Bets 16/04/2025

3 winners yesterday in the end! Just 3 punts today. 

1.50 Newmarket 

1st  - The Dragon King 8/1 - 

Screwed the start lto, detached from field but still won. Can win off a mark like this. Decent C&D form. Last 2 years: Invincible Army 19%, Cox and Moore are 50% together. I remember Cox going close in this couple years ago with Harry Three.

2nd - Invictus Gold 10/1 - 

Ran a decent race at July course. Stepped up performance in a race which didn't pan out, so marking rating up. 

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3.35 Newmarket 

Amori City 11/2 -  

Improved every run from debut. Solid course experience. Appleby and Buick won this 3 times before together.

Bets 15/04/2025

 Newmarket have watered and it's going to be heavy rain. Hmmmm. Not sure how to play this as will make a massive difference. Let's see, but it's an easy excuse for me when everything gets merked

1.50 - Trefor has a big turn around at the weights with Elmonjed, so 10/1 is potentially big. Problem is Jason Waston is 0/24 at Newmarket. Love Woodhay Wonder over C&D but Im hoping too high in weights now. Vantheman 11/ew looks a likely improver with step back up in trip. Is rapid and won at 6f before. Just hope the rain doesn't slow down the ground too much.

2.25 - Green Storm 5/1ew nearly a G1 winner. Nearly G3 winner at the track. They all have to improve passed him. Ground I think less dependant but maybe softer better.

3.00 - Ottoman Fleet 6/4 to complete the hatrick. First conquest is a risk, but don't think showed any major improvement last 3 runs and will need to to beat OF.

3.35 - Nadra 7/2. Forgot to back this when was 7s yesterday. All stats point to this and was an extremely taking debut

4.10 - Harrys Girl 9/1e/w

4.45 - Victory Queen 6/4

5.20 - Treasure Fleet 11/8

Bets 13/04/2025

 Decent 20s and 10s yesterday.

Bets 12/04/2025

 Newbury 125 - G3 in which none of the runners have won at the distance other than Divina Grace 20s. 19/21 winners had won at this distance or more before winning this. If Sunway runs to Irish Derby form could be tough to beat, but the Bellum Justum looked very solid lto. I'd take this to improve past Sunway. Feigning Madness 33s annoying not   3 places, but feeling feisty today.

Beckett decent record in this race. Balding tried many times.

Newbury 2.00 - Simmering is the best horse in the race on previous. Better Times Ahead 7s is inexperienced, but looks rock solid and Beckett loves winning this race.

Newbury 2.35 - Rashabar is best horse in race, but Meehan's form stinks. Yah Mo Be There very interesting for me, but does have a lot to find on ratings. Rogue Alliance 8s comes with a lot of hype and Omeara won this last year

Newbury 3.12 - Silver Sword and Classic 8s look to have best chances

Newbury 3.54 - Sweet Reward 10s wins.

Gone with the longer odds horses ew. Also played Bellum Justum, Simmering, Rashabar an Silver Sword

Bets 11/04/2025

 

Bet 10/04/2025

Couple decent winners at Meydan and nearly two forecasts. Bit gutted didn't take a chance with Dubai Future nor stick with my AP of Ragging Torrent in the second race. Anyhow we move on.

Not expecting much in low class AW, but need to keep the practice going.

Newcastle 5.00 - Cardarn 4/1.

Newcastle 7.00 - Secret Guest 10/1ew

Newcastle 7.30 - Hidden Verse 14/1ew

Newcastle 8.00 - That's My Boy Luke 9/1ew

Bets 05/04/2025 - Dubai WC and Grand National !

Aintree - 

1.20 Aintree - Act of Authority 8/1ew, Shangah Bob 33/1ew 

1.55 Aintree - Lulamba Evs. Basically 19 length headstart at the weights ahead of next best rated horse

2.30 Aintree - Really struggled to make decision on this. Les Milos 11/1ew and Weveallbeencaught 11/ew

3.05 Aintree - Ground will hopefully be good. Top of market many do better with give in ground. Altobelli 25/1ew could love this. Looks an up and coming stayer. The Wallpark would have been the pick but Elliot still on the sidelines for me. Strong Leader 6/1ew

4.00 - Iroko 9/1ew. I'm all over Intense Raffles Antepost, just not sure the ground is suitable now. 

