Bets 19/08/2023

Rain overnight will no doubt screw everything, but this is the only chance I have to look at the cards. 

1.50 Newbury - Arrest 6/4

Top rated + 3year allowance and will love the ground

2.40 Ripon - Prince of Bel Air 12/1ew

Grab the rail and make all. Hope the jockey is strong enough to make use of the claim

3.00 Newbury - Scholarship 16/1ew

Not sure if I am doing this because missed Cox's Just Bring It in the week after backin so many times before it or whether just makes sense given is a C&D winner on soft and Cox has won this race twice, also with 3year olds.

3.10 Newmarket - Crocus Time 5/1ew

Good draw, good mark based on C&D run.

3.15 Ripon - Monsieur Kodi 7/1ew.

On ratings Guilliver and Summerhand win this esp with O'meara in good form. I back Guillver 33/1 antepost, but given the rain draw will be really hard. The rain will also make it harder for Summerhand. Monsieur Kodi won nicely last weekend for me and think can go in again. Lakota Blue was nearly the bet instead given the C&D win, but not fully convinced 6f is best distance.

3.35 Newbury - Mostabshir 8/1ew

Chindit surely best over 1m. Most of these won't like the likely soft ground. Risk on Mostabshir. Dam side was great on soft. It's just not working out at 1m? Has weakened out of it 3 times over 1m, so maybe this trip might unlock something. Willing to risk it given the issues the others will defo have on soft and the fact is close to top rated with the 3year old allowance.

4.00 Curragh - Mysteries 12/1ew.

Ylang Ylang and Matrika are 1st and 2nd faves for the 1KG so surely the formlines to follow. Mysteries has good Curragh form, trainer banged in a 16/1 winner yesterday, has the most experience in the field along with Pearls and Rubbies an Territories and decent 2yr record at the Curragh.

4.15 Doncaster - Prince of Pillo 11/1ew.

If recaptures some of the Childers form over C&D could easily win this. Can make excuses for some of these races. It's a risk as could really have regressed but it's a Class 3 so let's go.

4.50 Doncaster - Kentucky Bluegrass 7/1ew.

Good draw, back to ideal 7f. I hope nothing worse at GS as otherwise may not make it home. Trainer in good form and ahead of mark based on run few races back.

5.10 Curragh - God Knows 7/1ew.

Based on last run over C&D is maybe half a stone in hand. Drifted around a fair bit lto too. Should go close

Sunday 

6.15 Sandown - Miss Down Under 25/1ew

If wind surgery has worked could easily outrun odds here.