Bets 31/05/2025

 1.13 Haydock - Chillingham 12/1 (exchanges). On a dangerous mark looking at distance and handicap numbers. Always improves after 1st run of season. Bethell in good form and solid enough stats for me.

NON RUNNER

Changing to Stressfree 8/1. Backed few times before. Can definately win of this mark if trying. Thought my be planned for a big Goodwood plot.

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1.48 Haydock - Pals Battalion 12/1. O'Meara in good enough form and is 2 wins and a place from 7 runners in this race. Stats okay. Horse very consistent and should have won lto and can argue still improving.

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2.23 Haydock - Balmoral Lady 9/1. With sprints I've always gone for in form horses and many of these have questions. Balmoral Lady clearly improving, solid run from wide draw and stats are strong.

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3.33 Haydock - Alyanabbi 10/3. Finding it hard to take on. In decent form. C&D winner. Burrows in 80% SR with 4yr old+ at Haydock and other stats very strong. Audience has been really poor last two runs

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1.30 York - Ray Vonn 12/1. Ridiculously difficult. Have to pluck for a C&D winner in lower half that's ot regressing. Nearly went with Danzan, but assuming is fit (and seems a be a bit of money for it, is back on mark won over C&D

NON RUNNER

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2.40 York - Loom 4/1. The Man won me a massive pot and I think the race times vs JM Jungle might give this the edge. Was too tired too look last night but looks like missed decent prices.

3.15 York - Sueno 3/1. Decent on stats

3.50 York - White Crown Start 9/2. Silver Ghost won me a decent sum last week and think the form is strong enough. 

5.00 York - Quest For Fun 8/1. Unlucky lto. Thought Riot in same camp.

Bets 24/05/2025

 Should have gone to bed and not bet yesterday. oopps

Highly competitive weekend. Playing small stakes across the board as the rain could change everything.

1.30 Goodwood - Silver Ghost 11/1 - Looks decent on trends, stats, form and draw for me.

1.50 Haydock - Sex on Fire 12/1 - C&D winner in good form. Teroom 5/1 is the obvious danger.

2.30 Curragh - Molto Amichi 12/1 - Love that Wayne been booked for this. Riding at 41% SR atm. Bottom of the weights, well handicapped, in decent form and low enough drawn to go well.

3.40 Curragh - Think you know I've backed Hotazhell 9/1. The form is there for everyone to see. 

4.10 Haydock - The Flying Seagull 15/2. Likely would have won lto but for draw. Stable won this last year.

4.55 Goodwood - Captain Kinsella 22/1. If it wasn't for the draw I'd be slamming into this. Ran a blinder as Sandown given had nowhere to run. Pitched in at Listed level last time and ran at least 5lb higher than current mark. Could argue upto 10lb depending on how you read ORs

Swelter 9/2 tomorrow

Bets 23/05/2025

Back from conference. So tired.....

2.40 Goodwood - Trooper Bisdee 8/1. Won fresh 2/2. Back in class. Back in trip which I think will suit. Prescott won this last year. Caeasawitch trial form is fine as that's how we picked Story House. 

3.15 Goodwood - Dancingwithmyslef 16/1. Running consistently well. Think the Redcar form is good as again ties into Story House.

3.00 Haydock - Maw Lam 9/1. Best at weights. Needs to break well.

3.50 Goodwood - Exoplanet 9/1. Assuing doesn't bounce, is potentially one that might keep improving and so offer some price value. Silver Knott back in trip under penalty isn't for me even if lots of questions about the rest of the field.

4.25 Goodwood - Apotheosis 7/4 should be tough to beat.

4.25 Goodwood - Fort George Evs

TWINLIGHT DIAMOND 9.00 WOLVES 9/1ew

BEAULD AS BRASS 2.25 NEWBURY 7/1ew

Bets 16/05/2025

 Dante festival jokes as always.

2.42 York - Can't split Salamanca 7.27 improving and good form, with Buick 2/2 with trainer her at York, and Thunder Run 6.5 who will be happier back on quick ground. Won the Clipper here last year.

