Saturday 15 October 2016

Bets 15/10/2016

Ascot 1.25 - Order of St George Evs wins on paper. BUT, the Arc was only 2 weeks ago so more for the accumulator pot I reckon. Logic then rules out Quest for More. A whole bunch come here with poor run last time out. Litigant won the Ebor fresh but last year in this race no good. Sheikzayedroad finally won for me last time out but needed beyond 2m. Simple Verse solid place chances here if not the win, but I backed Forgotten Rules 9/1 e/w last year and am going in again. The ground will be slightly tacky today. FR cruised into race last year and got absolutely merked. Only 2nd race of the season, will be fresh boy.

Ascot 2.00 - Top rated Meccas Angel is not a 6f horse. DonJaun held by Signs of Blessing. SOB & Tin Man held by Twinligt Son. Everything 110 under all held on various form. Brando needs to prove at G1 level as does Librisa Breeze. LB however does look very good but I'm confused by stepping down in trip so goes off the list. I suspect Shalaa to bounce a bit after long lay off. Twinlight Son 13/2 e/w had a shocker last race even if ground was too quick., but 13/2 e/w is tasty. Quiet Reflection 9/2 e/w is too big to ignore. Yard coughing supposedly but has the best form by far. I nearly opted for Signs of a Blessing. Hope don't regret.


Ascot 2.35 - This has got AOB merkage all over it. Even Song the Ribblesdale winner 22/1. Pretty Perfect just beat by the Leger winner 20/1, then the dual Oaks winner 7th heaven 7/4. Is this another 1-2-3 AOB job? On the basis that Zhukova beat Pretty Perfect by 7lenghts when giving a stone away, beat the Derby runner by when giving 6lb away and unbeaten in last 4 Zhukova 5/1 e/w gets my vote and Seventh Heaven 7/4 into the acca. Journey 8/1 was next on list. Hope don't regret :)

Ascot 3.10 - Ribchester comes here in solid form, but held by Galieo Gold on best. Minding is stepping back in trip? Jet Setting ran too badly in Coronation on this track. I'm going slightly off track and going back to the Irish 2k. Atwadd 12/1 e/w destroyed GG. Looked back to superb best last race


Ascot 3.45 - Fascinating Rock 8/1 e/w. Won this last year and on all known form holds Found and therefore Almanzor. Jack Hobbs was favourite for this race last year and 16/1 is insulting. As is the price for US Army Ranger 16/1 but I'm locked into a big festival for Weld this year

Ascot 4.25 - Only 2 in this for me. Firmament 8/1 e/w solid form behind Librisa Breeze and Third Time Lucky 10/1 e/w. The latter is actually much better off at weights now than Firmament so probably the better chance. TTL was drawn badly in the Cambridshire. Not today. Plum draw

No comments:

Post a Comment