Thatcherite 15/2 “he could win on the bridle” if he turns up. What the trainer says

Beverley 3.40 – Tom Sawyer 7/1 good draw, good chance, step down in class

Beverley 4.15 – Scallop 2/1 strong form

Beverley 4.50 – I like C&D winners at Beverley. 3yr olds do well in this race and so am with Jacbequick 16/1

SANDOWN

Sandown 2.05 – Ajjaad 10/1 and Tagula Night 9/1 are both well drawn are C&D winners and I’m looking that Millys Gift form thinking that 80/1 r f/c looks tasty.

Sandown 2.40 – Pallister 8/1. MJ won this race a couple times and think is value at 8/1 based on form

Sandown 3.15 – Fabre says Fintry not fully fit. If he a punter then he will be laughing as he pushes up price, but if real then Segal pick Diamond Dove 10/1 one to side with at the weights

Sandown 3.50 – Think market is right. Forgotten Hero 8/1 solid chance as does Mount Shamson 10/1. Both Segals picks Ajmany and Rydan very good chances

Sandown 4.25 – Assault on Rome 8/1 looks the best handicapped on best form

Sandown 5.00 – Green Zone 7/2 won really well last time and still ahead of mark

Sandown 5.30 Norway Cross 6/1 disappointing favourite last time. If back to form ahead of mark

CHESTER

Chester 2.20 – B Fifty Two 7/2 good draw, solid form good chance

Chester 2.55 – Beau Nash 10/1 decent chance back with cut in the ground and 3yr olds do well in this. Ocean Tempest 14/1 and Foxtrot Romeo 7/1 also have a chance esp OT who is a C&D winner

Chester 4.05 - Marigot Bay 9/1 tentatively as maybe well handicapped with form against Parsley

Chester 4.40 – Azmaam Evs

Chester 5.40 – English Summer 4/1

BATH

Bath 6.15 – Elysian Flyer 8/11

NEWTON ABBOT

2.45 Newon Abbot - Clerk Choice 7/1, Join The Clan 7/1

              

Bets 29/08/2014

3.00 Sandown - Time Test 4/5 RPR 83 debut. my notes say "yards best 2yr old"

Bets 25/08/2014

Unbelievable. I one day I don't read the RacingPost in about 4 months and Tom Pricewise Segal hits a 25/1 winner. Typical. Bloody typical. No decent racing today, so hope I don't thrown away a chunk of my decent winnings especially as the weather will change things...

2.15 Newcastle - Bartel 11/4 very strong debut

2.30 Warwick - Fewer Few 3/1

2.40 Epsom - I know not to bet in races like this anymore but I've looked and it's too late.What A Dandy 11/1. Has learned to settle better and better and ran pretty well last time. Could be ahead of mark. But, low class races very rarely work out, so is the last one am looking at today.

3.05 Warwick - Gracies Gift 9/4

3.10 Epsom - Long Awaited 7/2. Damnit was 6/1 last night when saw. Seeking Magic 13/2 not out of it and might make a decent r f/c if SM can bounce back to form over a C&D we know performs at

3.35 Ripon - Kommander Kirkup 5/1 well handicapped if produces best.

3.40 Warwick - What's happened to Rex Imperator? Is it s clue he is 3/1 and back to form? Hmm. Clear Spring 7/1 ran well last time and will like the slower conditions and is a C&D winner.

3.45 Epsom - Not sure I've ever backed Fattsota 3/1. But think has a decent chance today. In great form and won this race last year. Haafaguinea is obvious danger

4.20 Epsom - Another race I would not normally bet on, but purely so I can say go on you jockey Mr Alex Ferguson; Hyperlink 11/2. Won his last race by 5 lengths so not a forlorn hope.

4.45 Ripon - Can you believe Osteopathic Remedy has won this race 4 times @ 10/1, 12/1, 18/1 and 15/2! 15/2 again today to repeat the trick. Why not? Won last time out. Inglebly Angel 20/1 in a much easier race. Ignore Ascot race as looks likes does not go well there.

5.30 Epsom - May not be today, but keep on side of Approach The West 20/1 until 100% sure not going to make it. If reproduces maiden level will go close.

Bets 24/08/2014

Had £1300 e/w on Pallastor so money back. £150 on Mutual Regard. Imagine I did that the other way around. Had a strong feeling about that one and the double with Muhaarar paid another £1k. On top of Queensbury Rules and Tropics landed just shy of £5k. 4/6 in the Scoop 6 and the other 2 were placed!

