Tuesday, 29 July 2025

Bets 30/07/2025 - Glorious Goodwood Day 2

Total whitewash. Happens. Didn't expect it. Went with Tony M in the first. Can't find any obvious excuses. Didn't pick but called out Naqeeb 28s and Silawi 18s as ones considered as met trends but Westridge was far too good backed from 22s overnight. Laureate missed the break, Kinross was my best result of the day being a NR. M Appleby's string all ran poorly.


1.20 - Sudu 5/1ew.

Meets the trends. 2lb ahead of handicapper officially, but likely more watching it's win lto. Form of Newbury pretty good. Varian won 2 renewal of this from 3 runners. He also in good nick and his record with lto winners based on this horse profile is over 50%.

Cape Breton, Novelista and Mdawi also met all trends applied.


1.55 - Arabian Dusk 14/1ew

Backed lto. Coming strongly enough but couldn't pick up. I think can get 7f. Pretty strong on ratings for the price.


2.30 - Military Code 7/2

One to beat.


3.45 - Wonder Star 9/1ew.

Wonder Star, Wisper and Patagonia Girl meet the trends applied. I probably missed the value with Wisper but hasn't won of a mark this high before so leaving it.

Wonder Star beat Spirited Style at Ascot by 3lengths. That horse is now rated 106. Even though didn't run that well lto, was some encouragement. Haggas does well with handicap debutants and gotta love Sea the Stars at Goodwood. Think we'll see this horse at Royal Ascot next year. 


4.55 - Diamondonthhill 33/1ew

Ideally you want to be drawn 10 and below. I do wonder with the draw bias today though if anyone is brave enough to move over to grab it in this 7f race. Would only make sense for higher drawn horses to attempt this though.

Native Warrior, Diamondonthehill, Rosycolyn, Physique and Signature Castle meet all trends applied. I can make a strong case for 4 of these, but plumping for the biggest price one. A super consistent horse. Proven at the track. Meets the trends and stable had a 25/1 winner here on Day 1. Jockey is a worry even though takes 5lb claim. I did watch a couple of here rides, and I think she's fine. She won a G1 with JOB in Ireland last month. 

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