3.13 York - Guyla 3.75 should have won lto. The form behind Twirl is solid as.

4.15 York - I like the form of Loom in the Norfolk, but not 100% convinced is well handicapped. Hard to assess last race. 

I backed Amestris in the Queen Mary last year. Got blocked and lost a shoe. Not really come on from that. First time wind op though Bell is 33% SR with first time wind op. Hasn't run this season so really hard to assess. Segal has bloody ruined his price though. At 40s was willing to find out. at 14s. Hmm. May have a small bet on exchange is heads into high 20s. 

The Man and Do It Now as both clearly interesting given the form over C&D behind Tropical Storm. Spencer is 31% post gelding ops (which is mental), which gives The Man a chance on that alone, but again no prep run. Do It Now regressed last season but put in a much better show on seasonal reappearance and with a decent 3lb claim willing to give this one a shot. 

Draw may be tough for Ametris and Do It Now, but the no prep run is annoying me for The Man. I don't see much else so here goes

Ametris (If can get 25+ on exchange)

Do It Now 30

The Man 25

5.20 Newbury - Zakerjack 17.00. Trying something here and nothing to do with horse form, which hard for me to do, but it's a mini trial.

Bets 15/05/2025

 Duck me how unlucky was Perfect Part. Man. So annoying. Won't be getting 25's again on that.

2.10 Can make strong cases for JM Jungle, American Affair and Spartan Arrow but I'm going for Tees Sprit 37.00 as main pick. Ran well in this race last year. Comes into it in better form, technically 1lb lower and yard going well. Father and Son to take it. I think C&D is super important.

JM Jungle 8.0 has a chance to tun tables with American Affair but can see AA flying home late from this higher draw. However, stick with this.

2.42 - Northern Express 15.00, Blue For You 6.5

3.13 - See The Fire 2.55

3.45 - Apline Trail 6.00

4.18 - Start of Mehams 5.00

5.25 - Merchant 2.88

Bets 14/05/2025

 2.10 York - Haggas, Balding, King and Ryan target this race and typically won by 4 or 5 year old progressive sort. Marhaba The Champ was 9/2 for this race last year, but is now 6 and not in form. Been backed from 12/1 into 5/1 so clearly fancied for this? First time headgear offputting enough for me. King's horse also 6 and doesn't meet any stats I look for.

Stressfree is stressing me out. Backed this twice last. It's so well handicapped, but when will O'Meara let it win? I just don't think it's today, but will be livid if it is :) Thinking it's a bigger pot or maybe Goodwood.

See Hector is defo ahead of mark and I really want to back it. Did incredibly well in Dubai. I just can't back it on trainer and jockey stats. Also a 6 year old.

Balding's horse has also been smashed in the betting. Sire doesn't do that well at York. Stats are pretty good otherwise, but pulled up last time which not a good thing to bet on next time out.

The Reverend 5.5. Haggas's horse beaten fave last two races, Marquand will know to race it prominently here. It's definitely got juice in the mark. Twice Haggas has won this with seasonal debutants so not worried about fitness. Think this is the perfect distance and better ground will bring more improvement based on ped. I think this is more like a 5/2 shot.

Opps was a long write up. Better win now.

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2.42 York - Ryan, Fahey, Dods, Easterby, Smart, Camacho, Burke all like a pop at this one and typically goes to a sleeper. GF over this distance you want to be drawn low also. All the ones I like are drawn low which actually makes it harder to pick! Although a stat says 20/22 in this race drawn 5 or higher. hmm

Just looking at the lower end of the draw. Korker think needs slower. We Never Stop is interesting after a decent AW win, but turf form a worry for me.

Bergerac 9.32 is relatively well handicapped. I just don't rate Eaves that much but given Ryan won this last twice and Eaves has won on the horse here a couple times gotta give benefit of doubt.

First Folio 14.0 was a decent RA winner for me and conditions look good for it today. I'm now slighlty worried about stall 2, but I'm sticking with it.

