Friday 31 December 2021

01.01.2022

 12.15 Chelts - I am Maximus 5/4. 

I am on 66/1 for the Chelts. Fingers crossed this bolts up.


12.50 - Honest Vic 4/1.

Well handicapped based on last run, Trainer in decent form. Won over hurdles here comfortably off this mark so fingers crossed again :)


1.25 - Oscar Elite 11/1 ew

Needs to be ridden patiently and if so has enough decent form in the book. If doesn't do well today and lines up again at the festival one to keep an eye on for a decent ew maybe a handicap.


2.00 - Galahad Quest 9/1ew

Could have backed so many in this but on balance on recent form will go with GQ. If wind surgery works for Janika could be really well handicapped. Backed Deyrann De Crajac last two races, so no doubt will win today :) Kauto Riko was interesting too.


2.35 - Spritofgames 14/1ew

Needs to bounce back, but why not. Best handicapped if does. Thought about Kansas again after won me a decent 16/1 but Spirit still better handicapped


3.10 - Mcfabulius 9/4


Post more later in the comments

Happy new year :)

Monday 27 December 2021

Bets 27.12.2021

Drafted last night. Thought will place in morning. Some prices have collapsed. FFS. 

ew plays where makes sense

Kempton 1.20 - Solo 7/1

Wetherby 2.15 -  Kapolti 16/1

Chepstow 2.50 - Potters Corner 16/1, Iwilldoit 14/1

Kempton 3.10 - Fortesque 8/1

Kempton 3.40 - EddeMaurice 20/1


--


Leo 2.20 - Tudor City 20/1

2.55 - poker part enjoy allen




Friday 10 December 2021

Bets 11.12.2021

 Not posted in a while and of course had number massive winners :) sorry mega busy.


1.15 Chelts - Bun Doran 14/1 ew. Second run post wind op. Got a good place out of it last time and now has a 10lb pull with the fave Editor DG. Frero Banbou will run well but BD better value

Bun Doran 14/1ew


1.30 Doncater - Misty Bloom 9/2


1.50 Chelts - The Midnight Shadow race is a great formline given Protektorat went onto win. Midnight was hampered at penultimate and stumbled at last so maybe should have won that race by more. There are so many reopposing at different weighs and I've seen the race a few times now. The one I want is one you can't really see in the replays :) Was held up and detached most of the way but made up decent ground up the hill. Deyrann De Carajc is 25/1ew. Was only 2lb away from Midnight Shadow at level wieghts about 11 months ago over C&D but now over a stone and half pull. With King getting into form and Bredan Powell booked who smashes up Chelts hope have a live ew here.

The fly might be Fusil Raffles who is potentailly well handicapped so will cover 8/1 otn

Deyrann De Carajc is 25/1ew

Fusil Raffles 8/1

rfc 200/1 (ish) for banter as well


3.35 Chelts - Her Indoors was a tracker horse but deleted after nailed my quids when won at Chelts, but I wondered whether is still well handicapped over a longer distance. Martello Sky is definaltey well handicaped based on last run and also a Chelts winner


Marteloo Sky 4/1

HEr Indoors 8/1

Saturday 13 November 2021

Bets 14/11/2021

 Gowel Road finally wins like the well handicapped horse I knew it was. Happy days.

1.0 0 Punchestown- Fully Charged 11/4

2.55 Chelts - Tudor City 28/1 ew and Cormier 16/1 ew both looks decent ews.

4.00 Chelts - Aurcarinsque 5/2

Friday 12 November 2021

Bets 13/11/2021

 1.05 Chelts - Opposites Attract 9/2, Two Taffs, 40/1 ew 6 places

2.15 Chelts - lalor 5/1, Derayn De Carcaj 33/1 ew 7 places

2.50 Chelts - Kansa CIty Chief 12/1ew 4places

3.25 Chelts - Gowel Road 7/1, Good TIme JOnny 13/2


Bets 12.11.2021

 Chelts 1.10 - The Wrecking 16/1ew 6places, An Taillur 5/1 ew 4places

Chelts 1.45 - Bun Doran 12/1 ew

Chelts 2.55 Alphas De Obeaux 10/1ew 4places

Chelts 4.00 - Hmm Kalpatra? Swagman? Samba Dancer? Brorson?

Samba Dancer 10/1 ew, Kalpatra 18/1ew

Friday 5 November 2021

Breeders Cup 2021


Solid melbourne cup winner. Not going to have a chance to look at Breeders in full.

Backed Goulthane 10/1 at 12.30

Have some antepost bets but will probably cash golden pal out given have the doubles. 

Backed averly jane 14/1 for  commonwealth next year






Monday 1 November 2021

Melbourne Cup 2021

 Didn't have all the time I wanted to look at this.


At the weekend I was keen on

Persan 25/1

Very Ellegant 16/1.


I back Twinlight Payment last year to win and I think is good enough to go close again given reckon has improved equally to rise in weights.

If Incentivise stays the 2m will probably hose up though. 2/1 is very short though. I'll stick with Persan and Very Ellagnet ew



Friday 29 October 2021

Bets 30.10.2021

 

2.03 Mussleburhg - Cooper Coin 13/8


2,23 Newmarket - Noble Dynasty 2/1

Impressive form on both Newmarket runs. Should have won last time out but got merked on the rail the entire way.


2.45 Ascot - One For Rosie 13/2 ew


2.58 Newmarket - With The Moonlight 5/2

I thought Five Stars was interesting but on collateral form WTM is miles ahead. 


3.20 Ascot - Jerrysback 13/2 ew


5.30 Wolves - Beryl The Peril 7/2                                      



Friday 22 October 2021

Bets 23.10.2021

Rushed through today

1.00 Doncaster - Masked Identity 7/1

2.05 Doncater - Ibiza Rocks 4/1

2.20 Cheltenham - The Hollow Ginge 12/1

3.10 Newbury - Miss Csrol Ann 11/4

3.50 Doncaster - Deoda 5/2

4.05 Cheltenham - Tobefair 12/1

4.20 Doncaster - Dakota Gold 7/1

7.30 Chlemsford - Percys Prince 3/1

Saturday 16 October 2021

Bets 16/10/2021

Earlier in the week all I could see was a Gosden clean up. Worth a Gosden acca of sorts.

1.25 I can't back Trushan after only 2 weeks on from the Cadran and on good to soft, good ground. I'm sure will probably win, but too short. I keep thinking it's mad that Strad is 4/1 given ground. Gosden convinced was legitimate reasons for defeats this year. 

Instead I'll pluck Baron Samedi. 2m no issues, decent form in Ireland. Whilst has improvement to find has been improving a lot this summer and still only 4. Will be much fresher than most.

Baron Samedi 7/1 ew (4 places)


2.00 - Many of these are in and out of form, stepping up and stepping down in trip. It's a confusing race for me. 

So, Minzaal, lightly raced, open to improvment gets my vote.

Minzaal 9/1 ew (6places)


2.35 - Snowfall has to win this right? 

I'm always okay to draw lines through York form so Eshaadda get's the vote. Form boosted at Lonchamp

Eshadaa 11/1 ew (3 places)


3.10 - Palace Pier 15/8


3.50 - Adayar has been immense this season but surely a long one and a race just 2 weeks ago on heavy ground can't help chances? Bolshoi Ballet has won 3 times over this distance and was fave for the Derby. This is interesting. If te ground was softer I'd be hitting Addeyebb.

Misriff 2/1

Bolsho Ballet 28/1 ew 4 places


4.30 - Sunray looks chucked in but pretty short for such a big field and the ground will probably be slower up the high drawn. I dont' have any other strong fancies other than two ews back plucked

Maries Diamond 25/1ew 6 places

Escobar 18/1ew 6places

Roschlyn was next on list but 2 is enough.....

Saturday 9 October 2021

Bets 09/10/2021

 Two big prices 1 place of being placed, but thankfully nailed 11/1 and 10/3 winner. 


2.55 Newmarket - Assume Native Trail wins this but still chancing this:

Glouthaune 14/1 ew 3 places


3.35 Newmarket - Assume a Willie Mullins nag wins this but still chancing this:

Buzz 7/1 ew 8 places


2.00 York - Animato would surely have won this if not for the draw, but the draw is super tough. Don't normally back a nag at York that flopped at York before, but the form of last race is decent and surely the yard must think something was amiss to try the same C&D again with a visor? This jockey is a worry too, but guess this is why price is so juicy.

Animato 7/1 

Caoi Shark 20/1 ew 4 places


3.15 York Laugh A Minute 9/2 ew 7 places.


Tough day 

Friday 8 October 2021

Bets 08/10/2021

Newmarket 13.50 - Nymphadora 18/1 ew 5places

Newmarket 3.00 - Chindit 7/2

Newmarket 4.10 - Siskany 7/2

Newmarket 4.40 - Soft Whisper 9/2 ew 4 places

York - 2.05 - Hi Meh Darling 16/1ew 4places

York 3.15 - Ouzo 15/2 ew 6places

York 4.20 - Illusionist 11/1 ew 6places

Saturday 2 October 2021

Bets 03.10.2021

Broke even yesterday with extra places again helping out.

Not looked in depth plus ground will become merkage. My early ante post fancy Philomene not progressed and doubt Chrono Genesis will like the ground much.

1.15 Racelette 11/8

1.50 Stone Age 10/1ew 3places

3.05 Raabihah 22/1ew 5places

Tarwana 4/1 

3.50 Siblia Spain 5/1ew 4places

4.25 Wild Majesty 25/1ew 5places


Friday 1 October 2021

Bets 02.10.2021

 I played safe last week as was on rocky ground. Paid off massively with extra places. Yes lost some juice in the SP on Roundahay Park but the ews and ew accas made be decent return. 


