Bets 11/08/2025

 Windsor 7.10

Chief Mankato 10/1ew (8/11) & Change Signs 15/2ew (8/11)

Missed the break lto and had traffic issues, yet gets a 6lb pull with Badri and is double the price. Channon stable back into form and a 42% SR in August at Windsor enough for me to hit the button. Amazonian Dream has plummeted in the weights but has shown nothing of late and don't like the stats. Woolhampton is interesting but think will hit traffic all day long being held up from that draw. The other which difficult to ignore is Change Signs. The form behind Circe over C&D is decent enough. It's run in a G3 at Sandown shows potentially is ahead of mark and I'd just ignore the run lto in the Racing league with cheekpieces on. Was supposed to win at 2/1. The rfc pays 80/1 for those who play loose change on these.

Bets 09/08/2025

Ascot - Shegar Cup is generally one to avoid, but given 3 I think have chances are ridder by Jo or Hollie (only two racing here today with course form, it's worth a go). Sadly, like Haydock no big prices.

2.10 Ascot Handicap - La Vita Nova 4/1 (8/11)

Ran really well in the Curragh stayers handicap and improved last even though running over too shorter distance. Harrington won the race two years back, is in great form and is 2/2 with first time cheekpieces in the last couple years. Only Hollie and Jo have experience of Ascot and Hollie rides this....

3.20 Ascot Handicap - Zayer 7/1ew (6/11)

Opened 11/1 so missed the juicer price but still think there is some value left in the price. Ran a cracker in the Holyroodhouse at Royal Ascot. Step up in trip was a good one. Back to Ascot in a much easier race. Jo Mason onboard. Has an 11lb pull with Prince of India and I'm not sure that's enough to turn the tables, but given the jockey onboard, willing to risk Jo can help turn the tables.

4.30 Ascot Handicap - Treasure Time 11/2ew (8/11)

Hasn't found form this season, and when it does it is going to win a decent handicap / big prize pot (this is a big prize pot). This one has also been backed a fair bit already, and the stats are decent with this one.

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Haydock - No major trends to assess today and I can't find any big price value on the card

2.25 Haydock Non Handicap - Protest 4/1 (8/11)

Improving rapidly. Varian won this twice before.

3.00 Haydock Non Handicap - Royal Dubai 5.1 Exchanges (9/11)

Royal Dubai was an impressive winner LTO. Burrows targets this race and does well with his LTO winner. Jockey/Trainer combo in fields of less than 12 is a whopping 7/9 wins....

5.20 Haydock Handicap - Hawksbill 5/1 (8/11)

The form behind Luther over C&D means this one on a going day is going to win this. Given Palmer still in good form , has won this race before and now second race post gelding op, seems the perfect time to recapture form

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Newmarket

3.07 Newmarket Handicap  - Righthere Rightnow 11/2ew (8/11)

Took a while to get going LTO, but finished well and was a return to form. Is a C&D winner and if runs anything like that could be tough to beat. The price has been nicked on this already as well. Very annoying.

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Curragh

4.35 Curragh - The Highway Rat 7/1ew (2/11)

If runs to C&D mark from that G2 will win this. Only meets 2 of normal 11 markers, but 1 of them is a max. Be warned!!!

5.05 Curragh - Rappell 7/1ew (6/11)

Ran really well over C&D and also LTO over too short. Trainer comes in in good enough form, draw is decent and rest of field relatively average

Bets 07/08/2025

After some tricky handicaps  just some small punts to keep interest until better racing returns

2.20 Notts - Yazaman 10/1

Decent C&D winner on very winnable mark

5.30 Chepstow - Adison Grey 4/1

Likely quite far ahead of opening mark.

7.00 Chepstow - Be Frank 8/1

In good form, likes straight tracks, should have won lto and Saffie knows how to ride this track.

8.30 Chepstow - Austrian Theory 14/1

Likes undulating tracks. Should have won a handicap this season and I think can ff this mark. Easterby and Allan go well enough here

Bets 02/08/2025

Ardestia! I knew was decent. Wish delivered when backed it as 70s! Anyhow onwards. Good to get 2 decent winners on the board after some shocking days.

1.55 Goodwood - Subsequent 11/1ew (5), Feigning Madness 12/1ew (5) (Split stakes)

Runs well after a short breaks and goes on this ground. Balding placed in this race 3/5. Is well handicapped looking at that Ascot run. Stays all you need. The risk is if fooks the start. If doesn't and races prominently can win this. I like Master Builder, but not sure will stay fully at this distance on slow ground. Feigning Madness, highly tried in ground races. 16f was too far. 12f was too short. Running 14f today...

3.05 Goodwood - Completely Random 12/1ew (5), Strike Red 14/1ew (6) (Split stakes)

The draw has got me this week so picking one either side. Completely Random meets trends and gets a good pull with Eljomed. Whelan has ridden it to all 3 wins and low draw dominated on Day 4. Strike Red is just in great form and as I'm backing CR given the pull gets with this that I have to back it from the high draw

3.45 Goodwood - Headmaster 10/1ew (6), The Waco Kid 25/1ew (5) (Split stakes)

I thought Headmaster would be close to fave here. Chucked in on paper based on formlines. Enthusiam is massively tempered with the jockey. Not sure who it is.... The Waco Kid is much riskier. Has to bounce back to form, but if does could make all here and not be caught 

4.05 Thirsk - Darkness 11/1ew (5)

If bounces back to form showed over C&D couple months back can win this

4.55 Goodwood - Killybeg Warrior 33/1ew (6)

On best form this is the best on the going and distance. Ran okay in the Chesterfield Cup last year when running for MJ. Didn't stay the 1m2f. Down 1f, perhaps ground will have dried out more by end of day and can get home. Running off 10lb lower than that. Ran well last time out so hopefully can build on it.