Punting on maiden races is a mugs game, therefore I am. Every year I have the same battle with myself. Not sure if it's the ego, the addiction or stupidity, but either way the last couple of days at Newmarket I've handed over 8 unnecessary races to the bookies. Thankfully hit a 10/1 and 3/1 in the midst of it all so losses were minimal. The only positive is I've watched all of the races in the evening and notebooked a few potential sorts.
Ayr 1.05 - Different Gravey 11/10
Newbury 1.50 - Victoria Pollard 6/1 e/w. I know this is a maiden (don't do it!), but Balding in form, entered for the Oaks and something odd in the Oaks betting. 22/1 with one firm but 66/1 with the rest. Clue or error?
Newbury 2.50 - Oooooty Hill 6/4 looked really really impressive on debut
Newbury 3.25 - Vesnina 14/1 e/w still looks a few pounds in, even assuming no improvement from G3 race in September. Has a course win to name as well. Capel Path looked impressive but not sure what beat and maybe high mark to start with. The reverse forecast with Strong Chemistry pays 60/. Strong Chemistry's form is very good and if has grown up and learned to settle is on a decent mark.
Newbury 3.55 - Last year's Lucky Beggar winner supposedly needs some underfoot so will pass up. Varian's lot look a bit dodge at the mo so will leave Steps. Whilst Robot Boy ought to win this, Green Door has a lot of potential to be better this year. The form that both GD and Boom The Groom have is uber strong and both are feasibly handicapped. However, Noble Storm 25/1 e/w does not like Beverley or Doncaster not GS ground. What he does like is GF 5f and Newbury and if age is not taking toll looks a big price
Newbury 5.00 - I've a got a Ceaserwitch trial winner, a C&D winner and a horse who loves quick ground in a C4 handicap at 11/1 e/w - See and Be Seen. To be this price must have broken a leg or fact that stable is in dire straits. Does worry me cheekpieces have been taken off. Let's see.
Newbury 5.30 - Oh dear, at it again. Maiden punting. But Tidal Moon 10/1 e/w ran a decent debut and will strip fitter than the rest
Bath 5.40 - Some Show 6/1 e/w was flying at the end of last race so any improvement over winter gives this one a chance.
Bath 6.10 - Demora is being back fairly heavily but not convinced is upto Listed level and might be better back in handicaps. If a 3yr wins this I'll be surprised, but if one does it'll be Zuhoor Baynoona. That really leave me with the Cox pair Milly's Gift 4/1 and Musicora 9/1. The former has a brilliant season last year and on form has best chance. The latter will improve (I hope) as most sprinters do at 4yrs old and that last race is solid form.
Ayr 1.05 - Different Gravey 11/10
Newbury 1.50 - Victoria Pollard 6/1 e/w. I know this is a maiden (don't do it!), but Balding in form, entered for the Oaks and something odd in the Oaks betting. 22/1 with one firm but 66/1 with the rest. Clue or error?
Newbury 2.50 - Oooooty Hill 6/4 looked really really impressive on debut
Newbury 3.25 - Vesnina 14/1 e/w still looks a few pounds in, even assuming no improvement from G3 race in September. Has a course win to name as well. Capel Path looked impressive but not sure what beat and maybe high mark to start with. The reverse forecast with Strong Chemistry pays 60/. Strong Chemistry's form is very good and if has grown up and learned to settle is on a decent mark.
Newbury 3.55 - Last year's Lucky Beggar winner supposedly needs some underfoot so will pass up. Varian's lot look a bit dodge at the mo so will leave Steps. Whilst Robot Boy ought to win this, Green Door has a lot of potential to be better this year. The form that both GD and Boom The Groom have is uber strong and both are feasibly handicapped. However, Noble Storm 25/1 e/w does not like Beverley or Doncaster not GS ground. What he does like is GF 5f and Newbury and if age is not taking toll looks a big price
Newbury 5.00 - I've a got a Ceaserwitch trial winner, a C&D winner and a horse who loves quick ground in a C4 handicap at 11/1 e/w - See and Be Seen. To be this price must have broken a leg or fact that stable is in dire straits. Does worry me cheekpieces have been taken off. Let's see.
Newbury 5.30 - Oh dear, at it again. Maiden punting. But Tidal Moon 10/1 e/w ran a decent debut and will strip fitter than the rest
Bath 5.40 - Some Show 6/1 e/w was flying at the end of last race so any improvement over winter gives this one a chance.
Bath 6.10 - Demora is being back fairly heavily but not convinced is upto Listed level and might be better back in handicaps. If a 3yr wins this I'll be surprised, but if one does it'll be Zuhoor Baynoona. That really leave me with the Cox pair Milly's Gift 4/1 and Musicora 9/1. The former has a brilliant season last year and on form has best chance. The latter will improve (I hope) as most sprinters do at 4yrs old and that last race is solid form.
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