1.30 Ascot - Highfiled Princes 11/4

1.45 Newmarket - Evident Beauty 15/2 ew (5 places)

2.20 Newmarket - Stubble Field 11/1 ew (5 places)

2.55 Newmarket - Champers Elysees 16/1 ew (5 places)

3.40 CHester - Flying West 11/8

3.50 Ascot - Fundamental 12/1ew (6places)

Saturday 25 September 2021

Bets 25.09.2021

2.0.5 Haydock - Latest Generation 11/1 ew 2places

2.35 Chester - Roundhay PArk 12/1 ew 4places

3.50 - Haydock - Cardona 9/1 ew 2 places

3.40 NM - Jean BAptiste 50/1 ew 8 places

4.50 NW - Honey Sweet 10/w ew 4places

5.30 Chelms - Mrs Dibble 5/1 ew 5places

7.30 Chelms - Crimson Sand 3/1

Thursday 23 September 2021

Bet 23/09/2021

 1.00 - Adjourn 7/1ew

1.35 - Choir Master 4/1 ew

2.10 - Gelhorn 9/2 ew

3.20 - Nayef Road 9/2 ew

4.30 Carlius maxiumus 5/1 ew

Saturday 11 September 2021

Bets 11.09.2021


 Struggling with time and form, so keeping low stakes.

I backed youth spirit (cliff horse) as well.



Thursday 9 September 2021

Bets 09.09.2021

The I'll just stick to one cost me a 12/1 winner yesterday :) Oh well. Was the value and not the one I thought would win. Always a tough battle. Value betting will probably always come out on top..... 


1.10 - Mountain Brave 6/1

Hopefully Nicola rides this hard from the off.


1.40 Daquiri Francais 4/1

The form with Rock Melody is decent. I thought about Favourite Child but DF won well on heavy and second won cosily twice since giving this opening mark for DF a really shine.


2.10 Doncaster - Perfect Symphony 16/1ew

The only worry I have is Hayley has only ridden 1/31 winners at the track. Otherwise this looks a decent ew. Was not going to squeeze passed Atomic Lady last time so Rossa dropped PS out and switched wide. Lost all momentum and came balsting home on wrong side of track. I hope can go close to turning tables with Ever Given especially with extra pull at weights too.


3.15 - Golden Pass 9/1

I was looking at Free Wind as the worthy fave but I saw Golden Pass beat FW earlier in season. 100% FW will have improved but even though GP ran poorly last race the form of that race is rock solid and hope can boounce back today.


3.45 - Seven Brothers 14/1ew

I thought SB was a crazy price at HQ but never backed it. Ran a cracker at 25/1 2nd last time out. The form of that race is decent. A course winner who will prefer the quicker ground so much have an ew squeak. Few bookies playing 3 places as well.




Wednesday 8 September 2021

Bets 08.09.2021

 Doncaster 1.45 - Modern Games 15/8

Not a banker as a few of these are probably ahead of mark but Appleby does well with handicap debutants at Doncaster


Doncaster 2.20 - Frantastic 6/4

Shouldn't bet in this of course but a nag named after Frankie and full brother to Crackman worth a few quid :) Has a G1 entry. Beaches is the only other horse with a G1 entry.


Doncaster 2.50 - Thrave 12/1 ew

Betting in a classified stakes race with retired jockeys. Not a good idea :) On best form is the best here over this distance and the best of those that have run at Doncsater. Would have preferred a flat jockey to take the ride but hey. Natural Colour could be a big price back in trip with the best race form but will stick with one.


Doncaster 3.25 - Highfield Princess 9/2

Really solid form over 7f especially in the last behind Spaces Blues. Could argue is rated higher than 109.


Doncaster 4.00 - Khadeem 6/4

Everything points to this drop back in trip.


Doncaster 4.30 - Faisal 6/4

Proven on flat galloping tracking now and hopefully can improve further.


Doncaster 5.00 - Nelson Gay 9/1

Another cliff horse for me but I'm convinced has a decent handicap up sleeve. Seems to run really well over 5f at Sandown but I wonder whether this gallopping/flatter track may bring out the best. Should be enough pace as well


---

4.50 Carlisle - Stranger On The Shore 8/1

Solid C&D record









Friday 3 September 2021

Bets 04.09.2021

2.05 Kempton - Wings of War 7/2

2.55 Haydock - Indianapolis  mark has dropped considerably now and a couple of best performances have been over C&D. Is the best handicapped horse on old form as well with a decent last run as well.

Indianapolis 11/1

3.15 Kempton - Away slowly couple times recently and still finished well. Goes well over C&D. Crowley booked for the ride.

Fantasy Believer 14/1 ew

3.30 Haydock - Last chance for my cliff horse Supremacy. Cox is in decent nick and 3 year olds have a good record. Sup was the best 2 yr old last year and if hasn't progressed then fine but from last couple runs I can find enough excuses :)

Supremacy 18/1 ew

3.50 Kempton - If doesn't get away slowly off this mark could win. Massively priced due positions. But slowly away and hampered both raced over C&D.

Snow Hawk 25/1 ew


4.05 Haydock - Mondamej has a slow start was one of the lasdt of the bridle and finished very strongly. Less horses to get stuck behind this time to turn the table with Copper Knight.

Mondammej 6/1


4.20 Ascot - Baker's form is annoying for me, but otherwise Paasionova is chucked in on handicapped debut. Ready To Venture has cost me twice now so will obvioulsy win today when don't back it :)

Passionova 5/1


4.55 Ascot - Royal Scimatar 5/2

5.30 Ascot - Mine's A Double 7/4

Wednesday 1 September 2021

Bets 01.09.2021


4.00 Lingfield - Black Medic 11/2 back to 7fulrongs is the key here. Run well in defeat couple times and now off a low mark

4.35 Lingfield - Fact or Fable 11/1 gone very close twice off this mark. I think this C&D could be ideal. Global Acclamation looks the biggest threat

 4.50 Hamilton - Edward Cornelius 5/4 should win this but that MJ nag is a worry. 

5.50 Hamilton - Ryan's Party 2/1 looks ahead of mark

7.20 Hamilton - Dense Starr 5/1 is down in grade and has been running in pattern class mainly. Chucked in if not regressive. Ran better than result last time.



Friday 27 August 2021

Bets 28.08.2021

Great to land the Ebor with a 12/1. Only Fools Rush In drifted to 10/1 and won as well.

2.25 Goodwood - Aratus was an easy winner last time out and I still think has at least half a stone in hand. Clearly worried that Kirby has taken the ride on Dance Fever but I'm sticking with Aratus.

Aratus 5/2

2.45 Newmarket - Tabdeed is top rated here, down in class so Tabdeed's to lose.

Tabdeed 2/1


3.35 Goodwood - Chindit is unbeaten outside G1 racing and think this is a good opportunity. Bentabl on best form wins but over  ayeasr off surely a tough ask.

Chindit 4/1

Saturday 21 August 2021

Bets 21.08.2021

 2.25 York - Marshal Plan 16/1, Pleasant Man 25/1

3.35 York - SOnnyboyListen 11/1, Roberto Escobar 20/1

4.45 York - Dawamaam 12/1



1.30 Sandown - Imploire 7/2 & 2.05 Sandown Reach For THe Moon 8/13 & 3.15 Sanddown Poet of LIfe 13/8

Gosden could have a decent day. Stoute has Potapova 7/1 and Indog JOnes 9/1 agaisnt the 3 above and could also thwart a decent looking treble.



1.40 Chester - Fools Rush In 5/1




Thursday 19 August 2021

Bets 19.08.2021

 Thank goodness for Skybet 7 places.... Either way tough yesterday.


1.50 York - Outside World 11/1, Illustrating 6/1


2.25 York - System 9/2, Atomic Lady 16/1


3.00 York - Orbaan 12/1, Traouis Flurs 50/1 ew


3.35 York - Divinely 66/1 ew or maybe 20/1 ew without Snowfall.


4.10 York - Whitefeatehrsfall 12/1, Coai Shark 14/1


4.45 York - Amma Grace 4/1


5.20 - York - Spirt of Bemuda 4/1, Improvised 11/2




Wednesday 18 August 2021

Bets 18.08.2021

 4 winners at the weekend created a pot for York this week. Looks a tough day as always at York. 


1.50 York - Major Jumbo best handicapped on historic form but has to bounce back at a track does always run well at. Snazzy Jazzy will like extra half furlong and ran really well in pattern class at York 2 races back suggesting can win off this mark


Major Jumbo 16/1

Snazzy Jazzy 33/1


3.00 York - Fuming about Sir Lucan no winning last time. Should make amends this time. Youth Spirit becoming a cliff horse for me, but now at level weights could go closer


Sir Lucan 7/2

Youth Spirit 11/1


4.10 York -  If one of the MJ nags bouneces back to form they win but look out of sorts totally.

Future Investment 14/1 

Get Shirty 14/1


5.20 - Bosh and Azzedancver bring strong pattern form to race and both look well handicapped. Any MJ worry is Jadhlaan, but hopefully will be 3rd....


Bosh 9/2

Azzedancer 16/1

Friday 13 August 2021

Bets 14.08.2021

 I took one weekend off and Tis Marvellous 9/2, Ebro River 12/1, Grpahite 18/1 ALL WON!!!

ARGH!!! Oh well.


2.25 Doncaster - Blue De Vega 10/1

3.00 Doncaster - Motawaajed 9/4

1,30 Newmarket - Lady Valentine 12/1

2.00 Newmarket - Makawee 8/1

2.35 Newmarekt - Devil's Angel 6/1

3.05 Newmarket - Great Ambassdoar 9/4

2.55 Newbury Aratus 9/4

Thursday 29 July 2021

Bets 30.07.2021 & 31.07.2021

1.50 - Everything For You 40/1ew

2.25 - Tactical 16/1ew

3.00 - Path of Thunder 5/1ew

4.10 - Pablo Escobarr 12/1ew

4.45 - Goldernhurst 18/1ew

5.20 - Marching Army 13/2, Barn Own 17/2


---


1.55 - Open Wide 20/1 ew

2.30 - Prince Alex 10/1, On To Victory 10/1

3.05 - Divenly 14/1ew

3.40 - Lampang 25/1ew



Wednesday 28 July 2021

Bets 29.07.2021 - GG Day3

 Not going very well so far....


1.50 - Aerion Power 13/2 ew should have boilted up last time. Jock screwed up big time


2.25 - Ebro River 11/2ew solid on soft decent form


3.00 - Doesn't make sense that Sir Lucan is after beating Wordworth. Hmm. I like Youthful Spirit as well here.

Sir Lucan 9/1 ew, Youthful Spirit 14/1ew


4.10 Adjuvant  chucked in but so is Aswan at a bigger price.

Adjuvant 3/1, Aswan 10/1ew


5.20 - Digital beat Significantly on soft over 5f and so should have a decent chance.