5.00 - L'Eau Du Sud 15/8 - Best rated

5.25 - Storming George 28/1ew Decent debut. Was hampered for like a furlong and finally bolted once clear. Mossy Fen Road 5/1

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Dubai - Buick could have a decent day.

2.10 - Trawlerman 4/1(2pt). Best horse in the race. I didn't back it last year as ran poorly the year before in it. Ran really well in it last year. Maybe should have one. Not sure why Shoemark didn't slam him home. Think got pulled up by stewards on it. I didn't back Dubai Future lto, even though said was best in race. The SBS form stank. Shat in lto on the bridle. I just don't know if will back it up. Al Nayyir also ran a strong race last year. Looks potentially better than last year, but Trawlerman looked good in breeze ups this week and if Buick rides him 20% better than KS did last year this is the one to beat. Double Major probably only other that worries me. I think Trawlerman, Al Nayyir, Double Major and Dubai Future fill the top 4.

2.45 - Peptide Nile 9/1ew(1pt ew). There's going to be some pace in this and this one will close on the pack at the line. I think is a classy G1 Jap horse and top of couple stats for me. I think if Mosafa 9/2(0.5pt) was with Seemar a bit longer would have this done and dusted. Beat the Breeders Cup Classic winner and broke the Gulfstream track record. 

3.20 - If Christophe wasn't riding Isivunguvungu I'd be taking the 25ew, but 0/25 at the track. I see this between Believing and Regional. Regional 8/1ew (1pt ew) has beaten Believing (0.5pt) before so let's assume stays that way. Can't work out the Howdeepisyourlove form, but either way think my picks are better rated at these conditions. I do wonder how Regional will get on with Win Carnelian who will try to blitz this.

4.00 - Looking at ratings, races times and previous videos, I quite like Admire Daytona 10/1ew (1ptew). For some reason was held up and came home very strongly. Christophe PL who usually rides it is back on today and knows how to win here and in fact this race. Given I liked the race times of the pick I'd be fuming if Don in The Mood 9/1ew(1ptew) won so also backing this. 

4.40 - Looks between Tuz and Straight No Chaser. Tuz got the inside line and no other real pace. Is this enough to win? Tuz had a long campaign. Not sure will bet yet. Reassess again in the morning.

5.15 - Be an upset if Romantic Warrior 4/7 loses this. No single. Will acca with others

5.50 - Global trotting super star Rebels Romance 4/1(2pt). Shin Emperor worries me with stall 1. Calandagan arguably the best here, but I think will get stuck too far back even from this draw

6.30 - Be an upset if Forever Young 4/7 loses this. No single. Will acca with others.

Bets 04/04/2025

 Well we knew he was 8/12 winners before coming here....

Bit annoying really as everything he has is now being overbet and value is questionable.

1.45 - Dancing City 7/1ew was going to be the play, but price is now 11/4. hmmm. No interest in Handstand. Cadwell Potter looks decent, but I just can't take on the Mullins bandwagon. Beaten at the Chelts festival before winning at Aintree last year. No reason can't do it again. QDB, the other Mullins horse, is being smashed in. Hmmm.

Dancing City 11/4

2.20 - Blenkisop is really well handicapped based on form prior to the Aintree festival last year. Stepped up massively lto and back to similar form. Daly in decent nick. Good place chance. Wellington Arch also well handicapped but Wade Out who won so easily lto could be a big step ahead of mark here. If I knew Hansard stayed would be main bet at 33s, though I guess is a big price as doesn't stay?! Hmm. Ike Sport at 70s will bounce back one day. Maybe at Sandown later this month.

