Saturday 22 December 2012

Bets 22/12/2012

£90 thrown back to the bookies yesterday. Puffin Billy was hugely hugely impressive yesterday. Not as many races to get involved with today as I’d hoped, but a couple of big ones. No Big Bucks today though. Sad times.

Tom ‘Pricewise’ Segal from the RacingPost as tipped up a big one today! Could do with an early Xmas present:

Haydock 2.15 – Mac Aeda 10/1
Ascot 3.10 – Olofi 12/1, First Avenue 50/1

My thoughts shortly….
9.15am update...Looks a tough day....

Haydock 12.10 – Able Deputy 9/4 looks pretty strong as form franked and claimer takes off rise. Even some Darlan form in there. Red Riverman 17/2 w/o Able Deputy is tempting taking a massive step down in class with a claimer.

Haydock 1.10 – She Ranks Me 6/5 is another solid looking favourite with a Listed win under belt already and close enough to Une Artiste. Miles ahead of those rated already. Don’t think those unrated have anything major to brag about although it’s always too early to confirm.

Ascot 1.30 – Not getting involved in a four horse race or am I? Hmm Solix 6/5 is clear by 8lb at the weights, even if didn’t perform well last couple of times.

Haydock 1.45 – I need class to prevail here at top weight, which will be tough but Hollow Tree 10/3 looks tasty. If he wins Balder Succes will get smashed in at Ascot and that 10/1 Ladbrokes offered this morning would have been a bargain!

Ascot 2.00 – Trustan Times landed me a solid price last time out but surely this is too much of a step up against Smad Place 9/4. On official ratings he has 7lb in hand. There have been lots of tips for Trustan Times for Chelts and I’m twitching a bit with this. There is 7/4 available without Smad Place, but I think I’m going to stick with one, although get this feeling of future regret. Hmm.

Haydock 2.15 – Not quite worked out Segal’s punt on Mac Aeda, but will leave it there

Ascot 2.35 – I don’t believe Hold On Julio is good enough to win at these weights. If Hey Big Spender is fit he’ll win this, and I think comfortably too. If he’s not then Roberto Goldback 7/2 has this one. He’s won over C&D and on heavy ground too. Bazza back on board.

Ascot 3.10 – Wow. You could back a whole host of these. What a race this should be. I can’t work out which form line is better. It’s a solid puzzle. Segal has already picked Olofi and First Avenue. After 30minutes I still have 8 others on a short list!! Skybet are paying 5 places so be worth punting with them! Taking It’s A Gimme out as hasn’t raced on heavy. Of those in the race behind Olofi Cash and Go was going very well and was eased at the end but Bothy 25/1 has a claimer today so goes down 7lb so have to go there. Ladbrokes are offering 10/1 on Balder Succes and this one is a no brainer when you look through the form book. Problem is I’m no on 4 horses 10/1, 12/1, 25/1 and 50/1, but I still want one more cos of Pipe; Kazlian 20/1. The form behind Une Artiste is strong though will need to be at best. Long time since had 5 horses locked in one race! £150 staked!

Haydock 3.25 – Barafundle 5/1 loves Haydock and on peak is more ahead than ratings (I think – which often means jack). Concerns about bounce, but that’s factored into price.

Ascot 3.40 – Might be a fill your boots job after a hard day on Ulck Du Lin 6/4 who I ended up piling into after the market collapsed on this one. Nothing else in the race looks great and Nicholls says is his best chance of day.

Total Staked £646.25, Total Returned £387.25
£15.00 e/w Olofi 12/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w First Avenue 50/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Mac Aeda 8/1 - PLACED £0.00
£30.00 Smad Place 9/4 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Ulck Du Lin 6/4 - WIN £70.50
£15.00 e/w Accumulators N/A - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Kazlian 16/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Able Deputy 11/4 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 She Ranks Me 85/40 - WIN £93.75
£30.00 Hollow Tree 5/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Roberto Goldback 7/2 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Red Riverman (w/o Fav) 17/2 - PLACED £40.50
£30.00 Solix 5/4 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Accumulators N/A - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Barafundle 4/1 - NR £30.00
£15.00 e/w Accumulators N/A - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Solix 5/4 - LOSE £0.00
£76.25 Ulck Du Lin 1/1 - WIN £152.50
£15.00 e/w Bothy 25/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Balder Success 10/1 - LOSE £0.00

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