Digital 14/1ew

Tuesday 27 July 2021

Bets 28.07.2021 - GG Day 2

 1.50 Goodwood - Siskany was impressive of soft ground and unlucky enough in the King George which is surely the best form here?

Siskany 9/2ew


2.25 - Wow. Where to turn. 

Isabllea GIles 14s CD. Ground okay. Rohaan form good. what has happened to Cox horses this season? big worry? Won the prestie by 7 lneghts. las race poor but was poor at ascot before as well.

Isabella Giles 9/1 ew. Was 14/1 last night when was writign notes up


3.35 - Snow Lantern 5/1ew


4.45 - Chamade was the biggest free money bet 20/1 I remember in years last year. Nothing like that this year on show. IF Timeless Soul stays, I think wins.

Timeless Soul 4/1


5.20 - Horrendous. Can't find a decent plot up. If Dutch Decoy goes on ground is well handicapped and ZFeng always goes well here, mark dropping and Crowly booked

Dutch Decoy 14/1ew

Zuie Feng 22/1ew 


Will sort the 2.25 race tomorrow morning

Monday 26 July 2021

Bets 07.07.2021 - GG Day 1

 1.50 - I'd been eyeing up Dream With Me for this race, but the draw and ground make it hard to really be confident. Given the ground Sky Defender stands out to me. Also second in this race of 5lb higher. Migration after 2 years off looks to still have it, but will bounce?

Sky Defender 14/1ew



3.35 - Surely one of Strsd or Trueshan wins this? Still not forgotten Ballydole supplement Seprentine for the Gold Cup. Didn't run great. No idea why running the Goodwood Cup either, but if really does stay then only Sir Ron Priestly is likley to take Serpy on for the lead and maybe might run another 'fluke'?

I can't back the top two at the prices so why not this...


Serpentine 20/1 ew


4.10 - Now I've really lost the plot. Backing a 12year old to win a pretty competitive handicap at a big meeting. Was unlukcy last time out, is a C&D winner, will handle conditions, has a decent draw fora  front runner. Problems are trainer form and so many other front runner. Risk is reflected in price for sure.


Pettochisde 20/1ew





Bets 26.07.2021

 4.40 Galway Sir Cedric 9/1ew


Saturday 24 July 2021

Saturday 17 July 2021

Bets 17.07.2021



 What a ball ache last weekend

40/1,33/1,12/1,12/1,10/1,8/1 all placed with 2 others unplaced. Got some okay ew acca returns.


Not bothered about racing today. Waiting for goodwood

Friday 9 July 2021

Bets 10.07.2021

Snow Lantern was awesome. The rest was awful.

1.45 York - Ebury 40/1


3.35 Ascot - Tis Marvellous 12/1


3.30 York - Jersey Rose 12/1


3.50 Newmarket - Fundamenrtal 8/1


4.05 York -  Dawamaam 10/1


4.25 Newmarket - Supremacy 18/1


5.00 Newmarket - Grpahite 25/1


5.15 York - George Bowen 11/1

Bets 09.07.2021

Ascot 2.15 -  If Guru bounced back to form will win, but a big if. Rebel Territory looked like winning last time out before Luckiness stormed through. Dawson is brilliant at Ascot, takes 3lb off and if doesn't get head in front too soon can win this.

Rebel Territory 7/2


Ascot 4.00 - Dark Shift is chucked in here. I make a bold assumption that fast ground at York just didn't suit.

Dark Shift 2/1

---

Newmarket 1.15 - I'm a big fan of Point Lonsdale so I'd like to think has the strongest formlines from Ascot. However Lusail forlines can't be scoffed at after yesterday. Another race really shouldn't be betting in, but screw it.

Sweeping 3/1


Newmarket 1.50 - Too Friendly has quickly turned into my cliff horse so will hav e to have coins on it. But Peter The Great is chucked in here at 4/1

Pete The Great 4/1

Too Friendly (25/1) - Cliff horse bet


Newmarket 3.00 - I'm on a roll with betting in races I shouldn't. Surely I should be following the Ascot formline here? Instead Prince Alex looks really progressive and it's thumping of Hyanna ties enough into the Ascot formline for me. Has won on GF before so don't think ground is an issue. I am worred that Beckett's last two runner, both faves were turned over though.


Prince Alex 7/1


Newmarket 3.35 - How good are the 3 year old Fillies and Mares this year? I flukey picked out Mother Earth to win the Guineass but I don't rate the race at all. Balding stable was flying when Alchol Free won the Coronation Stakes. Snow Latern ran a cracker behind Alcohol Free in conditions that did not suit so I fully expect her to turn the tables today. I just hope she is settled and travel strongly today.

I'm not dismissing the elders but at the weights/ratings surely the allowance is a key factor today. Queen Power would be my pick of the elders

Snow Lantern 5/1


Newmarket 4.45 - Torn between OPeratic, Hands Solo Berger and Nibras again. 


Hans Solo Berger 20/1ew



Thursday 8 July 2021

Bets 08.07.2021

 2.25 Newmarket - I punted on a lot of these at Ascot but haven't yet worked out what the best formline is. Shame they are not running in different races. I think given Tolstoy lost a wad of lenghts at the start is worth backing ew to turn the tables on Ebro River who I think is the best in this line up but ground maybe a bit quick?

Tolstoy 15/1 ew (with boosted odds)


3.00 Newmarket - Popmaster was flying home last seen over this distance on fast ground. Managed to back last night at bigger prices. Looks like Oisin has shed a lot pounds for this..... Appolo One and Spy Catcher are interesting based on form with Rohaan. Seven Brothers is a crazy price too but will stick with Popmaster as money coming for it as well

Popmaster 8/1ew


4.45 Newmarket - If Legendary Day keeps improving can take this field of relatively exposed nags. Power of Darkness is propabbly best handicapped on old form

Legendary Day 6/1 ew






Saturday 3 July 2021

Bets 03.07.2021

3.20 Leicester - Given PErotto has gone on the win the Britannia, The Attounrey has to be the form pick

The Attourney 5/2

3.55 Leicester - With the claim I'm Mable is worth a shout as looks well handicapped.

I'm Mable 5/1

----

2.25 Sandown - Magical Morning and Trais Fluors are both well handicapped. I backed Magical at Ascot and TF was my big pick for the Spring Cup.

Magical Morning 6/1

Trais Fluors 7/1 


4.10 Sandown - Makram's form is working out well but I backed Dream With Me last time out and was convinced was well handicapped then so will chance again

Dream with Me 6/1


4.45 Sandown - North of Amazing could bonce back back in trip and be really well handicapped. A big if but worth a few coins.

North of Amazin 33/1ew

-----

3.15 Haydock - Dark Jedi will win soon. Just not sure whether it's today. 

Dark Jedi 9/1


3.50 Haydock - Don't remember many 2yr handicaps, but MAgic Warrior and Be Be Ex look the best handicapped

Masgic Warrior 11/2

Be Be Ex 6/1




Friday 25 June 2021

Bets 26.06.21

 

Newmarket 3.15 - Still convinced Dke of HAzzard should have won at Epsom. Flopped at York but again convinced was the track. I think Kinross will stuggle with ground so has to be taken on. Motakhayyel is a solid C&D winner too

Duke of Hazard 12/1

Mokatayel 6/1

RFC

Currag 3.05 - Castle Star 3/1 looks decent. 


Newmarket 3.50 - Sayyida looks jsut about well handicapped on debiut. Would have preffered a bigger price mind

Sayyida 2/1


Sunday 20 June 2021

Bets 20.06.2021



 2 shite days, 1 average day, 2 greats days at Ascot.

Only one today.

Friday 18 June 2021

Bets 19.06.2021

 More like it. A place an 3 decent winners.



2.30 - If the ground wasn't so heavy I'd be smashing into Point Lonsdale even at Evs. Class is class and this one really is above the rest so maybe it will prevail,.

20/1 for Guineas next year.


-----

3.05 - Form behind Poetic Flare

Aussie Ace 20/1ew

---

3.40 - Tossing and turning between Albaflora and Wonerful Tonight.

Wonderful Tonight 9/2ew


----

5.00 - Can't not pick one. WOn last time out. Goes on soft. Can go well at Ascot. Prevous pattern class

Mr Liumpton 12./ew

----

5.35 - Pythagoras goes on soft and looks really well handicapped on form of last run at York


Pyhatgoas 14/1 ew




Thursday 17 June 2021

Bets 18.06.2021

 5 placed nags yesterday means I'm still in the game but wow struggling this week.

2.30 - Eve Lodge looks handy and Spencer loves winning this race :)

Eve Lodge 17/2 ew ( 4 places)

----

3.40 - I'm been all over Supremecy since won the MiddlePark. Have to give one more chance. Maybe bit worried about the ground

Antepost 11/1 ew (LOST NR :( stupid rain)

Dragon Symbol 11/2ew (4 place)

---

4.20 - Novemba is top rated and so big price as such. Empress Jo owes me nothing after a solid 16/1 last time out. but maybe worth a few coins again

Novemba 9/1ew (4 places)

Empress Jospehine 6/1ew (4 places)

---

5.00 - Ready To Venture has course form and a good enough draw. More importantly looks well handicapped on the Ascot form.

Ready To Venture 16/1 ew (7 places)

----

5.35 - Nothing looks as well handicapped as Quickthorn in this.

Quickthorn 11/2 ew (5 places)

----

6.10 - Significatnly looks well handicapped based on last race

Signifacngly 11/1 ew (6 places)

Fantasy Master 40/1 ew (6 places)

Wednesday 16 June 2021

Bets 17.06.2021

 Thankful for Skybet's massive ew places is all I will say.

Today I see O'Brien smashing it. I've had a shite two days so hope can do a man a favour! :)


2.30 - Project Dante 7/1 ew (4 places)

Formlines standout. Draw good. Won't mind rain.

 Andreas Vesalius 20/1 ew (4 places)

Also strong formlines

RFC

----

3;.05 - Roman Empire 9/1 ew (3 places)

Given Kemari's win surely Moivin Time will go off fave having been 7/1 yesterday. I'm going to ignore it as I think Kemari improved untold amounts for the step up in trip so don't think it's the best marker. I really like One Ruler and I think with a Penalty and Epsom being so soon, might not be at optimum?

