Bets 11/08/2025

 Windsor 7.10

Chief Mankato 10/1ew (8/11) & Change Signs 15/2ew (8/11)

Missed the break lto and had traffic issues, yet gets a 6lb pull with Badri and is double the price. Channon stable back into form and a 42% SR in August at Windsor enough for me to hit the button. Amazonian Dream has plummeted in the weights but has shown nothing of late and don't like the stats. Woolhampton is interesting but think will hit traffic all day long being held up from that draw. The other which difficult to ignore is Change Signs. The form behind Circe over C&D is decent enough. It's run in a G3 at Sandown shows potentially is ahead of mark and I'd just ignore the run lto in the Racing league with cheekpieces on. Was supposed to win at 2/1. The rfc pays 80/1 for those who play loose change on these.

Bets 09/08/2025

Ascot - Shegar Cup is generally one to avoid, but given 3 I think have chances are ridder by Jo or Hollie (only two racing here today with course form, it's worth a go). Sadly, like Haydock no big prices.

2.10 Ascot Handicap - La Vita Nova 4/1 (8/11)

Ran really well in the Curragh stayers handicap and improved last even though running over too shorter distance. Harrington won the race two years back, is in great form and is 2/2 with first time cheekpieces in the last couple years. Only Hollie and Jo have experience of Ascot and Hollie rides this....

3.20 Ascot Handicap - Zayer 7/1ew (6/11)

Opened 11/1 so missed the juicer price but still think there is some value left in the price. Ran a cracker in the Holyroodhouse at Royal Ascot. Step up in trip was a good one. Back to Ascot in a much easier race. Jo Mason onboard. Has an 11lb pull with Prince of India and I'm not sure that's enough to turn the tables, but given the jockey onboard, willing to risk Jo can help turn the tables.

4.30 Ascot Handicap - Treasure Time 11/2ew (8/11)

Hasn't found form this season, and when it does it is going to win a decent handicap / big prize pot (this is a big prize pot). This one has also been backed a fair bit already, and the stats are decent with this one.

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Haydock - No major trends to assess today and I can't find any big price value on the card

2.25 Haydock Non Handicap - Protest 4/1 (8/11)

Improving rapidly. Varian won this twice before.

3.00 Haydock Non Handicap - Royal Dubai 5.1 Exchanges (9/11)

Royal Dubai was an impressive winner LTO. Burrows targets this race and does well with his LTO winner. Jockey/Trainer combo in fields of less than 12 is a whopping 7/9 wins....

5.20 Haydock Handicap - Hawksbill 5/1 (8/11)

The form behind Luther over C&D means this one on a going day is going to win this. Given Palmer still in good form , has won this race before and now second race post gelding op, seems the perfect time to recapture form

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Newmarket

3.07 Newmarket Handicap  - Righthere Rightnow 11/2ew (8/11)

Took a while to get going LTO, but finished well and was a return to form. Is a C&D winner and if runs anything like that could be tough to beat. The price has been nicked on this already as well. Very annoying.

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Curragh

4.35 Curragh - The Highway Rat 7/1ew (2/11)

If runs to C&D mark from that G2 will win this. Only meets 2 of normal 11 markers, but 1 of them is a max. Be warned!!!

5.05 Curragh - Rappell 7/1ew (6/11)

Ran really well over C&D and also LTO over too short. Trainer comes in in good enough form, draw is decent and rest of field relatively average

Bets 07/08/2025

After some tricky handicaps  just some small punts to keep interest until better racing returns

2.20 Notts - Yazaman 10/1

Decent C&D winner on very winnable mark

5.30 Chepstow - Adison Grey 4/1

Likely quite far ahead of opening mark.

7.00 Chepstow - Be Frank 8/1

In good form, likes straight tracks, should have won lto and Saffie knows how to ride this track.

8.30 Chepstow - Austrian Theory 14/1

Likes undulating tracks. Should have won a handicap this season and I think can ff this mark. Easterby and Allan go well enough here

Bets 02/08/2025

Ardestia! I knew was decent. Wish delivered when backed it as 70s! Anyhow onwards. Good to get 2 decent winners on the board after some shocking days.

1.55 Goodwood - Subsequent 11/1ew (5), Feigning Madness 12/1ew (5) (Split stakes)

Runs well after a short breaks and goes on this ground. Balding placed in this race 3/5. Is well handicapped looking at that Ascot run. Stays all you need. The risk is if fooks the start. If doesn't and races prominently can win this. I like Master Builder, but not sure will stay fully at this distance on slow ground. Feigning Madness, highly tried in ground races. 16f was too far. 12f was too short. Running 14f today...

3.05 Goodwood - Completely Random 12/1ew (5), Strike Red 14/1ew (6) (Split stakes)

The draw has got me this week so picking one either side. Completely Random meets trends and gets a good pull with Eljomed. Whelan has ridden it to all 3 wins and low draw dominated on Day 4. Strike Red is just in great form and as I'm backing CR given the pull gets with this that I have to back it from the high draw

3.45 Goodwood - Headmaster 10/1ew (6), The Waco Kid 25/1ew (5) (Split stakes)

I thought Headmaster would be close to fave here. Chucked in on paper based on formlines. Enthusiam is massively tempered with the jockey. Not sure who it is.... The Waco Kid is much riskier. Has to bounce back to form, but if does could make all here and not be caught 

4.05 Thirsk - Darkness 11/1ew (5)

If bounces back to form showed over C&D couple months back can win this

4.55 Goodwood - Killybeg Warrior 33/1ew (6)

On best form this is the best on the going and distance. Ran okay in the Chesterfield Cup last year when running for MJ. Didn't stay the 1m2f. Down 1f, perhaps ground will have dried out more by end of day and can get home. Running off 10lb lower than that. Ran well last time out so hopefully can build on it.

Bet 01/08/2025

Keeping it simple today. Didn't even bother with trends or draw assessment. Goodwood not working out this year :)

Could have got some decent prices if was on the ball earlier when ground turned heavy.  

1.20 Goodwood - Tashkhan 8/1ew

Love soft. Runs well fresh. Can win off this mark.

2.30 Goodwood - Rhoscolyn 12/1ew

Multiple C&D winner on heavy. Ran well enough from poor draw lto. Assuming no worse for it has a great chance in these conditions

3.05 Goodwood - Kerdos 9/1ew

I have Asfoora 8/1 AP and soft no issue. Think the one to beat still but like Kerdos chances. In good form as is Cox and goes in the ground fine. Clarendon House may be a big ew play.

3.45 Goodwood - Carrytheone 9/1ew

Only Liberty Lane is as good on this ground.

4.20 Goodwood - Game Striker 20/1ew

C&D winner and ped says will like soft. I backed Ardisia 70s lto and was potentially really unlucky. Put a small cover on this.

4.55 Goodwood - Ride The Thunder 10/1ew

Decent formlines. Will like the ground and step up

Bets 31/07/2025 - Not So Glorious Goodwood Day 3

 Not sure would have picked many of these winners on Day 2, even in hindsight. 

1.20 - Want a low drawn horse who is prominent. Ersnt Blfeld 25s, is one and the other is Janey Makers. Going for Janey Makers 18/1ew as ran pretty well at goodwood over C&D lto. Missed the break and was running on slower pat of track. Run in Listed twice so obviously rate the horse. Is a bit of juice in her mark. 

1.55 - Coppull 7/2

3.05 - Whirl 11/10

3.45 - Marty Hopkirk 15/2ew. Meets trends. In very good form. Good draw. Prominent runner. Unexposed. Good chance. Wanted to back Nad Alisha Green, but Appelbys horses not running well at Goodwood last couple days.

4.20 - Goldwork 15/2ew. Meets trends. Solid course winner. Eve had two decent winners at GG already. Stellar Sunrise just franked form. Vicotrious One the big danger.

5.30 - Antipodes 8/1ew. Looks well treated and form is working out well

Bets 30/07/2025 - Glorious Goodwood Day 2

Total whitewash. Happens. Didn't expect it. Went with Tony M in the first. Can't find any obvious excuses. Didn't pick but called out Naqeeb 28s and Silawi 18s as ones considered as met trends but Westridge was far too good backed from 22s overnight. Laureate missed the break, Kinross was my best result of the day being a NR. M Appleby's string all ran poorly.

1.20 - Sudu 5/1ew.

Meets the trends. 2lb ahead of handicapper officially, but likely more watching it's win lto. Form of Newbury pretty good. Varian won 2 renewal of this from 3 runners. He also in good nick and his record with lto winners based on this horse profile is over 50%.

Cape Breton, Novelista and Mdawi also met all trends applied.

1.55 - Arabian Dusk 14/1ew

Backed lto. Coming strongly enough but couldn't pick up. I think can get 7f. Pretty strong on ratings for the price.

2.30 - Military Code 7/2

One to beat.

3.45 - Wonder Star 9/1ew.

Wonder Star, Wisper and Patagonia Girl meet the trends applied. I probably missed the value with Wisper but hasn't won of a mark this high before so leaving it.

Wonder Star beat Spirited Style at Ascot by 3lengths. That horse is now rated 106. Even though didn't run that well lto, was some encouragement. Haggas does well with handicap debutants and gotta love Sea the Stars at Goodwood. Think we'll see this horse at Royal Ascot next year. 

4.55 - Diamondonthhill 33/1ew

Ideally you want to be drawn 10 and below. I do wonder with the draw bias today though if anyone is brave enough to move over to grab it in this 7f race. Would only make sense for higher drawn horses to attempt this though.

Native Warrior, Diamondonthehill, Rosycolyn, Physique and Signature Castle meet all trends applied. I can make a strong case for 4 of these, but plumping for the biggest price one. A super consistent horse. Proven at the track. Meets the trends and stable had a 25/1 winner here on Day 1. Jockey is a worry even though takes 5lb claim. I did watch a couple of here rides, and I think she's fine. She won a G1 with JOB in Ireland last month. 