Ascot, York and Goodwood Festivals have all treated me well this year.....


2.00 Goodwood - The Lampo Genie 6/4

2.40 Deauville - The Wow Signal 11/4

2.55 Curragh - Kingsbarns 10/11 doubled with 4.40 Leading Light 4/11

3.10 Deauville - Pollyana 5/1 form with CDA and Anodin

Bets 23/08/2014

After Glenard and Pale M rocked home in first two yesterday I was lined up for phat trebles, but nothing else obliged!

Segal has gone for:

York 2.40 - Connecticut 6/1, Adventure Seeker 12/1
York 3.15 - Accepted 8/1
Goodwood 3.30 - Chil The Kite 7/1

So much racing today.....

York 2.05 - Farraaj 7/4 in top form, loves York, top rated, worthy fave.

Goodwood 2.20 - Effloerscence 11/4 RPR 90 on debut is impressive

York 2.40 - Connecticut 6/1, loves York, ahead of mark, could be great day for Cumani. Adventure Seeker does have a good chance like Segal suggests and also so does Fun Mac 20/1 based on same formline.

Goodwood 2.55 - Magic City 7/1 and Instrgaient 12/1 last's year 1 and 2 could battle out again. American Hope 7/1 has strongest form.

York 3.05 - Hmm. Might be wrong, but on paper I think Muhaarar 7/1 is better than Baitha Alga through Ivawood formlines. Technically so is Jungle Cat, but MJs horses never do well at York and have not done so again last few days.

Newmarket 3.20 - Warrior of Light 3/1, beat elders last time pretty easily and can make all again today

Goodwood 3.30 - Captain Cat 2/1

York 3.50 - I always knew if Glenard won I would go heavy on Pallasator 9/2. I did, but having looked at the card, Ted Veale 20/1 has a huge e/w chance on last year's run and the claim gets today and Mutual Regard 22/1 has solid form behind Pale Mimosa.

Newmarket 3.55 - Tropics 4/1 looks huge based on last run. Intrinsic however 3/1 could also be class after an easy win last time.

Goodwood 4.05 - Exceedingly 4/1 very strong debut form

Newmarket 4.30 - Fyrecracker 4/1 and Charles Molson 8/1 has served me well and think these conditions will suit them both. Charles massive chance with the Eastern Impact form

York 5.00 - Cumani could land a big double with Ajman Bridge 5/1, but it's tough. Raskova 15/2 won ran a blinder behind Tasaday over C&D must have a solid chance. Maybe Queensbury Rules 12/1 but cheekpieces have to work

York 5.35 - Royal Mezyan 13/2 big chance. Lacked fitness last time, but ran well. Won by 6lenghts in maiden over C&D 3 races ago and on that alone is ahead of mark.

Windsor 5.45 - Swiss Kiss 6/1 based on turf maidens could be well handicapped.

Windsor 6.15 - Certificate 15/8 ahead of mark

Windsor 6.45 - Al Kazeem Evs

Bets 22/08/2014

Today Segal has picked:

1.55 – Chancery 12/1, Stomachion 8/1

3.05 – Gabriels Lad 9/1

3.40 – Astaire 28/1, Rangali 16/1

Right quick stab.

1.55 – Wigmore Hall C&D winner in very good nick with 7lb claim. Bloody hell so many C&D winners. Tough. Saptapadi is interesting based on last C&D form. It’s rock solid, but he ran on Tuesday and probably knackered. I backed Glenard 16/1 last time out when 3^rd and the winner of that race is 4/1 fave for the Ebor, second place smashed King Fete, fourth place won a decent C2H so it’s damn strong form. The unknown is the track though. Tempted by Pearl Castle, Communicator and Lahaag, but will stick with Wigmore and Glenard. Argh too many.

2.30 – Pale Mimosa 7/2 has solid consistent form and can go one better. Weld had two flops yesterday so hoping not a bad omen. Cavalryman clealy best horse in race at the moment, but age/recovery time might go against him here.

3.05 – That is The Spirit 8/1 has solid C&D form. 3yr olds do well in this and I know they thought of this horse as a Group horse.