RFC Manfeeth

----

3.40 Divinely 13/2 ew (4 places)

I was very heavy ew on Divenly in the Oaks and at one point I thogught was going to win. Was cruising and blocked and not on the quicker ground. Come on and make Amends :)

RFC with Noon Star

----

4.15 Serpetine 18/1 ew (4 places)

I backed this for the Derby and laughed all the way to the line when it romped home. I backed it on pedgiree, but now this is pure speculation. Very few expected the supplement, but they did and surely must have a reason for it

RFC with Trueshan

----

5.00 Horoscope 16/1 ew (4 places)

There is form here behind Poetic Flare and ran better then the result

Akmaan 50/1 ew (4 places)

Course winner with serious formlines

RFC


---

5.35 - Sir Lamorok 4/1

Was 25/1 for Derby. Absolutley romped last handicap

Too Friendly 40/1 ew (6 places)

I was big on it last time. Was a lot of money. I hope headgear brings out the potenitial

RFC

---

6.10 Persuation 12/1 ew (6 places)

If has found form of 2yr old and some is potentially well handicapped today

Danyah 10/1 ew (7 places)

RFC

Bets 16.06.2021

 Palace Pier won as should. Given was so keen on Gisburn can't believe I missed the form of Berkshire Shadow. Unforgivable that really :) Battash looked to be cruising and then sharply moved across the track and really lost so much momentum and stride. The Hannon nags I thought would have a good chance just had sweet FA though maybe Chindit was a little trapped. I turned off at this point and when I came back was still as bad as it started.

Possibly my worst ever Royal Ascot Day. I don't remember on that bad....


2.30 -  Queen Mary - Twinlight Gleaming to break the track record by making all up the favoured side. Illustrating looked really impressive on debut and maybe a decent ew incase Twinlight is not as good as appears.

Twinlght Gleaming 9/4

Illustrating 10/1

rfc

3.40 - I can't believe missed the prices on Double or Bubble Fuming. Massivley unexposed. Looks very good, albeit quite fragile. 

Double or Bubble 6/1ew


4.20 -

Love 10/11


5.00 - I knew Trais Flours was really well handicapped, but obviously when I back it was a total flop and then bolted up at 12/1. Not sure is still massively well in.

 Haaqeey is the group horse and the form of last race has worked out really well. Mighty effort for a 4year old. I just wonder whether the course is right? Brunch has a 14lb pull with Haaqeey but not sure would be enough? Groove Ferry will have a massive chance of form and draw. Magical Memory will trun the tables on Matthew Finders. So many darts. I will stick with one.


Magical Morning 7/1ew


5.30 - Not looked in depth. Ruthin probably Ward's best one here. but Dig Two looks ahndy.

Ruthin 2/1

Dig Two 8/1ew

rfc

6.10 - I think Dreamloper can turn tables on LIghts On, but looking back Stunning Beauty thumped LIghts on in early days and maybe more value? Apricot Moon might be a huge outside, but sticking with one only


Stunning Beauty 9/1ew


Tuesday 15 June 2021

Bets 15/06/2021

Not had a good prep run for Ascot this year. It's nearly midnight and only really started looking!

2.30 Queen Anne - The only neg for Palace Pier is the draw here. 5lbs clear should win. Can't back it at these odds though. With only 3 places each way I'm not looking for a play but Accidental Agent 100/1 ew might be interesting :)

---

3.05 Coventry - I had a look at this late last week and was looking for betting angles. I was in shock to see Tolstoy at 20/1. Now it's 15/2 in places. The Acropolis, Angel Blue, Tolstoy, Cattura and Ebro River all had huge price variations which may mean something or not?

I back The Acroplois Antepost 10/1 but I'm not overly fussed now. Whilst I love Churchill his crop have't yet set the world alight. Dhahab produced a 92 RPR on debut which is something and has been smashed in the betting. Tolstoy pedigree is to die for an Dettori onboard. and Gisburn just looked utter class last time out.

Given ow well Gisburn looked I'b be disappointed if couldn't be placed at least.

*Gisburn 6/1ew
The Acroploysis 10/1ew (ANTEPOST)
Tolstoy, Dhabab (for ew accas)

---

3.40 Kings Stand - Many are trying to tak on Battash, When I backed him Antepost I wasn't aware his injure was ' serious'. Thought was a small set back. I still think is the one to beat, but of course have some reservations now.

Oxted wrong disctance. Winter POwer has to prove at this level. Extravegent Kid loves decent but did only beat what is had to at Meydan and Final SOng didn't uphold the form ( I backed it, so I know :))

Maven is an interesting outsider so one for an ew acca.

*Battash 3/1 (ANTEPOST)
Maven (for ew accas)


4.20 St James Palace

I have Battleground this is an awfully hard race and given a tongue tie has been applied I'm not convinced now. Wembley on papaer based on last year is a crazy price, but has a lot to prove now. I keep watching the guineas over and over and I've convinced myslef now that Chindit can reverse the form with Vega and Flare.

*Chindit 7/1ew

5.00 Ascot Stakes - There are a bunch of Irish raiders who I'm struggling with. Most look decent with cut in the ground but they won't get that. Instead my pick from lasdt year Rochester House gets the vote. SBS cannot and I hope not let RH get too far held up. I think well handicapped and we know goes on C&D.

*Rochester House 18/1ew (7 places)


5.35 Wolferton - 

*Solid Stone 11/2ew

6.10 Copper Horse - Sadlier could and maybe will rout the field. G1 hurlder on a decent mark, but it alwasy should have won the race it did last time out and I think at a bigger price, Brilliant Light could be worth a crack. If reproduces it's Nad Al Sheba G3 form can win this!

*Brilliant Light 14/1ew




Friday 4 June 2021

Bets 05.06.2021

 2.00 Epsom - Had King Frankel last time out so annoyed if wins today at a short price. Prefer Patient Dream either way. Form is good and looks like will stay and has course form.

Patient Dream 11/4


2.35 Epsom - Surely Statement wins this? Top rated at the weights. But Meade not had a winner recently and Egan not won a race at this track in 29 rides? Hmm.

Hmm. I will pass


3.10 Epsom - If DoH is back to best as trainer say will be hard to beat. 

Duke of Hazzard 11/2 ew


3;45 Epsom - I think you go either very high or very low with the draw here. SDS is one of the best jockeys at Epsom and Sunday Soverign was a rock solid 2 year old so looks like maybe found that form again. Stone of Destony a cliff horse for me and given a hold up horse maybe not right for this race. Only Sppofing could be a big price but not sure if last race was fluke or not.

Sund Soverign 11/2ew


4.30 Epsom - Surely BB wins this. Only AOB nag and been talked up a long time.

I have a £2double Snowfall 5/1 and One Ruler 33/1 and I do think One Ruler is a decent ew bet

Youth Spirit 33/1 I backed Antepost. Maybe Hurricn Lane is interesting

BB 13/8 win. Given I have One Ruler in double active and Youth AP no need for any more bets


5.50 Epsom - Muscika 25/1 ew. Few pounds lower and for sure could win this. Maybe SDS can give a few lbs kick !

---

3.40 Doncaster - Oz Legend 5./2

4.50 Doncaster-  Lafan 14/1 ew. 

----


Belmont Stakes - Essential Quality 2/1




Bets 04.06.2021

 Fell asleep last night so not looked in depth (d'oh)


2.30 - Stroting 11/2ew. Irish Admral needs to win someting to get into the Hunt Cup and looks weel handicapped, but very short


3.10 - Japan 3/1. Top rated. A year more experience on the track than rest of field. Al Aasy looks decent on paper of course. 


Maybe worth a small Irish Admiral/Al Assy Double, but I can't back them on singles


3.45 - Dream with Me 6/1ew. Blue Cup should have won 2 races ago s it the worthy fave


4.30 - Hmm. Maybe Divinely 16/1ew sister to Found looked lke needed the run and fast pace last time. Was patiently ridden and has some turn off foot when got goin before conking out.


5.40 - Arigato 11/1ew good return. won over D & C. Well handaipped.


Thursday 27 May 2021

Bets 27.05.2021

 6.15 - Ebro River 9/2 

6.50 - Ranch Hand 4/1

7.25 - Sangarius 10/11

8.30 - Echo Beach 10/1ew


Saturday 22 May 2021

Bets 23.05.2021



 Dont blog sundays :!)


Not seen anything yet that could take Battash on. Assuming comes back in the same form as last year. Philomene i still famcy for arc. No idea why ran in the french guineas over trip too short. Diane will be perfect. No way giving up in battleground. Hopefully ground will be right. Tomorrow gone for Mindings sister in empress jospehine. Hope has ew chance at least.




Friday 21 May 2021

Bets 22.05.2021


Hate this much rain. Too risky.

4.55 York - Eclispe De Lunar 16/1ew

2.50 Goodwood Aldarry Evs


Guineas Curragh - Well I backed Van Gogh at 16/1 for UK G and in 9/2 here today. Had Battleground 50/1 AP for UK G and now 16/1 here today. But remember the money that came late for BG. Who knows. Ground is scrwed. 



Bets 21.05.2021

 Goodwood 2.50 - Th Kodi Kid 8/1ew

Goodwood 4.35 - Good LIstener  8/1ew

Friday 14 May 2021

Bets 15.05.2021

 Another 2 solid wins yesterday at 9/1 and 15/2.

Newbury 3.00 - I wish I'd looked at the cards earlier. King Frankel been backed of boards already. Looks well handicapped along with Oz Legend. Clearly Bay Bridge is on a good mark but you have to gambel will be as good on tuf.

King Frankel 7/1

Oz Legend 10/1


Newbury 4.45 - FUMING again. I was going to back King Ottaker at 6/1 yesterday when it opened up wit Hills. It's bloody 6/4 now!! URGH. I also liked Vinatar at 20/1. Not sure what I'll do with this race now....


Newmarket 3.15 - Smeatons Light 12/1, Shark One Two28/1, Jsut Frnk 12/1, Jadwal 14/1 all on shortlist. Can't pick between so don't know what to do again!


Nemarket 3.50 - Ameist looks solid.

Ameist 11/8


7.05 Donny - Middarr 5/1ew


 crap day. saves my coins.

Bets 14.05.2021

 Another decent day with 7/1 and 8/1 winners in the first two races. Then all went Pete Tong, but all good.

Just finished work and it's 2am so not sure attention to detail will hold up....