Bets 29/07/2025 - Glorious Goodwood Day 1

1.20 Goodwood - Tony Montana 11/1ew

Naqeeb meets trends but not sure distance is right, though might be one flying home late. Grey Cuban stable in form and meets trends also. Masoun meets trends but JOB no wins here. Silawi is tempting but landed on Tony Montana. Meets the trends, stable in good form and had success in this race. No idea why ran at RA over 8f after two very decent handicap runs. Couple of very solid C&D runs, both with Egan onboard. Form with Thunder Run ties with Nabeeq and this one better on paper so hopefully Tony Montana can be our 'Little Friend'

1.55 Goodwood - Laurete Crown 11/1ew

Got the draw. Decent debut. Palmer in good nick. Had one go very close at 14s last year in this who wasn't as good on paper

2.30 Goodwood - Kinross 5.6

Decent record in the race and ran a stormer lto. Auidence cheekpieces a worry and Noble Champion looks the biggest danger, but 3year olds a 1/22 in the race. Tough one.

3.45 Goodwood - Shagraan 8.6, Dream Composer 22/1ew

Shagraan solid CD performer and well handicapped based on last two runs.

Dream Composer harder to explain as no trends for this race, but when OR of 93 and under is 2 wins, 4 places from 7 runs He also got a 5lb claim who has won at the track before.

4.20 Goodwood - Yorkshire Pud 12/1ew

I remember Big Mojo winning at Molecolmbe at 25/1 after an average debut. Big Evs similar average debut and then won the Windsor Castle at 20/1. Does lightening strike thrice? If any good then the 100/1 for the Gimcrack is going to look decent. Is entered in the Richmond Stakes later in week but this is more winnable. 

4.55 Goodwood - Mahras Love 6.1

Fancies a few for this, but the ped swung it and Haggas won this twice before. Improving horse that knows how to win.

5.30 Goodwood - Harvanna 10/1ew

Back in good form for yard who won this last year

Bets 26/07/2025

Oromulu 100% should have won yesterday. Conor has done the horse over twice now over C&D (as far as I'm concerned)

2.00 York Skybet Dash.

• Those that meet race trends applied are Elmonjed, Jubilee Walk, Aleezdancer and Indian Run.
• Over C&D on Friday those drawn low dominated (3,5,2,4 draw finishing positions). It may mean they all come over and gets crowded.
• I expect Jungle Drums to storm out from stall 1 and make all, setting up those drawn low even better.

Aleezdancer 12/1. Meets all the trends, drawn low, is in stonking form and is a C&D winner off this mark. Stott on fire atm and knows Alzeezdancer well having won 5 times on it so everything set up again for a win.

Rousing Encore 14/1. I'm trying not to make this an emotive bet as should have won at Epsom earlier in the year and cost me a decent pot. A really good C&D win at the Ebor earlier this year. Defo got more improvement in him as showed at Epsom when should have hosed up.

Elmonjed looks an obvious pick as has strong stats all rounds and meets all the trends. As Angus Gold says, he is going to pop up and win a decent handicap. At 5/1 with first time cheekpieces it's enough for me to leave it.

Korker ties in with the RE formline and a massive danger if starts well, but given the draw happy to skip it.

3.00 Ascot International Stakes

• Those that meet race trends applied are Golden Mind, Akkadian Thunder, Oliver Show, Yorkshire, 
• Typically stands side is fastest unless they screw around with watering. Going stick says it's faster so high will have an advantage
• I expect Noble Truth and Northern Express to be the pace and they are drawn 18 and 19 so further setting up those drawn high.

 

Akkadian Thunder 20/1 - For those who follow my blog based on formlines 20/1 was a joke. Market has found it now and it's not as appealing at 6/1, but has the drawn and meets all the trends. O'Meara does my head in thought and has 3 all drawn high. Lord Bertie may well be able to turn the tables with AT.

Billyjoh 10/1. Unlucky in the Bunbury Cup. Maybe should have beaten Akkadian at Doncaster. No chance at Ascot from the draw. Appleby going okay, and had Billy won any of those three races would meet all the trends. 

Golden Mile - 35+ on Exchanges. Could have won the Chesham. Nearly won a big pot at Epsom. Can't find a massive excuse for lto, but if repeats Epsom form given C&D capabilty and that meets the trends is worth a pop

Oliver Show is well handicapped on that Bahrain form and surely is going to win big pot soon, but first time blinkers + current yard form is slightly off putting, but no surprise if went close.

Aalto has a chance on paper but looks too short especially if I'm right about the draw.

I don't think Yorkshire can turn the tables on Akkadian Thunder.

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2.40 Ascot - Bella Lyra - 7/1

3.35 Ascot - Bullet Point 9/2

4.25 York - Yasser 15/2

Bets 25/07/2025

DRAFT 

York 5.30 - Ormulu 16/1. Should have won lto. Seen the race a few times now. I'm not sure I should be backing it again as stable form has slipped and now no longer drawn as well, but either they are plotting this for something bigger or was just unlucky for an entire minute lto and can make amends

Bets 24/07/2025

 Only just watched the Super Sprint back. Wow Ardesia who backed at 70s was potentially really unlucky. Anyhow it's the result that matters! Someone asked me about who i'd pick for Racing League. I've skimmed through quickly for them. 

5.40 Yarmouth - Sword of Wessex 16/1 

If the gelding op and headgear work is well handicapped. Ped on soft no issue

6.10 Yarmouth - Wreck it Ryley 16/1

Acts on soft and in flying form.

6.40 Yarmouth - Atlantic Gamble 13s Ex

Stats are strong. C&D winner in decent form

7.10 Yarmouth - El Boden 7.8s Ex

Massive race first run of season. Goes well on soft. Stable in good form. If recaptures historic form can go close off a dangerous mark.

7.40 Yarmouth - King of Bears 11.5 Ex

No form on soft, but ped says will improve on it. The fact stays 6f will help on 5f soft. Stats look good enough

8.40 Yarmouth - Epictetus 9/1

Looks well handicapped

Tips will soon be going up here. Few other incredible and consistent tipsters in here.

https://discord.gg/FsJUfdBe

Bets 20/07/2025

 Best decision not to touch racing yesterday. Just couple small bets tomorrow. Nothing strong. Nothing till Ascot after today and then all focus on Goodwood

Curragh 1.15 - Dawn Spirit 10/1, Presence 18/1

Curragh 4.15 - Billie Be Quick 10/1

Bets 19/07/2025

Not bad from Northern Ticker yesterday at a big price.

Tread carefully with the rain....Part of me is thinking DO NOT BET.

2.00 Curragh - Greek Flower 16/1

Big Gossey is a decent place prospect. At 8 I just don't know if can eek out more improvement to win. It's also putting a few of these out the handicap including Greek Flower. Greek Flower's draw is annoying to me as hard to get cover and is no pace drawn low. Draw aside with a decent 7lb is handicapped to win and can turn the tables with Big Gossey in last years race.

2.57 Newbury - Kind of Blue 13/2

I was a massive believer of Kind of Blue last year and glad got it's group 1. I don't think I've backed it this year, but the price is decent enough to chance it. Just assume didn't take to Tapeta. No G1 penalty. Fanshawe does well in this race. Best horse in field on day and if goes soft will have no issues. This is still very risky given current form....

3.30 Newbury - Ardsia 70s (exchanges)

Hurricane Havana obviously the one to beat but assuming starts okay I think can massively outrun price. Stable firing, good form in books, Palmer first time gelding is decent and strong on trends also. Pedigree for this C&D not great but at the prices not quibbling. 

Leaving it here. I think I'll regret looking for winners tomorrow with the pending rain and not knowing what it will do to the ground. Not worth it. Rain screwed me enough over the years. Finally learning my lesson :)

Bets 18/07/2025

 Lunar should have won yesterday. Travelling today so not going to look at cards whish is shame as looks decent.

6.35 Hamilton - I backed Northern Ticker 16s, but I wanted a closer look at Strike Red, Venture Capital (who backed lto) and Bererac. Not sure will get a chance though :(

Bets 17/07/2025

 Oasis won yesterday, but for some reason didn't back the 10/3 single just the double. Anyhow, poor racing again today.

3.22 Hamilton - Sallaal Evs - Best horse in race. Stats and form good. Still hold a G2 entry Hopefully English Oak doesn't revive to form.

3.55 Hamilton - Lunar Eclipse 11/2. In good form and if doesn't hang this time can go very close. Down in class, stats good enough.

5.10 Leicester - Qaaedd 4.8.

Bets 16/07/2025

 3.20 Bath - Sisters in the Sky 8.1

Openish race, but solid C&D win couple runs back. Stumbled out stalls lto, so ignore it. Harris runs 3 in the race, but assume Ray chosen this one.

Might be worth a small double with her runner in the last at Bath Oasis Dream 30/1 double

Bets 15/07/2025

Racing so bad atm, made me look forward.

International Handicap 26th July - Akkadian Thunder 20/1

Big over reaction pushing this out to 20s. Billyjoh 3rd in the Bunbury Cup and Never So Brave winning a G2 all franking the form of the Buckingham Palace. Draw, ground, jockey choice, trainer form, can all play a major part in the race and are right now all unknown, but if this turns up to the race can see it being single figure price. Be interesting if English Oak lined up...

Bets 12/07/2025

War Hawk drifted like lost a leg. Ormolulu drifted like lost a leg and was given a highly suspect ride. Was cruising, could have won, but was purposely put behind horses several times in the home straight. Spicy Marg was a daft bet knowing was going to be hard to beat the fave. Darkness, well typically the other O'Meara horse was looking at wrong. Castan was sooooo close. Anyhow....

Dain Me Nut In bolted in so all good yesterday. 

