Sunday 28 September 2014

Bets 28/09/2014

Like I said on Friday I just can't crack Newmarket. Glad reduced stakes!

Musselborough 2.00 - Manshaa 2/5
Curragh 2.45 - Bolger put in good word for Stellar Glow 6/4
Epsom 2.45 - Christophermarlowe 6/5
Epsom 5.05 - Ghany 4/9

Saturday 27 September 2014

Bets 27/09/2014

I'm heading back down to £50 stakes for the rest of the flat season, except for Champions Day where, on track, I'll be going nuts. Yesterday was really frustrating watching Hughes give Queen of Ice a peach as I was really really heavy on Jordan Princess. E/W thankfully. Apart from that race though I was too far away from the right answer and not following racing for the last two months is clouding my judgement. But won't stop me from trying to win it big....

2.25 Haydock - Loaves and Fishes 5/2

2.30 Newmarket - Sandy Cay 2/1 followed home by Rosalie Bonheur

2.35 Newmarket - After watching Toocoolforschool bolt up I have no choice but to back Nafaqa 6/4

3.05 Chester - Examiner 10/3 good draw and should have won last time

3.10 Newmarket - Most people will be on Tiggy Wiggy here and you can see why. She is class and will take some pegging back. But, I think she might set it up perfectly for High Celebrity 9/2 who is pure class and lightly raced. TW has had a long season and yes is the best 2yr old filly in a long time, but doesn't mean can't be beaten by a horse who will be a big contender for the Guineas next year.

3.50 Newmarket - You could back at least 10 of these. If you watch the Silver version yesterday you know you want to be on the high draw and therefore Cornrow 8/1 is the one I am on. Segal has tipped Maverick Wave 25/1 and for me Gosden has been drawn the heaven draw. Maverick and Conrow both drawn high and next to each other. Maverick will ensure the pace and Cornrow will win :) Easy! Ha.

4.10 Newmarket - Long Awaited 10/1 will have a long awaited win

4.15 Chester - Kinematic 9/4 form behind Ivawood and Charming Thought should be good enough to win this

5.10 Market Rasen - Midnight Shot 10/3

5.35 Newmarket - Suzi's Connoisseur 10/1 has form with Fast Track and Eastern Impact who are rock solid handicappers. Didn't like Donny last time, hampered time before that so hoping for it to drop today. Steventon Star at a huge price was tempting but trainer is not having a good time at the moment


Friday 26 September 2014

Bets 26/09/2014

I always struggle at Newmarket. I don't know why....

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped two today:
2.10 Newmarket - Jordan Princess 13/2
3.15 Newmarket - Wannabe Yours 11/2

Looks a tough day....

1.40 Newmarket - Belle D'Or is one of those I knew I should have backed last time and I'll probably regret  not backing again. I thought was quite lucky in the end to win last race. Provenance looks decent too and both will no doubt improve further. I still feel though you should always go with the proven class sometimes and so Zibelina 8/1 gets my vote. Top rated and didn't get any light or the pace she needed or the ground so it all may click today!

2.10 Newmarket - The top of the market is pretty much spot on. Queen of Ice is the best horse, but carries a penalty. Criteria is the next best ion Ascot form but poor Newmarket run puts me off. My Spirit's form does not fully add up. Jordan Princess 6/1 ran to 93 RPR at this course on her 3rd race. Really impressive last time with step up in trip last time. Watch the race. It's phenomenal. If she can produce speed like that again will be very exciting.

2.40 Newmarket - Lucida 6/4 has been backed all week for the 1000G. Even more money today. The form is solid and let's hope lands this

3.15 Newmarket - Captain Cat looks really decent against average horses. He may well be Group 1. A horse who is Group 1, in fact a Breeders Turf winner is Outstrip 8/1. Can't believe a the top rated horse and the only G1 winner in this race is 8/1. Something must be wrong with him? After Mr. Balding's death would be amazing if Tullius 6/1 could win and does have a chance and using Toronado as a marker that stacks up against Outstrip. Tempting tricast.

3.45 Newmarket - Surely just a formality for Windshear 13/8 if not damaged by Leger

4.25 Newmarket - 2yr NH Newmarket defaults to SBS. He runs Yamllik 13/2 who has only G1 entry in field.

5.00 Newmarket - If Munaaser 8/1 is drawn on the right side, and is in same form as two races ago has a big chance. I always try to find a gem in races like this an it might be Eurystheus 20/1. Based on last race in a class 3 is about 5lb ahead of mark and also gets a 5lb claim so be interesting. Another is Lacan 12/1. Look at the form with Wannabe Yours, although the rematch with GM Hopkins means GMH ought to win. Hmmm. Tough race.