3.40 – Astaire 28/1 good choice Segal and I’d never heard of Rangali 16/1 but also a good pick. I nailed this race last year with Jwala 40/1 and 3 years ago with Margot Did 20/1. It’s tough this one. Sole Power and Shea Shea are always top of any list but Sole Power is not reported to be in top nick but I don’t think you will ever get a chance to back Shea Shea at 8/1 ever again and this could be his day to break his UK duck. Looks like has been drawn well too. I’ve ignored Take Cover 8/1 his last two runs but he looks up to the task too although I’d be slightly worried it’s not quick enough.

4.20 – Dissolution 7/2 looks well fancied. I like the look of Bright Flash 22/1. I had the winner of her maiden but I thought she ran well considering a horrendous start and poor draw. Loads of money for Foreign Diplomat but no experience to name. They are both drawn low which will probably kill me though…

4.55 – Short Squeeze cake walked this race last year as he did yesterday. I should take note of that. Probably not worth looking away from the top 3 in this. Mooharib has a chance and Extremity 5/1 is exiting but watch Munaaser’s 5/2 last race. Canter.

Newmarket 1.35 – Stay Silent 4/5 best of those with experience

Ffos Las 1.45 – Heartbreak Hero Evs best form on show

Newmarket 2.45 – Pasticcio 3/1

Newmarket 3.20 – I met someone at Ascot who knows the Meehan stable well and he text me this morning to Alkhayyam 7/2 is one of their best young ones so hopefully a decent one then!

Newmarket 4.30 – Royal Flag’s Evs form with Elkaayed in debut is rock

Goodwood 5.40 – Best of Times 11/8 strong form

Goodwood 6.45 – Great chance back in handicap company; Phychometry 3/1

Bets 21/08/2014

25 minutes card glancing earned me £3k yesterday. Blaine 22/1, Statuatory 12/1 placed, Postponed 4/1, Australia 4/6, Si Senor 2/1, Kibaar 20/1 placed. I doubt my luck will last and have even less time to look before work today and looks hard!!!

1.55 – Valley of Fire 10/1 is a decent C&D winner. Fast Act 6/1 represents Ryan who likes this horse. Ryan landed my Blaine yesterday and has won this race twice before in last 3 years. Segal has picked him and also picked Mubtaghaa 16/1 who has very good form behind Hootenanny. My pick is a massive outsider in Arthur Martinleake 40/1. That Loius DP form is working out well and I’ve taken lots of 10/1 placed on him. Silly race to bet on as even New Providence has a very good chance. ARGH.

2.30 – Cursory Glance 11/4

3.05 – Parbold 12/1 and Segal picked Passing Star 14/1

3.40 – Tag – Free Money

4.20 – Starlet 5/1 – Weld raider.

4.55 – Sparkle Factor 7/1 – Weld raider, Ticking Kate 18/1

5.15 Bath – Executrix 3/1

Bets 20/08/2014

Back to work and am struggling with punting time.

Segal has backed Jamaica 10/3 in 2.30, Postponed 6/1 in 3.05 and Telescope

1.55 - Segal has bailed out of this race. He is always first port of call, but I agree it's very hard. Not stopping me though. Blaine 20/1 looks a decent e/w bet. Would love York Glory 16/1 to bounce back but looks poor at the moment and I always have a dabble on Secret Witness 33/1 and Bogart 16/1 won this last year.

2.30 - Segal says Jamaica 10/3 as do Ladbrokes

3.05 - Segal says Postponed and I think has decent chance, but Kingston Hill 11/8 is surely the one who is leagues ahead on ratings? Problem is Varian and co are having a nightmare.

3.40 - Segal says Telescope 5/1 one close to my heart, but Australia 4/6 gets a massive weight allowance and is surely going to nail this. Ladbrokes say so

4.20 - Statutory 12/1 ran very well in Listed H here last time. Know goes the distance, step down in class and step up in trip, good chance. Totalize 12/1 step down is class and Bantam 8/1 progressive with good form look decent too.

4.55 - Shouldn't bet, but a 1 minute look points to Ternuntum Star 18/1, Kibaar 20/1 and Burtonwood 22/1

7.50 - Si Sinor 2/1

Bets 17/08/2014

Pontefract 2.45 - Alex Vino 7/4 has plenty of lbs in hand on the face of it

Looking at Spinatrix, Imshivalla and Hesbaan, but not enough time to fully look.

Kingman should win in France.