2.22 Ascot - Never So Brave 9/4 

Solid winner at the festival for me. Looks difficult to beat. Hope Quddwah doesn't decide to bounce back to form

2.35 York - Rosy Affair 22/1

Looks to be improving still and have this down as 100+ rated at least. As went to hit bet slip went from 25 to 22. Annoying.

2.50 Newmarket - Run Boy Run 11.5, Akkadian Thunder 7.0 cover only

Won the far side race at Ascot when drawn wrong. Was first run of season when just beaten by More Thunder. C&D winner. Wish Spencer was in better form, but think still better value than MT.

Given the formlines I also did a Never So Brave/Akkadian Thunder 18/1 double

3.10 York - Naqeeb 11.5, Fox Legacy 11.5 cover only

Tough race for a 3year old. Naqeeb is strong on trends and form for me. Camacho flying. Only thing bugging me is draw, but think good enough o win this. Fox Legacy fits trends and won very easily in penultimate race. Ran well enough at Ascot drawn wrong and might be drawn badly again, but okay with it.

York 4.15 - Dacres Cross 9/1

Ryan 3/4 in the race. Has been short price every one of it's 3 runs. Looked pretty good fto. 

4.35 Newmarket - Flora of Bermuda 7.6, Symbol of Honour 11.6

Can't split them so did 45/1 rfc also

4.45 York - Terrorise 8.5

Looks  much improved horse after spell over hurdles. Ran in a c2 flat handicap and a g1 hurdles. surely must be showing something? Anyhow was staying on well lto in a realistic race. Wish Ellison was in better form but this looks the value in the race

4.50 Ascot - Redorange 5/1

Only draw beats this. Solid form. Cox in form and won the race before. Holkham the fave was an unlucky 33/1 for me at the festival but over further. Think needs the distance.

5.25 York - Fiscal Policy 16/1

I was going to back Juan Les Pins who should have won for me lto. Didn't back when was 11/2 and now 3/1. So want to get it beat now :) I looked at Good Earth, Iris Dancer and Fiscal Policy all have chances. Think the draw makes it harder for Good Earth and Iris Dancer, so in on Fiscal Policy

7.00 Hamilton - Infinity Blue 8/1

Camacho flying and is 30% first headgear. Stiff track 6f looks a good placement

Bets 11/07/2025

Hmm. Crest was backed into fave as was Wheres Freddy. Got the value with both but not the results. We keep going. Played my stakes so that 1 winner from the below gives me profit. 2 and laughing. 

2.10 York - Ormolulu 11/1

Down in class up, up in trip which will suit and posted career best lto so in decent nick. 

2.45 York - Arabian Dusk 10/1

Best horse in race. Nearly won the Sandy Lanes. Back in G3. I was hoping to see this one in the July festival having won the DoC last year at the festival.

3.55 York - Dain My Nut In 14/1

Back to form. Should be a c2 handicap winner. Back to good ground. I think will stay fine. 

5.07 York - Castan 10/1

Very consistent, down in grade, can go close.

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1.50 Newmarket - Warn Hawk 11/2

Still improving

2.25 Newmarket - Spicy Marg 12/1

Tough to beat the fave but her debut was very good and apaz was in season at Ascot.

3.00 Newmarket Real Dream 9/1

Endless Victory should win this, but when Real Dream runs it's race it's solid. Well handicapped.

4.45 Newmarket - Darkness 16/1

I struggle with O'Meara horses but at this price willing to gamble. Decent C&D winner, won very easily two races ago and generally runs poorly at Epsom like lto. Time to bounce back please :)

Bets 10/07/2025

Been back to the office this week after 6 weeks off. Two whitewashes on the horses this week. Coincidence? Or maybe this is a sign I need to stay at home focus on the racing and be a professional gambler instead :) Imagine.

1.50 Newmarket -

Watched the Vase back couple of times and Scandy comes out on but AOB doesn't have a strong record with 3year olds at the track. I'm just leaving the race.

2.25 Newmarket - 

Can't pick between Maximised and Brussels. At the prices no stress for me not to play this race either.

3.00 Newmarket - Crestofdistinction 12/1 Antepost Main bet. Realign small cover

Rossa will try to make all. I backed this couple days back but can still get 9/1. It's 10lb well in! It's good to have a lightweight in these races. Many dangers in here and maybe Realign is biggest threat.

3.35 Newmarket - 

Another small race and see little value again. I was really keen on Ghostwriter at Ascot and probably the one I like most. Might put in an acca, but no singles for me.

4.45 Newmarket - Royal Playwright 6/1

I don't have a big angle on this race, but I do think if RP doesn't hang this time can go close. Took a big step fwd last time against elders in a g3. Balding is doing pretty well in the big races this year.

5.20 Newmarket - Waiting All Night 14/1 main bet. Where's Freddy 12/1 small cover

Both have solid C&D form. You see many horse flop on the undulations here. Not these two.

Doncaster 4.55  Scatter Penny 16/1 running again. Message from Easterby says "all been well!!!!!!!!!!!!' Not seen a text from to the syndicate like this before...followed by a "let's do it" Hmm.... Anyway put some money on at 16/1 let's wait for his verbal update tomorrow before anymore goes on it. He seems confident.

Bets 09/07/2025

Another Portman 2year old ensured up for the day on singles. Of course had an acca an so lost a small bit overall. I can't crack O'Meara. Always been a challenge. I knew shouldn't have backed Rousing. Stable form should have ruled over chasing a previous loss. 

Pretty poor racing again today, but Island Hopping does seem big at 10s. Much better racing tomorrow

2.20 Catterick - Langholm 4/1

Sort of conditions needs to win. Back in form, good claim, solid consistent course form and Dods winning a few.

3.50 Catterick - Lunar Force 14/1

Very speculative here. Think the step up in trip is going to suit and on some of 2 year old form at the course could outrun odds.

6.00 Fairyhouse - Island Hopping 10/1

3 year olds have a good record in this as does AOB. With the weight allowance is top rated. It was fave to beat Garden of Eden prior to Ascot and Wootton Bassett has the best ped for this C&D/going against the field.

7.20 Kempton - Molten Sea 7/2

Should have won lto. Front two miles clear of rest. Decent stats. Kingdom of Stars the obvious danger.

8.55 Kempton - Kurios George 6/1

This is interesting as Tate is 27% with 4year olds here. Horse does not look good, but Tate is in decent form and the other trainers are all a bit flaky at the moment. I normally wouldn't bet a horse without some sort of form on show, but let's see what happens.

Played a 10/1 placed treble with Langholm, Island Hopping and Molten Sea

Bets 08/07/2025

As I expected the ground didn't help We Still Believe. Came full of running but doesn't like it soft. I thought Red Mirage was getting there but emptied quickly and those that came off the pace did much better then those who chased it. Baba missed the break but not sure would have won. Will wait for Chelmsford for Baba. Anyway I said I shouldn't bet yesterday but I did and had a total whitewash. Fool.

2.10 Pontefract - Sparkling Pink 10/3

Looks on a good mark. Portman 2year olds always interesting

3.10 Pontefract - Julia Augusta 12/1

Ran better than most realise at Ascot. O'Meara 21% with first time tongue tie so knows what he is doing. Decent record in the race also. Charlotte's Web the main danger.

Charlotte Web / Julia Augusta rfc 40/1

3.40 Pontefract - Rousing Encore 4/1

Was a big screw up for me last time out on Derby Day Busted a huge treble and should have won. Unfortunately stable has dropped out of form so it's a risky play for me.

Bets 07/07/2025

I backed We Still Believe last night on assumption ground will be good, but latest update is that it's good to soft, soft in places (esp up home straight). I don't think that's good for it's chances, but seems to have been backed into 12/1 overnight, so who knows.

Annoying Saturday. Ews acca saved me but all singles lost.

Not a day to be betting and throwing your money away. Got the July meeting and a massive Saturday ahead so spare your coins...

2.00 Ayr - We Still Believe 20/1

Not sure why last year's winner is 20/1. Same mark same draw, same form coming into the race, other than lto on soft ground, screwed the start and couldn't get involved. I'm drawing a line through it. I'm not convinced can win as two big dangers, but if they flop and the ground is good tomorrow, well, you never know.

2.30 Ayr- Red Mirage 11/2 

Another highly competitive race and another I'll draw a line through on last race. Stall 12 Chester, not worth trying sometimes. Ran well on seasonal debut and all those who finished ahead had runs this season. Mark is dropping and it's going to win one day soon. Hopefully today.

3.00 Ayr - Baba Reza 18/1

Highly speccy. Was waiting for this one to pop up at Chelmsford, but I think this was making good headway from back lto at Chester before massively hampered. I think is on a winnable mark, the softer ground should help considering previous comments from trainer. 

7.30 Ripon - Sea Regal 11/2

Back to form lto, course winner, and well handicapped on best form. O'Meara started hitting winners and won this race 3 times before.

Bets 05/07/2025

Well, Pearl of Windsor was not a gift and was too good to be true. Head carriage was all over the shot, so I might give it another go esp if pops up at Epsom. Stupidly played 3pts. Haven't done that in a while a big slap to the face as a reminder why not! Also a reminder yesterday of why I don't back too many favourites....

1.50 Sandown - Shagraan 11/1

Looks overpriced to me. Should have won the C&D Bet365 handicap last year. Back to very best form and MA's horses are coming into form. I think Sha is more like a 105 horse and if still improving can go close. Draw okay as long as doesn't try to run through field....

2.25 Sandown - Treasure Time 7/2

Was looking for a big price winner. Can't make a case for one. Both Greek Order and Treasure Time meet trends but given Haggas won this twice before going with TT.

3.15 Haydock - Stressfree 10/1

Decent win for me lto over C&D. Won with a lot more in the tank. Last of the bridle coming pretty much last to first. Obviously more competitive this time round and needs to make sure Box to Box doesn't get too far ahead to reel in.

