Friday, 26 September 2025

Bets 27/09/2025

2.05 Haydock - Duran 7/1ew

Duran must be the stable's only winner here in the last 5 years. On a winnable mark and in great form.


3.15 Haydock - Fondo Blanco 9/2

Positive jockey booking, on a winnable mark.


3.40 - Real Gain 11/1ew

Tough race. Seen many conflicting stats in this race depending on how you look at it, so not spent too much time on it.

Real Gain the only C&D winner in the field. On a winnable mark. Will try to make all and grab the rail.


5.55 - Completely Random 20/1ew

Ran a blinder in the Wokingham. Couple pounds down, easier race. Drawn wrong last two races, good draw now, and Charlton stats very decent (60% at track in Sept and 50% with 4yr+  track, and 33% SR last 14 days....). Solid previous course form and step up in trip looks exciting. Feels more like a 6/1 shot, but Indian Summer does loo a worthy fave. 9/1 top 2 is tempting.

Friday, 19 September 2025

Bets 20/09/2025

If Wobwobwob didn't fluff the start would have placed. It gets tougher this time of the year so playing less races and less stakes. 

1.15 Ayr - Khafiz 5/1ew

Well handicapped on paper and sire and Varian have strong stats for this.

2.05 Newbury - Stressfree 15/2ew

Better value than Dramatic Star. Last off the bridle, coming from wide storming home.

2.25 Ayr - Rousing Encore 20/1ew

1 of 5 horses that met the trends I like. Decent C&D record, and decent strike rate in C2 races with certain other conditions. It was pretty soft on Derby day, the day this one should have won, so ground is fine. Decent run lto when drawn wrong. Trainer/jockey stats not overly strong and few others can make case for (Roberto Caro, Candy esp) but stick with one small stakes

3.35 Ayr - Desert Falcon 18/1ew

Decent winner last week for us. Signficantly ran in that same race (a close second) before winning this. Stays 7f so will try to make all again and burn them all off. 



Thursday, 18 September 2025

Bets 19/09/2025


Newbury 2.55 - French Affair 11/2ew

Officially 2lb well in. 


Ayr 3.05 Star of Lady M 10/3

Best on numbers though Beautiful Diamond is a live danger.

 

Ayr 3.40 - Wobwobwob 12/1ew

Previous winner of the Silver Cup, back to 6f ran well lto on wrong side of track so hopefully stays in good nick which is likely with stable in good form.

A few of Goldies were of interest but couldn't pick between them. Kat Bobs was really interesting but kept to one dart.




Bets 18/09/2025

DRAFT - Didn't post these last night. Forgot to hit publish, so prices are gone on the 2.15. Looking at rest of card now.

Ayr 2.15 - Never Dark 16/1ew. Back to form lto. Jardine doubles his SR with first time blinkers. Dropped massively in the weights since the Silver Cup and Marquand who has a 25% SR at Ayr is booked.

JM Jhingree 11/1ew. Didn't want to back two in the race but Goldie does well with horses of this profile and seems to be a fair but of support for it.


Ayr 2.45 - Flying Finn is 25s and been on tracker for a while. It's just not soft enough today?


3.15 Ayr - Aeolian 5/4


3.45 Ayr - Waiting All Night 4/1


4.15 Ayr - Quiet Resolve 10/3


5.20 Ayr - Surrey Belle 3/1



Saturday, 13 September 2025

Bets 14/09/2025

Rosario 12/1 placed. Just needed bit more ground. Prydwen 16/1 placed. Just needed bit less ground. Rahiebb 50/1 so close also. Another 14/1 and 10/1 placed as well. Nice to know in the right space looking for winners but alas need more winners like Convergent's who was a decent 10/3 winner.


2.40 Donny - Back in Black 13/2ew

Formline with Shout is decent. Will be ready for Autumn campaign post a decent blow out in a decent enough handicap. Stats all fine.


3.00 Donny - Desert Falcon 11/1ew

Should be fine on soft. Will try to make all and watching it's penultimate race looks to have more in the bag.


4.10 Donny - Jabarra 10/1ew

Backed lto. Not sure would have won if rerun, but think is best horse this distance. Varian obvs is great form which will help


1.30 Curragh - Carla Ridge 18/1ew

 Potentially ahead of mark


3.15 Curragh - Mgeera 10/1ew -

 If breaks well is going to go really close. Has won a G2 even after missed the break. 

Eroandpsyche 50/1ew Sunday fun bet. 2nd in the race before. Back to life lto from a tough draw

Bets 13/09/2025

Maxi King slammed in the betting but only placed, so was nice when Sword Maker was also slammed but duly obliged with couple other winners.

1.15 Doncaster - Point of Contact 9/1ew

1.50 Doncaster - Gewan 7/4

2.25 Doncaster - Rosario 12/1ew. If breaks cleanly, wins. Jordan Electrics 11/1ew. Will cry if Air Force One wins after backing last two times.

3.40 Doncaster - I'm on Lambourn 12/1 and Rahiebb 50/1 Antepost so not looking at the race again for today

4.15 Doncaster - Nova Centurai 2/1

4.50 Doncaster - Mustazeed 10/1ew - Assuming it's soft got a good chance as long as doesn't break slowly like Rosario.

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2.40 Chester - Prydwen12/1ew. Does stay, but needs to step up. A good race to do it in....

3.23 Chester - Jan Steen 14/1ew. Early form is decent. Gelded. Soft will suit. Return to early form and will outrun odds. 

