Ripon 3.20 - Fivethousandtoone 22/1ew (9/12)
Pretty long list shortlist for this race on trends and stats
- Fivethousandtoone - A big 25/1 winner at Newcastle and I can't work out why so big today. I think in part is you don't want to be coming from the rear at Ripon, but Mister Sox stablemate did it lto and Allan rode this to win from rear at Newcastle. Meets all the trends, stats are decent and ran a stormer behind Stormy Impact lto and is running off 11lb lower than AW mark. I've watched his last race at Ripon a couple of times. Got squeezed by two horses and was too keen in first time pieces. Has now got used to them and got a decent turn of foot, so if Allan times this right could come flying from the back to win this. He has the most experience of the track and won 16pc of C&D races.
- Beyond Borders - Claimers don't seem to do well in this
- Nostrum - Interesting as a group horse, but trying 6 for the first time with top weight. Assume will try to make all and help the pace for Fivethousandtoone
- Azure Zain - Fahey has won this with a 3year old before, but Azure Zain 2lbs our the weights and not as good as the one that won this.
- Rousing Encore - If this was drawn higher would be my pick. Stalls 1-3 of recent years is not the place to be 0/48. Shame.
- Alzhair - I really like the chances of this horse, handles Epsom so assume be okay here, draw is decent and trainer in good form, but can't back it with Luke Morris onboard who doesn't know how to win here (1 win from 19)
- Mister Sox - A really decent C&D horse and it's between this one and Fivethousandtoone. I think the fact Allan sticking on the stablemate (assuming he had a choice) means I prefer the other slightly.
Newbury 3.35 - Alyanabbi 16/1ew
Newmarket 3.45 - Orchard Keeper 5/1ew
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