Just about breakeven yesterday. Calyx was bloody good. I thought draw 22 would be against, but just shows how good it was. Anything else drawn high was battered.
2.30 - I was keen on Come on Leicester but having watched the match between Shades of Blue and CoL, I just can't see the tables turned, but COL is drawn 1 and SOB 22, so the draw might help do that. Cox has not had a winner in a while and the high draw has to be enough to be put off. I've already back Chelsea C @5/1 so have no interest backing it again at 5/2.
Servalan has the highest adjusted RPR in this race, is a Listed winner already and drawn well enough so much have a decent chance. Forever in Dreams form is impossible to assess but on paper winners follow winners and you'd think would be okay with fast ground being from Dream Ahead. Gossamer Wings also had something in hand when winning last time out with enough in hand. Kurious was interesting at a big price too based on form
This is a tough one. I might be tempted just to stick with the AP bet of Chelsea Cloisters. Will assess later
Chelsea C - 5/1 ANTEPOST
Gossamer Wings 33/1ew
Servalan 10/1ew
Forever in Dreams 16/1ew
3.05 - Big step up in trip for Nelson, Kew Gardens in awful form. Lynwood Gold doesn't;t look anything special. Draper Guild and Yabass held by Southern France.
Stream of Stars is a classic Gosden jump from maiden to pattern class wins, but this is The Queens Vase, can he really be that good? Hmm. The obvious one for me is Southern France, solid form and looks a stayer.
Southern France 5/1
Stream of Stars 4/1
3.40 - Hydrangea is bumping around in distance and has a G1 penalty. Aljazzi is next top rated on paper and was second in this last year so no reason why can't reproduce that solid effort. At a bigger price Urban Fox ran a solid CD time carrying top weight
Aljazzi 9/2ew
Urban Fox11/1ew
5.00 - I've got this down to 4. Saltonstall was 2nd in the Irish Licoln and won it's last race easily enough. Keyser Size was supposed to win the Victoria Cup post nearly winning the Spring handicap. Instead lost 6 lengths at the start and still only finished 4 lengths of the winner. Raising Sand another to fluff lines in Victoria cup but brings that solid form of Accidental Agent who won today to table. Interested to see Spencer has opted for Sands rather than Keyser. Finally Firmament. Came second in Victoria Cup on worst draw behind Gilamesh who has gone on to win. Well handicapped on old form. Solid chance if draw is okay.
Main bets
Raising Sand 20/1ew
Saltonstall 12/1ew
Cover
Keyser Soze 14/1
Firmament 16/1
They have watered so the draw bias may reverse today. So annoying, really fecks everything up. Might wait to bet on these
5.35 - Brother Bear was 4th in Coventry last year. May have got closer if didn't drift of line. Looks stronger now over further. Purser's formlines for me makes this horse top rated in race and price looks huge!
Brother Bear 22/1ew
Purser 16/1 ew
2.30 - I was keen on Come on Leicester but having watched the match between Shades of Blue and CoL, I just can't see the tables turned, but COL is drawn 1 and SOB 22, so the draw might help do that. Cox has not had a winner in a while and the high draw has to be enough to be put off. I've already back Chelsea C @5/1 so have no interest backing it again at 5/2.
Servalan has the highest adjusted RPR in this race, is a Listed winner already and drawn well enough so much have a decent chance. Forever in Dreams form is impossible to assess but on paper winners follow winners and you'd think would be okay with fast ground being from Dream Ahead. Gossamer Wings also had something in hand when winning last time out with enough in hand. Kurious was interesting at a big price too based on form
This is a tough one. I might be tempted just to stick with the AP bet of Chelsea Cloisters. Will assess later
Chelsea C - 5/1 ANTEPOST
Gossamer Wings 33/1ew
Servalan 10/1ew
Forever in Dreams 16/1ew
3.05 - Big step up in trip for Nelson, Kew Gardens in awful form. Lynwood Gold doesn't;t look anything special. Draper Guild and Yabass held by Southern France.
Stream of Stars is a classic Gosden jump from maiden to pattern class wins, but this is The Queens Vase, can he really be that good? Hmm. The obvious one for me is Southern France, solid form and looks a stayer.
Southern France 5/1
Stream of Stars 4/1
3.40 - Hydrangea is bumping around in distance and has a G1 penalty. Aljazzi is next top rated on paper and was second in this last year so no reason why can't reproduce that solid effort. At a bigger price Urban Fox ran a solid CD time carrying top weight
Aljazzi 9/2ew
Urban Fox11/1ew
5.00 - I've got this down to 4. Saltonstall was 2nd in the Irish Licoln and won it's last race easily enough. Keyser Size was supposed to win the Victoria Cup post nearly winning the Spring handicap. Instead lost 6 lengths at the start and still only finished 4 lengths of the winner. Raising Sand another to fluff lines in Victoria cup but brings that solid form of Accidental Agent who won today to table. Interested to see Spencer has opted for Sands rather than Keyser. Finally Firmament. Came second in Victoria Cup on worst draw behind Gilamesh who has gone on to win. Well handicapped on old form. Solid chance if draw is okay.
Main bets
Raising Sand 20/1ew
Saltonstall 12/1ew
Cover
Keyser Soze 14/1
Firmament 16/1
They have watered so the draw bias may reverse today. So annoying, really fecks everything up. Might wait to bet on these
5.35 - Brother Bear was 4th in Coventry last year. May have got closer if didn't drift of line. Looks stronger now over further. Purser's formlines for me makes this horse top rated in race and price looks huge!
Brother Bear 22/1ew
Purser 16/1 ew
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