1.35 Newmarket - Widaad 13/2 ew

2.15 Newmarket - Master The Stars 15/2ew

3.50 Newmarkt e- Lord Neiden 9/2ew


---

1.40 - Crazyland 10/3

2.10 - Snow Lantern 6/4

2.40 - Fishable 9/1 ew

3.40 - Muntatadab 11/1ew

4.15 - Nomadic Empire 16/1ew, Country Carnival 16/1ew



Thursday 13 May 2021

Bets 13.05.2021

 My old betting patterns would have made me a small fortune yesterday. Called a 170/1 forecast and a 27/1 forecast but didn't do my usual rfc. By the time got to the 8.20pm in a 13 runner 3yr old handicap, no way wasn't going to back the tricast.....608/1 landed :)

40/1 and 25/1 placed and 16/1 winner so te ew accas paid out very well as well. Not my usual £2 lines, just the 28p ones!

Anyhow all good cleared about 1.3k.....


Tough day today plus not looked in detail.......



1.40 York - I've not looked through the full card as I think the market is right with the Top 3.Count D, Illusionist and COpper Knight. If I use Musicka as collateral from then Illustionist gets the vote, but just as COppen Knight is on best form the best handicapped. I hope Illustionist can improve but who knows.

Illustionist 7/1, Copper Knight 7/1


2.40 York - I immediately jumped to Firmament here. But given the jockey bookings I just can't do it. I also suspect they will lower his mark and then take advantage of a lower grade.

Shelir is a total cliff horse of mine but should go really close. Brunch is a obvious improver and should be close, but also Kyren who ran well ;last time and dropped n weights. Urgh which one? No utmost confidence but I guess bigger prices are better?

Kyren 8/1, Shelir 14/1


3.10 York - Like York, got some decent experience behind and can go close

Gear Up 6/1ew


4.50 York  Ben Lilly looke like the one who will caryy on improving. Shasenka been heavily backed but can't see it turning the tables unless market knows something I don't. Maybe they shoved a rocket up its arse.

Ben Lilly 11/2 ew


8.20 Newmarket - Anghamm well handicapped on collateral form here. Would hope places at least but some really unexposed ones here.

Anghhamm 6/1 ew

Wednesday 12 May 2021

Bets 12.05.2021

York 1.40 - This race tends to go to a 4yr old improver and if Illraab stays surely wins this? Problem I have is Raymond Tusk (once rated 113, now 99) who is absolutely chucked in based on penultimate run. Appreciate others could improve more, but RT was 4th in Ebor so stays beyond the trip and the ground will be fine. Needs a decent ride for sure.

Raymond Tusk 22/1ew


York 2.10 - Seriously trappy race this.

York 2.40 - Varian a big fan of Mothalam and why not. Probably best trip will be 6.5f :) of course. FInal Song nearly won a G1 in Meydan. Interesting. Hmmm

Final Song 12/1ew


York 3.10 - I've already got Noon Star 10/1 for the Oaks. I hope wins this. I'm looking for an ew play and hitting up Smowfall

Snowfall 16/1ew


York 3.40 - I can't pick between the top3 in the market (Rifleman, Huddleton Mac, Northern Express) but given Huddleton was tried in the Greenham they must think a lot of it? If repeats the Sandown form is chucked in either way

Huddleton Mac 4/1


York 4.50 - Lyfdord ignore last race and should win this given the romple of 5 lengths in penultimate race. Second Slip was of interest but stick with 1.

Lydford 13/2 ew


 Bath 8.20pm - Love a 3yr old handicap. An interesting pick in My Boy Charles. September last year ran far better than the 9 length beating on paper. Hands and heels ride when no chance. Horses around it running off higher marks and doing well enough in handicaps to suggest off a decent mark back on turf. Wintle knows a good Bath horse and Muscutt rides well here. Tich Toch has the best form and Devils Cub the best chance on CD runs, but I'll take a punt on My Boy Charles

My Boy Chalres 25/1ew

Friday 7 May 2021

Bets 07.05.2021

 Ascot 1.20 - Hiroshima is chucked in based on that Listed race. I think will stay. Ground will be good. Dawson rides the track well.

Hiroshima 3/1


Ascot 3.30 - Equitation is surely the best handicapped horse here? Ran a cracker last time out and formline is strong. Is a C&D winner and okay have to guess on the draw but typically high work well. It's drfited from 5/1 to 12/1 so maybe someone knows something I don't! Jonah Jones looks pretty solid and PEndleton may be a big threat at 20/1.

Equitation 12/1ew







Thursday 6 May 2021

Bets 06.05.2021

 Frustrated by the results on Saturday. Given the money for battleground before the off surely was the one to beat. Looking at both guineass the draw bias was massive. I wont give up on this or Van Gogh. Essentail Quality missed the break and screwed his chances. Again will back next time out.

Didn't blog on Sunday (again) and of course backed only Mother Earth and it won....


Chester 1.45 - Evans clearly fancies Lihou with the booking of Buick, but I wouldn't book BUick at Goodwood.....he says.

Copper Knight is the best handicapped horse in the race and loves this festival. Clearluy needs to bounce back as a number of disappointing runs in a row, but worth chancing does.

Copper Knight 5/1ew


Chester 2.15 - Onatario has best form and is top rated

Ontario 10/3


Chester 2.45 - Aqauman is chucked in here, but looked all over the place at Chester last time, so just can't back it. WIll risk Melody of Life

Melody of Life 6/1 erw


Chester 3.15 - Looks between JApan and Trueshan. Prefer Japan

Japan 2/1


Chester 3.45 - Baryshiknov is was good ground would be my pick for sure, but at t abigger price Kyptos big ew. solide course form. Jockey rides very well here as well.

Kyptos 18/1ew


Chester 4.15 - Zoltan Star beats Russllinthebushes. Form of both is strong, but prefer ZS just.

Zoltan Star 10/11


Chester 4.45 - Set Point is chucked in ( I think)

Set Point 2/1




Friday 30 April 2021

Bet 01.05.2021

 Bit better yesterday. Big Antepost Day.

Gunieas - Battleground 50/1 ew

Kentucky Derby - Essential Quality 8/1 ew


---


1.15 Newmarket - Creative Force Evs

1.50 Newmarket - Graphite is back. I'm still sure it well handicapped but I'd rather go with inform Mascat 7/1 ew

2.25 Newmarket - Arecibo 9/1ew

3.40 Newmarket - Already on Battleground 50/1 ew.

Van Gogh 14/1 ew Was top 2yr colt last year, won a G1 by 4 lenghts

Lucky Vega 14/1ew Tempted to say is the value from all the nags that ran in the National Stakes

So many others worries about especially Chindit. But lets see what happens


Thursday 29 April 2021

Bets 30.04.2021

Well. The NO BET was a winner and the rest shambles.

I think if trainer form is dire then I should stay away and again if draw is not great it's not really worth the risk.

I was luck Killorey drifted to 40/1 and placed. I wonder if wasn't so far held up whether could have won as was fast finishing! Foster's horses really are in dire form. 


1.00 Goodwood - Bimble needed run last time out. C&D winner, Moore booked to get the job done. WIll perhaps develop into a half decent one. Hopefully Green Powed doesnt bounce back to form

Bimble 2/1


2.45 Goodwood - Apliinsta is miles clear on ratings. 

Aplinista 8/13 (NO BET). Will put in an acca.


3,20 Goodwood -Nelson Gay 7lb ahead of handicapper

Nelson Gay 8/13 (NO BET). Will put in an acca


4.15 Punchestown - Top weight no barrier to success in this handicap. Asterion Forlonge worthy fave today

Asterion Forlonge 11/4


4.50 - Punchestonw - Was Demi Plie's last run a luke or not? I not is really well handicapped here. 

Demi Plie 7/1 ew


5.25 Punchestown - Given stable forms got to be worth chancing Sharaj can turn the tables. C&D winner who loves better ground.

Sharjah 9/1 ew


6.35 Pnchestown - Who will turn up after some tough races. I hope it's my preivous Cheltencham Fncy It Came To Pass. Remember has beaten Billaway by 10 lenghts before.

It Came to Pass 18/1 ew


7.35 Punchestown - My Mate Mozzie looks decent

My Mate Mozie 7/4


Bets 29.04.2021

 1.50 Musselburgh - Maple Jack has best form in line up, but not a race should be betting in as much as I want to take a punt.

NO BET

3.25 Musselburgh - Boudica Bay is a decent C&D winner of higher marks. Has won from this draw before by keeping close up on the outside, so Phil Dennis better not do anything mental. Horse is definately in form. Was slightly outpaced in last race but then kept of strongly before being really badly hampered. Hard to say if would have won, but given has won off higher marks has got to go very close today. Only concern is trainer form.

Boudica Bay 9/2 ew


4.35 Musselburgh - Yukon looked pretty unlucky last time out. Looked like had nowhere to go when looked to be travelling the best of the field. O'Mear has won last two races and based on debut run, looks well handicapped.

Yukon 7/2 win


3.40 Punchestown - Crowell had a good record in this race and Five Helmets despite an 8lb rise is well handicapped and wholly unexposed here. Big field sure, has to jump well , but ground will really suit more than others.

Five Helmets 5/1 ew


4.15 Punchestown - Jungle Junction is on the upgrade and surely rate higher than hurdles mark. Harrington on fire and with Exit Poll a NR, perhaps very keen on this one. The more speculative is Kildorrey. Decent C&D winner, will love the ground and perhaps that last race against 140+ nags shows good form and well handicapped? Be great to grab a place. Will be tough of course with Entoucas and Sully D'Oc both who I backed last time and hit the crossbar! If Polished Steel bounces back to form could reall;y outrun odd, but a big if.

Jungle Junction 7/1 ew

Kilorrey 28/1 ew


6.00 Punchestown - Dallas De Pictons back to form, course winner, distance winner. Solid 7lb claim and form of Galopin Des Champs is now massive. Neg is trainer form. If oldboy Younowhatimenaharry wins, will be fuming :) Ben Dundee is interesting as is Young Ted who was 2nd in this last year.

Dallas Des Pictons 12/1 ew


Boudica Bay, Yukon, Five Helmets, Jungle Junction, Dallas DEs PIctons in accas


RESET RESET RESET

 Yesterday was a total disaster.

I upped stakes.

I backed without the usual checks.

I followed money and backed blindly.

I chased.

Antepost bets took a turn for the worse.

I've done this about 5 times in the last few years, but I really need a big phat RESET and start to find discipline again as I'm hemorrhaging dollars again. 

