Bets 01/05/2025

 3.05 - A Law of Her Own 25/1ew, Beat Theatre Native who went on a romp a G3 handicap next race. Will try to make all with whichever else goes with it, and the fact can stay longer will help.

Bets 30/04/2025

 Didnt get to farm the cards properly. Was looking at Checkandchallnege 18s and unquestionable 11/2 in same race at ascot. also blue lord to make amends from lto at punchestown

Bets 25/04/2025

 Sandown 1.50 - A few look pretty exposed here. The Lost King ran in a decent enough listed race for the context of this race. I'd mark that run up given hanging a fair bit. Think will try to make the running with the Johnston horse who is technically 4lbs ahead of mark, but is 0/22 for runners at Sandown and not sure as much scope for improvement as The Lost King 8.0

Sandown 2.25 - Almaqam is best horse in the race and the likely winner but just wonder if Arabian Crown 7.4 offer more value. Solid C&D winner. Almaqam hasn't yet won at the distance, though not far off in G2. Either way toss up for me but going with the bigger odds

Sandown 3.00 - Can't split Lead Artist, Tamfana, Haatem and Alcantor. Maybe Lead Artist better over longer than a mile. Maybe Haatem given been off for a while might not be fit. Fabre doesn't send horses over for fun does he but maybe needs slower groun. Tamfana has a penalty but have been winners with a penalty and comes from a more traditional route of races into this one, so sod it going with Tamfana 7.8

Sandown 3.35 - The Hotzahell form is hot so backing Windlord 2.56

Sandown 4.45 - Moon Sniper 21.00 beat Windlord (above) in early days and been staying on in all previous races.

URGH

 Last £666 punted only returned £190. Across 39 bets that's one of the worst runs had in a while. This is why punting in the transition from jumps to flats is not a good idea.....Never learn :)

Be back soon

Bets 22/04/2025

 Taking a wee battering at the moment...

1.35 Epsom - Faustus 30.11. Can win of this mark and class. Good form at Brigthon usually translates here. Trainer 38%SR here also.

2.10 Epsom - Devils Advocate 2.44 looks decent. Trainer, jockey, stallion stats all fine. Some money for it AP on the Derby also a positive sign.

2.45 Epsom - Stressfree 4.3 If doesn't win this is being plotted for a big handicap. Busted a big acca for me last time out. Goes against some stats though.

3.20 Epsom - Dashinwhitesargent 8.8 - Stats point to this. Step up in trip looks an obvious next step. Quic ground looks important. Course winner. Miller Spirite was next on list

4.25 Epsom - Say Loco 43.52 - Stats okay. Dow won this twice before as a Epsom trainer knows what it takes. That form behind Pantile Warrior means could be on a decent mark on turf debut.

4.38 Yarmouth - Gorgeous Mr George 11.5 - Dylan says his best chance today. On paper I can't see it, but following blind.

2.50 Fairyhouse - Zenta 3.03 Following JP money

4.30 Fairyhouse - Don't Tell Jack 5.20 Following JP money

Bets 21/04/2025

Obvs now playing straight on the nose had 3 places yesterday :) 

2.05 - Arch Empire 9.66 - Elliot coming back to form. Ignore run in March. Elliot form was poor. Doctor Dinos all good on heavy. Got a very good claimer onboard.

2.40 - Wendrock 5.5 -As above Elliot coming back to form. Top rated

3.15 - Come Walk With Me 7.5 - Form with Honest Policy is solid.

3.50 - Spread Boss Ted 18.35 - Not worried about layoff given it's Mullins. The form of the Albert Barlett 24 is disgusting. G1 winners all over the place.

5.00 - Kinturk Kalanisi  11.5 - Well handicapped based on Navan run for a trainer won this twice before. Sa Majestic and Now is the Hour the fun tricast

4.50 Redcar - Ottoman 6.6 Can turn tables from better draw. Stable going well.

5.30 Redcar  - Hardlass 21.0 back on turf over 5f is tempting at this price

Bets 20/04/2025

 Thankfully Zarzyni did the job, making it level for the day on singles.

3.05 Bath - Toolatetonegotiate 4.96 Got to go close on paper

3.41 Bath - Frost at Dawn 9.6 - On best form this is this the best horse on quick ground over 5f. I'm assuming no rain...

1.22 Fairyhouse - Ben Solo 18.2 and Collaborative 12, both well handicapped

1.52 Fairyhouse - Miss Pronouncation 8.5 was rated much higher over hurdles. Produced a very good round at this distance on heavy at Fairyhouse. Improved again lto.

Bets 19/04/2025

 Was unlucky with a couple at Newcastle. Thankfully last at Lingfield meant wasn't a white wash. How that Heavenly horse won from 22lb out the handicap....

