Saturday 22 July 2023

Holiday

 That was bad on Saturday. Off on holiday back half way through glorious goodwood

Bets 22.07.2023

Curragh 2.00 - Pearls and Rubies 6/5. Strong Ascot form

Curragh 2.35 - Albasheer 6/1. Backed this at Ascot. Is really well handicapped and been a load of money for it.

Gusavus Weston 16/1 ran a cracker lto over C&D. Is maybe not in decline as the numbers say. The form is working out okay. Can easily outrun odds. Had to put coins on Hispanic 26's as backed twice last 

Curragh 3.10 - I keep falling off a cliff with Art Power. Taking a big chance with Lady Tilbury 40/1ew. Improving. Ran well last time. Ran very well at Curragh over too far the time before. Has a chance to make the top3. Coins on Maria Branwell 60's

Curragh 3.45 - Taking another big risk. Be Happy 28/1ew

---

Newbury 2.25 - Rainbow Dreamer 25/1ewb. Course winner. Distance winner. Hasn't run on turf over 2m for a while but has had some decent runs. The Northumberland I think will be decent enough form for a good chance to place. Some coins on Eugen Glen 

Newbury 3.00 - I'm following Anaaf 14s off a cliff. Should have won lto. 3rd in the Kings Stand. Should have finished ahead of COmmache Falls in the Clipper. Kevin give him the ride he needs! please

Newbury 4.45 - Mama Joon 3/1 Surely the Oaks form wins this?

---

Newmarket 3.40 - Bass Player 28/1ew, best at the weights over C&D on best form but has regressed. Clover into a bit of form so could be the spark needed. Coins on First View 20s

----

FAVES - Art Power, Pearls and Rubies, Mama Joon, Savethelastdance acca




Friday 21 July 2023

Bets 21/07/2023

Haydock 3.15 - Cold Stare 7/2 - Backing this till it wins now :) Surely has to win soon. Being a C&D winner will help. O'Meara won the race last year too.

Newbury 3.35 - Fox Journey 2/1 - Potentially unlucky last two races. Looks to be improving still and probably the best handicapped. 2/1 is short and if doesn't win today wait till it's a classic Stoute 4year old mopping up

Newbury 4.10 - Spring Fever 9/4 - another shortie but won so easily lto. Night Sparkle will be fuming Spring Fever is here as also chucked in.



Monday 17 July 2023

Bets 17/07/2023

Ropey Guest was the one that went astray at the weekend on a tough day. Would have been a massive win but drifted offline to the slower part of the track and Biggles/Moore took the prize :( Got it totally wrong with Haggas....


Wasn't going to bet this week, but hey...

2.35 Ayr - Beechwood Star Evs

3.10 Ayr - Our Dickie 5/1

3.45 Ayr - Aberama Gold 12/1

4.20 Ayr - Global Humor 9/1

7.30 Wolves - Brigitte 7/1

8.30 Wolves - Seargeant Pep 12/1

Friday 14 July 2023

Bets 15/07/2023

 So many non runners yesterday but some solid results at York and Ascot. Newmarket again did me.

Think Haggas will have a stonker today... Had to stop at 20 singles, all on the nose, with some lay outs on exchanges between 1.2 - 2.5 depending on prices


York 2.00 - Rhoscoyln 12/1 - Current form stinks. Last okay run was in the Victoria cup on soft and on soft groun Rhosoyln and What's the Story are the best on best form. It's a major risk, but O'Meara is hitting winners and the last time won was off 92. Now down to 91. At 12/1 given the ground willing to chance.

Blue For You 13/2 - Given O'Meara's form can't not back this too. Last time these two met over C&D vs current weights ought to be very close.

Will hit RFC too


York 2.35 -  Kerdos 10/1 - I'm worried that Cox only has a 4% SR at the course, but trainer in form, Kerdos in form and goes on soft so hopefully has a good chance. Was a toss up with this, Great State and Silkie Wilkie and even Nyhmpodra who will love the soft but Balding's horses are all over the shot atm.


York 3.10 - Millebosc 10/1 - Has been gelded so no idea what will happen, but just scroll back to 2021 and before and if this horse bounces back to that kind of form has over a stone in hand

Faylaq 22/1 - Despite a unlucky loss in the NH consolation over 2m, I think the horses best distance is over this sort of trip and am convinced one of the best in the race too. Ordinarily an improver would be on my list, but the soft ground can often change that.....

