Friday, 29 August 2025

Bets 30/08/2025

Draft. Bold already bet.

Ormolulu surely the unluckiest horse this season and officially my biggest cliff horse....


Taking it easy today. Rain changes everything....


2.05 Beverley - Regional 7/4

Really should be winning this. Should make all and be too good. Tongue tie only concern. First Instinct likely the up and coming threat


3.15 Chester - Witch Hunter 9/1ew

Everything was stacking up nicely for Hawksbill, until I saw that 3year olds don't do as well as exposed older horses. Then back to the 2nd on the list Witch Hunter. Best figures on best form. Back to form lto. Hannon does well in this race and creeping back into form


4.25 Chester - Kinswoman 15/8

Got the speed and draw to make all. Looks ahead of mark. Haggas likely to have a good day today


4.37 Curragh - I am Superman 20/1ew

Solid C&D type. Good form. Haggas horse the main threat. 


Regional Top 2, Kinswoman Top 2, Witchunter Top 6 pays 5/1

Tuesday, 26 August 2025

Bets 28/08/2025

28/08 - 6.45 Southwell - Ormolulu 10/1ew

Tracker horse that I've backed in 2 of last 3 runs (not the last) and it should have placed in all 3 of them but actually won at least two of them. Combination of extremely poor rides and traffic problems. Tutty is now in very good form and is 26% SR(4/14 and 8 placed) over C&D. Does really well with her horses who have a layoff under 1 week with a 40% SR(4/10 and 5 placed). Ormolulu is a prolific horse over C&D with a 41% SR (5/12 and 10 placed). Muscatt has teamed up with Tutty and Ormolulu once over C&D before and if wasn't for clipping heals with another horse and stumbling would have won that race. There are of course a few dangers in this, but none can claim have gone close to winning a C2 handicap this term and are in good form. Amerbama Gold and Rohaan are of course c2 winners, but not their old force though are still dangers. Finished 3rd, 11th, 5th and 8th and handicapped not touched the mark of 82....


Sunday, 24 August 2025

Bets 25/08/2025

 Few bank holiday considerations.

2.45 Epsom - Crimson Spirit 7/2 - Stats are strong and form is okay.

3.15 Ripon -Al Shamham 8/11 very short but should win. Ticks all boxes

3.50 Ripon - Capital Guarantee 7/2. Stats good and form good. Danger is Silent Age down in trip and class

4.23 Ripon - Profitbable Edge 9/1. Back to form as are the Barrons. half a stone below last winning mark. C&D winner. Decent chance.

Al Shamam to win + other 3 to place is 20/1


Friday, 22 August 2025

Bets 23/08/2025

 1.50 York - Gladius 5/1 has pounds to find even with the weight allowance, but is a massive improver an more importantly a dual 9f winner. Has been backed all day long today. Checkandchallenge 25/1 has a decent place chance again, with Knight in decent form. Maybe a tricast play with Kings Gambit.

2.05 Goodwood - Palmers Bay 8/1 still well ahead of mark based on last run. Good draw, good claim.

2.25 York - Struggling to get away from the Balding pair Fantasy World 10/1 and Tarriance 4/1. 


3.00 York - If Audience bounces back to best can win this at a big price, but a big if. Been on Never So Brave 10/3 last two times and can win a Group 1, if not today but for sure soon. Rosallion is clearly the biggest threat.


3.35 York - Been on Siege of Troy when was 22/1 just couple days ago. Can't believe is only 15/2 now! Didn't get many decent accas on! As above, gets a massive pull with Ethical Diamond with a decent claimer. Can see these Troy battling out with the Mullins pair at the end.


4.10 York - Chief Mankato 20/1 is too big given the form with Trefor, but cannot afford a slow start today. Twinlight Calls was really interesting to me, but is 5points bigger on the machine which a big of a worry? Poor old Geoff Oldroyd this week, so close to two winners. Pocklington 6/1 is short, but talented and been hugely consistent this year. Hopefully Jordan Electrics doesn't win this after backing erlier in the week


5.20 York - Westridge 7/2 should win this, but if you wana play longshots, consider Sir Busker 20/1 and Tony Montana 18/1





Thursday, 21 August 2025

Bets 22/08/2025

 York being a pain in the arse again. No time for in-depth assessments today. Just hoping it's actually GF and no watering malarky. 

1.50 York - Mount Atlas and French Duke both hit all trends. Couldn't separate them in the time have so played the 18/1 reverse forecast.


2.25 York - At this distance on GF, Dubai Future 25/1 is the best, then Trawlerman / Sweet William. Not sure if I'll bet it yet with only 2 places on show and it's not going to be a moderate pace like it was when Dubai Future beat Trawlerman in Dubai.


