Wednesday 19 August 2020

Bets 19/08/2020

PnL is no longer. I just don't have time. Maybe when all 3 kids are in school :/

Who knows what the weather is going to do today. I'm plumping for goodish ground until around 3/4pm when the rain starts.


York 1.45 - A Momentofmadness 20/1ew (NR), Arecibo 15/2ew

Perhaps A Momentofmadness is being aimed at the Portland but I'm convinced is now well enough handicapped to win this today. It's a more valuable race and I so I just hope the ground is quick enough after all the rain merkage. Buick will probably try to make all which is a tough ask but has a chance. The other I like is Arecibo. Very similar formlines to A Momentofmadness and if Danny keeps closer to the pace this time has a huge chance.


York 2.15 - Cloudbridge 6/4


York 2.45 - Mogul 2/1

Mogul was unlucky not to finish closer to Pyledriver in the King Edward and with a 3lb pull I can't see Pyledriver keeping the placings. He looked hardwork at Goodwood but actually when Ryan really hit the button he flew home comfortably so don;t think anything should turn the tables from that race. I have Darain 33/1 for the Leger and this is a classic Gosden move chucking a C5 winner into a G2. Bit of coin toss?


York 3.45 - Make My Day 5/1 ew, Blakeney Point 22/1ew, 100/1 rfc

 Make My Day hasn't run the distance but nothing abiout last two races suggests it won't. The last race was a real grind over much shorter after the Al M was 4 lenghts clear a few furlongs out. 

Blakeney Point was 10th in this race last year and looked a huge threat before hanging. Was only 5lenghts behind the winner and is 5lbs lower now. Comes here is decent form after winning a hurdles race by 11lenghts.


York 4.20 - Dancing Inthestreet 5/2

Keep Busy is clearly well handicapped after winning at Hamilton. However Dancinginthestreet is surely better handicapped if you watch the Ascot race back. Was last off bridle and switched multiple times before flying home. The other Haggas nag looks a danger but I'm assuming Marquand has picked this so will stay on here. Sampers Seven looks a decent ew price here but a 10lb rise in a higher grade needs to prove it, so will stick with the fave


York 4.50 - Cairn Island 5/1ew

Cairn Island looks well handicapped on handicap debut. Pure Dreamer is a threat.

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