Wade Out 8/1ew

Small cover on Wellington Arch and Blenkisop

2.55 - Romeo Coolio should win but no touching an Elliott horse until he landed a winner first. Don't see the point in taking on Salvator Mundi who can turn the tables. Did like Jet to Vegas. No Kelso 365 winner has won this in 13 attempts and not looking for a stat breaker

Salvator Mundi 3/1

3.30 - El Fabilio 3/1

4.05 - Blue Lord 7/1, Ginnys Destiny 14/1ew. Jetoile interesting ew

4.40 - Califet En VOl 4/1

5.15 - Celtic Dino 4/1. Small hedge on Jack Hyde and Country Park

Bets 03/04/2025

 Had planned to avoid Aintree. ROFL. Probably be a waste of time and should be focussing on Meydan....

Playing cautious ews I think. 

1.45 - Croke Park 11/2ew. Elliot form a bit of a doubt, but it's certainly getting there. Last 12 all 147+OR, 4 or 5 previous starts and didn't win lto in pattern handicap. Only Croke Park fits this. Walk In The Park solid stats and Elliot shorter price runners do really well. 

Impaire Et Passe been hammered in the market but Croke Park beat this by 5 lengths lto. Mullins though is 8 wins from last 12 runners. Hmmm

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2.20 - Only looking at the Fred Winter form here. The question is will either Murcia (13lb pull) or Wendrock (6lb pull) turn the tables on Putyourhandstogether? The winner romped, so hard to know how much more improvement. Urgh. Hate backing jumps favourites so backing Murcia with a 13lb pull

Murcia 5/1ew

Small hedge fc Puthands, Murcia (5/1)

Small fun tc Puthands, Murcia, Wendrock (35s) and Murcia, Puthands, Wendrock (64s)

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2.25 - Spillanes Tower all the rage in the betting. Going for the horse that has form of PU, PU, F. Ahoy Senor loves Spring and loves Aintree.

Ahoy Senor 8/1ew

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At this point Im putting on a Impaire Et Passe, Putyourhandstogether, Spillanes Tower Treble (20/1)

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3.30 - No bet. Flip a coin between Constitution Hill and Lossiemouth I say

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4.05 - Famous Clermont 15/2ew winner of this two years ago. Milan Forth looks to be one to keep an eye on in future if keeps improving as is. Small hedge on Lifetime Ambition probably biggest threat

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4.40 - Rath Gaul Hill 8/1ew. Could back loads of these. Put small hedge on Primoz

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5.15 - Charisma Cat 6/1ew

Bets 01/04/2025

Lingfield 2.02 - Charlie Mason 4/1

Lingfield 3.02 - Zariela 7/2

Lingfield 3.38 - Upepo 3/1

Lingfield 4.48 - Urban Sprawl 5/2

Lingfield 5.20 - Coolagh Magic 11/1 (Needs to break clean)

Played a place acca today instead of win acca. Interesting...

Bets 31/03/2025

 Decent from Dark Thirty. Thought was going to get screwed on the line again. Did get screwed with Stressfree though. Was a solid double with Dark Thirty foiled. Good Lincoln meeting. Best in many years.

Wolves 4.55 - If Banana runs to form of last race is well handicapped. Only looked at cards this morning. 20/1ew last night would have been decent value. Into 9/1. Still think has best chance. Jockey has best SR in field (27%). From Stall 1, if breaks well can make all.

Banana 9/1ew

Wolves 6.00 - Willing to take on market leaders. Cosmos Nights 10s , Ciotog 17s, Harlem Night 16s on the exchanges all have chances. Will split stakes with the first two. 

Cosmos Night 10s

Ciotog 17s

6.30 Wolves - Mr. Baloo can go in again. Hannon is spanking form and won this race before

Mr Baloo 2/1

7.00 Wolves - 

Antelope 6/1ew

7.30 Wolves - 

Kanghai 6/1

8.00 Wolves - 

Big Narstie 7/2

8.30 Wolves - 

Sir Lawerence Graff 3/1

Bet 30/03/2025

Two decent winners, but man Iberian and The Cursor both should have won for a cracking day. Over thought the handicaps.

3.40 - Trilby 16/1ew, Dark Thirty 11/1ew

4.15 - Stressfree 6/1. Crimson Road not the worst 33s you'll see

Too tired for any more.

