Tuesday 20 June 2017

Bets 20/06/2017 - Ascot Day1

Ascot 2.30 - In the QEII last year Ribchester didn't look the easiest of rides even though started to pull back Minding. Lightening Spear has 3lb extra to deal with so on that race not really that much between them, but I'm not convinced LS is G1 winner as shown in last 5 attempts. Mutakayyef destroyed a G2 field at the festival last year so has a solid chance on quick ground. Dutch connection beaten on formlines. Oh This is Us would have been decent outsider after luckless run last time but poor form at Ascot. Ennaad has cost me enough money and just didn't look good enough at Ascot last time. Cougar Mountain is a big eachway price as has place in this race before but fully exposed. Deauville is 16/1 which with Moore onbaord is frankly farcical. SO in short Ribchester, Mutakayyef and Deauville on shortlist

Ribchester on firm ground at the price looks short, so
Deauville 14/1 1pts e/w
Muakyyef 15/2 1pts e/w
R Fc 0.5pts
Total 5pts

Midday update - Mutty will be a NR so 3pts reinvested back on Ribchester


Ascot 3.05 - Hmm. I think Derrick, John & Michael might bag themselves a 1-2 here. Murillo beat a decent horse who wasn't far behind Declarationofpeace; a hot fave for later in day. Arawak is well fancied by Ward.

Arawak 7/1 1pts e/w
Murillo 7/1 1pts e/w
R Fc 0.5pts
Total 5pts

Ascot 3.40 - If a 3yr old wins this, then fair play to Wesley Ward. We all smashed into her last year and made our money, but this year for me has to be Marsha. She has won the Prix A'bbaye. Won the Temple House giving 4 lbs away but is now has 3lb pull due to the way the group penalties work. Got to be a solid bet here. I expect to see WDC ourun price today along with Goldream but still sticking with Marsha

Marsha 10/3 5pt win

Ascot 4.20 - A lot of talk about Barney Roy turning the tables today. I missed what others saw. I think Churchill had the slower ground on that rail after watching the meeting. Sticking with Chuchill who smashed Thunder Snow (rated 118) very easily.

Churchill 4/6 5pt win

Ascot 5.00 - Don't like staying handicaps, so no real strong fancy

Endless Acres 16/1 1pt e/w
Magic Circle 12/1 1pt e/w
R Fc 0.5 pts
Total 5pts 

Midday update - Totally should have researched this properly as Beyond Conceit 6/1 2pts win looks decent


Ascot 5.35 - Declarationofpeace based on formline of Murillo looks decent enough. Massive gamble (at time of writing 9pm on 19/06 on James Garfield who gave a 10 lenght headstart to scoot home)

Declarationofpeace 7/2 4pts win
James Garfield 40/1 0.5pt e/w
5pts total


Marhsa, Churchill, Ribchester 1.5pts Treble
Marsha, Decofpeace, Curchill  1.5pt Treble
Moore may have a huge day so Murrillo 7/1, Deauville 14/1, Decofpeace 7/2, WDC 14/1 0.1pt ew L15 (3pts total)
Deauville, Murillo, Marsha, Churchill, Endless Acres, Decofpeace, 0.1 trebles, quads ew, fives, ew, sixfold ew  Total 5pts
Beyond Conceit Marsha 1pt Double


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