3.50 Haydock - Juan Les Pins 15/2

Back to form lto, albeit not a clear run. Well backed also. Best handicapped horse on best form is this one

4.55 Haydock - Sea Baaeed 10/1

If you use El Matador as a marker is well handicapped. Hughes is 23% with first time geldings an also 2/2 in this race.

Bets 04/07/2025

Up on singles yesterday but of course punted accas, so ended day down :)

Sick with myself here backing so many faves. Pearl of Windsor looks like a Xmas gift.

3.00 Sandown - Staya 11/8

 

Best horse in race, best form, and Scott is 1/1 in the race.

3.35 Sandown - Peal of Windsor 7.8

C&D winner. Look at last race over CD. Handicapper cannot have screwed up the ratings of 6 horses in the same race. Looks thrown in here of 84. Ran a blinder in the race but was stuck behind horses so the result was no fluke. Conrad last 3 runner 15/2 15/2 11/2 winners..... Surely this is too good to be true?

It's being well backed now which is annoying as looking for a solid double. Hoping it drifts tomorrow, but I can't see why it would based on my view above

6.05 Haydock - Kingmaker 13/8

Down in class, up in trip. The right favourite.

6.40 Haydock - Romantic Spirit 11/4

Improving. Mensiuer some good stats here with horses who won lto. Rest of field doesn't look great to me. 

8.00 Beverley - Tara Iti - 11/4

Owen is 4/4 with horse 4year+ here

Bets 03/07/2025

 Some Saturday and so close to a 3000/1 treble. Really shouldn't be betting average racing as doesn't fair as well but let's go anyway.

Haydock 4.10 - Artic Fox 7.00

Previous winner of this race. Back to form.

Kempton 4.37 - Satavia 3.35

Haydock 5.17 - Captain Harry 6.00

Handicapped to win over C&D on 2 year old form. Back to form lto and form franked. No standouts from a stats perspective in the race and drawn well enough.

Newbury 7.50 - Imperial Trooper 15.00

Back in trip. Can make all. Needs to find 2year old form, but it does can win

Bets 28/06/2025

Harder day than some of the days at Ascot today. Do like Annaf and Perfect Part rest are okayish

1.40 Newcastle - Fivethousandtoone 20s

I'm not sure this is the right thing to do. Stats aren't great. Form isn't great either. I keep watching his C&D win. Will get the pace and Easterby's horses doing well. Maybe, just maybe these two will be the reversal. Have seen the horse improve a stone before post poor patches before. Aramram is the group horse in the race. Drama probably the horse should back

2.10 Newcastle -  Annaf 14s

Not sure why headgear was on lto. Maybe slow starts. If can avoid a slow start, get a clear run then will outrun 14s. Might be tough to beat Kind of Blue who owes me nothing after finally landing a big pot last year, and even with the penalty still clear on ratings, but Annaf, CD winner, stable in form, decent run at Salisbury is where I'm heading.

2.25 York - Lake Forest 11/8

Best horse in race

2.40 Newcastle - Tryfan 7.4

Best on stats, course winner. Trainer coming into form. Being backed. Artisan Dncer was tempting me.

3.00 York - Venture Capital 9s

Was highly progressive. Ryan's know how to windop a sprinter. If resumes progress will go close. Looks very quick

3.15 Newcastle - Spirit Mixer 24s

Price looks big. Balding is flying. The only one to meet the trends I'm looking at. Comes into this race much better than last year. Better jockey, although not won at Newcastle which is a nag. Better draw, though still a risk of not getting a clear run being a hold up like last year, but can go close with a decent clear run. Biggest risk looks like stablemate Who's Glen. Both get a decent pull in weights with East India from Chester Cup run. One Smooth Operator could double up in the race as still couple 

4.10- Chester - Perfect Part 9s

Was my unlucky loser from the Dante meeting at a massive price. Back in handicap again, and still well handicapped from my point of view. Gallant the danger.

4.50 York - Balzarini 40s. (TBC)

Highly competitive race. Bulter solid 3year old record at York and this was running in Group races at 2 and is 100% well handicapped, if retains any of that level. Given a Bulter horse, keeping eye out for money. 

Bets 21/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 5

Glad took on Sig in first race and glad didn't chuck any darts. I think I over leveraged on the high draw though so no need to narrow the field down so quickly

2.30 Chesham - Treamor should just win. Moments of Joy second and maybe Venitian Lace 3rd. I'm not backing Treamor as a single as it's the Appelby RA curse (25/1 Tricast)

3.05 Hardwick -

Ghostwriter 7/1. Performs the best on GF out of this bunch. Assume stays given Amo jokers bought him for a causal 2mill.

3.40 QEII

Satona Reve 5/1 - Isherin won the commonwealth 5 seconds slower than this one....It's fast as fook. Lazzat is also potentially very quick but I think will just set the race up for Satona to fly home. Hope the draw is not an issue though. No idea anymore :(

4.20 Jersey - 

Commache Brave 9/2 best horse on stats. with Californi Dreamer biggest threat

5.00 Wokingham - Following the Rousing Encore formline as this horse should have bolted up lto.

Jarraff 8/1  Potentially chucked in 

Zoum Zoum 25/1 potentially chucked in under same formlines ( Main pick)

Holkham Bay 33/1 

Korker 33/1 

All on the nose on the exchanges. Been a while since backed 4 in one race and not plumped for the obvious group horse in a handicap (MoreThunder)

5.35 Golden Gates

Quai De Bethune 18/1

6.10 QAS - 

Sober 4/5. Trooper Bisdee the big risk esp with Prescott in form

Bets 20/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 4

 4/5 and 7/1 winners with  20/1, 12/1, 33/1, 9/1, 13/2 placed. Frustrating, especially La Botte.

2.30 Ascot - Probably daft, but taking on AOB in this. 12/12 won lto. Other than chucking darts, I can't see who will win. No bet for me

3.05 Ascot - I'm really struggling with this also. Everything says back Shadow of Light, but I don't like horse flipping between distances an Appelby's form now and at Royal Ascot sucks.

*Ideas of March 16/1. Didn't have a good trip in the Breeders over shorter than ideal. Wasn't as effective on soft nto and lto should have won but draw didn't help. Concern is Wayne and how rides today. Needs to come off the pace but can't get trapped against the rail (as assuming they all move towards it)

Shisospicy is going to blaze this. I might put a back to lay on betfair (e.g. back 15s an lay 5s)

3.40 Ascot - First really wild bet this weeks come in this race but just coins of course.

*Ehtical Diamond 4/1 will have improved from last year and has a fave's chance.

Nabeeq and Stressfree were very tempting, but left them

*Brodure 100/1. I think ahead of mark, improving, step up will help and Soumy knows the game.

4.20 Ascot - Another really tough one.

January 8/1

5.00 Ascot - Purple rainbow would have been a big ew for me, but I'm not taking on the draw. 

All three of these draw high and can win off these marks.

Miss Nightfall 4/1 - Missed the big prices :(

Zgahtara 12/1

Maybe wort a tricast with Alfareqa

5.35 Ascot - Hmm still finding today tough...

Nightwalker 12/1

Galveston 28/1

6.10 Ascot - no easier today

Miss Lamai 14/1

Brighton Boy 8/1

Dark Cloud Rising 14/1

Bets 19/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 3

 28/1, 15/2 winners. 7/1, 4/1, 25/1 placed. Better. Blue Brother was backed from 25/1 into 13/2 only to stumble out stalls and get hampered twice. The win was worth £8k in a £20ew double with Crimson A.

According to turtrax stands side is quickest, far side next and centre is slowest.... so any smart jockey should be coming up the stands rail if drawn high.

2.30 Norfolk - 

Not sure much point taking on Charles Darwin 1.8 from this draw. That said AOB runners in Norfolk 5/1 or less are 1 win from 13.

I have an Antepost bets somewhere on Sandals Song 20/1 and Naval Light 12/1, but not sure can beat CD.

Clear Force and Lil Brother might be interesting top 4 bets but largely based on draw and can't trust they'll move to stands as stalls are centred. 

3.05 King George V - 

Propose 25/1 - I remember the year backed the Frankie acca, cashed out thousands and shoved £250ew on South Pacific 25/1 and got another £4k. Propose reminds me of this. Similar draw and looks to have lbs in hand. Currently the same price in the G2 POW in July. Seems a big ew price to me

Serious Contender, Merchant, Gunship, Sing Us a Song and Omni man all have decent chances.

OmniMan 14/1 get's the second play

3.40 Ribblesdale - 

Go Go Boots 12/1 when Serenity Prayer is 10/3 fave makes zero sense. Only just beaten by by SP when behind Whirl. Ground at Oaks was not suitable so given a chilled time in the Oaks.

Life is Beautiful 7/1

Had some coins on Island Hopping 40/1

4.20 Gold Cup - 

Dubai Future 33/1 is tempting. I regret not backing last two times. Trawlerman is the only horse going to lead this, and he doesn't go off very quick, could once again be sprint with DF can win.

5.00 - Britannia Stakes - 

La Boote 9/1 form says is a 104 horse. Really decent chance this one.

Raafedd 10/1 price yesterday afternoon so glad got on as looks ahead of mark but now seen the draw less convinced, but already backed it and can't cash out.

I could make cases for Fearnot, The Lost Kng, The Fingal Raven, Mr Chaplin, Tribal Nation, Artic Grey, Hawksbill, God of War. Put some small coins on Serengeti 50/1, Bris Gris ( top 5 20/1)

5.35 - Hampton Court

Tornado Alert 13/2 - As long a Derby race wasn't too tough, was travelling really well for a long time. Was never staying that trip so back in class and trip with a decent chance

6.10 - Buckingham Palace

Never So Brave 7/1 - Should have won lto. Improving sort. Holguin in theory might be better value, but NSB looked much better

Apiarist 20/1 - Will have a strong pace to aim at. Got a decent turn of foot.