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3.13 York - Super hard. Last year nailed my colours to Kind of Blue, but I'm not sure this year. IF Night Raider was proven on turf think I'd be following that one to RA, but needs to show it. This is really tough for me and other than 1 winner, all had a prep run before this race. I wonder if we go crazy and focus on Marshman and Royal Zabeel. 

Marshman 17.7 was nearly a grimrack winner and it' odd was entered last minute esp when have two others from stable here. Is he so fit that can recpature the sparkling 2year old days? Well he is fit and ha been entered so why not?

Royal Zabeeb 35.0 was rapidly progressing all last season and this season too. Considering pace was too slow lto, ran pretty well. Mill Stream ran in the same race last year before winning this.

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3.45 York - Walker is 4% here with 3year olds, so interesting has been heavily backed. Find it hard to take on Whirl 3.5

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4.18 York - Gallant probably just wins, but this is York. Here for merkage. Perfect Part 26.0 ran a blinder in the Cammidge. Assuming therefore massively improved over break. Didn't get screwed on ratings. Ran flat on AW nto (on purpose?) and now has a really decent 7lb claim. Being held up from 7f is not good though, so let's see 

Double Parked 33.0 could also make all and maybe slightly ahead of mark

Bets 12/05/2025

 Decent with Flickering Hero.

7.35 Windsor - Beauld as Brass 2.63

Even with a 10lb penalty, still has plenty in hand.

8.10 Windsor - Manilla Thriller 4.33

Channon 22% with 3yr olds at Windsor and in rude form. Marquand is 20% here. Was pitched in a G3 as a 2year old and finally on the board on 3year old appearance. Should have won lto as well. Back to 1m and back to a class 5. Should be winning a race like this.

Bets 11/05/2025

 Qirat chinned and three others placed, but of course not betting ew anymore so was painful yesterday. Didn't get round to any places accas either.

2.50 Newcastle - Flickering Hero 9.5

Stable in form and has run over C&D before a while back. If runs to that form + assumed progression, which is has on turf can go close. Needed first run of season last year also so should be fit now. Also second run post gelding op. 

2.55 - Leoparstown Mutasarref 5.0

Brave to do this but AOB not won this recently and DV is first run back. Lyons won this twice before and not far behind DV on previous form

3.25 - Longchamp - Hotazahell 9.0

Don't think I've ever won this race, but as I've said before following this horse off a cliff, until get seriously injured. Form is stacking up. Like Jonquil also

6.45 Newcastle - Badri 15 and Fivethousandtoone 17

I really fancied 5001 to win at the all weather champs over C&D. Not sure what happened and whilst didn't bonce back to form lto has run a couple of blinders this season and with stable in form can win if bounces back.

Badri is well handicapped. Needs to step up to win and today has a chance as trainer is flying.

Bets 10/05/2025

 Will keep updating when I can before tomorrow morning. So far East India, Two Tempting and Power Fizz all won at 4.5+ so happy days. Shame about Space Legend. 

1.50 Lingfield - Gincident 8.0

Owen and Crouch both in form and do well here. Gincident was smashed in the betting lto as so assume much better was expected. Liked the way knuckled down at Leicester and hoping / assuming the Johnston horse will create the pace needed.

2.05 Ascot - Arsaig 3.00

Looks to still be improving and back in easier company can win this.

2.40 Ascot - Qirat 7.00 and Popmaster 17.00

If Qirat has improved a tad and is fit wins. If Popmaster puts best foot forward wins.

3.05 Nottingham - First View 6.5

Wow Meydan brought to me at Notts in a C4. Both Padi (who became  bit of a cliff horse) and First View line up. SBS does really well at notts with 4+. Think I saw 30% SR and actually ran better than Padishakh

4.10 Lingfield - Brave byreflection 5.0

Assuming is fit, looks massively unexposed here. Stable is flying and so is the jockey. Got some gears.

5.00 Ascot - Arnaz 3.25

Struggling to find a way to beat it

Too tired tonight to look at any more cards. Maybe do more tomorrow, but unlikely. Will post in comments if tap up anymore

Bets 09/05/2025

 Faves cleaning up so a few more winners on the cards yesterday. Rosenburg in the first would have made it a better day, but all good.

