I’ve had a pretty poor run up to today, but hopefully all change today and all the big fancies bolt up. Segal does not think that
will happen but that’s his job. His picks today are:
Ascot 1.45 – Pale Mimosa 20/1
Ascot 2.20 – Jack Dexter 6/1, Cape Approval 20/1
Ascot 4.05 – Morandi 14/1
Ascot 4.45 – Intrigo 25/1
I can see the rationale is some of Segal’s choices today but
I think the outcomes might be more obvious like they have been in previous
years. Class will prevail. Guess have to watch out for Johnny M too…
Ascot 1.45 – Harris Tweed
is top rated and Azeemah and Estimate both finished a neck ahead of Simenon (as
a marker). However, Estimate 9/4 has been aimed for this, she is a Ascot
specialist, her form at the distance is the best and I backed her Ante Post but
I’m going in again. A G1 winner in a G3 race with no penalty
Ascot 2.20 – I somewhat understand the
rationale behind Jack Dexter, but the races he has won he should have won, the
ones he was not top rated he hasn’t and again today he comes up against last
years winner Maarek 3/1 who is in blinding form and 4lb clear on BHA ratings. I
saw the race he lost against Cape of Approval. That wasn’t him and he has
conditions to a tee today. The price may drift a bit as Segal has tipped up
Dexter.
Ascot 2.55 – Dalkala is
class yes and was a nice winner for me in the Middleton but not sure about trip,
and with a 3 year allowance Talent 7/2 surely has the best form in the race.
Ascot 3.30 – No Frankel,
No Excelebration. Hardest race at Ascot to sort out so far. 3year old allowance
ought to be the key here. Maxios on paper looks very strong, however Dettori
was warned by Hughes about going downhill with Olympic Glory and Hughesy was
right. Back to a flat track and Olympic glory was pretty close to Dawn Approach
in the Coventry. No idea what has happened to Dawn Approach. At the prices it
has to be Olympic Glory 5/1 but a bit of a cop out in that if Dawn Approach is
back to best will be hard to beat. I wonder whether the ground will go against
him though and play to OG. Might forecast DA/OG @13.27 as saver
Ascot 4.05 – 3 year
old don’t have a good record in this. I’m a huge fan of Farhh and the Lockinage
was easy money, but there was no CDA in that race. CDA 6/4 has won this race
and has got closer to Frankel than any other horse and these conditions are
perfect for him. Ruler of the World has been well backed and it’s interesting
Ladbrokes are the shortest on him. You know what that means…but, it’s generally
only true when the fave. Argh, Farhh, hmm. Might forecast FAR/CDA @8.13 as
saver
Ascot. 4.45 – 3 I
like in this. Boots and Spurs in good form and goes on soft. Jack’s Revenge
goes well at Ascot and best form in race by far. Fils Anges as have backed so
many times now won’t give up today.
On to Chelts. I need to get back into this. Am excited. Will
back more than I should so can relearn the game!
Chelts 2.00 –
Aerial 6/1 was a very good chaser and based on that stick him up in this
sphere.
Chelts 2.35 – Finger
on the Pulse 25/1 gets a sweet 10lb allowance. Vulcanite 6/1 looks on a decent mark
and got a hugely hampered last time out. Missed out on two big Vino Griego 16/1
wins last year. Tempting.
Chelts 3.10 –
Sametegal 9/4 clear on ratings and Nicholls reckons best chance today.
Chelts 3.45 –
Sire Collonges 16/1 on a decent mark, Balthazar King 6/1 is in very good nick, Life
of Lusso 33/1 a nice outsider and Conncetivity 20/1 well handicapped on hurdles
form
Chelts 5.00 –
Balder Success has a penalty so am with Dark Lover 2/1
Chelts 5.35 –
Trickaway 16/1
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