2.25 Ascot - Beauport 18/1ew
2.40 Haydock - Walks The Talk 7/1ew
3.35 Ascot - Wreckless Eric 14/1ew
5.30 Newcastle - Lessay 6/1ew. Up in class and trip, but in decent form, gets 5lb claim and yard back amongst winners.
5.45 Wolves - Spartan Arrow 7/4. Well handicapped. Good numbers and yard in form.
A lot of decent runners coming back after a break. Turf is yielding and most of not ridden on ground this slow before so no idea on how they could perform. Assume dirt will ride slower too, so stamina may come more to the fore. Again so many unknowns so playing half stakes today.
1.30 - Muraad 14/1 0.25pt ew
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2.05 - Mysterious Night best horse in race. Marbaan has beaten MN twice before but 2lb worse off this time. Vafortino (who won this race before) and Make Me a King next best on numbers. If Mysterious Night is fit (and it's big if as not won first time out before), wins.
With the ground as is am taking a chance on Vafortino. Was close to back Marbaan.
Vafortino 25/1 0.25pt ew
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2.40 - Tjareed Top 3 Evs 0.75pt win
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3.15 - Ponntos is best on numbers.
Ponntos 11/2 0.25pts ew
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3.50 - Seemar has the top 3 rated horses in this. Remorse comes out top on numbers and fit and in cracking form, but 1 week on into a tough race? Walk of Stars is next best but this race was not the intial plan. All roads to WC and is going to skip Saudi this year. Kabirkhan is next best on numbers. A G1 winner and stays a bit further than this, so given conditions heading here.
Kabirkhan 11/1 0.25pts ew
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4.25 - Nations Pride best horse in race, especially with ground
Nations Pride 11/4 0.5pt win
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5.00 - Imperial Emperor best on numbers of those who have ridden the course. Tumbarumba next best but no experience on the course. King Gold next. If Imperial Emperor is fit should win this, but at a price I'm tempted to play Killer Collect who will try to make all. I think is a 110+ rated horse.
Killer Collect 14/1 0.25pts ew
King Gold 14/1 0.25pts ew
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5.35 - Asgards Captain best on numbers, but By The Book huge danger
Asgards Captain 11/2 0.25pts ew
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6.10 - Maraprat Top 3 4/5 0.75pt
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Varfotino (Top 7), Tjrareed (Top 5), Ponntos (Top 5), Kabirkhan (Top 5), Nations Pride (Top 2), Asgard Captain (Top 3), Maraprat (Top 4) 25/1 0.25pt
Ponntos / Nations Pride 0.25pt Double
Not a great card today, but we have 3 weeks in a row now and the 19th will be decent.
1.30 - Union Security is probably going to be too good for these, but Na Eem did nothing for the form and with a wide draw maybe worth considering something else. Shayesh should not be shorter than Spacetown on formlines (including trials). Al Khawanej interesting on paper with new sire 1/1 at Meydan with 2years olds. Uncle Timo also interesting, but will play half stakes on bottom two in market.
Al Khawaneej 22/1 0.25pts ew
Spacetown 14/1 0.25pts ew
2.05 - Ruler of Time should win, but not backing at 4/6 as can make a case for a lot of these.
No bet.
2.40 - El Barreeq my pick is a NR. Welcome Dream and Sir Harmony are going to set the pace and hopefully ruin both their chances and set it up for Barq Al Emarat. Needed the first run last year and hopefully is now spot on for today.
Barq Al Emrat 17/2 0.5pts ew
3.15 - Super competitive this. Gray Boss is tracked and well handicapped and likely progressive. Norato won really well last time. Military Artist bounced back to form last time out and if can resume progress and acheive marks from couple years back can win this. Fresu onboard this time and worth a pop at reversing with Norato. If Al Jadaf was drawn better may have picked this instead.
Military Artist 13/2 0.5pts ew (4p)
3.50 - All the ones I like at a value price are drawn. Gorak going to burst out of stall 1 and try to make all, but no idea if will take to the surface. Horses I like are drawn 3 widest, 9, 10 and 11 so just going to leave the race. If there's a horse here who bounces back to form and could win it's Freedom Fighter 22s
No bet.
4.25 - Dark Saffron best horse, but 3year old with a penalty against elders not ideal.
No bet.
5.00 - Today could be Book Review's day. No pace drawn inside so can get to the front. Most of the horses are hold up horses. The two dangers to this is first the jockey. Can he perfect the burn the field without burning the horse. Let's find out. Second Silent Age. Drawn 1 and has gone fwd before, just not last couple runs. I'm sure jockey will be instructed to go fwd looking the race.
Book Review 20/1 0.5pts ew (4p)
Silent Age 10/1 0.5pts ew (4p)
5.35 - Honest Moon best horse in race and assume will try to make all. Odd Conor not picked this one though.
Honest Moon 11/2 0.5pts ew
Accas played
Barq Al Emarat Top 4, Book Review Top 7, Military Artist Top 7 5/1 0.5pt win
Barq Al Emarat, Book Review, Military Artist 0.1pt ew trixie (0.8pts total)