Bets 16/08/2014

No time today, so just very quickly:

3.05 Doncaster - Ya Latif 3/1
3.35 Newmarket - Winter Thunder Evs
3.50 Newbury - Gregorian 3/1

1pm update.. Also looking at Sir Guy Porteous 25/1, Eastern Impact 6/1, Seal of Approval 6/1, Doc Hay 14/1, Trader Jack 14/1

Bets 15/08/2014

3.00 Newcastle - Mukhayyam 11/10. Stoute has a 40% SR here so sure he knows what he is doing by sending this one a long way.

3.20 Newbury - I remember landing this race couple years ago with Lily In Pink off top weight and I think Novirak 8/1 could do the same. The favourite is a 3yr old who has been put up 10lb for race won 2 weeks ago and that looks harsh. He could well be decent but Novirak is decent. Look at the form; it is rock solid. Appreciate has been off for a while but Fanshawe knows how to ready a horse after time off.

3.35 Newcastle - Trinity Star 11/2 with Cheekpieces back on and could have done better last time with more luck.

3.50 Deauville - Evita Peron 9/1 is def capable of winning a G3 in these conditions.

3.55 Newbury - This comes down to which form is better. Anthem Alex, Osaila, Cotai Glory or Limato? Tiggy Wiggy represents Anthem Alex form and is rock solid but Limato is probably the strongest form. However looking at distances beaten, excuses and ground I am tentatively siding with Blue Aegean 4/1

4.10 Newcastle - Lobster Pot 15/8 finished a fair way behind Tea in Transvaal on debut and ought to improve with that experience. TIT finished a couple lengths behind Taghrooda so at this level this form will be decent

4.20 Nottingham - Who is further ahead of their mark Scallop or Cay Dancer? Cay won me a pot very easily last time and now up 6, although Cam gets rid 5 of those. And Scallop walloped a maiden field and looking through lines suggestion is wads ahead too. Hmm. I think Scallop 13/8 might be ahead by more as will also no doubt improve a wad too as only 3rd race. I got merked by two Stoute favourites the other day so hoping not another one!

4.30 Newbury - Munfallet 5/1 has now got head in front, is ahead of mark and can go on soft ground. He has been running well behind some well handicapped horses and can now take advantage.

5.00 Newbury - Too The Stars 6/1 cost £800G is so well bred that can't ignore.

6.30 Newmarket - Have notes saying "Applebly looking forward to running this one". Referring to Arabian Oasis 5/2. Has entry for Derby.

Bets 14/08/2014

First four races yesterday were awful. Then I landed 6 in a row in the evening. Felt good. Not touching Salisbury after yesterday.

2.10 Newmarket - Luna Moon 9/4 has decent entries and those with experience look ropey.

3.15 Newmarket - Piceno 10/3 was beaten by a very heavily back Mime Dance. They were 5 lengths ahead of the rest and assuming has recovered can go well here. Is a course winner and Fallon will push him all the way from the front.

3.50 Newmarket - Long Cross 5/6 has best form in book

4.55 Newmarket - Zain Empire 2/1 has extremely good form which has been franked twice.

5.25 Newmarket - Random Success 6/4 looks well ahead of mark, but Apricot Sky worries me.

Bets 13/08/2014

Salisbury 2.20 - I'm sure I read something somewhere about maiden geldings outrunning price. I might be making this up but at 33/1 Awjab worth a chance.

Salisbury 2.50 - Darshini Evs won well last time out and is well handicapped on debut form.

Salisbury 3.25 - Tercel 6/4 on paper is seriously well handicapped. Beat an 84 rated horse by 3 lengths and opening mark today is 77. Stoute has won 3/5 of the last renewals too. The arguement may be that Potenate beat Hesbaan by more and at weights is better off today against Tercel. However, this is only Tercel's 3rd race and I would expect more improvement.

Salisbury 3.50 - Tearless 9/2 walked a C3H with top weight. I think is top rated in this race and will hopefully improve as well. C&D winner already to further cause.

Yarmouth 5.05 - Johnny Barnes 6/4

Yarmouth 5.40 - Lunarian 7/2 won for me last time and think can win again. Trainer likes this one

Yarmouth 6.10 - Rosslyn Castle 15/8

Yarmouth 6.40 - Authorised Too 7/4 ran on well in last race of last year. Cobwebs hopefully now blown away after seasonal debut.

Yarmouth 7.10 - Ski Lift 11/4

Kempton 7.50 - Fret 12/1 based on Candy's record in races like this at Kempton, although Sandy Cay 5/4 looks decent.