Chester 1.30 - Was trying to get Two Tempting 4.5  beat, but it's not easy. Looks solid. Pearl Eye 17.0 is running again today and if gets a decent start with an extra 7lb claim might be the one!

Ascot 1.50 - Power Fizz 4.75 ahead of mark

Chester 2.35 - Trappy but went with Space Legend 4.5. I think will  try to make all and knowing can stay can last out. Stats all fne.

Chester 3.05 - I thought was going to find a nice juicy one but East India Dock 5.00 could just be a class apart. He must have improved 30lb jumps over the season but his mark is 1lb lower then when last race a bug flat handicap. Yard hit 2/3 winners yesterday so string hopefully in good nick. Leinster is clearly a massive danger and these two could destroy the field.

Ascot 3.25 - Can't let Rohaan 9.0 go unbacked at this price. In really good form and can cash in off this mark. 5 of 6 wins here at Ascot.

Ascot 4.00 - Letsbeatsepsis 26.00 needs to refind debut form, but it's possible at Ascot with C&D form. Plum draw, backed from 51.00 worth a pop. Corrello Point 5.00 maybe the best handicapped, alongside Mollie Foster 11.00. Not sure how to play this yet.

Bets 08/05/2025

 Good few winners yesterday

1.30 - Chester

Rosenpur 12.0 - Improving with every run. In really good form. Previous decent runs at Chester. Well drawn

Copper Knight 11.0 - Old boy still in good nick. Comes into this race in better form than last year off a lower mark when a close 2nd.

110. rfc

2.35 Chester

Brave to take on Mount Kilimanjaro 2.82, but if had to would be with Mirabeau who at 16s

3.05 Chester

Tight between Asburde and Illinois. AoB 4 year old+ are 71% in last 5 years here. Bonkers. Going with Illinois 2.38

3.40 Chester

Trappy but just sided with High on Hope 10.0 on the basis the 5lb claim will make the difference.

4.10 Chester

Thought Wadacre Gomex 8.5 would be around 4/1 so having some. 5pounds lower than last year. Comes here in better form and Ryan is booked

4.45 Chester

Lady Vivian 2.38 needs to win this if going to be running in the Irish Oaks. Beckett 2/2 in this race

Bets 07/05/2025

 Urgh Sonic Pioneer 25/1 beaten a neck.

Chester 1.30 - Ali Shuffle 2.5. Best of those drawn low. 

Chester 2.05 - Rubys Profit 5.5. Progressive and will try to make all. Draw just about okay.

Chester 2.35 - Minnie Hauk 2.88 AOB wins 50% of 3yr old races at Chester in last 5 years. Better value than evens :)

Chester 3.05 - Lambourn 2.63. Same as above

Chester 3.40 - The draw so important here, and was hoping to back the Flying Segull 33/1. Wide draws have been done before so play small on this but will be tough. If Diligently had a prep run would be the pick, but Bob Mali 2.33 probably hard to beat.

Chester 4.45 - Boardman 10.5 and Monsieur Fudge 7.5

Bets 06/05/2025

 For fun only. Not giving away last 3 days winnings

Bets 05/05/2025

 Decent yesterday. An 11 winner and Simmering ran a cracker into 3rd at 40s.

3.00 Curragh - Murkala 8.5. Back to good ground. If reproduces either C&D run with a decent 7lb claim can win this. Murtagh won it last year. 

3.35 Curragh - And So To Bed 15.00 Ran behind some smart horses at Curragh last season. What was encouraging was the final race. Dylan know him well. JOB likes this race.

5.20 Curragh - White Clover 19.00 Ran a blinder behind plot job Tinas Indian. over C&D. A repeat of that would be enough to go close today. Carroll won on the horse before and stable in decent nick including a 33/1 yesterday

Bets 04/05/2025

Only two winners from 8 bets, but was at 13.5 and 5.0, so finally a winning day. Always great to nab the big one too.