I'll take the PnL back to beginning of year (my last RESET) and go from there.

Bet365 +£3,172.00

Skybet -£1441.30

Starting PNL for 2021 = £1730.97

 The fundamental issue is time. I don't have it anymore so need to work out a way to shortcut or focus on certain things.


All bets going forward.

£25 singles < 4/1

£12.50 ew 4/1+

Antepost £50



Tuesday 27 April 2021

Bets 28.04.2021

 Formlines starting to appear and a big week for my Antepost Bets.

Supremacy 6/1 runs today which ought to give indication of chances for the Commonwealth. Essential Quality 8/1 runs in the Kentucky Derby at the weekend and backed into 9/4. Battleground 50/1 runs in the 2k gunieass although right now I think I'm more drawn to Wembley.


Ascot - Stradivsrius may well not win on comeback after last two runs, but is the best on best form. Nayef Road will make it very hard. Supremacy I expect to win even if not fully wound up for the race. Haqeeqy is so unexposed and should improve further to win again.

Odds prohibitive o will just back the treble.


Punches 3.40 - Righttimerightplace 33/1

Punches 4.50 - Marajam 7/1. 

Punchest 7.00 - Blazer 40/1, Annamix 12/1



Tuesday 20 April 2021

Bets 20/04/2021

 Didn't get a chance to post this last night....

2.15 - Too Friendly 8/1. 

2.50 - Good Birthday 7/1, saver Harrovian 4/1

3.55 - Group One Power

4.30 - Siam Fox 13/2

5.15 - Bhubezi 14/1, Rhoscolyn 12/1,

King Power Bets

Star Calibre 6/1, Good Birthday 7/1, Group Power One 11/4, Sian Fox 132/

Friday 16 April 2021

Bets 16.04.2021

 Pretty happy with how it all worked out yesterday.

Her Indoors somewhat justified my strong fancy for it at the festival and won well enough at 7/1. Bellosa hosed up at 9/2. Summerhand, Oxted and Emeatty Ana finished 123 even though didnt place a bet and Master of The Seas looked class despite a horrible passage.


Ayr 1.30 - Everglow ran pretty well in the pertemps and was stying on strongly

Everglow 11/2

---

Ayr 3.15 - If Thenvial bounces to form the walks this home, but even thought the fave Not that Fuisse has the form and stable won last three renewals

Not That Fuisse 13/8


---


Newbury 1.40 - The form is Came from the Dark and surely goes close. Given is 5f I don't think many have a chance. The one I want to bounce back to form is Tis MArvellous. A major drfiter to 12/1 might signify something amiss, but if runs to the Dubai Internaional form over C&D has a really strong chance.

Tis MArvellous 12/1

Came from Dark 3/1

rfc


Newbury 2.15 - GOing back to Jul 2018 JLT over C&D Cleonte looked really unlucky in running. Maybe woulnt have beaten Stratum, but horse is in great form and can win off this mark for sure. I thoght about Hocfiled, but II'm not sure really stays this distance. This is far from an easy race to call unless you go through in masses of detail. Solo Saxophone was routling home last time and could be another to go well. The Gosden nag is totally unexposed but trip unknown


Cleonte 10/1

---

Newbury 2.50 - SHould be swerving this race totally. Minefield. But Calrednon Cross formline too hard to ignore for me even though not fncies at all by the market. HAnnon horses often make major improvement on 4th run as well. Yazaman really well handicapped on best form

Claerendon Cross 28/1

---

Newbury 4.00 - Darlectable You 4/5. Racefit, pedigree strong, onloy one with G1 entry

Newburry 4.35 - Bettty  Clean L A - A pedigree only bet 18/1

Newbury 5.505 - Maadjah - A pedigree only bet 4/1


Thursday 15 April 2021

Bets 15.04.2021

 The Mighty Don could have won yesterday if not for last hurdle blunder. Thankfully Ask Dillion won so day not a totla write off.

Given I'm so keen on Supremcy for the COmmonwealth why I did not back Tactical yesterday I'll never know. I also backed the runners high without knowing the draw had moved (Schoolboy error)


2.05 Chelts - Scholatisc is chucked in here and some. Clearly the big concern is ran only 10 days ago.

I was pretty keen on Her Indoors at Chelts but was a big flop. I don't know if was the quicker ground or the track or whether just wasn't as well handicapped as I thought. I'm not one to back a horse at Chelts after has run poorly there before. 

Scholastic 2./1

Peanuts on Her Indoors 7/1

---

2.40 Chelts - Non runners all over the place which makes the pick Eglantine Du Suil. Was stying on well enough at the festival from the rear but given lost a shoe can mark up. Of 143 ran well over C&D in a MC2H behind the White Mouse

Eglatine Du Seil 10/3

---

3.50 Chelts - Flowers of Scotland has the form line with Ahoy Senor, and through formlines beats Liberty Bella who is half the rpice.

Flowers of Scotland 9/2

---


1.15 Newmarket - Bellosa is 25/1 into 7/2 in places. Few quid on it, but blind back. I do normally like a Hannond nag 3rd time out and also Varian has a solid record in this race.

Bellosa 9/2

----

1.50 Newmarket - Interesting. Creative Force looks well handicapped, but maybe the rail helped on debut. Was absolutley cruising in the Coventry but found nothing, and maybe up the centre was not the place to be. Two maybes to think through. Rohaan is the major improver but I can't translate it to turf. For me, Bravado is a decent ew bet here. Will try to make all and go close. I think Signifcantly on the insde might be a threat as looks well handciapped but I can't work out what Clifford Lee will do here. Hopefully misses the break :)

Bravado 12/1ew

---

2.25 Newmarket - Kingsofthemidlands is the only one with a notable g1 entry. Blind backing of that info only

Kingsofthemidlands 4/1

---

3.00 Newmarket -  I want to try tske Oxted on, but given nealry a stone clear on ratings not worth it. The each way is only 2 places and prices without are naff. Summerhand is in great form but given likes to be held up could be left too much to do given the likley pace, but realisitcally the likliest condentor btu can't discount a few of these especially Emaratty Ana who looked really good last time out and ran well enough in this race last year, but needed to be closer to the rail.

---

3.35 Newmarket - This is excting and surely it's between Devilwala and Master of The Seas? either one of them winning franks the form of the gusineas head of markett. Mast of the Seas who I had on the Superaltive Stakes last year looked very very good and was my pick for soemething like the Craven. He just needs to settle better surley and that's why the hood in on. If thsat works can't see it beaten. Naval Crown ran very well yesterday so all good on form.

Devilwala is top rated and and will make all. GIven has the rail draw is not out of it, btu I epxect MOTS to track very closely and romp home.


Master of The Seas 3/1

small rfc with Deveilwala

---



Wednesday 14 April 2021

Bets 14.04.2021


No one told me this before i researched and bet (facepalm). I would ignore all mine at HQ now. Urgh





 



Considering how much I normally look at the draw to totally forget about it yesterday was shocking. The rail made a lot of difference. Maxi was held up and had no chance from the position, ROyal Champion never looked like winning but Secrteinthepark I'm convinced was only beaten by the draw.


2.25 NM - An interesting Listed Handicap. Dark Lion on best C&D form wins this

Dark Lion 11/1


3.00 NW - Marie's Diamond to make all

Maries DIamond 13/2


3.35 NW - Divine LIght 13/2


---


2.05 Chelts - Coole Coode brings strong Chelts form to the table 

Coole Coddy 4/1


3.50- Ask Dillion looks okay here. I tink the Chelts form took a hit at Aintree as meetings were too close togehter so willing to give the form a try

Ask Dillion 11/2


4.25 - The Mighty Donw runs well here. I like the look of form against HappyGoLucky.

The Mighty Don 7/1


5.00 Elthm Vallet 10/3



Tuesday 13 April 2021

Bets 13.04.2021

 1.35 - Trainer relatively bullish about this.

Forca Brasil 9/4


2.45 - Hortzadar brings the Licoln Form and surely I should be follwoing this? Yes. Bu no. I think Maxi Boy is better handicapped. Assuming it stays, has a decent long stride and was a good return to action. Was running in G2 races last year and even just from the superlative stakes is surely 5 or 6lbs well in.

If Oh This is Us bounces back to form all in trouble but on paper is looking regressive now.

Maxi Boy 5/1

3.20 - Varian runners going well and this one looked top drawer on debut

Royal champion 11/4

3.55 - TInto 16/1 is a crazy price. Unlukcy last 4 races. Runms well at the course, 7f will 100% suit and Crolwy booked. Eton College could follow up as MJ nags lovely buiilding up a chain of wins but at prices I'll risk Tinto.

Tinto 16/1


4.30 - Secretinpark is an oldboy but loves it hear and can at these weights is a decent ew hope

Secret inthe Park 28/1

Monday 12 April 2021

Ante Post Bets

 Given the success of my AP betting in Chelts thought best to blog and track all APs

All £25 ew

The Arc - Philomene 33/1

Kentucky Derby - Essential Quality 8/1 - UNPLACED :(

2000 Guineas - Admiral Nelson 25/1 - NOT RUN

2000 Guineas - Battleground 50//1 - UNPLACED :(

Commonwealth Cup - Supremacy 6/1

Oaks - Noon Star 12/1

Saturday 10 April 2021

Bets 10/04.2021

 Hit a 22/1 & 3/1 double yesterday (and didn't blog) LOL. Maybe this really is a jinx :)

1.45 - I had backed Uknowatimenaharry and Janika at Chelts and they ran well enough, but most horses from the Chelts festival, unless they had a relatively easy race (generally) are not performing as well. Granted it's a different track as well. Either way will be livid if either of these win :)

Right a huge shortlist:

  • Tea Clipper has the best form my a long shot, but how much did Chelts take it out of the horse?
  • Jai Froid is improving fast and bolted in again last time, but how good can it really be to win a race like this with anohter 13b rise?
  • Ashdown Lad potentially well handicapped based on race at Uttoexter, but poor last two time
  • Kid Commando running really well in defeat at this distacnce. Won PTP at 3m so could be a bit of a plot here
  • Tommy Rapper not stayer over way too far. A really solid 2nd 2year backs and condtions will suit today

Kid Commando 22/1 ew
Tommy Rapper 33/1 ew

Rfc

2.25 - My Drogo should win this, and perhaps wroth a small double with Tea Clippe. But the form of Dreal Deal is rocks solid and looks to still be improving. If Tizzard was in better form I'd be keen on the outsidee Striking a Pose. Instead I also like a strong improver in Minella Times


Dreal Deal 6/1
Minella TImes 12/1

Rfc

3.35 - Thyme Hill should win right? Maybe put it in acca with Tea Clipper and My Drogo :)

I think Diol Ker looks decent and if Thrid Wind keeps improgin also has a chance.