2.25 Muss - Gweedore 6.0 backed lto and done by a 'trainer couldn't explain improvement even though smashed into fave'

3.00 Muss - Cover Up 5.12 ahead of mark if reproduces here.

3.35 Muss - Wild Waves 5.12 if runs to form of Leger will bolt up.

5.17 Muss - Zarzyni 5.0 came from pretty much last to third full of running in half a furlong after being blocked the whole way. 

4.30 Fairy - Blue Mosque 16.54 - Could be well handicapped on basis of last run, especially as looks to be a big improver. Cruised into race couple furlongs out so think extra distance will help. Stable in good form. 

    

Bets 18/04/2025

Newcastle 1.50 - So Darn Hot 7/2. Hate backing faves in big handicaps, but solid course winner, proven in this class, won easy enough lto and claimer takes a chunk of the rise off. Draw fine. Trainer in form. Jockey won enough races here. I had backed Solider Start 16/1 (Antepost, but didn't make the cut, sob sob)

Newcastle 2.25 - Cloud Cover looks such an obvious pick here. Why did it have wind surgery I don't know. Romped lto and 3lb wouldn't stop him following up, but the surgery is bugging me. Cloud Cover is a hold up horse so has the risk traffic. At the flip of a coin odds, going to punt Callianassa 40/1ew. Last time out beaten by maybe a 97 horse by 11 lengths. Doing the maths gives it a rating of 77. Once wasn't going to win was 100% eased off. Previous race over C&D given a shite ride, too far back. The race before this was beaten quite easily in a c2 over C&D by Cloud Cover, but was 13lb out the handicap! Ellison banged in a winner today which is great news. Same jockey as went beaten by Cloud Cover. Let's pop off a decent ew.

Newcastle 3.00 - Valiant Force 7/1ew (Backed this 10/1 Antepost) (our 150/1 Norfolk winner) is a Group horse in a handicap. No idea if will take to the surface but clearly in thriving form. Willing to find out. Storm Star and Roi De France are both massive dangers, but let's hope they get merked by traffic and VF makes all to win to make it 2/3 at the track.

Newcastle 3.35 - Fivethousandtoone 13/2 (Backed this 8/1 Antepost) can win back to backs of this. Was with Balding last year, but Oisin is called back up. Probably should have won last two races and hopefully is bouncing around the same sort of form. Went into overdrive last year when got going. From the draw is always the risk of traffic being a hold up, but most of the pace looks high so something to aim at.

Newcastle 4.07 - Old Harrovian 7/2 (Backed 9/2 Antepost). Absolutely romped home lto and better at the weights than Glen Buck. Balding in rude form.

Newcastle 4.42 - Roaring Legend 3/1 - Likely still pounds in hand and Palmer think would have been competitive in the Dubai World Cup. Won easily over C&D, Probert on again

Lingfield 2.40 - Sterling Knight 12/1ew - Down in class with a decent run over C&D last time. Not sure why such a big price

Lingfield 3.15 - Silkie Wilkie 13/2ew. Was so disappointed with runs in Meydan. Owes me by getting to the front and making all. None from stall 1 - 3 should go forward, so now excuse Went close over C&D in c2 since.

Lingfield 4.50 - Vocal Legend 11/2ew. Well handicapped on formlines and what has shown so far. Hills going well enough.

Bets 17/04/2025

 2.25 Present Times 7/2 best handicapped on best form

3.00 - Noisy Jazz 12/1 and Mythical Guest 25/1. Brioini ws next on list but stick with two

3.35 - Anno Domino 2/1. Im following the Hotazhell formline. Think Hotazhell one I'll follow all season

4.10 - Fair Wind 5/1

5.20 - Camera Shy 9/1

----

Added 11am

310 Ripon - Spring Corn 28/1ew

Bets 16/04/2025

3 winners yesterday in the end! Just 3 punts today. 

1.50 Newmarket 

1st  - The Dragon King 8/1 - 

Screwed the start lto, detached from field but still won. Can win off a mark like this. Decent C&D form. Last 2 years: Invincible Army 19%, Cox and Moore are 50% together. I remember Cox going close in this couple years ago with Harry Three.

2nd - Invictus Gold 10/1 - 

Ran a decent race at July course. Stepped up performance in a race which didn't pan out, so marking rating up. 

----

3.35 Newmarket 

Amori City 11/2 -  

Improved every run from debut. Solid course experience. Appleby and Buick won this 3 times before together.

Bets 15/04/2025

 Newmarket have watered and it's going to be heavy rain. Hmmmm. Not sure how to play this as will make a massive difference. Let's see, but it's an easy excuse for me when everything gets merked

1.50 - Trefor has a big turn around at the weights with Elmonjed, so 10/1 is potentially big. Problem is Jason Waston is 0/24 at Newmarket. Love Woodhay Wonder over C&D but Im hoping too high in weights now. Vantheman 11/ew looks a likely improver with step back up in trip. Is rapid and won at 6f before. Just hope the rain doesn't slow down the ground too much.

