Wednesday 15 April 2015

Bets 15/04/2015

Nearly a 2k double yesterday! It's early season so can be a few odds results, but sticking with the formbook.

1.45 Newmarket - Am focussing on those with fitness and experience and any newcomers that win are worth keeping an eye on. Hills has not won a race this season but I think he might with Hakam 11/4. Was a decent debut against a decent Appleby horse. He is shorter in the betting for the Gunieas than Akeed Champion so odd that AC is the fav today.

2.20 Newmarket - No reason to take on Ravenhoe 6/4 against a bunch of debutants

2.55 Newmarket - Can't back the Warrior because it looks likes needs heavy ground but is race fit. Using Secret Brief as a marker Bossy Guest beats both Heartbreak Hero and The Warrior with Ballymore Castle not far behind. Encore D'or 8/1 e/w had a Middle Park entry last year so must be pretty good and Astrophysics nearly beat Beacon so the form is solid. His last race on paper puts him rated above 100 so big price I reckon

3.30 Newmarket - Faydhan ought to win but is uber short at 2/5

4.05 Newmarket - Segal has tipped New Providence 10/1, but I this is full of amazing horses and I like Beautiful Romance 5/1

4.40 Newmarket - Very tough. Peacock looks class, but I'll take a punt with Festive Fair 3/1. Whilst it's a marked step up looks to have that class turn of foot and is obviously more race fit than others, but I think Golden Horn 9/4 might win too. Hmm. Might stay away and watch it.

5.10 Newmarket - Golden Horn and Storm The Stars 7/4 formline might be the answer. Next Approach sounds like a combination of phenomenal horses so you never know....

5.40 Newmarket - Surewecan 14/1 beat the bookies with this MJ nag. On best performance which was over 6f is well handicapped. So many could have improved over the winter and only insiders will know. The money suggest Spiriting has..

Beverley 3.05 - Bogart has everthing in favour today but Pipers Note 10/1 e/w and Singeur 10/1 both offer much better value on these marks

Beverley 3.40 - Russian Heroine 6/1 e/w will definately be suited by step up in trip and assuming growth over winter is well handicapped

Cheltenham 3.15 - Alternatif 4/1 is huge based on what Theinval did at Aintree. Form is rock


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