Saturday 30 April 2022

Bets 30/04/2022

 Worst week I can remember for  long time.....


1.15 Newmarket - If Flotus  doesn't win this I'll switch off for the day. 3 year olds farm this and is top rated and including allowance over a stone better than anything here. Crisford is flying. Form is rock back to Listed class which won by 4 lengths last time in this class.

5.00 Punchestown - Vauban 4/11 & Flotus 4/5 double


1.35 Goodwood - Piffle 12/1ew decent enough mark based on maiden over C&D


1.50 Newmarket. Landed on 3:

Strike Red 11/1 - Had a poor start last time and but for that and being hampered would have won a C&D. Fahey in decent nick. Draw in 20 a risk but may also be a benefit.

Tactical 12/1 - Beat Naval Crown over 7f in Listed Handicap. Goes well fresh. Balding amongst winners. 6f may be a worry but has won over this trip before.

Bernado O'Reilly 50/1ew. Needs to get a decent break. Decent runs at Newmarket. Romped penultimate race. Solid 7lb claim. Spencer winning at the moment.


2.25 Newmarket - Moving Time 9/2 Madness to take on Appelbly? Clealy well handiucapped but 18 months off, tough to back. Move in Time is chucked in based on last run + that man Harry Davieds 7lb claim again;. Varian clearly in good nick


3.00 Newmarket - Normally you back the top rated in pattern class, btui I'm backing bottom rated. I think Came From the Dark is the most likley winner but I've been burnt enough by horse coming back from injury that I'm not taking the risk. Twinlight Calls won really easily last time out, but on form on this grounf Tellmewhenthedealisdone 22/1 e/w is a massive price. Neil Callan rides the track really well and Teal doing aite. Horse loves this ground and Teal adamant would have own the portland if ground stayed quick.


3.40 Newmarket. I have Point Lonadsal 20/1 Antepost before royal asoct last year. Maybe more a Debry typoe but let's see. Native Trail on paper looks solid but too short for me. I prefer Corbeous 6/1 and Luxemborg 6/1 today


4.15 - Newmarket - Starte of Bliss 3/1 beat 3rd place by over 9 lenghts so this formline is likley much stronger than on paper. MJ won last two renewals so fingers crossed with this. Assume means the other oen I've not picked will win :)


4.25 Punches - Phoenix Way 8/1ew Tracked horse which was massive on last time out but fell. Assuming stays won so well penultimate race


5.30 Punches - Fasterslow 7/1ew


6.00 Doncaster - Barley 15/8 was a NR at 11/2 yesterday. Annoying lines up 15/8./ Not as much value but guess have to back it? Do I?






2 comments:

  1. Did you switch off after the 1.15 ?

    I missed cap st vinc yesterday...ouch

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes I switched off. In hindsight how much of the uselessness was the draw?

      Delete