2.25 - Green Storm 5/1ew nearly a G1 winner. Nearly G3 winner at the track. They all have to improve passed him. Ground I think less dependant but maybe softer better.

3.00 - Ottoman Fleet 6/4 to complete the hatrick. First conquest is a risk, but don't think showed any major improvement last 3 runs and will need to to beat OF.

3.35 - Nadra 7/2. Forgot to back this when was 7s yesterday. All stats point to this and was an extremely taking debut

4.10 - Harrys Girl 9/1e/w

4.45 - Victory Queen 6/4

5.20 - Treasure Fleet 11/8

Bets 13/04/2025

 Decent 20s and 10s yesterday.

Bets 12/04/2025

 Newbury 125 - G3 in which none of the runners have won at the distance other than Divina Grace 20s. 19/21 winners had won at this distance or more before winning this. If Sunway runs to Irish Derby form could be tough to beat, but the Bellum Justum looked very solid lto. I'd take this to improve past Sunway. Feigning Madness 33s annoying not   3 places, but feeling feisty today.

Beckett decent record in this race. Balding tried many times.

Newbury 2.00 - Simmering is the best horse in the race on previous. Better Times Ahead 7s is inexperienced, but looks rock solid and Beckett loves winning this race.

Newbury 2.35 - Rashabar is best horse in race, but Meehan's form stinks. Yah Mo Be There very interesting for me, but does have a lot to find on ratings. Rogue Alliance 8s comes with a lot of hype and Omeara won this last year

Newbury 3.12 - Silver Sword and Classic 8s look to have best chances

Newbury 3.54 - Sweet Reward 10s wins.

Gone with the longer odds horses ew. Also played Bellum Justum, Simmering, Rashabar an Silver Sword

Bets 11/04/2025

 

Bet 10/04/2025

Couple decent winners at Meydan and nearly two forecasts. Bit gutted didn't take a chance with Dubai Future nor stick with my AP of Ragging Torrent in the second race. Anyhow we move on.

Not expecting much in low class AW, but need to keep the practice going.

Newcastle 5.00 - Cardarn 4/1.

Newcastle 7.00 - Secret Guest 10/1ew

Newcastle 7.30 - Hidden Verse 14/1ew

Newcastle 8.00 - That's My Boy Luke 9/1ew

Bets 05/04/2025 - Dubai WC and Grand National !

Aintree - 

1.20 Aintree - Act of Authority 8/1ew, Shangah Bob 33/1ew 

1.55 Aintree - Lulamba Evs. Basically 19 length headstart at the weights ahead of next best rated horse

2.30 Aintree - Really struggled to make decision on this. Les Milos 11/1ew and Weveallbeencaught 11/ew

3.05 Aintree - Ground will hopefully be good. Top of market many do better with give in ground. Altobelli 25/1ew could love this. Looks an up and coming stayer. The Wallpark would have been the pick but Elliot still on the sidelines for me. Strong Leader 6/1ew

4.00 - Iroko 9/1ew. I'm all over Intense Raffles Antepost, just not sure the ground is suitable now. 

5.00 - L'Eau Du Sud 15/8 - Best rated

5.25 - Storming George 28/1ew Decent debut. Was hampered for like a furlong and finally bolted once clear. Mossy Fen Road 5/1

-----

Dubai - Buick could have a decent day.

2.10 - Trawlerman 4/1(2pt). Best horse in the race. I didn't back it last year as ran poorly the year before in it. Ran really well in it last year. Maybe should have one. Not sure why Shoemark didn't slam him home. Think got pulled up by stewards on it. I didn't back Dubai Future lto, even though said was best in race. The SBS form stank. Shat in lto on the bridle. I just don't know if will back it up. Al Nayyir also ran a strong race last year. Looks potentially better than last year, but Trawlerman looked good in breeze ups this week and if Buick rides him 20% better than KS did last year this is the one to beat. Double Major probably only other that worries me. I think Trawlerman, Al Nayyir, Double Major and Dubai Future fill the top 4.

2.45 - Peptide Nile 9/1ew(1pt ew). There's going to be some pace in this and this one will close on the pack at the line. I think is a classy G1 Jap horse and top of couple stats for me. I think if Mosafa 9/2(0.5pt) was with Seemar a bit longer would have this done and dusted. Beat the Breeders Cup Classic winner and broke the Gulfstream track record. 

3.20 - If Christophe wasn't riding Isivunguvungu I'd be taking the 25ew, but 0/25 at the track. I see this between Believing and Regional. Regional 8/1ew (1pt ew) has beaten Believing (0.5pt) before so let's assume stays that way. Can't work out the Howdeepisyourlove form, but either way think my picks are better rated at these conditions. I do wonder how Regional will get on with Win Carnelian who will try to blitz this.