Kempton 8.20 - Muradif 6/4 ought to easily defy 6lb penalty

Bets 12/08/2014

5.05 Lingfield - Indianaughty 10/11 miles best of those with experience

5.15 Ffos Las - Curbyourenthuisiasm 3/1 ahead of mark on this ground and gets a good 3yr allowance and form is strong.

5.25 Notts - Had "will win maiden easily" in my notes against Thumper 9/1, but no date or source. Hmm.

6.35 Lingfield - If Artic Lynx bounces back to form is in with a shout but Al's Memory 5/1

7.25 Nottigham - At the weights Graphic Guest 9/2

7.35 Lingfield - Lola Montez 11/4. Langigan bashing them home and he had 37% record in 3yr+ handicaps at Lingfield.

Could be a decent day for Robert Cowell?

Bets 11/08/2014

Weather KO'd me again yesterday...

TAPTETA IS HERE! Meydan racing has long been my pot of gold, but typically they have now reverted to dirt. I am going to be watching every race at Wolves and next year will use this as power..... 

Mark J, Ewart and Goodlophin use Tapeta so be worth following them to see how they get on. (Crowdmania, Fajry, Torridon, Right of Appeal) 

Wolves 2.15 - Dolorous 9/4 to land first Tapeta race. I'm basing this on her maiden effort, nothing else as any of these might take to Tapeta better

Wolves 3.15 - Free Entry Evs good draw best form but any of these might take to Tapeta better

Wolves 4.45 - Orions Bow 7/2

Wolves 5.15 - Warrigal 3/1 well handicapped if takes to surface

Ayr 5.30 - Awake My Soul 7/2 will like ground, C&D winner, solid and consistent form and easier races than last few.

Thirsk 7.00 - Kommander Kirkup 5/1 well handicapped on Red Stargazer and Dazeno form. 

Bets 10/08/2014

DISASTER yesterday.....

Curragh
3.05 - Toogoodtobetrue 7/4
3.35 - Have a Nice Day 8/1
4.05 - Kool Company 2/1
4.35 - Maarek 6/4

Windsor
3.45 - Mia San Triple 7/4

Leicester
3.00 - Gothic 3/1

Bets 09/08/2014

Ouch. That was the BHA Gods shutting me down for cocky mouth chat about how much money I was making. Oddly the 3 horses I crossed off my list, but decided to put in a treble all won… would you believe it?! Still lost about £750, but would have been far worse.

Tom Pricewise Segal is not having a good time and I’ve ignored him a lot of late, but let’s see how he gets on today:

2.05 Ascot – Bantam 12/1

3.15 Ascot – Swivel 12/1

2.20 Haydock – Salutation 10/1, Lahaag 10/1

2.55 Haydock – Educate 7/1

Right, my turn…..

Ascot – I have backed the best horse in this meeting in so many races, but I make the critical jockey error so will remember this, this year…Just want one big price winner from Ascot today and I’ll be happy as this is a team competition so imagine tactics will play out….

Ascot 12.55 – Move In Time 5/1 has won on softer ground, is a course winner and in seriously hot form.

Ascot 1.30 – I’m hoping the ground is soft enough, but it’s a big hope. If it is Earth Amber 9/1 has a decent chance based on last run looks well handicapped

Ascot 2.05 - Don’t have a strong opinion on this so stick with Segal on Bantam 12/1 who has decent chance for the price.

Ascot 2.40 – Two for Two 10/1 has come into form and ran very well at Goodwood last time and Dark Emerald’s 7/1 form is very very good.

Ascot 3.15 – Segal has gone for Swivel 12/1 and I’ll go for Trip To Paris 6/1

Ascot 3.50 – Golden Steps 6/1 has been running well in decent races.

--

Newmarket has turned soft….

Newmarket 2.30 – Tinghir 5/1 will love the ground and Lanigan landed me shed loads yesterday. Enobled might be danger if handles ground

Newmarket 3.05 – Englishman 7/2 solid course form and form. Might be worth a double with Dark Emerald if that form stands up

Newmarket 3.35 – Winters Moon 7/2 to continue Goodophin domination although Arabian Queen is a G2 winner at the course already!

Newmarket 5.15 – Purple Spectrum 7/4 has won on soft so no ground fears and looks ahead of mark

--

Haydock 1.50 – Squats 4/1 has solid form. P.Alexander is the best horse yes but tough ask off this mark.

Haydock 2.20 – I would have picked Salutation 10/1 as Segal has done and Rye House 8/1 is one I always back even though I know needs soft ground.

Haydock 2.55 – Hillstar 10/3 vs True Story 9/2 for me.