2.55 Newmarket - Really playing against some stats, but fancy Story House 11.00. Saffie 1/1 on the horse. 14f is 100% best trip. Decent first run of season and will be fit now. Ran well enough in the Casearwitch trial on quick ground given was too far.

3.55 Newmarket - Experience is really important in this. 195/196 runners with less than 4 runs have failed. Knocks 4 out. Interesting I read about joint sire index of 16.8 is needed to win this. Knocked couple more out. Based on some ratings shot couple more. Simmering 40.0 and Lake Victoria 4.0 is where I ended. Both are in doubles with Ruling Court, so fingers crossed. No filly has ever completed the Breeders Cup and 1KG double, so a stat to bust for Lake Victoria. Desert Flower is just short on sire index and only Minding has won both Fillies Mile and 1KG. Basically I'm saying come on Simmering, although lto trainer said did not like quick ground....

Too tired to look at any more.

Bets 03/05/2025

 1.10 Newmarket - Couple horses stepping back in trip which can't have. Unequal Love 2.12 won this last year and clear on ratings.

1.45 Newmarket  - Lethal Levi 11.5 is well handicapped and can win one more before moving into pattern races.

2.20 Newmarket - Hand of God obvious pick but first time gelding. Fox Legacy 13.5 interests me most. Another Stoute horse who looked progressive after than 12 lenght romp. Many have now done well at new yards. With baling romping yesterday could be another. 

2.55 Newmarket - Washington Heights 5.0 down in class good track form.

3.35 Newmarket - Ruling Court 5.0

5.15 Newmarket - Rocking The Boat 7.5, will be disappointed if doesn't go close. Decent course form, well handicapped, Moore booked.

2.00 Goodwood - Sirona 5.00 - Best horse in race

2.35 Thirsk - Obelix 5.00 - Meets all trends needed

Bets 02/05/2025

So glad jumps is done. I keep jumping back into it, and I keep falling.

1.45 Newmarket - Unexposed bunch. No real clues. Alpine Trail  is fit and winning comfortably. Appleby has won this 4 times so if I did bet would only be in an acca. 5 horse race, don't like them but can make all so pace is not an issue.

2.20 Newmarket - Boring but Cosmic Year looks the one to beat so 3.46 double with Alpine Trail

2.55 Newmarket - Again boring but Spectacular View 3.95 the one to beat. The form with Fifth Column is solid. Appleby won this 3 times from 8 runners. I did wonder whether the other Appleby runner was better handicapped, but all 3 of his winners been faves. Omears poor record at the track and Walker first time gelding opp form no good.

3.30 Newmarket - Really want to back Alzahir but George Wood 0/22 here. Miss Information can't back due to Balding form, same for Physique, Local Hero and Jumby. Leave Fifty Nifty 3.45 who tbf should be a C&D winner

4.05 Newmarket - Another race with no value and Silver Knott's 2.66 to lose. 4 horse race though so anything can happen

4.45 Newmarket - Another fave really hard to get away from Rosy Affair 2.46

Not often hit 6 faves at the same track.... Will look at other races. Need a value injection...

1.25 Goodwood - Another fave :) Logi Bear 3.6 though I'm worried about stable form and draw. It's hard to ignore Hannon sprinters who are faves esp at Goodwood.

2.00 Goodwood - Noble Champion 3.95 looked decent at Lingfield. Big step down in class. St. James Entry

2.35 Goodwood - Tatterstall 6.6 to make all and win again as at Glorious Goodwood. Hopefully fit. Stable in decent enough form.

3.45 Goodwood  Waleefy 2.2

5.05 Musselburgh - Bern Rossetti 5.73 is interesting. Stable in form. Looked blocked the majority of the way at Beverley. If can get a run and can reproduce that might be able to turn the short fave over.

6.13 Newcastle - Had Polygram tracked but not keen to take on a Gosden hotpot. Polygram Top 2 2.08

7.55 Newcastle - Project Geofin 5.00. Solid C&D runner. Can win from this mark. A good break. Oldroyd comes good this time of year and had a 10/1 winner lto.