Bets 29/03/2025

Doncaster

1.15 - Ahead of Fashion 66s, Archibald Ives 10s , Justice Twice 25s  from trainers who do well with 2year old at Doncaster with decent prices, but in big races like this where a Hannon horse opens fave I'm happy to blindly back it, especially as this one with Amo and the ped is strong. Keen to see how Lope Harswell runs. First runner from Lope Y Fernandez. Was 66/1 when opened. Had some coins on it.

Norman's Cay 11/4

1.50 - Tough one. No strong opinions either. Look Back Smiling could win b2b renewals but looking at stablemate One Night Thunder, if this bounces back to form, is going to be chucked in. Money come from 66s into 22s already, so is this a bullish sign? The better the ground, the better the chances for sure.  I think there will be a lot of pace down the middle and looking for one that has that extra distance form. Looking back at most winners they all had a go over longer. Bit of a dart but Deborah's Dream maybe the one that makes all and holds on. Again the better the ground the better then chance. I thought about Promethean but drawn 22 (1 in 27 wins)

One Night Thunder 22/1ew

Deborahs Dream 25/1ew

2.25 - I really want to back Spycatcher. On best form this one wins. 7 years old though and Burke form in pattern class at Doncaster not too appealing. So, looking for a 4 year old who still improving. Potentially it's James Delight but plumping for Iberian. Wind Op looks to have worked a treat and solid course winner

Iberian 13/2

3.00 - I thought about Checkandchallenge. If the ground was Good, I'd have gone in. Tough to split the top in market, but Dancing Gemini is taking step down in class. 2nd in French Guineas. Think ground will still have soft in it. Teal back in the winners enclosure yesterday.

Dancing Gemini 7/2

3.35 - Easy to get carried away with this race. I backed Thunder Run AP, but looking at trends, shrunk the list to Godwinson,  Native Warrior, Alpha Crucis, Dashing Darcey, Old Cock. Olivers is 6lb well in so on paper big chance. Native Warrior looked progressive last year and willing to ignore last race. Wootton Bassetts all good at Donny (4/13 in 4yr+ handicaps).

Native Warrior 10/1ew

4.10 - The Cursor 10/1ew

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Curragh

2.15 - Go Athletico 20/1ew. If recaptures previous form back at former stable can outrun odds for a place minimum.

Bets 28/03/2025

 Lingfield 4.32 - Commendation 8/1. Got two front runners today to make the pace.

Bets 26/03/2025

720/1 Treble yesterday. Happy days. Albeit 50p lines for fun.

6.00 Kempton - Standput 11/1ew 2

6.30 Kempton - Macedonian 5/1 2

7.00 Kempton - Roi De France 5/2 2

7.30 Kempton - Sweet Fantastic 7/2 3

8.00 Kempton - Collision 5/1 2

8.30 Kempton - Golden Flame 17/2 3

Bets 25/03/2025

 Chelts was a disaster. Meydan last few weeks not great either. Glad to see Hurricane Ivor bolt up at 20/1 at the weekend after following off cliff last year. FFS :)

4.43 Newcastle - Ana Emaraty 5/2.

Facts

Trainer Current SR: 63% (1st)

Trainer Course SR: 12% (2nd)

Jockey Current SR: 30% (2nd)

Jockey Course SR: 15% (1st)

Horse Course Form: 19% (2nd). 

All horse wins with jockey booked.

Subjective

Horse Handicap: 3lb well in

Horse Current Form: Won lto easily, only up 2lb

5.15 Newcastle - Eva Rosie / Violeta Rfc 40/1

Can't split them on current mark so go for the fun bet

6.45 Newcastle - Coramento 22/1ew

The 7lb claim has to do the trick. If it does can outrun 20s+

7.15 Newcastle - Pastoral Way 5/1

7.45 Newcastle - Henry Hawk 7/1

Bets 14/03/2025

 Chelts a waste of my life and money, but we have Meydan today!

1.20 - Lady Vega Allen 16/1

2.00 - Valgrand 8/1

2.40 - Dinoblue 6/5

3.20 - Jet Blue 8/1

4.00 - GDC

4.40 - Shearer 11/1

5.20 - Taponthego 10/1 (As its last race chuck two more darts Electric Mason 33/1, Tounsivator 50/1)

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2.05 - Al Arbed 7/2, Shuf Dubai 10/1

2.50 - Story of Light 16/1

3.25 - Alsayef 5/1

4.00 - Wesall 12/1, Rebaatt 20/1

4.35 - Lafthty 6/1

Bets 13/03/2025

 Yesterday reminded me, again, of why stopped punting on the jumps. No idea anymore. 