Haydock 3.25 – Wee Jean 10/1 decent form and Psychometry 8/1 potential improver and better than last race

Haydock 4.00 – Provenance 7/4 just over Championship

Haydock 5.05 – Satellite 3/1 looks well ahead of mark

--

Redcar 2.50 – Glorious Sun 13/8 form franked

Bets 08/08/2014

Yesterday I hit a 410/1 quad and made another £4k with 10/1, 6/1, 11/4 and 5/2 winners. I'm seriously wondering whether I should bother going back to work. Shades of Silk 4/1 was nabbed on the line which would have brought in 2000/1 five fold....

I have changed things in the last two weeks is I've reverted back to consistent staking (£250 on every selection), sacking off each way bets and used betfair to lay off at low odds. So the fact I've landed half a dozen bets over 10/1 at £250 on the nose has really paid off. I've not lost £1000 on any odds on horses like I have over the year and I've not lost any bets where I've been beaten by a head as they have traded out on betfair. I have to keep this up and if I can make another £15k this fortnight maybe I won't go back to work.....

3.40 Brighton - As long as the ground stays quick am keen on Muhawalah 3/1. Looks on a decent mark. Gutted there is an MJ horse in the race as his horses do me over but he looks a softer ground type horse though expect headgear will help him after hanging last time.

4.10 Brighton - Ronald Harris owes me about £2.5k after his 20/1 Fantasy Justifier nabbed Shades of Silk on the line yesterday. Noverre To Go 4/1 who won this last year of top weight can win it again. Panther Patrol is clearly the best handicapped horse in race but a lot of horses flop here so worth risking he does too. Steve Drowne better keep an eye on Ginzan this time though as he gave him first run last time and also hope he does not get trapped in on the rail.

4.00 Mussleburgh - Alex My Boy 6/4. "he’s a progressive type against some exposed horses we would be pretty disappointed if he couldn’t take care of these", says MJ. Has already been back very heavily.

5.00 Musselbourgh - A very cagey bet on Golden Future 9/1 who won this race last year of 3lb higher pretty easily.

5.40 Newmarket - Guilty 7/4 looks decent, with a course win and solid form.

6.05 Tipperary - Russian Soul 9/4

6.55 Haydock - I thought Alpine Affair 4/1 was really unlucky at Ascot last time. Once he got going he was flying and then Jamie Spencer, suprisingly didn't know which way to go. I have a huge nagging worry about the ground, but looking at his RPR ratings on GS and GF in early season they were similar so hopefully ground wont' be an issue and the blinkers will work magic again.

7.05 Tipperary - Love backing a 2nd string OAB nag. Cocoon 20/1

8.20 Newmarket - That Fast Track form is decent and I'd think Our Queenie 5/1 has every chance, but it does not look an easy race to pick and pehaps some of the older sprinters might do better. Of them Secret Witness 12/1 another Harris horse could be the one after a decent run behind Justineo

8.30 Haydock - Special Fighter is on a double penalty and looks better on fast. The Varian yard has coughing horses and his last 5 faves have been turned over. So have to take the front two on with Emerahldz 11/2 who ran very well against a very progressive Maid In Rio over C&D two races ago.

Bets 07/08/2014

3/8 y'day, but two were 5/1 so on top again. Few more today but all in low class racing which might spell trouble.....

2.30 Yarmouth - Arthur Martinleake Evs has the experience and form

2.40 Haydock - My notes say Azmaam 11/10 is a surefire winner next time if does not bodge start again

3.40 Haydock - Shades of Silk 4/1 looked very green when hanging late on, ultimately costing him the race. Given's bunch running well without winning and jockey booking positive

5.10 Haydock - Ground caught me out a couple times yesterday so I should highlight I need the ground to stay on the softer side of good for Precision Strike 6/1 who won fairly well over C&D last time, albeit English Summer got hemmed in, but won next time out to frank the form. I'm not convinced backing this claimer is the right thing to do as doesn't look great but hoping the horse can win the race!

6.15 - Voyage of Discovery 7/4 massive step down in difficulty with a cheeky 3yr allowance can win this.

6.35 Newcastle - I've been told Park Glen 11/2 is well fancied. I couldn't back it on form but it was 12/1 this morning. Trainer's horses are in dire form so would be a nice surprise to me, but not holding out.