English Oak Antepost Bet - Not sure why so short. Maybe bookies also know it's a total plot job. Based on last years win, if reproduces it wins. If doesn't win here might become a cliff horse.

Bets 18/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 2

Knew was tough yesterday! Three places 20/1, 14/1, 13/2 and a 9/2 win nowhere near enough to cover stakes. I wrote about American Affair being a massive improver and Coppull being worth an ew at big price, but alas, not to be yesterday.

2.30 Queen Mary -  So many with chances

True Love 15/2. Backed this yesterday and price crashed after Gstaad bolted up but O'Brien has not won this race before and so will have another pop.

Society Kiss 7/1. Solid C&D winner

3.05 Queen Vase - AOB has a strong record in this, so brave to take it on

Rahiebb 7/1 - Good form, good stats and think Varian finding form now, and took a pop on the St Leger also.

Pinhole 7/1 - Was second fave to beat Lambourn. Assume will improve and go close

3.40 - Duke of Cambridge -

One Look 9/2

Crimson Advocate 28/1 - Queen Mary winner on fast ground. Still improving

4.20 - Prince of Wales - 

Anmaat 4/1 - Only neg for me is Crowley. Best horse in race.

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup - 

Blue Brother 25s Exchange - Potentially well handicapped on that Zoom form

Epitectus 23s Exchange - Decent course form, dropped down weights and could turn tables with My Cloud if improves for last run

5.35 - Kensington Palace - 

Arsaig 11s Exchange - Should have won lto and can reverse with fave

Julia Augusta 16s Exchange - Potentially well handicapped on previous C&D form (Duke of Cambridge last year!)

6.10 - Windsor Castle - 

Upmost Respect 8s - Decent run lto.

Dickensian 27s - Ryan good record. Went off fave to beat Wise Approach lto

Bets 17/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 1

I'm not sure I'll top last year at RA, but let's see...

I think it's a very tough day, playing two in each for most of them. Even if I think the fave can win, you know more often than not at Ascot, I'm playing a bigger priced ew chance :)

James McDonald, Oisin and Moore look to have the best of chances today.

2.30 Queen Anne - 5lb separates the top 7 in this race. Lake Forest not won over the trip before so be a tough test. If Cairo wins, just give up. Notable Speech looks suspect to me over 1m at Ascot and Appleby no record in this race. On RPRs Carl Spackler price is big and maybe a decent ew. Tough to win this though. Quddwah, Sardianian Warrior and Docklands don't meet trends. Dancing Gemini very interesting, but losing Moore means surely held by Lead Artist

Leaves Rosallion and Lead Artist the two most likely winners and Diego Velazquez and Carl Speckler. 

Rosallion is the best horse in the race. Won from stall 1 last year and had to wait for room so can mark that effort up. I remember last year Hannon had 4 winners in few days before Ascot. He's had 1 this year and last 7 favourites beaten. A big worry for me. Gosden has real strong stats for last time out winners before Ascot (13/30) which alone gives Sardinian Warrior and Lead Artist chances. 4 yr old colts who've won the Lockinage are 5/8 wins. Sardinian maybe had a touch race at Longchamp?

I think Diego, Carl and Lead all still look progressive. Colin Keane is decent, but I'm playing the below in the hope the jockey change causes some challenge. Keane is 2/40 at Ascot. I have Rosallion in couple of accas and so here are the plays:

Diego Velazquez 12/1 offers decent ew value with 4 places. A lot of AOB horses not needed the run this year. That Meld stakes performance was solid and is 4/4 on G/GF 1m-1mf.

Carl Spackler 20/1 another that offers decent ew value with 4 places. European ped, RPRs are strong, times are strong. In fact times are faster than anything in field. Has a straight mile instead of a bend....

210/1 Rfc DV/CS

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3.05 Coventry - Military Code only just held on over 5 here so for me that's a no. Postmodern ran slow time and form not done much. Andab and Power Blue form very interesting given AE was the fave and now a NR. Be interesting to see the price Coppull drifts to. Might be worth an ew at big price.

Gstaad 9/2 an easy bet to place. Drawn well. Moore onboard. Beat True Love who is top3 in the Queen Mary on Wednesday and ran best final furlong which important here. 96 RPR decent enough for debut and AOB horse usually come on massively for first run. Saw it at 12/1 few days back, but looks like was hit hard which is annoying.....AOB won this 10 times.

Andab 14/1 should have backed it yesterday when 20/1, but hey decent ew with the AE formline. Will hopefully improve past Power Blue

Father/Son Rfc 60/1

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3.40 King Charles Stakes - Asfoora a massive winner for me last year, but prep looks different this year, plus blinkers added. Might be one for Glorious Goodwood. I've been chewing this one for too long and all the horses I want are drawn low. American Affair looks a massive improver and maybe can turn tables with Mgeera. Asterius is the most interesting of the 3year olds, but with sprinters have to back inform ones.

Believing 9/2 - I think better horse than last year. I am worried about the draw, but best horse behind Asfoora whose prep I don't like

Prime Art 50/1 - Supplemented for the race and came back this year much improved. Should have won lto, but had traffic issues and then was a difficult ride on wrong side of course. Has a solid turn of foot.

120/1 Rfc Believing / Prime Art

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4.20 - St. James Palace Stakes - Looking at times and Henri Matisse times were quick at Longchamp and Del Mar. Faster than anything Field of Gold has done.

Henri Mattisse 9/2

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5.00 Ascot Stakes - Reaching High interesting but not a real lot of experience. Align the Stars and Zoffee interesting at big ew prices. I like East India Dock just not from the draw. All the horses I like including Dawn Rising and Nurburgring all drawn so high I cannot entertain. The fast ground give flat staying horse more chances looking at previous results.

Zoffee 50/1 (Exchanges) - I'm not sure can win, but does have form in the race, generally in good nick after a decent Chester Cup run and Palmer is banging in winners. Decent place chances.

Poniros - 3/1 So much money has come for this and when you think 149 hurdle rating to 91 flat rating got to think is chucked in. I mean it's massive.

Rfc Zoffee / Poniros 90/1

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5.35 - Wolferton Stakes - Sonsandlovers is potentially a 115+ horse. Not sure about draw. Galen and maybe couple others are going to set a lively pace here, so really don't want anytime trapped behind horses. Checkandchallenge is once again a big ew price.

King's Gambit 13/2 - Best horse in race over course, distance and at ratings. Hateem not proven at this distance and Hannon form as above worries me.

Meydaan 14/1 - Potential big improver.

Rfc KG/ Meydaan 95/1 

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6.10 Copper Horse Stakes - Charlus a total unknown to me, but it's a Mullins horse in a staying handicap at RA so can't ignore.. French Master 5/2 with first time blinkers not for me thanks. May well romp but not betting it in a race like this, though will likely put into an acca only. Pappano interesting off this mark but thinks want soft. Not heard of Banso before but on numbers is well handicapped. Fairbanks and Prywden also well handicapped

My Mate Mozzie 33/1 (Antepost). One of the few AP bets had this year. His run in the JH at Chelts was much better than a lot of his runs last year. Therefore I'm stating he's improved. Runs off 4lb lower with Warren F's decent 5lb claim and easily could have won last year.

Barnso 20/1 The form behind Chemistry and Kyprios tell me this is well handicapped. Should have finished closer in a handicap but was staying on far too late. Oisin is booked to master the ride.

214/1 Rfc MMM/Barnso

Bets 14/06/2025

 Couldn't be bothered to blog yesterday and of course hit 9/1 and 33/1 winners. Standard. Anyway, only 3 or 4 people would maybe have followed :) sorry.

1.50 York - Yanifer 9/1. Solid C&D winner coming back to winning mark. Drawn well, stats good and form decent enough (8/10)

2.05 Sandown - Classic 4.8. Another one which is 1 mark off a system bet, but there's a lot in favour other than it's a competitive c2 :) (7/10)

3.35 York - Fast Track Harry 9/1. Good mark, stats good. Form is TBC. Cox loves to try and win this race

3.55 Chester - Dreams Adozen 11/2.  With these conditions horse is 4 wins and 14 places from 14 runs and with CJ finally hitting form can hopefully make it 5 wins. (7/10)

4.45 York - Pisanello 16/1 best handicapped horse in race n best form. loves York. Much lower than when won this last year. (6/10)

Bets 12/06/2025

 Newbury 3.15 - Orchard 8/1. Big field 3year old handicap with the market looking right with Boubyan and Manila Thiller at head of it. With the big field at Newbury it's interesting to me that stall 15/16 do x2 as well as other stalls. Condotti in 15 is going to make all (I hope) and set things up for Orchard. Horse has plenty in hand and stats okay

Newbury 5.00 - Rocking Ends 14/1 and Justcallmepete 25/1. Rocking stats are strong and I think can stay 6f. Drawn 2 which not sure about given above. Justcallmepete is a decent C&D runner. Stabl in form, but stats aren't strong. Hopefully Star Style is not fit....

Newbury 5.33 - Dangerman 5.1

Bets 08/06/2025

Peeved about Rousing Encore. 

 2.10 Goodwood - Fine Interview 11/10 - Gets the soft ground needs. Well supported in much tougher race lto.

2.45 Goodwood - Stellar Surprise 13/8 - Decent debut after being slow away over C&D. Stats good. Spaces Blues fine on soft.

3.15 Goodwood - Nearly didn't bet as really tough. Anna Swan was the one was heading to, but the last race was not cool. El Burdor 11.00 is the most unexposed horse here. Gosdens love maidens into pattern class and stats are strong enough to take a chance at the price

4.10 Goodwood - 3 or 4 could win this, but Moore kicked off his soft season at Epsom, so when it's right will be backing him. Aggagio 5.23 is the one who probably should have won over C&D lto.. Spirit Mixer massive danger, but Moore does better here on stats.