Punts made poolside with pina colodas. Not watching any of it 😅

1.20 Galileo Dame

2.00 Nurburgring

2.40 Bugise Seagull

3.20 Protektorat

4.00 lucky place

4.40 Jagwar

5.20 midnightbour fred

Bets 12/03/2025

Majborough blundered a win. Kool One was travelling okay till fell, Static outran 50s but lost out on places by 1 and Con Hill fell. One of those days, just glad the last won at 4s

1.20 - Final Demand 7/4

2.00 - Ballyburn 5/6

2.40 - Sandor Clegane 16/1, Might I 40/1

3.20 - The Goffer 20/1, Coko Beach 25/1

4.00 - Win £9k if Captain Guinness manages to wins this, but Solness 9/1ew appeals today.

4.40 - JPR One 12/1, Third Time Lucky 20/1

5.20 - Kalypso'Chance 11/2

Bets 11/03/2025

1.20 - Kopek Des Bordes Evs

2.00 - Majborough 4/7

I'm going to do a small double (1.20 Romeo Coolio / 2.00 L'eau Du Sud Top 2 Double)

2.40  Changing Man 7/1, The Short Go 12/1

3.20 - Majbourgh 4/7, cover with July Flower 11/1

4.00 - Constitution Hill 4/7

4.40 - Static 50/1ew, Kool One 50/1ew

5.20 - Haiti Colours 5/1, Gericault Roque 12/1

Bets 07/03/2025

Shocker at Meydan last week. In Sri Lanka for 3 weeks, so let's see how get on with punting.

2.50 Meydan - Sense of Wisdom 4/1 been ready to win last two runs. Just needs a clear run. Tadhg up this time to help steer home

4.00 Meydan - Mysterious Night 8/11 is short but should be winning this.

4.35 Meydan - Al Arbed 6/1ew, if can stay close to leaders has a chance up in trip.

5.10 Meydan - Backed Laneqash 16/1 and Padishakh 20/1 last time out. Back to 1m could suit. I think they are both well handicapped enough to go close on their day

6.00 Dundalk - Happy For Evva 14/1ew well handicapped over C&D. It's Dundalk though...

Bets 21/02/2025

Didn't get a chance to post last week as was at a conference but a cheeky 66/1ew with Al Salt was nice, although I backed it at 16s and was not BOG!

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1.30 - None of these are in particularly good form, nor really well handicapped on paper. If ignored current form, Condor Pasa, Maplewood and Mythical Dancer are of interest. The first two are similar in that ran decent races on last two turf starts but stinkers on dirt since then. Not sure how much more improvement could be from Maplewood, but perhaps Tudhope can eek out some. Condor Pasa is well handicapped on C&D form and now Nass is coming back to form could be interesting. Mythical Dancer is being brought back slowly by Seemar after chunks of time off the track, but put best forward and could win by a few. All 3 are risky :) 

Will back both Maplewood 15/2 and Condor Pasa 13/2. Split Stakes. Otn

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2.05 - Likely between the top 2 here, but Faal Khair, we know stays, and has come here instead of the Saudi Derby. Seems to be bit of money for it. Nothing other than this and Royal Favour seeing support at time of writing. Faal Khair 16/1ew

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2.40 - Two horses who run in the UK interest me most. Silver Sword and Padishakh. Silver Sword is really well handicapped on best form but not shown improvement out here and whilst best runs were on fast ground winning at York and Pontefract are not the same as winning at Meydan? Is it? Padishakh made up a lot of ground from the back lto. The race time was quick. If can build upon that race and doesn't get as far back I think Danny can get this home. Loves the fast ground. Emperor's Star is the obvious danger. Was trapped for a fair bit before getting out in the clear but did have his chance to win. Prefer Padishakh 16/1ew over 2/1 for the fave. Small rfc for banter.