Thursday 25 September 2014

Bets 25/09/2014

Lankan Rupee in Auz

2.00 Newmarket - Mohatem 6/4 great late headway last time
2.35 Newmarket - Prince Gargarin 7/2
3.40 Newmarket - Azraff 7/1 good course form looks worthy stepping up in class
4.50 Newmarket - Master of the World 5/1

Wednesday 24 September 2014

Bets 24/09/2014

Goodwood 2.05 - Frognal Bear 13/2. Step up in favour
Goodwood 2.40 - Dissolution 4/6 will win easily (I hope)
Goodwood 3.50 - Grandeur 8/11 is class act in race
Goodwood 4.25 - Blue Surf 4/1, but Pat Dobbs needs to work this well
Goodwood 4.55 - Parisian Pyramid 8/1 should have won last time, and is a course winner
Kempton 6.20 - Loudly 6/4 has a G1 entry next month. 

Monday 22 September 2014

Bets 22/09/2014

Kempton 2.40 - Strong Chemistry 4/7
Kempton 4.40 - Perfect Alchemy 4/1


Leicester 2.30 - Viceroyalty 11/8
Leicester 3.00 - Charming Thought 11/8

Sunday 21 September 2014

Bets 21/09/2014

Air Pilot = happy days. Cannot believe he went off at 9/2 with that form on show. Anyhow, clearly not complaining. I lost a few bob backing maidens again, but another storming flat festival.

4.00 Plumpton - Pricewise has backed Triumphant. Not convinced especially at such a short price in such a tough race. Cool Sky, Purple N Gold and Castlemorris King all have solid form but using Ittraid as a marker I think Castlemorris King 10/1 comes out on top unless PnG was hampered more than I think. If you take last years form then Screaming Brave 25/1 absolutely thumps CK at these weights, but might be tough after such a long break.

4.30 Plumpton - Teak 6/4 looks decent

5.25 Gowran Park - Quartz 11/4


Saturday 20 September 2014

Bets 20/09/2014

Thought Classy Anne was going to land me a decent wad yesterday, but no luck in running. Today every horse will be running towards the draw bias so will get congested and a lot of luck will be needed at Ayr.


Ayr 2.05 – Prize Exhibit 9/1 looks a huge price. I remember watching last race. Was cruising, last of the bridle. Tudhope better time this right.

Ayr 2.40 – Bogart 11/1 ran a cracker behind a group horse last time, is a C&D winner and is in a plum draw.

Ayr 3.50 – Tom Pricewise Segal has gone for a couple of decent chance; Highland Acclaim 12/1 in good form and Loius The Pious 16/1 in first time visor and also from the same form line. From that race I like Hawkthenoeye 25/1 and also Blaine 12/1 who landed me a massive pot last time.

Ayr 4.25 – Murraher 14/1 a C&D winner takes step down in class so had a chance

Ayr 5.00 – Earth Drummer 6/1 looked pretty unlucky last time. Not sure if Athletic was flattered last time or is ahead of mark

Ayr 5.35 – Buthelezi 4/1 takes a big step down in class and is miles ahead of mark if back to anywhere near best. Forced Family Fun is also miles ahead of mark but not sure quick ground is ideal

Newbury 2.20 – I had £2k on Limato in the week. The rain came, but thankfully money was refunded. Clearly Strath Burn 7/4 is the class in this on this ground

Newbury 2.55 – Air Pilot 5/1. I have had this horse on my tracker for months and it’s keeps being withdrawn. I hope everything is right today as feels like a huge e/w bet for me. Border Ledgend is of interest, but ground is perfect for Air Pilot who has serious form which has been franked all season long

Newbury 3.30 – Mecca’s Angel 2/1 is the fastest horse Dods has ever trained. 3year olds have a good
record in this race and MA showed class last time out. Justice Day is a threat….

Newbury 4.40 – Puissant 7/1

Newmarket 1.55 – Moonlight Sonata 11/8

Newmarket 2.30 – Sperry 15/8

Newmarket 5.25 – Desert Snow 10/1 could easily bounce back on better conditions as is well handicapped. Asyad 9/2 looks decent too



Friday 19 September 2014

Bets 19/09/2014

2.40 Ayr - Segal has gone for Polski Max and Mishaal. I absolutely agree. Good form and good draw. Gran Canaria Queen could go close too.

