Will be tough this year without the usual prep races to assess winners and losers but let's see what happens:
Ascot 1.15 - Daarik is most likely to be the group horse in a handicap but I always find it hard backing horses like this with no turf form of value. None stand out massively for me in this race.
Kaeso is interesting because of the C& near win. Greenside may be the vsalue bet in this race.
I think/I hope drawn well. Decent C&D form. Goes okay fresh. Decent claimer.
Daarik 4/1
Greenside 18/1 e/w 6places
Ascot 1.50 - Terebellum looks decent but can't understand the drop in trip at this stage. Space Traveller ran well in the Breeders Juvenile Turf, but most likely held by Cirrus Maximus. Maries Diamond romped last time out but always runs well at the Rowley and the one time at Ascot no so well. I've still got many on the shortlist for this :( Plumatic is probably a 118-120 horse, given formlines with Expert Eye and Lightening Spear. Duke of Hazzard improving at a rate of knots. Billesdon the 1k winner always a underrated and fnally AOB's Circus. Hmm
Circus Maximum 9/2
Duke of Hazard 18/1 ew 5 places
Ascot 2.25 - Hmm. Not one to go overboard on. Frankly Darling as it all on paper so why not. I fancied Trefoil in last race so no doubt will show me up this time :)
Franky Darling 6/4
Ascot 3.00 - No bet
Ascot 3.35 - Battash goes well fresh and whilst beaten in this by Blue Point last year on ratings is very far ahead of the pack. Liberty Beach is very interesting but maybe too tough for a 3year old running again after only 9 days
Battash 10/11 3pts win
Ascot 4.10 - Posted has a real issue with starts. If it breaks level could be a huge ew price to play with. Queen Power coming back in trip is odd, even if a CD winner.
It's a tough one. Jubiloso has already finished 3rd in a g3 which is decent for a stoute 3 year old. Probably should have done better in the Oak Tree Stakes. I think the straight mile will help her get to top speed and given the usual stoute 3 to 4 year old improvment I hope she can prevail. I assume they'd not run her in a race like this if feet problems were not sorted?
Nazeef the clear danger
Jubilsos 3/1
Ascot 4.40 - I remember landing this race couple of years ago with Lagostovegas and wasn't sure it would catch Dubawi Fifty. It did but I hope this time DB will make all and go very very close and nothing will catch it this time :)
The two Nicholls nags could well be chucked in. Given San Benedeto is a 154 rated jumper running of mark of 85 this could be a total shoe in. Distance not an issue. Has won on the ground and the course in previous years. Nicholls doing well enough so this has to be another solid ew.
Verdana Blue is an obvious favourite here and probably worth hitting in an acca, but given not run the distance has to be on faith (or insider) neither of which I have :) Land of Oz looks a decent but I'll wait till gets bit more experience under belt. Could win based on progressive profile but I'll wait.
Dubawi Fifty 12/1 ew 6places
San Benedeto 28/1 ew 6 places
No comments:
Post a Comment