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3.15 - Queen Azteca Evs. Can't see anything else winning this, but many unexposed here and up in trip, so nothing to go heavy on.

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3.50 - 5 horse race with a 4/11 fave. No thanks

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4.25 - Thought Book Review was going to hold on for a 40/1 win couple weeks back, but alas. From stall 10 could still get to the front but think stalls 8 & 9 will also try. Be annoyed if wins but leaving it today. Aldhaja won over C& from same stall in Dec with same jock. Stable still winning races. Up 5lb but doesn't look an overly competitive race, that said want to take a gamble on Al Maroom staying 10f. If stays can go really close. If was over 8f I'd be backing this. Such a crap race shouldn't be betting, but splitting stakes across Al Maroom 14/1 and Aldhaja 15/2

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5.00 - Don't think there's much improvement / if any with any of this lot other than Keffaaf, so for me it's about who turns up and runs best and what's the value. If Dubai Future turns up, wins, but not back an SBS horse in a long time. Goya Senora ran okay behind Keffaf but then ran badly lto. Caius wants slower ground. Can't back KoC to break Meydan curse, so leaves Keffaf and Onesmoothoperator. The latter was poor lto, but actually ran lame. Reunited with Connor who is riding well atm and won the northumberland plate on onesmoothoperator. Could be the reason for a poor show was the lame right leg? Let's take a punt on it. Onesmoothoperator 9/1ew

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5.35 - Pipes and Dreams fluffed the start last time and recovered to be second in the home straight still travelling well. Didn't stay. Has a low draw, so if can break cleanly can make all. Klimt Street dropped in trip for the first time I thought ran really well. Has run some decent races here over 7f, so if can apply more speed with a good claim will outrun odds. Pipes and Dreams 10/1ew and Klimt Street 28/1ew

Bets 07/02/2025

1.30 - Tafreej 20/1ew. Can't make a strong case for any of these. Hopefully Crowley got some confidence back after winning lto. Tafreej can make a suggestion has been unlucky in running last two turf runs. Didn't take to dirt and form before that was decent in the context of running from 85 today. Draw not great but is a hold up horse so can get a wide position to come from the back cleanly or will require a lot of luck in running.

2.40 - Symbol of Honour will put into an acca with Arabian Light in the 3.50. Top rated. Can't find anything on paper that might improve passed it. Form is rock solid.

3.50 - Silent Defence 50/1ew. Has been running really well in defeat. Might have been 9 lenghts of first conquest but it doesn't tell the story at all. Couldn't get out of traffic. Last off the bridle. Made headway and then hampered and pretty much pulled up. Ran well enough over 6f. Back to 9f it's s decent ew.

Sean 22/1ew been following closely and if money for it will have a dabble.

4.25 - Thunder of Niagara 8/1ew looks back to near his best. Tawalla is a decent marker for handicap at the moment and actually ties in with Silent Defence form above. Will need to be kept close the pace. 

Silkie Wilkie 28/1ew. Was really keen on this couple races back. If this shortens across the board will have a dabble. Is deffo well handicapped but ran two horrific races out here so had to play it.

5.00 - First Constitution 22/1ew will try to make all here. Was running in G1 over C&D couple years back. Blinkers back on, and ran a much improved race lto. If can step up again from that will have a decent chance.

Book Review 28/1ew always wins one a season. Not sure if will back it yet. Again will watch for some cash confidence. WIll try to make all with FC. Been running poorly of late and no sign of perking up, but last year wasn't either and pooped in a 20/1 win

5.35 - Assail 16/1ew will be one to watch. Looks progressive. If fit can win this.

Intricacy 40/1ew shouldn't be 40/1ew. If gets a decent pace and clear run can place at least.

Bets 31/01/2025

Actually turned out okay on the ews last week. Probably a faves day

R1 13.30 - Tough race with no stand outs. Backed Fall of Rome 11/1ew last time. Got a good break and tried to make it from the front as I expected and just started to hand under pressure, but held out for the place. Drop in trip to a distance has won at before and willing to punt at this price. Not much else can make a case for other than Mayaadeen, but Watson is 0/16 atm.

