Didn't look at the odds before picked these. Backed on the exchanges. Let's see what happens :)
Newcastle 5.45 - Tafsir 11/1ew
Newcastle 6.15 - Classy Clarets 5/1ew
Newcastle 6.45 - Yaaser 17/2ew
Newcastle 7.15 - Consquistador 15/2ew
Newcastle 7.45 - Bashful 14/1ew
Newcastle 8.15 - Heartswood 7/1ew
Newcastle 8.45 - Fine Wine 10/1ew
1.50 York - Nostrum Evs
3.00 York - Kinross 7/4
3.35 York - Sciptwriter 16/1
4.10 York - Fresh 14/1
4.45 York - Purosangue 7/4
5.20 York - Haunted Dream 6/1
A 9/1 winner and a 10/1 place. Better than Day 1, but still.
1.50 - Dark Moon Rising 12/1ew.
In form. C&D winner, and I think best on handicap stats. Ran in the Dante and never really recaptured form. Looks to hand turned a corner this season and improving with every run now.
2.25 - Broome 7/1ew.
The best over this distance on G+
3.00 Action Point 16/1ew.
Ignore the Ascot run as lost a shoe. Big run lto over the distance today. Kylian and Hateem messing around with distances and not right for me
3.35 Bradsell 4/1.
Top rated. Beat Highfield Princess last time they met. Khaadem and Aesops fable interesting for big ew plays but sticking with one. Hollie to bring up the double with Action Point ;)
4.10 Sisyphus Strength 8/1ew.
Improver. Ran a blinder in the Fashion Stakes so defo well handicapped. Decent draw.
5.15 English Oak 4/1.
Thought Ed Walker was bit unlucky twice yesterday not to at least place. On paper this is chucked in
No excuses yesterday from me.
1.50 - Cherry Blossom 5/2
No Nay Never decent 2 yr ped at York and trust in Moore to measure the Make All ride. Irish don't have a great record in this so some coins on Beautiful Diamond at 10s
2.25 Persica 6/1ew
Hannon has a decent record in this race and Persica looked decent lto
3.00 - Akhu Najla 7/1ew
- Tried to find a big price outsider, but improving 4years old do well in this race and this one is totally chucked in on GF ground. Stall 2 and 3 will blaze out setting this up perfectly.
3.35 Warm Heart 7/1ew
Going to my Ribblesdale hero. Convinced ground was the key, which was reason for effort lto. Few coins at Sea Silk 25s
4.10 Scenic 12/1ew
Plumping for a 3 year old and the best of these looks to be Scenic. Looks highly progressive and got some decent York form and form behind Warm Heart and Bluestocking
4.45 Aragon Castle 13/2ew
On paper this looks the only improver ahead of it's mark.
5.20 Naomi Lapaglia 12/1ew
Improving and enjoyed it's last run. Atwaads do well at York too.
1.50 York - Alligator Alley 11/1, Venture Express 25/1. Bergerac and Nomadic Empire were next on list
2.25 York - Cogitate 10/3
Gregory/Paddington Double 5/2
4.10 York - Znndabad 7/1, Themaxwecan 16/1
4.45 York - Lady Hamana 16/1
5.10 York - Starlust 4/1, Barnwell Boy 20/1
Sandown
3.45 Two Tribes 11/2ew
4.15 Arecibo 16/1, Mookatail 20/1
4.45 Skellet 6/1ew
5.45 Whats The Story 10/1ew
6.15 - Miss Down Under 25/1ew
6.45 Cresent Lake 8/1ew
Rain overnight will no doubt screw everything, but this is the only chance I have to look at the cards.
1.50 Newbury - Arrest 6/4
Top rated + 3year allowance and will love the ground
2.40 Ripon - Prince of Bel Air 12/1ew
Grab the rail and make all. Hope the jockey is strong enough to make use of the claim
3.00 Newbury - Scholarship 16/1ew
Not sure if I am doing this because missed Cox's Just Bring It in the week after backin so many times before it or whether just makes sense given is a C&D winner on soft and Cox has won this race twice, also with 3year olds.
3.10 Newmarket - Crocus Time 5/1ew
Good draw, good mark based on C&D run.
3.15 Ripon - Monsieur Kodi 7/1ew.
On ratings Guilliver and Summerhand win this esp with O'meara in good form. I back Guillver 33/1 antepost, but given the rain draw will be really hard. The rain will also make it harder for Summerhand. Monsieur Kodi won nicely last weekend for me and think can go in again. Lakota Blue was nearly the bet instead given the C&D win, but not fully convinced 6f is best distance.
