Bets 07/05/2013 - Chester Cup 2014

The Chester Cup! A decent day of racing where is a lot of emphasis on speed and a low draw. Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has picked 3 today:

Chester 2.10 – Brown Diamond 10/1

Chester 2.45 – Brockwell 16/1

Chester 3.15 – Ballista 10/1

Right let’s go for the elusive clean sweep!

Chester 1.45 – Cheerio Sweetie 5/2 clearly holds all the cards with this draw and looks pretty decent too. I know Roudee 6/1 is drawn wide but Quatuor won from stall 9 last year but to me looks the best horse here and wouldn’t it be fitting for Roudee to win on the Roudee and the sponsor to win the race?

Chester 2.15 – I was keenish on Brown Diamond after Taghrooda bolted in but Segsal has already found her out, AOB just does my head and so will go with Bright Approach 9/4. That form is rock solid and obviously decent pedigree.

Chester 2.45 – Duke of Clarence 16/1 was bought for this race. The form with Gospel Choir and a couple of others makes this one look decent value. If Body Language had not run in that liasted race, think would have been a total banker, but he did and got whacked up 13lb. Mawaqeet represents McCain who has twice won this but both of those came fit from jumps. Glenard 10/1 is of interest. Has had a prep run and looked decent enough, Hills has a good record at this meeting and is in good form. Mubaraza 6/1 and Angel Gabrial will go head to head again but the former really must have a decent chance with the draw and 3lb pull.

Chester 3.15 – Go Nani Go 5/1 has a Chester maestro onboard, good draw, ahead of handicapper, in good form as is stable.

Chester 3.50 – This has to be between Prince of Stars 13/8 and Computer 11/2. Just don’t know which yet. Hills in decent form and reckons is a dark horse, but Gosden has won this race 4 out of last 5 times had a runner. Hmm.

Chester 4.25 – Lucky Beggar 5/2 is clear on ratings and has a decent draw. Can’t believe Buick will not try and make all. He is quick enough to do so and has won over 6f so stamina should not be an issue. Trinityelitedotcom 4/1 is targeted for big handicaps so needs a rise in weights and after Absolutely So franked form hard not to bet on and with the ground quick might actually be the better value as LB needs some cut.

Chester 5.00 – Storm Force Ten 7/1 improved markedly over the winter and this race has been his target for a while. Won pretty easily last time out despite hanging over 2f out. Hopefully will improve from that.

 Away from Chester…3.35 Brighton Nesterenko, 2.05 Brighton Dougal 6.45 Kempton Lawmans Thunder 4/1 Treble

Bets 06/05/2014

Segal has tipped True Story 7/1 and Kingston Hill 14/1 for the Derby AntePost. Been there, done that and got them at 50/1 and 40/1 respectively. Gives me more hope he thinks they are good bets!

2.40 Kempton – Would be surprised if Despot 5/6 lost but Si Senor 3/1 would be the one to do it if any

It's clear all my big bucks turn up on Saturday or big race meets so sacking today off and will focus on Chester tomorrow!

Bets 05/05/2014

Hughesie mentioned two dangers in the1k - Miss France and Ihtimal. After Esoterique beat Integral I had a strong suspicion Miss France was the one to be with. I slapped a wedge otn and each way so am now £8k up after 3 days. Nuts. A load of average racing today, but there's a few on my tracker:

2.40 Beverley - Rural Celebration 13/2. Can continue progress. O'meara said wintered well so fingers crossed.

3.15 Beverley - If Grapsed does not take to turf as well then Easter Sky 6/1 could be on a decent mark. Although finished 9 lengths to a decent horse finished 10 lengths ahead of the rest including a decent 79 rated horse

3.40 Warwick - Bousatet 6/1. Ryan reckons this on can sneak some black type so no back to conditions that will suit let's hope keeps improving

4.50 Warwick - I have a note about Nouvelle Ere 66/1 but no idea why?!

5.25 Curragh - I certainly underestimated Johnny M is big races last year when he was riding. I think it's wise to stick with his training career in big races. Chicago Girl 6/1 lost out to Flying Jib last time, but Weld reports FJ is not fully ready. Over 1f less also thought CG would have won which is the distance today. The other looks like they want slower ground.

Bets 04/05/2014

16/1, 5/1, 4/1, 5/1, 8/1, 5/2 winners and 10/1, 7/1, 20/1, 2/1, 4/5, 9/4 placed worked out at over £2800 profit, so £4500 in last two days. Booya! I’m even more delighted about not betting further on the big race. Knew was tough. The 5 shortest odds bets I had yesterday all failed to win and if I had not put £800 on Off Art I’d be over £5k up in last two days

Newmarket 2.05 – Hmm. The best form has to be that Excellent Result race so has to be Café Society 5/1 and Elhaame 14/1. Segal has also gone for the latter

Newmarket 2.40 – Integral 11/8 is the class yes, but I was brave enough to take on the faves yesterday and I won and it might be, worth backing Zurigha 6/1 to upset again. However Stoute has won this race so many time would be naïve to think Integral is not ready to prove her top rating. Money is coming for her. The forecast pays 8/1 or Zurigha is 10/3 without Integral.

