Thursday 28 July 2016

Bets 28/07/2016

2.00 Goodwood - Back Autocratic in the B365 Handicap at N/W a very good race only to watch Ode De Evening wonder all over the shot and beat him easily enough. On the basis it was a good race and ODE was all over the shop and yet was still eased down a 6lb rise really mighty not be enough to stop this one. The fact it's an MJ horse just adds more reason to back ODE 10/1 e/w; who looks Pattern class. Stargazer didn't look a world beater last time out and form not worked out that well. You're Hired as been well backed and has good form. but Perrett not doing great at the moment and YH doesnt have the 3lb claimer has last race. Red Rannagh could be a plot job as beat Atwaad in October and is running off 86 and definately needs further. The other Plot job looks to be Abareeq 16/1 e/w Montsarrat id tempting but not convinced is that well handicapped. Scarlet Dragon is 2lb well in here on OR and I'm convinced would have beaten Bathos here at Goodwood but had a lot of bad luck in running. Bathos was then however beat by ODE readily so ODE is still top of list. Next selection has to be High Shields 8/1 e/w. Solid C&D winner; routed that race and whilst Detorri still hasn't won a race this festival this horse has an entery in the Voltigeur so is well thought of. In fact no other horse in this race has a Group entry.


2.35 Goodwood - Blue Point 8/11. Won last 6f race on the bridle by 11 lengths. The horse that finished 2nd (Shamsaya) was 4th in Listed race to Nations Alexander who was very close to winning a G2. Whilst this field looks very very good Global Applause has just let the formline down for the rest of the market principles.


3.00 Goodwood - Wicklow Brave is so hit and miss but could run well epecially with Mullins is such good nick. Quest For More and The Big Orange battled this out last year. No reason why QFM will turn it around with TBO. Arguably TBO comes here in better form than last year and QFM les form, so The Big Orange 4/1 gets the vote. Sword Fighter 13/2 looks a huge danger. With a 17lb weight allowance a Listed and G2 under belt this improving AOB nag might be the one to be on


3.45 Goodwood - Using the Daisy Stake formline at Goodwood has to be Twitch 5/1, although Panama 5/2 does look pretty decent but have to forgive Goodwood flop. Hmm.


4.55 Goodwood - Hmm. I mean which MJ nag do you pick? Maybe none of them? Hurricane Rush 12/1 e/w was 2 lengths behind Bear Valley last time out. MJM didn't give Hurricane Rush best of rides, and HR didnt help MJM by wandering all over the shot. 5lb pull in weights and no way HR should be 5points bigger in price. Geneva Convenion 16/1 e/w against Teofonic wins at weights using Dewan as marker. Arc Royal; 14/1 e/w boasts Frankuss formline


5.30 Goodwood - Lathom 9/1 e/w very interesting here. Slipped to a very low mark and ran very well in Molecombe last year. Back to form latest and Alpha Delphini has franked it.


5.50 Epsom - Coral Festival 5/1

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