3.00 York - Annoyingly Egoli 5/1 has been backed hard already. Was planning a decent 10/1ew, but the form been franked now. Course winner and won Richmond Stakes on the wrong side of the draw.


3.35 York - Asfoora 8/1ew has the best figures and we knew wasn't ready for Ascot or Goodwood. Is ready now. Frost at Dawn's 18/1ew form with American Affair has got to be pretty strong and wouldn't have liked the ground lto. 


4.10 York - Cape Flora 6/1ew. Broke the track record lto and won as if will laugh at a rating of 79.


5.20 York - Ya Mo Be There 13/2ew. Ran in the Guineas (not bad considering was hampered early on). If runs anything like that form is winning this, but traffic issues could be a major risk so Fifth Column 8/1ew worth looking at



Bets 21/08/2025

2.25 - Rikki Tiki Tavi has decent formlines and the 2 Cox runners (Wojtek and Song of Clyde) are interesting but no time to look through card in depth


3.00 - Remooz 9/2 (11/12), Julia Augusta 40/1ew (8/12)

Remooz is quite an obvious pick. Improving C&D winner, who meets all the trends. Does have the rock solid favourite to beat. I'm taking Bullet Point on as is 0/3 when running round a bend and is 9/4 which is short. Burrows is 31% at York 25% in August. Stott is 30% over 1m at York and 2/2 with Burrows at York.

Julia Augusta takes more explaining as stats aren't as strong, but looks a classic O'Meara big pot handicapper. Can def win off this mark. Is 25% win and 37.5% placed on flat tracks. Has won on a galloping track before including going left handed. It's entirely speculative will bounce back today, but does meet all the trends and O'Meara has won this race before, albeit with more fancied runners. 


4.10 - I had it down between Aeolian, Lady Vivian and Alice Monet. No time to decide.

4.45 - Stellar Sunrise 9/2, Hegroin 14, youbestterseethiss 28s. No time to dissect the shortlist


5.20 Dash of Azure 8/1ew (11/12)

Raced with no cover last time out and was too free. Ran very well in the Sandringham. Moore booked. Beckett in decent form, does well with his fillies at the meeting and with the profile of horses like Dash of Azure and Maybe Not he has a 38% SR. I've gone with Dash over Maybe due to booking of Moore and fact been running in better races already. Dance in the Storm has an obvious favourites chance.

Tuesday, 19 August 2025

Bets 20/08/2025

 1.50 York - The Man a massive winner last time out heads the market. I like this horse but it's tough for a 3year old against seasoned handicappers, especially in this race where they've no wins and placed 1 in 25 attempts). Spencer is off the boil so happy to take it on at the price.

Depending on which trends you take there are 6 - 9 horses that meet the big trends and many look on a winnable mark, including those who don't meet the trends. Therefore it's a really open handicap as you'd expect and I could pick 4 or 5.

Air Force One ran a cracker with 11-10 over C&D and is weighted to reverse with Brazen Bolt. Brazen Bolt is on the rampage and I think can go well again, but on paper have to prefer AFO on weights.

Jordan Electrics ran a blinder in the race last year going down to JM Jungle who has gone on to bigger and better things and was poorly drawn lto

Bergerac a winner of this race two years back is back in really good form and can win off this mark

Squealer's form with JM Jungle from this year can't be ignored, but just wonder if the high draw will put end to chances

Shortlist was: Air Force One 10s (6/12), Bergerac 16s (7/12), Jordans Electric 10s (6/12).


2.25 York - No real interest in the race. Thought Gewan 10/1ew was tempting but only 2 places 


3.00 York - Mount Kilimanjaro 18/1ew worth a small pop, but sadly only 2 places. It's runs at Saint Cloud and Chester were really very good. Assuming it improves further for the trip may give the market leaders something to chew on


4.10 York - Fireblade 9/1ew (8/12)

One of 5 who meets all the trends I've used. Last of the bridle lto won well enough and looks progressive. I think / hope will be a relatively steadily run race and Fireblade has good tactical speed. Doyle has a decent SR for longer distance races at York and Cunha stats in August at York are building up nicely. Terrorise is likely a good ew and Santorini Star looks a big danger and of course any AJMartin horse in a staying handicap is, but I think Fireblade can step up again ahead of them.


4.45 - If Lady Roxby 25/1ew  was drawn lower I'd be really bullish about this one. Is 25/1 vs Luna A who is 6/1. I just don't know whether from this draw can take advantage of the pull. All the horses I like are drawn too high.

Madamoiselle 25/1ew is also too big based on form with Rubys Profit. Lost shoe last run so ignore


5.20 - Saucy Jane 28/1ew