R2 2.05 - Can't see passed Mountain Breeze on paper, but not at 4/9 for me. Pocket Phone is probably overpriced at 100s but I'm just leaving this race. MB into an acca.

R3 2.40 - Estmar Evs wins on paper, with Undefeated big danger

R4 3.15 - These prices are not fun for me but again Romantic Style should win on paper. That said I'll take this on with Emaraty Ana 8/1ew Sure getting older now, but actually ran pretty well last week. Got too far behind and stormed home in similar times to the impressive West Acre. If doesn't get too far back might, just might upset RS. Haasim is a big price. Will think about it.

R5 3.50 - Another average handicap and again hard to make a case for much. If Magic Petition 14/1ew runs to the same level as two races ago will go close. Gamekeeper and MP will both try to win it from the front from their lows draws, so is a risk set it up for something else, but can't work out what. I like Welcome Dream but again, with Watson form can't do it. Could be Gamekeeper and Magic Petition 1-2 if no one catches them

R6 4.25 - First Conquest was mighty impressive time out, but willing to punt See Hector 13/2ew to turn the tables with a 7lb pull. Asassi looks like a weapon so a fun combi tricast with First Conquest, Asaasi and See Hector

R7 5.00 - Guns and Glory 2/1 just needs to win today. Can't have any excuses today. Tacitcal Bound has produced the best historic form but hasn't produced anything since was lame few races back

R8 5.35 - Al Qudra should beat Hallasan but I maybe might back the forecast or back Hallasan 3/1 at the price to come flying home late. TBC. Out of time to think.

Bets 24/01/2025

Decent last two weeks in meydan. Card looks amazing today, but not my cup of tea. No handicaps :( 

I'm playing small stakes looking for ew plays incase the obvious faves don't deliver but I shouldn't really play today :)

G2 Al Fahidi Fort - Make Me King 10/1ew

G3 Firebreak - Cagliostro 12/1ew

G2 Blue Point Sprint - Logo Hunter 33/1ew

G1 Al Maktoum Challenge - Imperial Emperor 7/1ew

G1 Jebel Hatta - Holloway Boy 22/1ew

G3 Al Shindagha Sprint - Colour Up 14/1ew

G3 Al Khail Trophy - Goya Senora 12/1ew

Bets 23/01/2025

 2.48 Gowran Park - Nick Rockett 4/1 and Macs Charm 25/1ew. 8lenghts of winning last year 6lb lower. Opened 66/1 couple days back....

Bets 17/01/2025

 Decent Meydan last week inc a 16/1 winner (albeit had a r4).

Meydan

2.05 - Mount K unlucky not to win last week. Has form on turf so can go close again today. Poster Paint looks so obvious on paper but worried about the blow out Seemar had last week. Age of Baroque flopped lto, but potentially well handicapped. Athan interesting. Ajwad is surely too old now to be at peak, but at peak would win this. Trappy so I split 1 bet across all three.

Mount K 6/1 win

Poster Paint 10/1win (sml)

Age of Baroque 25/1win (cover)

2.40 - Can't back any SBS horses until see winners. Bold Style and Regheeb likely winners but willing to take two outsiders who can excel over C&D. 

Tamborrada 16/1ew

Al Salt 40/1ew

3.15 - If Seemar's horses run well in earlier races I'll back Ranchero 12/1ew. If not nothing else I like in this.

3.50 - Al Arbed 4/1

5.35 - Castlewarden is Laurel River brother and interesting to see in a handicap first up. Doesn't look well handicapped but if have the class of LR, well then it's game over. Mubakker and Meshakel can go close on best form, but El Nasseb is running off a good mark based on last run

El Nasseb 11/4

Mubakker 16/1 (sml)

6.10 - Another difficult one to call. Based on penultimate runs:

Delorean 12/1

Shamran 16/1

Bets 10/01/2025

Decent ew with Supersundae. Only one winner at Meydan last week and week before think was a whitewash. Card no easier this week.