If Balding's lot were in form Nobel was interesting and Scampi who nearly landed 22s lto for me also on the list, but sticking with the 2 above a Goldie and Haggas have both won this race before.


York 3.45 - Hamish 4/6 

---

Ascot 1.35 - Arecibo 20/1 - I wish Cowell was banging winners as think this old boy has a chance on soft ground. In decent form, I just hope can maintain it as remember was 2nd in the Kings Stand only 2 years back. Crowley booked.....

Dream Composer 18/1 - Solid form. C&D winner. Reckon low will be the place to be given the ground.


Ascot 2.20 - Aldaary 5/2 - Course winner, distance winner, soft ground winner. Top Rated. No excuses.


Ascot 4.05- La Yakel 2/1


Ascot 4.40 - Five Towns 9/2. Hoping draw is low. Solid form after Quick Change nearly won a listed race. Shaggas has also won this race 4 times!

---


Chester 4.27 - Witch Hunter 6/1


---

Newmarket 2.50 - Snipers Eye 10/1 looks thrown in

Lose Your Wad 12/1 a cliff horse, but maybe soft will be the key


Newmarket 4.00 - Snazzy Jazzy 60/1 Regressed or a plot. Suspect regressed, but at 80s on exchange will gamble

Ropey Guest 22/1 - Could have won this last year if drawn better


Newmarket 4.35 - Azure Blue 7/2 - Can't believe didn't back it lto. Think can improve again.

Art Power 22/1 - So desperate for this to be a G1 winner. Has gone very close a few times, and with Easterby in good nick maybe it might happen!

Shaquille owes me nothing after a monster 12/1 win lto but could easily romp this. 


Newmarket 5.10 - Davideo 6/1, Reina Del Mar 10/1


Thursday 13 July 2023

Bets 14/07/2023

1.50 Newmarket - Seendid 8/1ew. C&D winner who potentially well handicapped.

2.25 Newmarket - Star of Mystery shouldn't lose but too short

3.00 Newmarket - The Maxwecan 16/1ew. Being running well enough of late. Assuming if was still lame would not be running today. I think this is his best trip. Small cover on Berkshire Rocco as now a cliff horse of mine..

3.35 Newmarket - Remarquee 5/1 is best at the weights. Arguably unlucky to lost to Tahiyra. I'm assuming Hornby got first choice today otherwise Prosperous Voyage could easily win back to back. Many towards the top of the market are coming back in trip couple furlongs and I can't have them

4.45 Newmarket - Harry Magnus 9/1. Blew start lto and before that short of room. Before this won easy enough

5.20 Newmarket - Conquistador 11/4


----


2.05 York - Nothern Express 3/1

2.40 York - Swingalong 15/8


3.25 Ascot - Just Bring it 12/1

4.00 Ascot - Tamilla 12/1, Sumo Sam 12/1

4.35 Ascot - Elraaed 7/2

5.10 Ascot - Popmaster 4/1



Wednesday 12 July 2023

Bets 13/07/2023

1.50 Newmarket - Tower of London 13/8. Could make a case for a couple, but the fave just edged it for me and I hate backing faves


2.25 Newmarket - Purosangue 11/4. This was flew lto. Widest draw was a worry but think it's just going to go from the off and find where ever it needs to be. Worried about Malc, but the form doesn't seem to be working out.


3.00 Newmarket -

Desert Cop 12/1ew chucked in on that form behind Shaquille and ran well enough in the Kings Stand on a trip too short. Has top weight which the only niggle for me.

Frankness 7/1ew should have placed at Royal Ascot and ran on really well; looked unlucky. Return to 6f is correct.

Realised I've picked two Balding horses, one draw either side of the field! Hope one can do it!


5.20 Newmarket -

Bodorgan 7/2 followed it last time and flopped but if finds it's 2yer old form wins.

Bling on the Music 12/1 is in the same camp. If finds it's 2year old form wins




Midday Update:

6.00pm Doncaster - Lakota Lass 16/1ew. The 2yr old handicap did not work out for me yesterday at all... Back to a 3yr old handicap. Lakota Lass and Peaceful Story on paper look the best handicapped. Went for the bigger price of course.... 