5.20 - Toss up between Nariko who is the best handicapped horse in the race vs Racingbreak Ryders 4.5, who's fit, ready to win and can win off this mark over C&D. Went with the fit horse.

Bets 07/06/2025

 Few winners and Whirl's rider not good enough. A day can lose a lot of money. Not supposed to punt when rain will cause unknown carnage.

1.00 - If gets super soft Sparks Fly will love it. I quite like Spiritual 10.00. Still improving I reckon and ground won't be an issue. Stats are good, but doesn't seem to be any money for it compared to top of market,.

1.35 - Royal Dubai 13.00 second in this last year. Good place chances.

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2.10 - Minefield. Ground unknown. No idea. Two darts. Stormy Impact 11.00 (ped good, form good enough) and Al Hussar 40.00 (proven well on soft, but not sure progressed as 3year old)

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2.45 - Really tricky. Went with 3 darts:

Existent 16.22 - Ready to win and well handicapped.

Fair Wind 13.7 - Well handicapped, and stats most aligned with this one

Vintage Clarets 10.5 - Fahey flying. Soft conditions favour this

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3.30 

Delacroix 3/1 looks pretty decent. I kind of don't want to take Moore on either.

Stanhope Gardens am on Antepost 20/1

4.15 - When it pours just think Gary Moore. Small Fry 4.00 and Miller Spirit 22.0 can both win if soft.

If not soft then might be worth considering Candyman Stan 17.5

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5.00 - Chartwell Jock 5.5. Wondering when Law of Design will win. Meblesh a massive danger.

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5.40 - Keen on Rousing Encore 10.2. Meets trends, stats and form. If Fahey still flying of course Strike Red 9.0 becomes a danger.

Bets 06/06/2025

1.30 - Formal 4.5

2.05 - Havana Hurricane 5.1 (with lay of 1.2 in running)

2.40 Epsom - Can see Continuous making all to make this a proper test, probably favouring Jan Brueghel. AOB won this race 9 times. Some worrying stats on pedigree for Calandgan and Gioveletto, even though these two and JB the only 3 to meet all mjaor trends.

Calangdan is the best horse in the race and should win, but at 4/6 not for me. F/c with Jan will pay peanuts, so just going with this.

Jan Brueghal 5.1 (with lay of 1.2 in running)

3.15 Epsom - I really like Defiance a few days ago. Blue Ribbon form over C&D is decent and then also on a decent mark. Varian 4/4 in the race. This is really tricky. The glaring issue is No prep and tailed off lto. Not ideal for hold up horses either.

Think Westerton 14.7 and Botanical 5.1 (with lay of 1.2 in running) will run solid races. Both can win off these marks. Ward Jamila was next on list

4.00 - On Whirl 10/1 but on at 50/1 in a (win lto + Oaks bet). Just sticking with this. No real other opinion.

4.35 - Two Tempting 9.00 and Mirksy 5.1 (with lay of 1.2 in running). Bopedro going to win a pot at some point soon

5.10 - Boring but can't split Miss Information and Rhoscolyn but just backing Miss Information 3.8

Bets 04/06/2025

 Notts 3.22 - Toptime 13/2ew. Front runner, prime conditions

Bets 31/05/2025

 1.13 Haydock - Chillingham 12/1 (exchanges). On a dangerous mark looking at distance and handicap numbers. Always improves after 1st run of season. Bethell in good form and solid enough stats for me.

NON RUNNER

Changing to Stressfree 8/1. Backed few times before. Can definately win of this mark if trying. Thought my be planned for a big Goodwood plot.

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1.48 Haydock - Pals Battalion 12/1. O'Meara in good enough form and is 2 wins and a place from 7 runners in this race. Stats okay. Horse very consistent and should have won lto and can argue still improving.

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2.23 Haydock - Balmoral Lady 9/1. With sprints I've always gone for in form horses and many of these have questions. Balmoral Lady clearly improving, solid run from wide draw and stats are strong.

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3.33 Haydock - Alyanabbi 10/3. Finding it hard to take on. In decent form. C&D winner. Burrows in 80% SR with 4yr old+ at Haydock and other stats very strong. Audience has been really poor last two runs

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1.30 York - Ray Vonn 12/1. Ridiculously difficult. Have to pluck for a C&D winner in lower half that's ot regressing. Nearly went with Danzan, but assuming is fit (and seems a be a bit of money for it, is back on mark won over C&D

NON RUNNER

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2.40 York - Loom 4/1. The Man won me a massive pot and I think the race times vs JM Jungle might give this the edge. Was too tired too look last night but looks like missed decent prices.

3.15 York - Sueno 3/1. Decent on stats

3.50 York - White Crown Start 9/2. Silver Ghost won me a decent sum last week and think the form is strong enough. 

5.00 York - Quest For Fun 8/1. Unlucky lto. Thought Riot in same camp.

Bets 24/05/2025

 Should have gone to bed and not bet yesterday. oopps

Highly competitive weekend. Playing small stakes across the board as the rain could change everything.

1.30 Goodwood - Silver Ghost 11/1 - Looks decent on trends, stats, form and draw for me.

1.50 Haydock - Sex on Fire 12/1 - C&D winner in good form. Teroom 5/1 is the obvious danger.

2.30 Curragh - Molto Amichi 12/1 - Love that Wayne been booked for this. Riding at 41% SR atm. Bottom of the weights, well handicapped, in decent form and low enough drawn to go well.

3.40 Curragh - Think you know I've backed Hotazhell 9/1. The form is there for everyone to see. 

4.10 Haydock - The Flying Seagull 15/2. Likely would have won lto but for draw. Stable won this last year.

4.55 Goodwood - Captain Kinsella 22/1. If it wasn't for the draw I'd be slamming into this. Ran a blinder as Sandown given had nowhere to run. Pitched in at Listed level last time and ran at least 5lb higher than current mark. Could argue upto 10lb depending on how you read ORs

Swelter 9/2 tomorrow

Bets 23/05/2025

Back from conference. So tired.....

2.40 Goodwood - Trooper Bisdee 8/1. Won fresh 2/2. Back in class. Back in trip which I think will suit. Prescott won this last year. Caeasawitch trial form is fine as that's how we picked Story House. 

3.15 Goodwood - Dancingwithmyslef 16/1. Running consistently well. Think the Redcar form is good as again ties into Story House.

3.00 Haydock - Maw Lam 9/1. Best at weights. Needs to break well.

3.50 Goodwood - Exoplanet 9/1. Assuing doesn't bounce, is potentially one that might keep improving and so offer some price value. Silver Knott back in trip under penalty isn't for me even if lots of questions about the rest of the field.

4.25 Goodwood - Apotheosis 7/4 should be tough to beat.

4.25 Goodwood - Fort George Evs

TWINLIGHT DIAMOND 9.00 WOLVES 9/1ew

BEAULD AS BRASS 2.25 NEWBURY 7/1ew

Bets 16/05/2025

 Dante festival jokes as always.

2.42 York - Can't split Salamanca 7.27 improving and good form, with Buick 2/2 with trainer her at York, and Thunder Run 6.5 who will be happier back on quick ground. Won the Clipper here last year.

3.13 York - Guyla 3.75 should have won lto. The form behind Twirl is solid as.

4.15 York - I like the form of Loom in the Norfolk, but not 100% convinced is well handicapped. Hard to assess last race. 

I backed Amestris in the Queen Mary last year. Got blocked and lost a shoe. Not really come on from that. First time wind op though Bell is 33% SR with first time wind op. Hasn't run this season so really hard to assess. Segal has bloody ruined his price though. At 40s was willing to find out. at 14s. Hmm. May have a small bet on exchange is heads into high 20s. 

The Man and Do It Now as both clearly interesting given the form over C&D behind Tropical Storm. Spencer is 31% post gelding ops (which is mental), which gives The Man a chance on that alone, but again no prep run. Do It Now regressed last season but put in a much better show on seasonal reappearance and with a decent 3lb claim willing to give this one a shot. 

Draw may be tough for Ametris and Do It Now, but the no prep run is annoying me for The Man. I don't see much else so here goes

Ametris (If can get 25+ on exchange)

Do It Now 30

The Man 25

5.20 Newbury - Zakerjack 17.00. Trying something here and nothing to do with horse form, which hard for me to do, but it's a mini trial.

Bets 15/05/2025

 Duck me how unlucky was Perfect Part. Man. So annoying. Won't be getting 25's again on that.

2.10 Can make strong cases for JM Jungle, American Affair and Spartan Arrow but I'm going for Tees Sprit 37.00 as main pick. Ran well in this race last year. Comes into it in better form, technically 1lb lower and yard going well. Father and Son to take it. I think C&D is super important.

JM Jungle 8.0 has a chance to tun tables with American Affair but can see AA flying home late from this higher draw. However, stick with this.

2.42 - Northern Express 15.00, Blue For You 6.5

3.13 - See The Fire 2.55

3.45 - Apline Trail 6.00

4.18 - Start of Mehams 5.00

5.25 - Merchant 2.88

Bets 14/05/2025

 2.10 York - Haggas, Balding, King and Ryan target this race and typically won by 4 or 5 year old progressive sort. Marhaba The Champ was 9/2 for this race last year, but is now 6 and not in form. Been backed from 12/1 into 5/1 so clearly fancied for this? First time headgear offputting enough for me. King's horse also 6 and doesn't meet any stats I look for.

Stressfree is stressing me out. Backed this twice last. It's so well handicapped, but when will O'Meara let it win? I just don't think it's today, but will be livid if it is :) Thinking it's a bigger pot or maybe Goodwood.

See Hector is defo ahead of mark and I really want to back it. Did incredibly well in Dubai. I just can't back it on trainer and jockey stats. Also a 6 year old.

Balding's horse has also been smashed in the betting. Sire doesn't do that well at York. Stats are pretty good otherwise, but pulled up last time which not a good thing to bet on next time out.