3.35 Newbury - Mostabshir 8/1ew
Chindit surely best over 1m. Most of these won't like the likely soft ground. Risk on Mostabshir. Dam side was great on soft. It's just not working out at 1m? Has weakened out of it 3 times over 1m, so maybe this trip might unlock something. Willing to risk it given the issues the others will defo have on soft and the fact is close to top rated with the 3year old allowance.
4.00 Curragh - Mysteries 12/1ew.
Ylang Ylang and Matrika are 1st and 2nd faves for the 1KG so surely the formlines to follow. Mysteries has good Curragh form, trainer banged in a 16/1 winner yesterday, has the most experience in the field along with Pearls and Rubbies an Territories and decent 2yr record at the Curragh.
4.15 Doncaster - Prince of Pillo 11/1ew.
If recaptures some of the Childers form over C&D could easily win this. Can make excuses for some of these races. It's a risk as could really have regressed but it's a Class 3 so let's go.
4.50 Doncaster - Kentucky Bluegrass 7/1ew.
Good draw, back to ideal 7f. I hope nothing worse at GS as otherwise may not make it home. Trainer in good form and ahead of mark based on run few races back.
5.10 Curragh - God Knows 7/1ew.
Based on last run over C&D is maybe half a stone in hand. Drifted around a fair bit lto too. Should go close
Sunday
6.15 Sandown - Miss Down Under 25/1ew
If wind surgery has worked could easily outrun odds here.
1.50 Goodwood - Monsiuer Kodi 15/2 ew
2.25 Goodwood - Adjuvant 8/1ew
3.35 Goodwood - Mr Wagyu 18/1ew, Albassheer 18/1ew, Sterling Knight 18/1ew
5.20 Goodwood - Liberty Lane 11/2, Greatgadian 18/1ew
Just got to France. No time today, but faves looks okay today.
1.50 Goodwood - Law of Sea 8/1ew
2.25 Goodwood - Nostrum 4/7 (No bet)
3.00 Goodwood - Revich 20/1ew, Sonny Liston 28/1ew
3.35 Goodwood - Highfield Princess Evs
4.10 Goodwood - Hamish Evs
4.45 Goodwood - Starlust 3/1
5.20 Goodwood - Masso Batie 5/1
When the ground was GF I cleaned up in the early part of the season. Maybe why I nail Meydan too. Just seem to be very inconsistent when the ground is a mess like it is again today....
Goodwood 1.50 - Goldsborough 33/1ew. Course winner on heavy ground over shorter. Looked beat 3f out that day but really stayed on. Think 10f will be fine. That last race was a mess so will forgive. There are loads of unexposed horses but the one's I like have no course from or distance form so too much of a gamble.
Goodwood 2.25 - Bobsleigh 17/2ew. Eve's horses back in good form. The Coventry form is god enough for me given the winners coming out of it. The ground a concern but Elzaam ran fine on soft so be disappointed if didn't make top3.
Goodwood 3.00 - Artistic Star 13/2ew . Im sure Espoionage has been laid out for a race which AOB has won 3 times from 6 horses and that typically his horses come on from the first run of season, but I don't think won that comfortably lto. Chesspiece ran average on soft in the Darley and I'm not convinced improved lto. Crisford is in decent form though. I think Artistic Star still improving. I think the KE form is decent and AS got closer to King of Steel lto than in the Derby so hoping more to come
Goodwood 3.35 - Above The Curve 12/1ew - Should have beaten Nashwa in the Prix D'Opera on very soft ground. Will be very soft today, so has a chance to tray at 4x times the odds of Nashwa. I think something has to go wrong with Blue Rose Cen for Above The Curve to win, but you never know.
Goodwood 4.10 - Dodies Impact 25/1ew - Loved the ground in the Brocklesby and assuming now settled into the Cox yard can potentially refind form. If Channon's form was decent I'd be all over Grays Inn, but at 2/1 it's hard to do given a bunch of unexposed 2 year olds. Balon D'or 25/1ew might be interesting off top weight
Goodwood 4.45 - Alpha Cruis 14/1ew
Goodwood 5.20 - Ornellia 3/1 - Form is solid. Pedigree is decent for heavy ground
Goodwood 5.55 - Ran out of time. Looking at draw and pedigree got to Another Baar, Lakot Blue, The Thames Boatman all 20's + but no more time :(
