Saturday 17 August 2013

Bets 17/08/2013

I got carried away yesterday with the Gosden horse who was beat a long way out. Losing £750 on a single bet is daft. Wipes out all profit from week. I was basically going double or quits. Fail. Today I’m all over 3 year olds taking on the older ones.

Newmarket 1.50 – Gender Agenda 12/1. That form with Feedyah and additional 3lbg claim from Dazza means this a decent starting handicap mark

Newmarket 2.20 – Rylee Mooch 10/1 is in really good form and has place chance at minimum

Doncaster 2.30 – PsIloveyou Sea The Stars 10/3

Newbury 2.40 – This is a big step down in class for Red Cadeaux and the price is sooo tempting, but a 6lb penalty is surely too much. Dunlop is in cracking form which makes it harder. Aiken looks like a worth favourite but I really ignored the Irish Derby form a long time and can’t now ignore the tie in with Cap O Rushes even though still convinced Excess Knowledge should have thumped him. So Testudo 16/1 is the pick. 3yr olds go well in this.

Newmarket 2.55 – Has to be one of the hardest races of the day. Hasopop 11/1 ahs been running with credit since win over C&D and again has good place prospects at minimum. Ninjago has been frustrating since a good win for me at Ascot. Ahern’s 25/1 blinkers have had no impact but has run best two races here over C&D. Price is too big compared to Ninjago on previous form. Jumping out stalls has been the issue previously. Never had those problems without the blinkers.

Newbury 3.15 – I’ve been wanting to back Soft Falling Rain since Dubai but for whatever reason was pulled out of the summer meetings. At the weights and proven over C&D and big man Johnny Tawhid 9/2 is too good to ignore

Doncaster 3.40 – I took Smarty Socks on last time with Siruis Prospect and it was the right thing to do. He is a York horse and even though is top notch form have to take on again on this mark. Two 3 yr olds I like. Shebebi 4/1 the obvious one with the Ashaad and Snowboarder form, but the C&D winner Jamesbo’s Girl 40/1 who has been totally out of sorts can bounce back. Berry had a 14/1 winner yesterday; hopefully a sign stable coming back into form.

Newbury 3.50 – If you put a line through Secret Talent 9/1 last run looks very interesting at this level. Glen Moss 11/2 back down in class has the best chance. Johnny again!

Doncaster 4.15 – Dungannon 7/1 was a ridiculous price last night. I managed to get 7/1. First time pieces to exploit a low mark on a track he loves. Cheeky Balding.

Doncaster 4.45 – I put £110 on Shwaiman 4/1 last night. The form is rock as is Fanshawe right now and another 3yr old for my portfolio today

Newmarket 5.05 – Hold on Tight 11/10. Solid.

Total Staked £634.00, Total Returned £647.50
£10.00 e/w Testudo 16/1 - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 Tawhid 9/2 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 Glen Moss 11/2 - WIN £97.50
£15.00 Secret Talent 9/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Gender Agenda 10/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Rylee Mooch 10/1 - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 Shebebi 4/1 - WIN £110.00
£85.00 e/w Acc N/A - LOSE £0.00
£25.00 e/w Dungannon 7/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Hasopop 11/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Ahern 25/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Jamesbo's Girl 40/1 - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 Psiloveyou 7/2 - LOSE £0.00
£12.00 e/w Accs N/A - LOSE £0.00
£100.00 Shwaiman 4/1 - WIN £440.00
£80.00 Hold On Tight 6/5 - LOSE £0.00

2 comments:

  1. been following your blog for a bit and the only advice i can give is never back any maiden at odds on not matter the form in the long run its a big plus. exposure and risk.i normally only back odds on maidens in dbls trbls to small stakes to cover days gambling but never to make profit exposure and risk again. happy gambling keep up good work

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I agree. I think one I've been stung a couple more times I will cease!

      Delete