Diol Ker 11/1
Third Wind 14/1

Rfc


4.05 - Again whack HappyGolucky who has the best form here in the fave acca. But at a bigger price Mr Fagen looks class again. Just hope doesn't bounce.

Mr Whipped would be some training performacne but it's a big risk. Johnbb up in trip but 100% still improving could be interestin

Mr Fagan 12/1
JohnBB 11/1

Rfc


5.15 - Normally use last year as a guide and generally do well with ew. with no last year makes it harder for me and CLoth Cap is of course the worthy fave so stick it in the fave acca :)

I've ended up backing so many antepost now, can't back any more

Kimberlight Candy 16/1

Discorama 22/1

Magic of Light 22/1

Give Me Copper 50/1

Sub Leitanant 66/1

Blackion 66/1

OOPS!



Wednesday 7 April 2021

Bets 08.04.2021



Didn't blog on Sunday for the second week in a row and won nearly 4k...

 

1.45 - Hitman 11/3 / Protek

2.20 - Monmerial Evs (Maybe Nicholls double after 1st two race)

2.50 - Clondaw Castle 13/2 

3.25 - JAson The Milliant 3/1 / If Buvier De Air back to form 10/1 could be big

4.05 - Billaway 11/4 / Sametagal 

4.40 - Finally a handicap. Sully D'Oc 12/.1 close enough to Clondaw Caslte who I really fancy for the 2.50. I did lke EditorDuGite but on form SDO wins again based on their race at Ascot.

If Destrier 9/2 bounces back wins.

5.15 - EIlendover 4/5


Meydan 5.25 - Velorum 5/1






Saturday 3 April 2021

Bets 03.04.2021

 1.50 - The best handicapped horse in this race over C&D and conditions is Muntadab. Despite running a string of bad races backend of last year didn't get much respite form the handicapper. Dropped 6lb since last race, draw is good enough, Fell had a decent enough day yesterday, is a C&D winner, Curtis back onnboard and has been some money for this. All points to a good run I hope


Muntadab 14/1ew


3.00 - Can't find an angle on this. COpper Knight well handicapped and Caspian PRicnce I was hoping would do better in Meydan, but ran a blinge in G2 last time might go well again in this race. No major confidence on either.


Copper Knight 8/1

Caspian Prince 12/1


3.35 - Indiaplolis 9/1 ew


4.11 - Primos Comet surely the one to beat here, but I love an old boy and Duke of firenze if doenst blwo the start can go close


Primos Comet 5/1

Duke of Frienxe 14/1ew


Monday 29 March 2021

Bets 29.03.2021



 Didn't blog it yesterday :( but hit Gun MEtal 15/2 and Aced IT 12/1 Plus double winner.... 

Typically only used 25% of normal stakes! D'oh


Messing around with form numbers today and only on low stakes..... Looking a best form horse has ever produced with todays race conditions. So some will have bounce back and others will be old, but it's good prctice form reading....not always best for betting unless other factors come together.


2.10 Fontwell - Only Gorgeous is chucked in on best form. Granted is old and has to bounce back

11/2 win

3.10 Fontwell - Backed Bashful BOy last time at much bigger odds than today but is well handicapped Im sure

11/4 win

3.40 Fontwell - Away Fro Slates looked well last time out and hopefully maintains that fomr

11/4 win

4.10 FOntwerll - Tentative on Heres Herbie. Feeling the oldies today. lol

11/1

4.40 FOntwell - Orchaestratred to bounce back to form with CPs? major IF

12/1


2.20 Statford - Nightfly 11/2 best on old form


2.30 Wincanton - THe Last but One 16/1 wins on best form, but is in **** form


4.00 Wincanton - Three Way 12/1 best handicappe don old form. Given current form could come last.


5.20 Wolves - LEt Rip 15/2


5.50 WOlves - Heres Hector 11/ 1 and     Flying Sols 4/1


6.20 Wolves - Hes a Dream 28/1


6.50 Wolves - I love 3yr ols nursey handicaps. FIorland should be favourite here. BIg chance at 11/2

Both ahead in market are of course well handicapped but no form at Wolves wherease Fiorland has smashed it here already


8.20 WOlves - Epic Pass 6/1. Mj merkage for last race of day





Friday 26 March 2021

Bets 27.03.21

 Early season always tough for me as I try to play formlines, but as always let's crack it. Post Aintree starts to come together.


I've given up on PnL. I just don't have time. I can see from the only two betting accounts I use now I'm up £1k since start of the year so all good.


Doncaster 2.00 - There's 9lb separating this field ignoring the rock bottom Striding Edge. 

On current ratings Space Traveller wins this. 4lb clear on rating and a course winner. I think I'd feel better if had a notable jockey booking though.

Varian farms the race but with strong favourites and whilst Father of JAzz has strong AW form yet to be seen on turf.

Monthatam was imprioving quickly last year expect for last race. I backed a lot of Haggas runners backend of last year  most of which flopped. Given he is 2-2 already this season supsect this is the likley winner.

The outsider I'm going to back is Trais Fluors. I feel like should maybe have won the Listed race at Navan last summer and was travelling really well in the G3 Clipper before not finding much off the bridle. He was highly touted for Fabre. Condon couldn't get the best out of him so it's a punt but maybe Channon can. At peak this nag has the best ratings in the field

Trais Flours 33/1ew

Monthatam 7/2 win


Doncaster 2.35 - I feel this lacks depth. I can't see many decent improving nags or maybe I've lost my vision. Maybe is Poet's Lady?

Last few years low draw has been the place to be. Total gamble playing it like this as can of course change year to year and who knows what watering might happen. Saw some videos suggesting gorund was like concrete few days back!

As I can't see anything improving to win this, will look for an exposed horse on a decent mark , with fitness and decent enough run last time out. And yes lowish draw.

Obviously if Aquitted bounces back to form it wins but don't think necessarily worth the punt.

Dawaaleeb running well enough at the moment should enjoy the return to turf here. Was 4th in this a couple years back and 5lbs lower should see him go close.

Howzer Black takes more explaining but this claimer has ridden two blinders on HB at Ayr and I think can go close here. Form of last race working out well even if only a c5 race, pulled lengths clear of 3rd.

Dawaaleeb 16/1ew

Howzer Black 28/1ew

Poets Lady 10/1 win


Doncaster 3.10 - Even though same C&D winners of this are drawn high. But I remember Beloved Love switching from high to middle few years back and even Auxerre last year moved otward middle/low where ground is maybe quicker. Guess maybe in this race horses have the class to overcome the draw? Who knows. Not me.

This race generally goes to an improving sort and I can only really see 4 (Haaqey, Brenfdor Hope, Danhay and maybe Eastern World)

None of them looked more impressive though than Brentford Hope who toyed his oppoenents last time out and only ip

You know me though, got to find a big ew and at 66/1 Graphite stands out massively. Okay draw not great and been off for a long time, but Kent excelled with Ataser last year and I knew was really well handicapped. It was there on paper for everyone to see. As is this. Just pipped by the Rev in a G3, if can rev this one up after a long absnece must have a good ew shout. 

Brentford Hope 9/1 ew

Graphite 66/1ew


Doncaster 3.45 - IF Brando breaks well e wins.

Brando 5/1


Doncaster 4.55 - Leroy Leroy chucked in. I was really keen on this at Chelts in Nov, but a total flop. back ovr 10f is really well in if tuned up.

Leroy Leroy 11/1 ew


Doncaster 5.25 - Hot Team 6/1


------------

Fell asleep and not time to look at cards as planned :(

 

2.40 Meydan - WIldman JAck 15/2ew


3.30 Meydan - Lord NOrth 13/8


4.50 Meydan - I backed Gifts of Gold 50/1 but been told can't win! go figure.

Thursday 25 March 2021

Bets 26.03.2021

The flat is nearly back. can;t wait. 

Hit over £2,300 profit antepost with Chelts. During the week about £600 down. 


1.00 Newbury - Garry Clemment 15/2 ew. Back over hurdles. Potentially realy well handicapped based on that Larnger Dan form. Looked to be running back to form last chase race. Hopefully spot on back over hurdles.


1.30 Newbury I should be back Jesrey Bean at 7/1 but am chasing a loss on Admiral Barraty 7/1 ew. Cost me over £1k just before chelts. I think is still well handicapped and form still pretty good. backin C3 after been thrown in Listed race. Was haevily backed in that race to be pulled up after not travelling.



Friday 19 March 2021

Bets 19.03.2021 - Chelts Day 4

1.20 JCB - Only been interested in Zanahiyr in the run up. Should have backed Antepost but for soem reason did not!

Zanahiyr 6/4


1.55 County Hurlde - I was going to back Champagne GOld at 14s but price crashed to 7s. Suspect due to the supberg Blackmore. Instead from the same formline I will go with Eclair De Beaufeu.

Was travelling the best in the county hurdle couple years back. I think has improved since. Went very close in the Grand Annual last year. In the last race was not given a hard time at all until jumped the last so will finish much better and sure Jack knows not to go too early

I thought really hard about Third TIme Lucky. Guess the For Pleasure did okay but still so far of 1st and 2nd and Botox was pulled up so the Chelts form he has not fully flourished.

Anna Burina was intesting at 100/1

Gowel ROad is chucked in in my books based on that last race. HAs a huge chance.

Gowel Road 14/1ew

Eclair De Beaufeu 9/1 ew

  rfc


2.30 Albert Barlett - 

Golden Doyen is intesting. Trainer thinks has come under the radar at a big price. It didn't travel or jump well over C&D, the hill was a challenge and on ratings it should have won anyway. It beat flooring potter in handciap but was giving 13lb, and clearly FLooring as imprived every race after but not seen that in GD.

Fakiera looks like the obvious AB horse and I think can turn the tables on Staller. Came from  long way back and not given a hard time.

The Other I must back is Threeunderfive. Got good sped rating, improving rapidly and form of last race is looking good.