1.30 Heart of Honour has a good chance but not sure can bet at the price. Too many could improve past.

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2.05 - Trappy race. Story of Light 16/1ew on best form wins but think has likely regressed. 11lb lower than this time last year but I think ran better lto than in a similar race this time last year so has a chance. Magsood 10/1ew  might be second string but on paper looks better handicapped than Molaqab who on paper has needed runs after long breaks, but if fit will go very close. Hassim was interesting also, but left it with two.

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2.40 - Gamekeeper and Welcome Dream will both try to win from the front and the likely winners, but I like Barq Al Emarat 14/1ew. Ran well enough behind Welcome Dream lto and the likely pace could set this up nicely. The problem is Sandro Paiva. Just don't think the jockey is good enough, but at the price willing to punt it. Gamekeeper 3/1 gets a cover.

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3.15 - Symbol of Honour 6/4, but West Acre also looks solid.

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3.50 - Made a case for 10 of these so probably should avoid. Arabian Light 13/8 is likely the group horse in a handicap and should just stick with this but of all the others Western Writer 22/1ew(NR) worth a small ew. Alfareeq on best form was the danger, but not sure can back horse steered by Crowley atm

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4.25 - Surprising to see many of these in a handicap....

At the weights then I expect to see Guns and Glory 4/1 to turn the tables with Mendelssohn Bay, although it's very risky as MB will also likely improve for the last run. Will probably do a MB-GaG fc. If Nevershow Weakness wins at 16s today I'll cry. First Constitution on form years back was tempting but nto sure can back it on current form.

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5.00 - Everything is in shocking form, but Tawalla 5/2 now has no excuses

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5.35 - Similar to 3.50 where can make a case for many. Regal Connection 2/1 should win a race like this off this mark and New Comedy 16/1ew who I thought had a solid ew few weeks back gets another chance. Valvida was tempting also.

Bets 05/01/2025

 1.55 Naas - Not impressed with Jasmin's jumping. Form looks good but at this price keen to take on. Butch Cassidy interesting. Last year's winning Reading Tommy by Authorized was the Mullins outsider. Supersundae 25s the Mullins outsider also by Authorised looks a decent ew. Authorized decent record with stakes hurdles here. Ran a decent race in the Supreme over too short. Down in class lto but romped even though keen. Could see at furlong pole gave couple taps and then was off. So will have the stamina for a battle tomorrow. Half brother to Supasundae who is a G1 Hurdles winner over 2m4f also. Seeing lots of money. Managed to get 25s yesterday. Money either confidence or the syndicate is getting giddy.

Bets 03/01/2025

1.30 - 15 runner turf handicap. happy days. Endless Victory likely winner. Looks unexposed and if tries to make all, I'm not sure anything is likely to go with it. Could hack up. Given the likely lack of pace from anything other than Endless Victory, Blue Trail who broke the track record could try to come from stall 15 and sit behind Endless Victory. This could make things very interesting... For all that I'm not sure on reason was sold etc and why bottom of the market.

Silver Sword is very interesting on best form. Intricacy is also very interesting back to 10f. Was a really impressive win from off the pace and if in the same form could give Endless something to think about.

Likely winner: Endless Victory 7/4

Solid E/W: Intricacy 16/1ew

Wild Shot: Blue Trail 25/1ew

Not decided how will bet the race yet :)

2.05 - Smart thing to do here is follow the form of Imperial Emperor. Leaves you with Laasudood and Khanjar. Imperial Emperor ran faster when beating Khanjar, who also looked a bit difficult in the home straight, than when beating Laasudood who has now also gone up 5lb since. I like neither jockey so assuming they both run to their best going for the bigger priced one as first bet.

Khanjar 12/1ew

Laasudood 5/1

2.45 - Silky Wilkie's price looks too big on best form. Will that form translate to Meydan, not sure, but no reason why can't especially with Burke in decent form.

Silky Wilkie 9/1ew

3.55 - Something about Ottoman Fleet and Meydan doesn't work. Even though OF beat Poker Face in the Sefton many years back I think at 1m, Poker Face is better.

Poker Face 11/2ew

4.30 - Tuz just wins.

5.05 - Hallasan should just win.

5.40 - Assuming King of Conquest stays should just win

No singles on the last 3. Only playing a treble.