4.00 - Looking at ratings, races times and previous videos, I quite like Admire Daytona 10/1ew (1ptew). For some reason was held up and came home very strongly. Christophe PL who usually rides it is back on today and knows how to win here and in fact this race. Given I liked the race times of the pick I'd be fuming if Don in The Mood 9/1ew(1ptew) won so also backing this. 

4.40 - Looks between Tuz and Straight No Chaser. Tuz got the inside line and no other real pace. Is this enough to win? Tuz had a long campaign. Not sure will bet yet. Reassess again in the morning.

5.15 - Be an upset if Romantic Warrior 4/7 loses this. No single. Will acca with others

5.50 - Global trotting super star Rebels Romance 4/1(2pt). Shin Emperor worries me with stall 1. Calandagan arguably the best here, but I think will get stuck too far back even from this draw

6.30 - Be an upset if Forever Young 4/7 loses this. No single. Will acca with others.

Bets 04/04/2025

 Well we knew he was 8/12 winners before coming here....

Bit annoying really as everything he has is now being overbet and value is questionable.

1.45 - Dancing City 7/1ew was going to be the play, but price is now 11/4. hmmm. No interest in Handstand. Cadwell Potter looks decent, but I just can't take on the Mullins bandwagon. Beaten at the Chelts festival before winning at Aintree last year. No reason can't do it again. QDB, the other Mullins horse, is being smashed in. Hmmm.

Dancing City 11/4

2.20 - Blenkisop is really well handicapped based on form prior to the Aintree festival last year. Stepped up massively lto and back to similar form. Daly in decent nick. Good place chance. Wellington Arch also well handicapped but Wade Out who won so easily lto could be a big step ahead of mark here. If I knew Hansard stayed would be main bet at 33s, though I guess is a big price as doesn't stay?! Hmm. Ike Sport at 70s will bounce back one day. Maybe at Sandown later this month.

Wade Out 8/1ew

Small cover on Wellington Arch and Blenkisop

2.55 - Romeo Coolio should win but no touching an Elliott horse until he landed a winner first. Don't see the point in taking on Salvator Mundi who can turn the tables. Did like Jet to Vegas. No Kelso 365 winner has won this in 13 attempts and not looking for a stat breaker

Salvator Mundi 3/1

3.30 - El Fabilio 3/1

4.05 - Blue Lord 7/1, Ginnys Destiny 14/1ew. Jetoile interesting ew

4.40 - Califet En VOl 4/1

5.15 - Celtic Dino 4/1. Small hedge on Jack Hyde and Country Park

Bets 03/04/2025

 Had planned to avoid Aintree. ROFL. Probably be a waste of time and should be focussing on Meydan....

Playing cautious ews I think. 

1.45 - Croke Park 11/2ew. Elliot form a bit of a doubt, but it's certainly getting there. Last 12 all 147+OR, 4 or 5 previous starts and didn't win lto in pattern handicap. Only Croke Park fits this. Walk In The Park solid stats and Elliot shorter price runners do really well. 

Impaire Et Passe been hammered in the market but Croke Park beat this by 5 lengths lto. Mullins though is 8 wins from last 12 runners. Hmmm

---

2.20 - Only looking at the Fred Winter form here. The question is will either Murcia (13lb pull) or Wendrock (6lb pull) turn the tables on Putyourhandstogether? The winner romped, so hard to know how much more improvement. Urgh. Hate backing jumps favourites so backing Murcia with a 13lb pull

Murcia 5/1ew

Small hedge fc Puthands, Murcia (5/1)

Small fun tc Puthands, Murcia, Wendrock (35s) and Murcia, Puthands, Wendrock (64s)

---

2.25 - Spillanes Tower all the rage in the betting. Going for the horse that has form of PU, PU, F. Ahoy Senor loves Spring and loves Aintree.

Ahoy Senor 8/1ew

---

At this point Im putting on a Impaire Et Passe, Putyourhandstogether, Spillanes Tower Treble (20/1)

----

3.30 - No bet. Flip a coin between Constitution Hill and Lossiemouth I say

---

4.05 - Famous Clermont 15/2ew winner of this two years ago. Milan Forth looks to be one to keep an eye on in future if keeps improving as is. Small hedge on Lifetime Ambition probably biggest threat

---

4.40 - Rath Gaul Hill 8/1ew. Could back loads of these. Put small hedge on Primoz

---

5.15 - Charisma Cat 6/1ew

Bets 01/04/2025

Lingfield 2.02 - Charlie Mason 4/1

Lingfield 3.02 - Zariela 7/2

Lingfield 3.38 - Upepo 3/1

Lingfield 4.48 - Urban Sprawl 5/2

Lingfield 5.20 - Coolagh Magic 11/1 (Needs to break clean)

Played a place acca today instead of win acca. Interesting...