Friday 17 June 2016

Bets 17/06/2016

Pretty solid day in the end yesterday. After watching the Norfolk I'm not too worried about the low bias from the previous day. Watching the Britannia being drawn high didn't look a huge disadvantage

2.30 - There does not seem to be much money for Cuff, so not sure is as well fancied as others this week. Note AOB has never won the Albany and favourites don't do that well. Brave Anna is a typical worry bead 2nd string AOB nag, but just can't back it. Clem Fandango got merekd by Lady Aurelia so that kills Grizzle form. Romatic View, Kilmah and Bletccly are unknown on soft.

Create a Dream 8/1 £50 has has form hugley franked by Create a Dream. Queen Kindly 13/2 £50 is frankel so will go on any ground and I;m blinding following his crop like most. £12.5 r f/c on the two as well. I think I prefer Wesleys horse slightly on basis has won here at Ascot on softer ground

I'll have to put Cuff in some sort of Acc as will probably win now I'm taking AOB on!

3.05 - Hmm. The betting is as hard as it looks. Suspect worth waiting till closer to off and waiting for the money, but I don't have that luxury. Harzand is the clue here though. Choreographer 6/1 £50 was 9 lenghts behind Wings of Desire who was 7 lenghts behind Harzand. Beacon Rock was 8 lenghts behind Harzand, so surely Beacon Rock beats Choreo. No. Choreo was cruising in the Dante. Totally blocked and then was never tried with. Was only second run of career and handled softer on debut. Assuming progression and the fact his daddy is Sea The Stars I think Choreographers is the one to be with. Gosden has a couple in here. Linguistic looks held and exposed, but Muntahaa is massively unexposed just like Eagle Top was last year! If it wins, great but I can't take the risk, can I? Yeah I have to Muntahaa £25 e/w 12/1

3.40 Muhaarar last year was incredible. The AOB nags worry me again. Most of these won't go on the ground effectively. Quiet Reflection ought to win based on last run but the ground has to be a huge worry? La Rioja 12/1 £25 e/w looks huge value against QR. The G3 win as Salisbury was very impressive and form has def been franked. Cheikeljack 8/1 £50 win has some ridiculous form. Ribchester was 2nd in lasst race before being disquliafied and we all know about Richester!


4.20 I've been looking forward to Nemoralia 6/1 £50 for a long time. Jet Setting is by far the best chance here on the Minding form but I'm emotionally attached to Nemoralia. Alice Spings 12/1 £25 e/w is good value too. Nemoralia/Alice Springs  £12.50 r/fc 

5.00 - I have 4 on the shortlist but none are bankers. Rare Rythmn, Kings Fete, Ajmna Bridge, Felix Mendelssohn. Ajman is probably too high to win after being 2nd in this last year. Felix M is worht a very specualtive 33/1 £25 e/w as listed race at Ascot puts on good mark, but was shocking last time out so bit of faith needed. Kings Fete 9/1 £50. Looks a bit of a coup and well handicapped as last race was just softly touched. Rare Rythmn 8/1 £50 is chucked in but first race of season KF/RR £12.50 r f/c

5.35 - I'm not long distance expert so follow otherts; Landofhopeandglory 15/2 £50 and Ebidyn 4/1 £50

Cuff, Quiet Reflection, Jet Setting £25 Treble
Creat Drea, Chreo, Nemoralia Placed Treble £25
Creat Drea, Chreo, Nemoralia, LOHG, CJ, Kings P Placed Acc £12.5
Creat D, Nemoralisa, Rare Rythm, Ebidyn, Chreo £5ew fiefold, £5ew four folds
Create D, Nemoralia £25 double
CAD, Kings F, Chroe, Eb, Quiet - five.four folds
Ebidy, Quiet, Nemo £12.5 Treb
All e/w acc

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