Fakeira 5/1

Threeunderfive 11/1 ew

rfc


3.05 Gold Cup.

I have Minell Indo Antepost in an acca but not as a single. Clearly form has been franked.

This has to be about whether something improves past Al Boum who ceilinged on 175

Royal P is improving of course but surely can't improve that much on this ground?

Native comes here in solid form but ground against and even if upto 6lbs better since last GC can't turn tables with ABP

Champ has beaten Minello Indo who beaten by Kemboy who beaten by A Plus Tard who came from so far back to win last time out. Was a serious performance.

The other formline is Frodon. Beat a decent bunch as Kempton includng Santini. Nicholls could have a decent day and we could see a female jockey 1-2 today. Would be immense

A Plus Tard 3/1

Frodon 16/1ew

rfc


3.40 -Hunters Chase. It Came To PAaS Antepost and Stand Up and Fight.

I kicked myself for not bothering about this race last year. Had I have looked I would have seen ICTP beating BIllaway. Not making the same mistake twice. Looking thorugh from Stand Up and Fight beet Billway and It Came TO Pass this season. Granted beat Billiway with fe lbs and a mistkae at the lasst but looks to have improved a lot over the years.


It Came to Pass ANTEPOST 10/1

Stand up and Fight 12ew

rfc


4.15 - Mares Chase - Shattered Love.

I thought about fave backing. I thought about Coolvery as lots of form franks, but Shattered Love is  C&D winner with the ground and distance perfect.

Magic Of Light on paper at the weights wins thought right? Hmm. 

Shattered Love 13/2 ew

Magic of light 16/1ew

Rfc


4.50 - Martin Pipe - Martinhal the unexposed improver

At about 1am this morning I backed Dream Berry and Amour De Nuit. I was not drunk and I don't remember doing it. I'm not cashing out in case had good logic, but I can't work it out now. Maybe was A dream about a night love. Anyway... back to calling the winner.

Martinhal's form is on show as race he won producing winner on marks that makes me think this one is well handicapped.

Gentleman De Mee could be anything. Can't work out if well handicapped or not, but given crash I assume is. I might back it with some other faves.

Martinhal 22/1ew

rfc with Gentleman


Couple of doubles

Billaway/Gentleman double.

Champagne GOld/Fakier double


Shed load of accas as well with above selcation

Thursday 18 March 2021

Bets 18.03.2021 - Chelts Day 3

 Antepost bets whizzing up. Collected another £850 from £62 bet.


1.20 Marsh Novice Chase. Not taking on Envoi Allen.


1.55 Pertemps - Unowhatimeanharry is a proper old boy. Top weight no barrier to winning a race like this and course form is decent in earlier days. Ran ablinder at Aintree so clearly still has it in him and drying ground will help. 

Bosses Oscar 5/1

Unowhatimeanharry 66/1 ew

rfc


2.30 - I have Min 6/1 Antepost, but this was before his poor show at Leopardstown. Not sure what to think of it

I will also back Fakir who gave it a really good go against Put the Kettle on last year and could give Min a hard time up the hill


Min ANTEPOST 6/1ew

Fakir D'O 7/1ew

rfc


3.05 Stayers Hurdle

Fury Road is still improving. Missed some good prices annoying. form with Monkfish last year gives good chance.

Fury Road 4/1



3.40 Paddy Power Handicap - Happy Diva and Top Notch.

Happy Diva didn't underperform as much as rating suggests? Crusied into contention and maybe needs better ground these days. Ran really well in this race last year and hopefully a decent chance.

Top Notch 2nd in the JLT years back. I'm backing the fact wind surgery sticks a rocket up it's arse to bring it back to form.

Eanon De Craic might be a pipe plot. If see money for it will chuck some coins on.

Backed The Shunter at Leopstown and blew my accas, but clearly has a decent chance. Really short now.

Happy Diva 16/1 ew

Top  Notch 28/1ew

rfc


4.15 Mares - Hook Up  

Has improved steadily over the last year and surely now has the best formlines.

Hook Up 13/2 ew


4.50 Kim Muir - I lost my AP bet with Escaria Ten. Hmm. Where to go instead.

Shantou FLyer in great nick and well weighted.

Double Shuffle longshot


Shantout Flyer 9/1 ew

Doule SHuffle 40/1ew

rfc




Wednesday 17 March 2021

Bets 17.03.2021 - Chelts Day 2

 Antepost bets faired well Appreciate It 3/1 and Aye Right 16/1ew

Today big antepost in Bob Olinger at 10/1 plus a double with Appreciate It.


1.20 Ballymore. Antepost Bob Olinger £25 ew 10/1

No point playing anything else for me.


1.55 Brown Advisory - Monkfish can't be beat? Can always fall at last hurdle though. Seem to attract them :) Nearly 1 stone ahead on ratings. (no single)


2.30 Coral Cup Jasnika and Monte Cristo.

Janika is totally chucked in here. Group horse in a handicap. Was rated 165 chaser. If runs to the 158 as did in Reekel this wins.

Monte Cristo was a tp I got from someone (yes you Hakkan) last year and spunked loads antepost on it for the triumph. anyway clearly was well thoguth of and totally hosed up last time so maybe now found it's mojo to keep progressing.

Blu Sari has rock flat form with Envoi Ellen but not yet seen it replicste over jumps.

birchdale was interesting but will stick with 2. 


Janika £25ew 33/1

Monte Cristo £25 ew 14/1

rfc


3.05 QMCC - Chacacacun Pour Soi   (no single)

3.40 Glenfarcas - Easysland (no single)


4.15 - Grand Annual - How many can I back? TBC Still thiniking about this one

Duc Des G is really intersting down in class, but top weight in a handcaip like this is surely not easy?

Them and Us decent festival run last year

Blue Druan chucked in on old form here


Duc Des Generrive £25ew 22/1

Us and Them 12/1 £25ew

Blue Duran £25ew 33/1


4.50 - Kilcruit (no single)


5 fave fold



Tuesday 16 March 2021

Bets 16.03.2021 - Chelts Day 1

 1.20 - Supreme - I have Appreciate it 3/1 AntePost. I don't think I'd be tipping it again at 5/4 but still fancy it to win.

Ballydam travelled much further than Appreciate It last time and screwed the last fence so suspect will be much closer this time assuming can jump cleanly. Who knows what impact change of yard would have had.

Metier smashed the Tolworth. Ground has come a bit more into favour but  maybe jumps a bit to the right?

Blue Lord looked decent last time out in the same race as AI and Bally. Given was off the bridle before both and finished 6l behind Bob Olinger over 2m4f I just think this stiff track will suit over shorter. Blue Bresil Sire has a solid record at Chelts as well.

For Pleasure won the trial and if makes all again at a decent pace not sure who it will suit best or maybe he just wont be caught

Irascrible I just cant find an angle for this one

Soaring Glory. Romped the Betfiar hurdle and has beaten Bravesmans Game! Surely must have a decent chance as well.

In summary this is bloody hard :)

ANTEPOST - Appreciate It 3/1 £50

Blue Lord 10/1 £25ew

rfc


1.55 Arkle - Can't see beyond Shiskin

Think Shiskin will whallop Allmankind up the hill. AMK will come back and win at Aintree :)

Captain Guineass is better than Fracno De Port on Collateral form but have to be worried about CG jumping but is maybe the biggest threat is jumps cleanly?

Ellerdo Allen well held by Shiskin and not heard of Numitor


Shiskin in an acca but not on the nose

Captain Guineass for the ew acca only

rfc

2.30 Ultima - I have backed Aye Right 16/1 Antepost.

Happygolucky is the improving nag with solid festival form here. It's his to lose. Finding it hard to find anything else. 

I still like Aye Right and happy with the ew, but not sure can beat Happygolucky.

Native Milan ran well at festival last year but I think you are betting on whether wind op improved this one over a stone. Up 8lbs from last year and had a 7lb claimer. 

The Wolf ran okay in AB and maybe an interesting ew. The Hendo nags are always a worry in these handicaps but looks like National main target so wouldnt want an awfully hard race?

Alnadam is the other improver I like. Skelton had had a stormer this year no reason this can't be another big handcap winner

Happygolucky £50 10/3

Alnadam £25ew 9/1

rfc

3.05 Champion Hurdle - Epatante for the bouble,

Eptante was something special in the fifghting fifth. I think all Hendo nags were rubbish over Xmas but still ran a decent RPR at kempton.

I think Honeysuckle maybe better over 2m4f, that said stamina at chelts always a plus. Hopefully we see a decet fight up the hill.

Goshen should have won the triumph. Maybe not by the 10 lengths was ahead before unseated rider and yes beat AMK but I dont think he a chelts horse so not convinced on the form

Abracadrbas looks a rock solid ew and could have won the Supreme last year.

Sharajah I think  held by Eptante and Silver Streak thumped Epatnate but hopefully yard form as above was reason.

Could back many of these but will stick with one.

Epatante £50 7/2


3.40 MAres Hurlde - Concertica looks decent right.

Roskana is having a great time of things but I worr about dropping back in trip.

Dame De Comp was a lovely winner of the Coral last year and probably biggest theat and one for the ew

Concerista £50 11/8

Dame De COmpaign for the ew acca

rfc

4.15 Juvenil Hurlde - Struggling to get away from Houx Gris. 

Hous Grix was cantering in a G1 last time out before hitting a wall. The form of race is good. Race in France is decent as Homme Public bolted up last race and think thats a mid 130s horse even though keeps mark of 125. So whilst could argue Homme Public is the value sounds like Nicholls has plotted this one up. Hopefully it's not Hell Red he has plotted up :)

Balko Saint would have been a solid bet had not blown mark by running in a novice race.

Another towards bottom of weights I like is Her Indoors. I'm convinced Talking About You ran to form at DOncaster and the collateral form proves the TAY mark is right. Therefore Her Indoors is potentially well handicapped as should be around 135 mark or so. 


Houx Gris £25ew 11/2

Her Indoors £25ew 33/1

rfc

4.50 NH CHallenge CUp - Remastered to make all

I like the way Remasterted bolted up at Ascot and Wetherby last time. I think is easily a 150+ nag.

I backed Escaria Ten for the Kim Muir pre wegiths. Stupid. Would have been a handicap blot. Danger.

Mighty Don was a bit tempting as I like the form with HappygoLucky but will stick with one


Remastered £25ew 11/2