6.50 Sandown - Snoano 11/4 has all the entries to suggest is well thought of and will improve on better ground today

8.35 Southwell - The RP App has given out a Pricewise Extra tip for free. Ordinarily when this happens it's a good bet as if it wins it's gets punters hooked in. I've not looked at the card but Segal has gone for Master of Song 9/1

Bets 06/08/2014

I really should realise by now I make all my big money at big race meets, not on average day to day. However, back to work in two weeks so making the most of the time left.

2.50 Brighton - Crafty Choice Evs

3.50 Brighton - I always worry about horses having tough races too soon before another race, but not with MJs horses. Skytrain 4/1 ran a blinder last time out in a very good race and looks a much easier race.

4.20 Brighton - La Tinta Bay 8/1 beat Mission Approved who nearly won a massive pot at the weekend. Is a course winner too.

5.25 Brighton - Lunarian 5/1 ran an okay debut and if runs to that form with a bit of improvement will go well.

7.10 Kempton - Turning Times 5/2 finished close to Assault to Rome who ran well in a Listed race.

7.50 Yarmouth - Reaffirmed 5/1 was pulling really hard last time. Has shown speed so this drop in trip might be smart. Just let him fly.

8.20 Yarmouth - Needless Shouting 5/1. Some random number text me with this bet. Looks reasonable but price is clearly shrinking because of trainer form...

8.40 Kempton - Musaddas 9/4 has been finishing runner up too many times, but was obviously given a tasted of how to win and get in front last time out. His form over C&D is quick and very strong.

Bets 05/08/2014

Nothing decent today...

4.00 Ffos Las - Swan Lake 5/2 form with Arabian Comet looks very strong

7.30 Kempton - Equitanus 3/1.

8.00 Kempton - Elbereth 2/1. Read somewhere the yard like this one

Bets 04/08/2014

Another solid day with 12/1, 11/2, 5/2 and 7/4 winners from 7 races. Up to 5 figure profits in the week! Booya....Fave backing today

3.15 Kempton - Only one horse looks well handicapped. Muradif Evs. Form with Guilty who won well off 72.

3.40 Naas - Bilderberg 15/8 def the best horse in the race

3.45 Kempton - Messila Star 7/4 strong form with Tenor

5.10 Nass - Chicago Girl 6/5

5.15 Kempton - Johara 2/1 beat Double Up over C&D when DU was well fancied. High on Life has also franked form.

6.00 Windsor - Tamarin 11/10. Horse who finished behind him came second to Royal Razlama who won me a massive pot at Goodwood at 16/1 so reckon Tamarins maiden is decent enough at this level

8.00 Windsor - Nancy from Nairobi is one I've followed painfully. I'm hoping Le Maitre Chat 5/2 who posted a decent maiden can improve past her.

Bets 03/08/2014

Intrinsic and Online Alexander rounded off a very glorious Goodwood for me. The key lesson for me was this festival is very similar to the Cheltenham festival in that horses who ran well in previous Goodwood festivals do so again. Happened all week and yesterday Ninjago and Flying Bear did again. Always knew course form was important and again that showed all week too. Think I pocketed close to £8k this week....

Chester 2.30 - Tick The Boxes 2/1 has decent form. I would have backed Roudee but Damscombe's horses look dead at the moment.

Chester 3.05 - Boomerang Bob 11/2 although Intranegent 12/1 might pop a suprise.

Newbury 3.15 - Power Play 5/2 big step down in class and should win

Chester 3.40 - Apostle 11/2 solid course runner and good draw.

Newbury 3.50 - Silk Sari finished close to Sultania at Haydock but then a lot further behind her in next race in same conditions, which might suggest slowing of progress. Cumani also rides Khione which is interesting as I can't see any speed in this race so if Khoine goes to the front and keeps the pace slow it may well suit Silk Sari. Either way I'm going to go with the progressive Wonderstruck 9/4 who has decent form and gets a decent 3yr old allowance. Lady Tyne 16/1 might surprise a few too.

Chester 4.45 - English Summer 7/4 - C&D winner and looks worthy favourite.

Newbury 4.55 - If you got back to Ascot form Bright Cecily 11/2 looks well handicapped.

Bets 02/08/2014 - Glorious Goodwood Day 5

The weather once again for at least the 4^th Saturday recently is going to bodge things up….although if you make money at Goodwood today then good stuff as looks tough. Right off to a wedding...

