9.45am update:
1.15 - Mighty Spirit ran really well in the Queen Mary despite the draw so we know is well suited to this C&D. Has had a lot of bad luck with all sorts. Finally got given a confidence booster in a lowly grade to get head in front. Have drawn several formlines out and this comes up near the top. Also has second highest top speed rating in the race, a decent claim and on the right side of the draw. Fahey's form has to be a worry, but at 16/1 with 5 places worth a pop. I'm fed up of calling out chucked in horses that are, but don't run to their mark. Clearly Art Power is ahead of mark and will no doubt win as I'm trying to find bigger value :)
Mighty Spirit 16/1 ew 5places
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1.50 - There is so little formline available just can't bet. The punter in me says hit Mother Earth but I can't put it up without any rationale :)
2.25 - Another race with little form. However what does exist is the Tactical formline line who won the Windsor Castle. Eye of Heaven was the winner that day. Broke the 2year old track record with ease. Could have smashed it, if really given a race. Will it take to soft though? The challenger on 'word' is Golden Pal. Wesley Ward said was his best chance of a winner this week. Will it take to soft though? And then there's the AOB nag. I never get AOB right.
So here's what I'll do.
Eye of Heaven 9/4
Mother Earth/Lipizzaner 17/1 AOB Double
Golden Pal/Flying Aletha 99/1 Ward Double
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3.00 - Hmm. Elaqarm and Van Dyck are the obvious picks. WIll the ground really go against these high class nags or will they mash through it?
Defoe and Morando are solid C&D winners and look the next obvious picks.
Then there's the more unexposed improvers and seeing as I'm having a below par week anyway, going to take a punt on Hamish. Bolted up with top weights at York and travlelled as the likley winner last time out, but just couldnt pick up on very heavy ground but regasrdless was a massive step up again. Another massive step up with see this go really close (I hope).
Hamish 15/2 ew
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3.35 - The Earthlight form is some of the best in Europe over 6f, so Golden Horde must have a huge chance today based on that alone. There are two many threats to list out so will need to be ew play
Goldern Horde 5/1 ew
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4.10 - Surely can;t bet on a race where none have run the distance.
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4.40 - Indianaplois won C&D with a lot more ease than result shows. Jockey was in full control and was just pushed out. Then followed up with another decent handicap win on heavy ground. GIven is in good form, horse has had a blow out and the wide draw in not a huge negative as likes to be held up so can be edge out to power home late.
Westend Charmer is another that looks chucked in but that's not workd out well for me this week. If El Misk and Medal Winner take to the ground they are both ahead of mark so have chances.
Indianapolis 10/1 ew
Art Power / Westend Charmer Chucked In Double 17/1
1.15 - Mighty Spirit ran really well in the Queen Mary despite the draw so we know is well suited to this C&D. Has had a lot of bad luck with all sorts. Finally got given a confidence booster in a lowly grade to get head in front. Have drawn several formlines out and this comes up near the top. Also has second highest top speed rating in the race, a decent claim and on the right side of the draw. Fahey's form has to be a worry, but at 16/1 with 5 places worth a pop. I'm fed up of calling out chucked in horses that are, but don't run to their mark. Clearly Art Power is ahead of mark and will no doubt win as I'm trying to find bigger value :)
Mighty Spirit 16/1 ew 5places
---
1.50 - There is so little formline available just can't bet. The punter in me says hit Mother Earth but I can't put it up without any rationale :)
2.25 - Another race with little form. However what does exist is the Tactical formline line who won the Windsor Castle. Eye of Heaven was the winner that day. Broke the 2year old track record with ease. Could have smashed it, if really given a race. Will it take to soft though? The challenger on 'word' is Golden Pal. Wesley Ward said was his best chance of a winner this week. Will it take to soft though? And then there's the AOB nag. I never get AOB right.
So here's what I'll do.
Eye of Heaven 9/4
Mother Earth/Lipizzaner 17/1 AOB Double
Golden Pal/Flying Aletha 99/1 Ward Double
---
3.00 - Hmm. Elaqarm and Van Dyck are the obvious picks. WIll the ground really go against these high class nags or will they mash through it?
Defoe and Morando are solid C&D winners and look the next obvious picks.
Then there's the more unexposed improvers and seeing as I'm having a below par week anyway, going to take a punt on Hamish. Bolted up with top weights at York and travlelled as the likley winner last time out, but just couldnt pick up on very heavy ground but regasrdless was a massive step up again. Another massive step up with see this go really close (I hope).
Hamish 15/2 ew
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3.35 - The Earthlight form is some of the best in Europe over 6f, so Golden Horde must have a huge chance today based on that alone. There are two many threats to list out so will need to be ew play
Goldern Horde 5/1 ew
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4.10 - Surely can;t bet on a race where none have run the distance.
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4.40 - Indianaplois won C&D with a lot more ease than result shows. Jockey was in full control and was just pushed out. Then followed up with another decent handicap win on heavy ground. GIven is in good form, horse has had a blow out and the wide draw in not a huge negative as likes to be held up so can be edge out to power home late.
Westend Charmer is another that looks chucked in but that's not workd out well for me this week. If El Misk and Medal Winner take to the ground they are both ahead of mark so have chances.
Indianapolis 10/1 ew
Art Power / Westend Charmer Chucked In Double 17/1
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