Decent 10/1 winner the other day.
Yarmouth 3.25 - Match Play 10/1ew
C&D winner of higher mark. Running really well if ignore last run from when drawn high and stayed middle so had no chance. Yard is going well atm
Newmarket 7.00 - Mr Chaplin 13/2 ew (9/12)
Elarak may win this, but was really poor over C&D in a listed race lto. The time before when won over C&D am not convinced beat much and so not convinced is massively ahead of his mark. Not sure why Rhythm Master is next in the betting. I think Sterling Knight has a decent chance today, but who is this jockey Matthew Poon? Mythical Guest, Dutch Decoy and Bopedro all good C&D horses, but all have reached their ceilings of ability and none of them are in great form. Bopedro maybe has excuses last two races and has won this race before, so potentially the winner also.
However, Mr Chaplin based on 2year old form can definitely win this off this mark. On paper you'd think hasn't really progressed but has been running in uber tricky big field handicaps all season. First at Goodwood were was hampered a lot, next at Ascot when drawn wrong side and finally at Goodwood drawn wide got hampered lost place but then finally kept on. The step back to 1m is the right one. Without Parole has limited but decent enough stats over C&D. Beckett has knocked in 4 winners from last 7 runners and a decent set of other stats too. The doubt is the 5lb claimer who is 0/3 at the track, but I've watched a few of his wins over the last week and he's worth the claim and is 20% with Beckett.
There's 4 horses in this being well backed. Mr Chaplin is not one of them. May therefore get a bigger price at some point....
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