1.50 - I'd been eyeing up Dream With Me for this race, but the draw and ground make it hard to really be confident. Given the ground Sky Defender stands out to me. Also second in this race of 5lb higher. Migration after 2 years off looks to still have it, but will bounce?
Sky Defender 14/1ew
3.35 - Surely one of Strsd or Trueshan wins this? Still not forgotten Ballydole supplement Seprentine for the Gold Cup. Didn't run great. No idea why running the Goodwood Cup either, but if really does stay then only Sir Ron Priestly is likley to take Serpy on for the lead and maybe might run another 'fluke'?
I can't back the top two at the prices so why not this...
Serpentine 20/1 ew
4.10 - Now I've really lost the plot. Backing a 12year old to win a pretty competitive handicap at a big meeting. Was unlukcy last time out, is a C&D winner, will handle conditions, has a decent draw fora front runner. Problems are trainer form and so many other front runner. Risk is reflected in price for sure.
Pettochisde 20/1ew
Ground is HEAVY! FFS
ReplyDeleteInteresting to see if Amhran Na Bhfiann improves again as well but who knows on this ground. Be great to get a Galileo 1 -2 today 😎
ReplyDeleteDue to heavy ground does that mean your 3 selections above are down and out?
ReplyDeleteI noticed that last night they shortened up but today they have drifted right out, especially sky defender!
well I could blame the ground. SKy Defender travalled 15 lenghts further by rider tracking all the way across width of traCK. Surely would have gone close if stayed with rest of field. Serpentine missed break and I have no idea why didn't make all. PAce was rubbish. He won the derby by making all!!! And Petto was not drawn where should have been cos of all the NRs but I doubt would have made a difference. But yes was the ground :)
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