Wednesday 27 July 2016

Bets 27/07/2016

I have 1 hour to crack it today. Never enough :(

Rain could screw everything up as well....

2.00 Goodwood - Moscato 8/1 e/w. Very consistent, run well at Goodwood before, ground will suit, maybe easier than Ascot stakes and Northumberplate place.  Qewy franked from of Ascot Stakes yday. Prescott going well. Disappointed if not in top 5 (Betfair Sportsbook paying ew 5places). Backed the Chasel Man last time out but not convinced yet. No Heretic could still be well handicapped back on good ground but I could back loads in this. Sticking to one


2.35 Goodwood - Tough. Prizre Money ground too quick. Qatari Hunter not sure form is that strong so that knocks off a few. Ulysess imposible to know how good is unless you have some info. Total flop in Derby so I can't back it. Shogun could be a big AOB winner back on good ground but a few ifs. Not seeing any money for it at time of writing. The Bahrain Trophy is then next. So between Platitude and Harrison. Both nexck and neck and arguably the former on the quicker ground. Ivae backed Harrison 8/1 e/w every race because of how highly Channon rates it. Will keep going then I guess. It does keep improving and has won at Goodwood!

3.10 Goodwood - Tough again. Must go to one of the 3yr olds though? I;'m going to be brave and get Galileo Gold beat. The Gurkha should have beaten GG at Ascot but was a poor ride. Atwaad beat GG easily at Curragh and ground was too soft at Ascot. Atwaad 6/1 e/w is likely to be the value, but think will also cover with The Gurkha 5/2? Maybe, not sure yet

3.45 Goodwood - Urgh. Doesn't get easier, but I've followed Global Applause 7/2 all season and hopefully will show why today. Last Lion better on soft, Yalta has dissapointed me enough. Mcdonald has jumped to Nayyar. Is that a tip? Big Time Baby could be decent and hard to assess Sportsman. Sod it, staying with what I know

4.20 Goodwood - Bunch of unexposed horses in big race. Only 1 horse I know. Boquet Des Flores 5/2. Backed 5/2 last night hammered into nearly evens. Be clear though that this does not make it a banker. It was hammered last time, I jumped on bandwagon and it got merked!

4.55 Goodwood - I backed Rioca 11/ ew last night. Having had a look again just now not boding that well. On drift, spotted it's first start in 10months as well! I based it on fact Haggle did pretty well yesterday and Virens Army form looks strong. Don't have time to reassess.

5.25 Goodwood - Backed Afjaan 11/4 last night. Looks absolutely chucked in on that Red Bo form. There is obviously a chance could bounce after return though. If Detorri does not go forward though and holds up behind wall of horses be prepared to berate him. Big gamble on Czech it out but I think few lbs short. Should place though. I picked out Pastoral Player in this last year but too high in weights. I told the boys couple weeks ago I hope Jacks Revenge 16/1 ew is entered and Baker hits form and hopefully around 16/1 mark. Well is 16/1 but Baker not really hit huge form and this is 7f not 8f like think needs. But will be held up and come flying home so might be worth a bet in play at big price

7.35 Sandonw - War Story 9/2 ew/

No comments:

Post a Comment