Bets 12/07/2023

 2.20 Yarmouth - Primose Maid 20/1ew

3.20 Yarmouth - Sun Festival 11/8

4.20 Yarmouth - Anglo Saxon (Top 2) Evs

4.55 Yarmouth - Hans Solo Berger 8/1ew


4.30 Lingfield - Grey Gray (Top 3) 6/4


3.10 Catterick - Seeing if I can apply 3yr handicap logic to 2yr old handicaps. Just a trial. Heroic Angel 10s, Foxfield 36s


3.40 Catterick - Pop World - 10/1ew


8.00 Kempton - Tenrai 25/1ew



Monday 10 July 2023

Bets 11/07/2023

 Saturday was decent enough. Could have been amazing if Annaf had a clear run and Scampi was not far off winning at a massive price.

Keeping the brain engaged until Thursday. Big racing. Weather could cause havoc mind.


Wolves 1.30 - I'm Too Tired around 9s

Wolves 4.15 - Exorbiant around 9s

Both can win off these marks over this C&D.


There's no liquidity on the exchanges. Moments after put £50 on the exchanges at 10s both horses prices started contracting with betfair sportsbook, paddy power and willhill (all automated responses from exchanges no doubt). Not all has matched but it's sitting around 9s. See how much actually matches by morning!


Saturday 8 July 2023

Bets 08/07/2023

After a couple poor weeks post Ascot for some reason opted to play top 2 bets. Savvy Victory obviously won at 11/1 but I bet top 2 at 3/1 Oh well. All good. Kylian romped at 3/1 also.

Skybet and massively limited my betting now so using the exchanges more and more. Accas will go on wherever I can get them on.


1.50 Sandown - 

Annaf 7.07 Win, 2.28 Top 3. In form and towards the top over this distance. Appebly did well with Raasel in this race and in good form currently. 

Existent Win 32, 4.1 Top 4 is far too big given how ran in the race last year. Crowley onboard today will make a big difference


2.25 Sandown - 

Indemnify 8.2 Win, 2.13 Top 4. In good form and a C&D winner. Think the draw is good and was supposedly a decent bet for RA but didn't make the cut. The form is not mind blowing but still doing okay. If Sceptic was not drawn wide would have backed this too. Perotto and Spirit catcher next on list, but sticking with one 


3.00 Sandown 

Bridgestones 4.6 Win. Was so badly hampered at Ascot and would no doubt have won the race on the far side. On paper ought to find it hard at the weights with Magical Sunset but I feel MS is s better 7f horse.


4.50 Sandown

Classic 10.1 Win, 2.44 Top 3. New Business is from STS so no worry pedigree wise will go well at Sandown. Looks well handicapped on AW form but not on turf. Classic ran really well last time considering how keen it was. Was last off the bridle and with softer ground and a better run can go close.



1.30 Haydock

Squealer 5.00 Win. Winner in waiting on this mark. Tinkler just needs to start winning!


2.05 Haydock 

Lordship 4.7 Win. Still chucked in. Missed the bigger prices for this one. 

Chillihi 13 Win. Huge run lto. Gassee was next on list


3.15 Haydock

Scampi 23.05 Win. 3.05 Top 5 looked unlucky at Epsom. Won really well time before this and perhaps the extra furlong just too far lto? This can win if trying

Cumulonimbus 12 Win. C&D winner


4.25 Haydock

Kingdom Come 8.2 Win, 1.99 Top 4






Friday 7 July 2023

Bets 07/07/2023

2.30 Sandown - Kylian 3/1 on exchanges

3.05 Sandown - Sleeping Lion 3/1 (w/o Yibir)

3.40 Sandown - Devils Point (Top 2) - 5/1

4.15 Sandown - Savvy Victory (Top2) - 3/1

4.50 Sandown - Seahouses 4/1





Sunday 2 July 2023

Bets 02/07/2023

 After the first two race winners thought was going to be decent. Only one other winner and a big ew place so not bad, not great. Backed these all yesterday evening.


1.50 Curragh - His Majesty 7/2 - Still gutted about this one at Ascot. Drawn wrong and slow start. It's C&D win after only second run was very impressive. It's going to be a decent race for sure though 


2.25 Curragh - Commache Falls 5/4 best form


3.00 Curragh - Harmony Rose 25/1, Joe Riggins 8/1


4.15 Curragh - Farnborough 8/1ew. Chucked in like a few of these, but 3yr olds have a decent record and the only 3yr old in field.


4.50 Curragh - Transadental 9/1ew. Won a huge pot for me lto. Think still ahead of mark, but the fave Yerwanthere does look solid.


5.25 Curragh - Salt Lake City 9/2.


6.00 Curragh - Golden Twilight 20/1ew