3.10 Ayr - Classy Anne 20/1

3.45 Ayr - Squats 11/4 although Miss Mulberry 16/1 looks a big price

4.05 Newbury - Marsh Hawk 10/11

4.40 Newbury - Lady Lara 6/1

Wednesday 17 September 2014

Bets 17/09/2014

It's painful not having time to punt and watch racing at the moment. I have 10 minutes today...

2.30 Sandown - Dartmouth 11/4 is apparently one of the best 2yr olds in yard. Has a Derby entry and hopefully first outing was a needed one.

4.40 Listowel - Tom Pricewise Segal has gone for Klepht 14/1 and Heaney 14/1. On The Way Out 28/1 won well last time and Wise Old Owl 18/1 badly hampered last time looks a massive price on form from 2010 and 2011. Clearly you have to back McCoy's Alderwood 8/1



Friday 12 September 2014

Bets 12/09/2014

I have no idea what is hot and what is not anymore. 4 weeks away from in depth form and videos and you become like most other punters. I'm in Greece at the moment and the wifi is atrocious so can't go in depth, but let's see what happens...

Donny 1.40 - Sarista 33/1
Donny 2.10 - Retirement Plan 12/1
Donny 2.40 - Brass Ring 18/1
Donny 5.00 - Loving Home 5/1

Saturday 6 September 2014

Bets 06/09/2014

Being back at work, has put a sharp end to my punting. No midweek form, no video form, no extra info from the RP, so I'd be staggered if I can maintain bookie bashing. But, let's see....

Tom Pricewise Segal has gone for five today:

1.55 Ascot - Redvers 10/1
3.15 Haydock - Big Thunder 16/1
3.30 Ascot - Gwafa 14/1
3.50 Haydock - Baccarat 20/1, Music Master 8/1

My pop...

Ascot 1.55 - I've always been a C&D fan especially of the same race so agree it's worth backing Redvers 10/1 who is on same mark as last year, in okay form and trainer is keen. Conrow looks pretty solid @ 4/1 and is Antepost favourite for the Cambridgeshire. Will have to win well to confirm a place I reckon. Buick knew Safety Check 8/1 was not getting there last time out, but if Cam gets positioning right today then that 5lb claim is going to massive. Day of Conquest in interesting on that form too but I think Safety Check has more in hand. Don't Call Me likely needs 8f. Pacific Heights 16/1 and Fort Bastion 25/1 could turn the tables on Heavy Metal too. Tough Opener.

Haydock 2.05 - Confessional 9/2 can reverse the placings with Barnet Fair. Inxile 20/1 is well handicapped on better form, but goes well at Haydock. Needs to break well

Kempton 2.20 - Secret Number 3/1

Ascot 2.25 - Sugar Boy 8/1

Haydock 2.40 - Short Squeeze 7/2 won so well last time but clearly Captain Cat is also class and Doyle rode a shocker on him last time. SS gets an allowance and has Course form so let's hope.

Kempton 2.55 - Buckstay 9/2 and Lawmans Thunder 10/1

Ascot 3.00 - 4 horse race, avoiding.

Haydock 3.15 - Epsom Hill 9/1 looks miles ahead of the Handicapper and Havana Cooler 5/1 is an obvious favourite too

Ascot 3.35 - You can tell Segal really fancies Gwafa 12/1 and I can see why. Satellite. Is Nancy From Nairobi a big price? Hmm. Not sure. Might be based on the Ribbesdale but can't be sure. Battersea is the obvious pick here, but Varian's horses not going too great. Satellite 16/1 could also be better than last two runs. Connections are confident he is.

Haydock 3.50 - Just love Sole Power. Backed 5/1 Antepost. Just hoping the rain stays away. G Force 10/1 could be a threat.

Ascot 4.05 - Squats 5/2 is decent

Kempton 4.10 - Home of The Brave 6/5

Haydock 4.25 - Roosey 2/1

Ascot 4.40 - Hmmm. Fray looks the obvious choice here but using Hala Hala 25/1 as a formline could be an interesting outsider.

Haydock 5.00 - Celestial Path 5/2. Stable does well with winning debutants

Ascot 5.15 - Gabbiano 14/1 is down a fair whack in an easier race.

Haydock 5.30 - Purple Spectrum 6/1


Tuesday 2 September 2014

Bets 02/09/2014

Goodwood 2.55 - Soviet Courage 8/11 strong form
Goodwood 4.05 - Johnny Barnes 13/8 86RPR on debut and very impressive when doing so
Kempton 7.50 - Ragged Robin 6/5 still miles ahead of handicapper
Kempton 8.20 - Gone With The Wind 7/2

Monday 1 September 2014

Bets 01/09/2014

4.30 Brighton - Long View 11/8
5.10 Leicester - Elizona 11/4