Goodwood 2.05 – Urgh, tough. I can’t back anything that ran earlier in the week here. Might go 1 from top, middle and bottom draw. Pandar 33/1, from the middle Baby Strange 33/1 and Confessional 20/1 who is my main pick. All of these have good each way chances based on C&D form. Tatlisu 7/1 did beat Muthmir though!!!

Goodwood 2.40 – Kings Fete 3/1 was 16/1 for the Leger last week so assume he must be rock solid today as in now 10/1. The form is decent, lightly raced and clearly one who will improve.

2.55 Newmarket – Enlace 2/1. Was 11/2 last night

Goodwood 3.15 – Amazing Maria 9/1 gets a hefty 3yr allowance, has won twice at the course and has now blown away cobwebs after seasonal debut in the Oaks. I agree is a doubt about trip but

3.30 Newmarket – Rastanora 11/4 ran on well once shaken up on debut and looks best of those with experience

Goodwood 3.50 – Horrendous. I’ve shortlisted to 15 horses! Ha. Wow. First pick from high draw has to go to Intrinsic 8/1. Solid C&D winner and the rain (if it comes) will help. That form has been franked so many times. Muthmir 7/1 absolutely romped home last race and only got a 5lb rise. Seems lenient by the handicapper. From looking at previous results this week looks like it’s low draw that’s the key, so Hoodna 22/1 may have a decent chance.

Newmarket 4.40 – Golden Town Evs a big win for me last time and can go in again

Goodwood 5.35 – Online Alexander 8/1 decent form and had a poor start in last race so good chance.

Bets 01/08/2014 - Glorious Goodwood Day 4

It better not rain today….

1.55 Goodwood - The return of Encke. Would be some training performance but we know does run well here. Songcraft runs well fresh but not convince about his performances at Goodwood. Quest for Peace was solid when winning this race two years ago but looks to have regressed now. That leaves Pethers Moon 7/4 who has rock solid form, noteably behind Cavalryman. Hughes can kick off Day3 in better fashion for his shot at the title with a solid C&D winner

2.30 Goodwood – I’m not fully convinced by the 1000k so cross of Lightning Thunder. Windfast has run well, What About Carlo is solid on fast ground and a C&D winner, Rapproachment could be anything and recorded a 96 RPR on debut which is phenomenal. Hors De Combat won a decent race at Ascot but has a lot to find with Bow Creek now who must have a decent chance. Wannabe Yours could be very good too, but I really think Hughes could double up with Shifting Power 15/8. This is a big step down in class and is definitely a Group horse already and it’ll take something decent to improve passed SP. I just hope Hughes has recaptured his form!

3.05 Goodwood – Not much luck for me in the big handicaps so far minus the blind MJ backing. Ignore Pastoral Player’s 25/1 last run as ground was not right. In previous race was a best of those drawn badly, which means he is back to his best. He is a G3 winner and has run very well at Goodwood before. Morrison is in decent nick and this claimer Charlie Bennett is decent and is one to keep an eye on. From a low draw must have a really good chance. Magic City 14/1 was well backed last time and after an unlucky race did very well to finish second and well clear of rest of field. He loves big handicaps here at Goodwood and Hughes has a really good chance to bring up a treble in the first 3 races. I know I said I’d back Horsted Keynes till he won again, but was so poor on Saturday.

3.40 Goodwood – Fast ground rules out Tropics for me. Kingsgate might struggle to turn tables on Extortionist. I watched Moviesta 7/1 win this last year on course and although was not blown away he is decent on quick ground. Ladies Are Forever could get close but has work to do based on last years race. Stepper Point 12/1 a solid C&D winner looks a danger

4.15 Goodwood – Looks like I’m relying on H/H combo again. Sunset Sail 9/2 looks ahead of mark and can make all today. Son of Africa 12/1 is interesting based on debut.

4.50 Goodwood – Now I’m pushing my luck, but if Manderley 9/1 reproduces her Guineas effort has a huge chance and can bring up the H/H quad? Surely not!. The Gold C 16/1 and J Wonder 8/1 are on my list too and will probably have a nibble, but MJ has said Muteela 5/2 is his best chance of the week.

5.25 Goodwood – Just for consistency another H/H; Cameo Tiara 9/1. Close enough behind Arabian Comet who nearly beat Misunited yesterday suggests CT is ahead of mark.

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5.20 Newmarket – Autumns Blush 15/8

5.50 Newmarket – Day Dreamer 13/8

7.00 Newmarket – Zephuros 13/8

8.00 Newmarket – Cloud Nine 4/5