Newmarket 3.10 – Secondo has a good chance if has improved over winter, although Charlton says will improve for run. Seeking Magic 12/1 was a consistent handicapper last year with a couple of good wins. If has improved as much over the winter as Cox reckons must have a decent chance. Backing a 10year old in a race like this which seems a bit mad, but Jimmy Styles 16/1 was my pick in his last race and it was decent but he ran one of his best races over C&D this time last year. Yeeoow will be dangerous especially as his trainer is in form and Alben Star has best current form. Segal has gone for Zanetto 16/1 and out Do 14/1

Gowran Park 3.20 – Gorteo Evs

Newmarket 3.50 – I already have Bracelet, Rizeena, Lucky Kristale and Miss France Antepost so can’t back anymore! Segal has backed Lightening Thunder 33/1

Newmarket 5.00 – Sound Reflection 4/1 could be the one to beat Taghrooda Evs, but money for favourite in the Oaks this morning suggests otherwise

Newmarket 5.35 – Ganges 5/1

Bets 03/05/2014

Oh Jessie Jessie Harrington. What a freaking hero. Thank you for my free £2k with Burn and Turn and Operating doubled. If her last would have won, I’d not have written this blog as I’d have been offski to somewhere hot. Anyhow, it didn’t and I’m here and there’s an incredible day of racing ahead.

2.05 Newmarket – There are two hopefully unexposed improving horses in this races. Rock Choir 7/1 who returns to handicap company on a decent mark. Only negative is last time he looked to lose balance in the dip. Hopefully Seb will remember that and control him. The second is Bold Sniper 10/1. Never had any chance at Goodwood so am ignoring that race. Segal has also tipped Bold Sniper and Niceofyoutotellme 16/1

2.20 Goodwood – Waila is 13lb clear on ratings and hood is back so must be hard to beat, but with the ground want someone who I know will stay and that’s Johnston’s Special Meaning 5/1

2.40 Newmarket – Sole Power 4/1 comes into this race in the same form as last year when he won this and is looking lively for a big ew bet. Iptisam 33/1 might sneak a place

2.55 Goodwood – Magic City deserves to be favourite, but you have to back Jacks Revenge 7/1 too as the Lincoln form is bloody hot right now. The last time these two met, Hughes the master at Goodwood was onboard Magic City, and am hoping that was the main difference.

3.10 Newmarket – If Trading Leather does not win Gospel Choir 5/1 looks decent value to find 10lb on ratings.

3.30 Goodwood – Long Awaited 7/1 is the class handicapper in the field. With Kirby on board on ground he will like must have a good chance. Pal Of the Cat has made enough $ for me so will pass on now but guess may continue to improve.

3.40 Thirsk – Back to the Lincoln form Off Art 3/1. Could be a big bet coming but Robert The Painter 33/1 looks pretty big too!

3.50 Newmarket – I have so many AP bets on this now and I basically win £100 whoever wins on betfair, but I have other AP bets too which I probably don’t remember. I think this is awfully tough. If O’Brien speaks to truth about Australia, this field will be beat. 7/2 might look a mighty good price in hindsight. Kingman looks class but is short in price and at Newmarket on debut didn’t look fully at ease at Newmarket. Toomore looks good each way value but the stable form is not overly great, but he was the top rated 2yr old. If you take Grey Gatsby as a marker then Kingston Hill 14/1 is a big each way price, but needs soft and is surely more a Derby horse. Segal has gone for War Command as have a few other pundits and AOB is no mug. Using Toomore as a marker then Ertijall 40/1 might offer some value. Even the Great Gatsby is not out of this. Glory Awaits was a massive 2^nd at 150/1 last year. Tough betting race be great to watch! Coupon Buster.

4.05 Goodwood – Zibelina 2/1 looks decent and is a G3 winner in

4.20 Punchestown – I know jumps has been bad, but Tiger Roll 2/1 looked very good and probably still unexposed.

4.25 Newmaket – Strategic Force 9/1 looks tasty under the assumption takes to turf. Trainer said was ready to fufil potential now and on this mark has no excuse.

5.35 Newmarket – Born In Bombay 9/4 could be decent.

7.45 Doncaster – Kommander Kirkup 4/5 has best form. Dazeno bolted in of a mark of 90 in a C2H.

At Punchestown Segal has gone for Charteux 8/1 and Valmy Baie 14/1.

For the Kentucky Derby he has gone for Medal Count 33/1. I have back California Chrome AP and set to make £500 in rocks in as first part of a double has come in.

Bets 02/05/2014

Maybe just a few jumps, but looking at the cards for tomorrow as priority….

Punchestown 4.20 – Ballinvarrig 12/1

And all of MJH horses, Operating 16/1, Burn and Turn 7/1, Steps to Freedom 50/1, Jezki 10/11, Rock The World 14/1

Bets 01/05/2014

Rats. Up and down, up and down. Yesterday was a down. Annoyingly I really tried to avoid the jumps, and I did. Inevitably Boston Bob and Beat That, two horses I locked onto at Chelts won again. Oh well. In it to win. I was not.

Tom Pricewise Segal has gone for two today:

4.15 Punchestown – Sizing Machine 20/1

6.40 Punchestown – Felix Younger 8/1

A few more today for me too:

Redcar 3.25 – Chance on Johnny Cavagin 13/2. Likes soft ground and hope that Manchestar form is one to follow in this class.

Redcar 3.55 – Back to the GM Hopkins form. Sprit or Soul 6/4 looks on a good mark. Roseburg franked it. Kashmiri Sunset nearly did. Might consider a largish punt with a lay in betting

Redcar 5.05 – Everything looks pretty average expect Sherriff of Nawton 7/4 who looks ahead of mark. Obviously a question on ground and fact is running again quite soon after last race. Sticking with it though

May as well have some half bets at Punchestown J

4.15 – Ned Butline 4/1

4.50 – To say thanks and probably goodbye Uncle Junior 13/2

5.30 – AFC has cost me shed loads of cash so inevitably when I back Quevega 11/10 he’ll cost me more of that

6.40 – Balder Success 5/2

6stNed, HailingsTreasure?