The Reverend 5.5. Haggas's horse beaten fave last two races, Marquand will know to race it prominently here. It's definitely got juice in the mark. Twice Haggas has won this with seasonal debutants so not worried about fitness. Think this is the perfect distance and better ground will bring more improvement based on ped. I think this is more like a 5/2 shot.

Opps was a long write up. Better win now.

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2.42 York - Ryan, Fahey, Dods, Easterby, Smart, Camacho, Burke all like a pop at this one and typically goes to a sleeper. GF over this distance you want to be drawn low also. All the ones I like are drawn low which actually makes it harder to pick! Although a stat says 20/22 in this race drawn 5 or higher. hmm

Just looking at the lower end of the draw. Korker think needs slower. We Never Stop is interesting after a decent AW win, but turf form a worry for me.

Bergerac 9.32 is relatively well handicapped. I just don't rate Eaves that much but given Ryan won this last twice and Eaves has won on the horse here a couple times gotta give benefit of doubt.

First Folio 14.0 was a decent RA winner for me and conditions look good for it today. I'm now slighlty worried about stall 2, but I'm sticking with it.

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3.13 York - Super hard. Last year nailed my colours to Kind of Blue, but I'm not sure this year. IF Night Raider was proven on turf think I'd be following that one to RA, but needs to show it. This is really tough for me and other than 1 winner, all had a prep run before this race. I wonder if we go crazy and focus on Marshman and Royal Zabeel. 

Marshman 17.7 was nearly a grimrack winner and it' odd was entered last minute esp when have two others from stable here. Is he so fit that can recpature the sparkling 2year old days? Well he is fit and ha been entered so why not?

Royal Zabeeb 35.0 was rapidly progressing all last season and this season too. Considering pace was too slow lto, ran pretty well. Mill Stream ran in the same race last year before winning this.

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3.45 York - Walker is 4% here with 3year olds, so interesting has been heavily backed. Find it hard to take on Whirl 3.5

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4.18 York - Gallant probably just wins, but this is York. Here for merkage. Perfect Part 26.0 ran a blinder in the Cammidge. Assuming therefore massively improved over break. Didn't get screwed on ratings. Ran flat on AW nto (on purpose?) and now has a really decent 7lb claim. Being held up from 7f is not good though, so let's see 

Double Parked 33.0 could also make all and maybe slightly ahead of mark

Bets 12/05/2025

 Decent with Flickering Hero.

7.35 Windsor - Beauld as Brass 2.63

Even with a 10lb penalty, still has plenty in hand.

8.10 Windsor - Manilla Thriller 4.33

Channon 22% with 3yr olds at Windsor and in rude form. Marquand is 20% here. Was pitched in a G3 as a 2year old and finally on the board on 3year old appearance. Should have won lto as well. Back to 1m and back to a class 5. Should be winning a race like this.

Bets 11/05/2025

 Qirat chinned and three others placed, but of course not betting ew anymore so was painful yesterday. Didn't get round to any places accas either.

2.50 Newcastle - Flickering Hero 9.5

Stable in form and has run over C&D before a while back. If runs to that form + assumed progression, which is has on turf can go close. Needed first run of season last year also so should be fit now. Also second run post gelding op. 

2.55 - Leoparstown Mutasarref 5.0

Brave to do this but AOB not won this recently and DV is first run back. Lyons won this twice before and not far behind DV on previous form

3.25 - Longchamp - Hotazahell 9.0

Don't think I've ever won this race, but as I've said before following this horse off a cliff, until get seriously injured. Form is stacking up. Like Jonquil also

6.45 Newcastle - Badri 15 and Fivethousandtoone 17

I really fancied 5001 to win at the all weather champs over C&D. Not sure what happened and whilst didn't bonce back to form lto has run a couple of blinders this season and with stable in form can win if bounces back.

Badri is well handicapped. Needs to step up to win and today has a chance as trainer is flying.

Bets 10/05/2025

 Will keep updating when I can before tomorrow morning. So far East India, Two Tempting and Power Fizz all won at 4.5+ so happy days. Shame about Space Legend. 

1.50 Lingfield - Gincident 8.0

Owen and Crouch both in form and do well here. Gincident was smashed in the betting lto as so assume much better was expected. Liked the way knuckled down at Leicester and hoping / assuming the Johnston horse will create the pace needed.

2.05 Ascot - Arsaig 3.00

Looks to still be improving and back in easier company can win this.

2.40 Ascot - Qirat 7.00 and Popmaster 17.00

If Qirat has improved a tad and is fit wins. If Popmaster puts best foot forward wins.

3.05 Nottingham - First View 6.5

Wow Meydan brought to me at Notts in a C4. Both Padi (who became  bit of a cliff horse) and First View line up. SBS does really well at notts with 4+. Think I saw 30% SR and actually ran better than Padishakh

4.10 Lingfield - Brave byreflection 5.0

Assuming is fit, looks massively unexposed here. Stable is flying and so is the jockey. Got some gears.

5.00 Ascot - Arnaz 3.25

Struggling to find a way to beat it

Too tired tonight to look at any more cards. Maybe do more tomorrow, but unlikely. Will post in comments if tap up anymore

Bets 09/05/2025

 Faves cleaning up so a few more winners on the cards yesterday. Rosenburg in the first would have made it a better day, but all good.

Chester 1.30 - Was trying to get Two Tempting 4.5  beat, but it's not easy. Looks solid. Pearl Eye 17.0 is running again today and if gets a decent start with an extra 7lb claim might be the one!

Ascot 1.50 - Power Fizz 4.75 ahead of mark

Chester 2.35 - Trappy but went with Space Legend 4.5. I think will  try to make all and knowing can stay can last out. Stats all fne.

Chester 3.05 - I thought was going to find a nice juicy one but East India Dock 5.00 could just be a class apart. He must have improved 30lb jumps over the season but his mark is 1lb lower then when last race a bug flat handicap. Yard hit 2/3 winners yesterday so string hopefully in good nick. Leinster is clearly a massive danger and these two could destroy the field.

Ascot 3.25 - Can't let Rohaan 9.0 go unbacked at this price. In really good form and can cash in off this mark. 5 of 6 wins here at Ascot.

Ascot 4.00 - Letsbeatsepsis 26.00 needs to refind debut form, but it's possible at Ascot with C&D form. Plum draw, backed from 51.00 worth a pop. Corrello Point 5.00 maybe the best handicapped, alongside Mollie Foster 11.00. Not sure how to play this yet.

Bets 08/05/2025

 Good few winners yesterday

1.30 - Chester

Rosenpur 12.0 - Improving with every run. In really good form. Previous decent runs at Chester. Well drawn

Copper Knight 11.0 - Old boy still in good nick. Comes into this race in better form than last year off a lower mark when a close 2nd.

110. rfc

2.35 Chester

Brave to take on Mount Kilimanjaro 2.82, but if had to would be with Mirabeau who at 16s

3.05 Chester

Tight between Asburde and Illinois. AoB 4 year old+ are 71% in last 5 years here. Bonkers. Going with Illinois 2.38

3.40 Chester

Trappy but just sided with High on Hope 10.0 on the basis the 5lb claim will make the difference.

4.10 Chester

Thought Wadacre Gomex 8.5 would be around 4/1 so having some. 5pounds lower than last year. Comes here in better form and Ryan is booked

4.45 Chester

Lady Vivian 2.38 needs to win this if going to be running in the Irish Oaks. Beckett 2/2 in this race

Bets 07/05/2025

 Urgh Sonic Pioneer 25/1 beaten a neck.

Chester 1.30 - Ali Shuffle 2.5. Best of those drawn low. 

Chester 2.05 - Rubys Profit 5.5. Progressive and will try to make all. Draw just about okay.

Chester 2.35 - Minnie Hauk 2.88 AOB wins 50% of 3yr old races at Chester in last 5 years. Better value than evens :)

Chester 3.05 - Lambourn 2.63. Same as above

Chester 3.40 - The draw so important here, and was hoping to back the Flying Segull 33/1. Wide draws have been done before so play small on this but will be tough. If Diligently had a prep run would be the pick, but Bob Mali 2.33 probably hard to beat.

Chester 4.45 - Boardman 10.5 and Monsieur Fudge 7.5

Bets 06/05/2025

 For fun only. Not giving away last 3 days winnings

Bets 05/05/2025

 Decent yesterday. An 11 winner and Simmering ran a cracker into 3rd at 40s.

3.00 Curragh - Murkala 8.5. Back to good ground. If reproduces either C&D run with a decent 7lb claim can win this. Murtagh won it last year. 

3.35 Curragh - And So To Bed 15.00 Ran behind some smart horses at Curragh last season. What was encouraging was the final race. Dylan know him well. JOB likes this race.

5.20 Curragh - White Clover 19.00 Ran a blinder behind plot job Tinas Indian. over C&D. A repeat of that would be enough to go close today. Carroll won on the horse before and stable in decent nick including a 33/1 yesterday

Bets 04/05/2025

Only two winners from 8 bets, but was at 13.5 and 5.0, so finally a winning day. Always great to nab the big one too.

2.55 Newmarket - Really playing against some stats, but fancy Story House 11.00. Saffie 1/1 on the horse. 14f is 100% best trip. Decent first run of season and will be fit now. Ran well enough in the Casearwitch trial on quick ground given was too far.

3.55 Newmarket - Experience is really important in this. 195/196 runners with less than 4 runs have failed. Knocks 4 out. Interesting I read about joint sire index of 16.8 is needed to win this. Knocked couple more out. Based on some ratings shot couple more. Simmering 40.0 and Lake Victoria 4.0 is where I ended. Both are in doubles with Ruling Court, so fingers crossed. No filly has ever completed the Breeders Cup and 1KG double, so a stat to bust for Lake Victoria. Desert Flower is just short on sire index and only Minding has won both Fillies Mile and 1KG. Basically I'm saying come on Simmering, although lto trainer said did not like quick ground....

