1.20 - Supreme - I have Appreciate it 3/1 AntePost. I don't think I'd be tipping it again at 5/4 but still fancy it to win.
Ballydam travelled much further than Appreciate It last time and screwed the last fence so suspect will be much closer this time assuming can jump cleanly. Who knows what impact change of yard would have had.
Metier smashed the Tolworth. Ground has come a bit more into favour but maybe jumps a bit to the right?
Blue Lord looked decent last time out in the same race as AI and Bally. Given was off the bridle before both and finished 6l behind Bob Olinger over 2m4f I just think this stiff track will suit over shorter. Blue Bresil Sire has a solid record at Chelts as well.
For Pleasure won the trial and if makes all again at a decent pace not sure who it will suit best or maybe he just wont be caught
Irascrible I just cant find an angle for this one
Soaring Glory. Romped the Betfiar hurdle and has beaten Bravesmans Game! Surely must have a decent chance as well.
In summary this is bloody hard :)
ANTEPOST - Appreciate It 3/1 £50
Blue Lord 10/1 £25ew
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1.55 Arkle - Can't see beyond Shiskin
Think Shiskin will whallop Allmankind up the hill. AMK will come back and win at Aintree :)
Captain Guineass is better than Fracno De Port on Collateral form but have to be worried about CG jumping but is maybe the biggest threat is jumps cleanly?
Ellerdo Allen well held by Shiskin and not heard of Numitor
Shiskin in an acca but not on the nose
Captain Guineass for the ew acca only
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2.30 Ultima - I have backed Aye Right 16/1 Antepost.
Happygolucky is the improving nag with solid festival form here. It's his to lose. Finding it hard to find anything else.
I still like Aye Right and happy with the ew, but not sure can beat Happygolucky.
Native Milan ran well at festival last year but I think you are betting on whether wind op improved this one over a stone. Up 8lbs from last year and had a 7lb claimer.
The Wolf ran okay in AB and maybe an interesting ew. The Hendo nags are always a worry in these handicaps but looks like National main target so wouldnt want an awfully hard race?
Alnadam is the other improver I like. Skelton had had a stormer this year no reason this can't be another big handcap winner
Happygolucky £50 10/3
Alnadam £25ew 9/1
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3.05 Champion Hurdle - Epatante for the bouble,
Eptante was something special in the fifghting fifth. I think all Hendo nags were rubbish over Xmas but still ran a decent RPR at kempton.
I think Honeysuckle maybe better over 2m4f, that said stamina at chelts always a plus. Hopefully we see a decet fight up the hill.
Goshen should have won the triumph. Maybe not by the 10 lengths was ahead before unseated rider and yes beat AMK but I dont think he a chelts horse so not convinced on the form
Abracadrbas looks a rock solid ew and could have won the Supreme last year.
Sharajah I think held by Eptante and Silver Streak thumped Epatnate but hopefully yard form as above was reason.
Could back many of these but will stick with one.
Epatante £50 7/2
3.40 MAres Hurlde - Concertica looks decent right.
Roskana is having a great time of things but I worr about dropping back in trip.
Dame De Comp was a lovely winner of the Coral last year and probably biggest theat and one for the ew
Concerista £50 11/8
Dame De COmpaign for the ew acca
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4.15 Juvenil Hurlde - Struggling to get away from Houx Gris.
Hous Grix was cantering in a G1 last time out before hitting a wall. The form of race is good. Race in France is decent as Homme Public bolted up last race and think thats a mid 130s horse even though keeps mark of 125. So whilst could argue Homme Public is the value sounds like Nicholls has plotted this one up. Hopefully it's not Hell Red he has plotted up :)
Balko Saint would have been a solid bet had not blown mark by running in a novice race.
Another towards bottom of weights I like is Her Indoors. I'm convinced Talking About You ran to form at DOncaster and the collateral form proves the TAY mark is right. Therefore Her Indoors is potentially well handicapped as should be around 135 mark or so.
Houx Gris £25ew 11/2
Her Indoors £25ew 33/1
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4.50 NH CHallenge CUp - Remastered to make all
I like the way Remasterted bolted up at Ascot and Wetherby last time. I think is easily a 150+ nag.
I backed Escaria Ten for the Kim Muir pre wegiths. Stupid. Would have been a handicap blot. Danger.
Mighty Don was a bit tempting as I like the form with HappygoLucky but will stick with one
Remastered £25ew 11/2
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