4.00 Chester - Let's Dream 15/2, should have won lto. Winner over C&D in a higher class. Needs to race prominently to avoid traffic

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2.50 Leo - Tribal Nation 10/1ew 

3.50 Leo - Convergent 10/3 best at weights (by far)

4.55 Leo - Expanded 10/1ew  best at weights

5.30 Leo - Hotazhell 12/1ew big fan of horse since bet Dela. Now got soft and ran a cracker lto.

6.05 Leo - Harbour Wind 12/1ew 




Thursday, 11 September 2025

Bets 12/09/2025

 1.15 Doncaster - Maxi King 12/1ew, Shadow Dance 4/1, both have solid course form, meet trends and can win from these marks


1.50 Doncaster - Catullus 3/1. Meets key trends and form with Publish strong enough?


3.00 Doncaster - Sweet William 6/4


3.40 Doncaster - Jujubella 22/1ew, Bosphorous Rose 11/2


4.10 Doncaster - Classic Curve 2/1 best on figures


4.45 Doncaster - Sword Maker 8/1ew


5.20 Doncaster - Tyger Bay 11/1ew



Wednesday, 10 September 2025

Bets 11/09/2025

Hopefully rain doesn't cause any major issues. No time for write ups today.


4.10 Doncaster - Wechaad 9/2.

5.15 Doncaster - Explode 3/1. ticks all the right boxes.  Rogue Impact 12/1ew looked the danger.




Sunday, 7 September 2025

Bets 08/09/2025

 Couple places and Tenability winner. Pretty average. Notes for a mate on course today.

3.00 York - Air Force One 5/2 should win this. I need compensation for lto :) Curious Rover 16/1 is too big

3.30 York - Trying to get Artisan Dancer 7/2 beat but struggling with anything solid. Maybe the Williams horse but see if any gossip on course.

4.00 York -  Gunship 13/2ew. Strong form, up until Royal Ascot. I think was too far. Back to in trip. Ferguson is 20% first time gelding. You asked about Zain Blue and yes we backed couple times over C&D but Bulter slipped out of form, though got a decent 5lb claim today. Watch for money on track, but it's competitive and I'd only be ew. Dark Moon Rising is best on stats on best form.

4.30 York - Elmonjed 13/2 ew - On stats at this distance it's tight. Grand Grey #1, Lethal Levi #2, Tiger Bay #3, Price of India #1 and Almeraq #5 in order. All that said Elmonjed ran a blinder over C&D, drawn wrong side at Goodwood and then missed the break when lost to Lethal Levi lto so reckon is a 105+ rated horse. Gets a 3lb pull this time as LL has a penalty. Almeraq is of course the likley winner but I've never given you a punt under 2/1 before, so do what you like :)

5.00 York - Wonderbolt 13/2ew to make all. 

5.30 York - Feel The Need 11/1ew - Always give you a good run for your money at York. Good draw. Jockey one of 4 jockeys who've won at the course.

The tips from the French hotshot are 1.33 Arrow Eagle and 4.00 Leffard. I know we have Bay City Roller in our tracker but dunno if will stay, so do what you want 

Have fun











Friday, 5 September 2025

Bets 06/09/2025

Haydock 2.25 - Way of Stars 12/1ew. 

Last race was a crawl and wouldn't have suited having to sprint finish. Mafting needs to set a quick pace today and will set it up nicely. Really good consistent formlines. Haggas first time pieces is a very poor stat which was enough to put me off Valiancy. Thought long about the other Balding horse Fantasy World but Many Men formline put Way of Stars ahead for me.


Haydock 3.00 - Align The Stars 14/1ew, Adjuvant 18/1ew

Align The Starts has a 12lb pull with Caballo De Mar who is half the price over 2m here. 2m too far for Align and a C&D winner.

Adjuvant and Align The Stars are best on stats for me over this distance.


Haydock 3.35 - Time for Sandals 7/1ew

Progressive. G1 winner. Formline solid. Back to 6f. Draw great as races prominently


Ascot 3.15 - Nightwalker 10/1, Tenability 9/2.

Nightwalker been running in pattern class last 6 races. Sights lowered can win a race like this. Tenability won well over C&D lto and looks progressive


Haydock 5.15 - Tele Red 11/ew




Thursday, 4 September 2025

Bets 05/09/2025

Haydock 1.32 - Mission Impossible 9/4

Ascot 2.20 - Raaheeb 11/8

Haydock 2.42 - Changeofmind 9/1ew. Banking on ground being slow to spark revival. Ran pretty well in a C2 over C&D last Sept on soft. 4 lengths off the winner, but broke awkwardly, short of room and ran home on slowest part of track. C4 today and down 14lb Ran well enough lto behind Brazen Bolt. Draw may be an issue. Zrzyni a danger.

Ascot 2.55 - Manuever 10/11

Haydock 3.15 - Illustionist 18/1ew - Needs to go soft

Ascot 4.05 - Fine Interview 7/2

Ascot 4.40 - High Degree 4/1 can win off this mark. Thunder Roar 16/1ew will get comp for Spring Mile demotion at some point. Hoping they both stay wide else Shout look biggest danger from low draw.

Haydock 4.55 - Ata Rangi 9/2. Persuasion 12/1ew





Monday, 1 September 2025

Bets 01/09/2025

3.00 Carlisle - Lord Roxby 4/1

 4.05 Carlisle - Awraad 15/8

4.37 Carlisle - One Night Thunder 11/2ew

6.00 Windsor - Just and Hour 13/2/ew