Too tired to look at any more.

Bets 03/05/2025

 1.10 Newmarket - Couple horses stepping back in trip which can't have. Unequal Love 2.12 won this last year and clear on ratings.

1.45 Newmarket  - Lethal Levi 11.5 is well handicapped and can win one more before moving into pattern races.

2.20 Newmarket - Hand of God obvious pick but first time gelding. Fox Legacy 13.5 interests me most. Another Stoute horse who looked progressive after than 12 lenght romp. Many have now done well at new yards. With baling romping yesterday could be another. 

2.55 Newmarket - Washington Heights 5.0 down in class good track form.

3.35 Newmarket - Ruling Court 5.0

5.15 Newmarket - Rocking The Boat 7.5, will be disappointed if doesn't go close. Decent course form, well handicapped, Moore booked.

2.00 Goodwood - Sirona 5.00 - Best horse in race

2.35 Thirsk - Obelix 5.00 - Meets all trends needed

Bets 02/05/2025

So glad jumps is done. I keep jumping back into it, and I keep falling.

1.45 Newmarket - Unexposed bunch. No real clues. Alpine Trail  is fit and winning comfortably. Appleby has won this 4 times so if I did bet would only be in an acca. 5 horse race, don't like them but can make all so pace is not an issue.

2.20 Newmarket - Boring but Cosmic Year looks the one to beat so 3.46 double with Alpine Trail

2.55 Newmarket - Again boring but Spectacular View 3.95 the one to beat. The form with Fifth Column is solid. Appleby won this 3 times from 8 runners. I did wonder whether the other Appleby runner was better handicapped, but all 3 of his winners been faves. Omears poor record at the track and Walker first time gelding opp form no good.

3.30 Newmarket - Really want to back Alzahir but George Wood 0/22 here. Miss Information can't back due to Balding form, same for Physique, Local Hero and Jumby. Leave Fifty Nifty 3.45 who tbf should be a C&D winner

4.05 Newmarket - Another race with no value and Silver Knott's 2.66 to lose. 4 horse race though so anything can happen

4.45 Newmarket - Another fave really hard to get away from Rosy Affair 2.46

Not often hit 6 faves at the same track.... Will look at other races. Need a value injection...

1.25 Goodwood - Another fave :) Logi Bear 3.6 though I'm worried about stable form and draw. It's hard to ignore Hannon sprinters who are faves esp at Goodwood.

2.00 Goodwood - Noble Champion 3.95 looked decent at Lingfield. Big step down in class. St. James Entry

2.35 Goodwood - Tatterstall 6.6 to make all and win again as at Glorious Goodwood. Hopefully fit. Stable in decent enough form.

3.45 Goodwood  Waleefy 2.2

5.05 Musselburgh - Bern Rossetti 5.73 is interesting. Stable in form. Looked blocked the majority of the way at Beverley. If can get a run and can reproduce that might be able to turn the short fave over.

6.13 Newcastle - Had Polygram tracked but not keen to take on a Gosden hotpot. Polygram Top 2 2.08

7.55 Newcastle - Project Geofin 5.00. Solid C&D runner. Can win from this mark. A good break. Oldroyd comes good this time of year and had a 10/1 winner lto.

Bets 01/05/2025

 3.05 - A Law of Her Own 25/1ew, Beat Theatre Native who went on a romp a G3 handicap next race. Will try to make all with whichever else goes with it, and the fact can stay longer will help.

Bets 30/04/2025

 Didnt get to farm the cards properly. Was looking at Checkandchallnege 18s and unquestionable 11/2 in same race at ascot. also blue lord to make amends from lto at punchestown

Bets 25/04/2025

 Sandown 1.50 - A few look pretty exposed here. The Lost King ran in a decent enough listed race for the context of this race. I'd mark that run up given hanging a fair bit. Think will try to make the running with the Johnston horse who is technically 4lbs ahead of mark, but is 0/22 for runners at Sandown and not sure as much scope for improvement as The Lost King 8.0

Sandown 2.25 - Almaqam is best horse in the race and the likely winner but just wonder if Arabian Crown 7.4 offer more value. Solid C&D winner. Almaqam hasn't yet won at the distance, though not far off in G2. Either way toss up for me but going with the bigger odds

Sandown 3.00 - Can't split Lead Artist, Tamfana, Haatem and Alcantor. Maybe Lead Artist better over longer than a mile. Maybe Haatem given been off for a while might not be fit. Fabre doesn't send horses over for fun does he but maybe needs slower groun. Tamfana has a penalty but have been winners with a penalty and comes from a more traditional route of races into this one, so sod it going with Tamfana 7.8

Sandown 3.35 - The Hotzahell form is hot so backing Windlord 2.56

Sandown 4.45 - Moon Sniper 21.00 beat Windlord (above) in early days and been staying on in all previous races.

URGH

 Last £666 punted only returned £190. Across 39 bets that's one of the worst runs had in a while. This is why punting in the transition from jumps to flats is not a good idea.....Never learn :)

Be back soon

Bets 22/04/2025

 Taking a wee battering at the moment...

1.35 Epsom - Faustus 30.11. Can win of this mark and class. Good form at Brigthon usually translates here. Trainer 38%SR here also.

2.10 Epsom - Devils Advocate 2.44 looks decent. Trainer, jockey, stallion stats all fine. Some money for it AP on the Derby also a positive sign.

2.45 Epsom - Stressfree 4.3 If doesn't win this is being plotted for a big handicap. Busted a big acca for me last time out. Goes against some stats though.

3.20 Epsom - Dashinwhitesargent 8.8 - Stats point to this. Step up in trip looks an obvious next step. Quic ground looks important. Course winner. Miller Spirite was next on list

4.25 Epsom - Say Loco 43.52 - Stats okay. Dow won this twice before as a Epsom trainer knows what it takes. That form behind Pantile Warrior means could be on a decent mark on turf debut.

4.38 Yarmouth - Gorgeous Mr George 11.5 - Dylan says his best chance today. On paper I can't see it, but following blind.

2.50 Fairyhouse - Zenta 3.03 Following JP money

4.30 Fairyhouse - Don't Tell Jack 5.20 Following JP money

Bets 21/04/2025

Obvs now playing straight on the nose had 3 places yesterday :) 

2.05 - Arch Empire 9.66 - Elliot coming back to form. Ignore run in March. Elliot form was poor. Doctor Dinos all good on heavy. Got a very good claimer onboard.

2.40 - Wendrock 5.5 -As above Elliot coming back to form. Top rated

3.15 - Come Walk With Me 7.5 - Form with Honest Policy is solid.

3.50 - Spread Boss Ted 18.35 - Not worried about layoff given it's Mullins. The form of the Albert Barlett 24 is disgusting. G1 winners all over the place.

5.00 - Kinturk Kalanisi  11.5 - Well handicapped based on Navan run for a trainer won this twice before. Sa Majestic and Now is the Hour the fun tricast

4.50 Redcar - Ottoman 6.6 Can turn tables from better draw. Stable going well.

5.30 Redcar  - Hardlass 21.0 back on turf over 5f is tempting at this price

Bets 20/04/2025

 Thankfully Zarzyni did the job, making it level for the day on singles.

3.05 Bath - Toolatetonegotiate 4.96 Got to go close on paper

3.41 Bath - Frost at Dawn 9.6 - On best form this is this the best horse on quick ground over 5f. I'm assuming no rain...

1.22 Fairyhouse - Ben Solo 18.2 and Collaborative 12, both well handicapped

1.52 Fairyhouse - Miss Pronouncation 8.5 was rated much higher over hurdles. Produced a very good round at this distance on heavy at Fairyhouse. Improved again lto.

Bets 19/04/2025

 Was unlucky with a couple at Newcastle. Thankfully last at Lingfield meant wasn't a white wash. How that Heavenly horse won from 22lb out the handicap....

2.25 Muss - Gweedore 6.0 backed lto and done by a 'trainer couldn't explain improvement even though smashed into fave'

3.00 Muss - Cover Up 5.12 ahead of mark if reproduces here.

3.35 Muss - Wild Waves 5.12 if runs to form of Leger will bolt up.

5.17 Muss - Zarzyni 5.0 came from pretty much last to third full of running in half a furlong after being blocked the whole way. 

4.30 Fairy - Blue Mosque 16.54 - Could be well handicapped on basis of last run, especially as looks to be a big improver. Cruised into race couple furlongs out so think extra distance will help. Stable in good form. 

    

Bets 18/04/2025

Newcastle 1.50 - So Darn Hot 7/2. Hate backing faves in big handicaps, but solid course winner, proven in this class, won easy enough lto and claimer takes a chunk of the rise off. Draw fine. Trainer in form. Jockey won enough races here. I had backed Solider Start 16/1 (Antepost, but didn't make the cut, sob sob)

Newcastle 2.25 - Cloud Cover looks such an obvious pick here. Why did it have wind surgery I don't know. Romped lto and 3lb wouldn't stop him following up, but the surgery is bugging me. Cloud Cover is a hold up horse so has the risk traffic. At the flip of a coin odds, going to punt Callianassa 40/1ew. Last time out beaten by maybe a 97 horse by 11 lengths. Doing the maths gives it a rating of 77. Once wasn't going to win was 100% eased off. Previous race over C&D given a shite ride, too far back. The race before this was beaten quite easily in a c2 over C&D by Cloud Cover, but was 13lb out the handicap! Ellison banged in a winner today which is great news. Same jockey as went beaten by Cloud Cover. Let's pop off a decent ew.

Newcastle 3.00 - Valiant Force 7/1ew (Backed this 10/1 Antepost) (our 150/1 Norfolk winner) is a Group horse in a handicap. No idea if will take to the surface but clearly in thriving form. Willing to find out. Storm Star and Roi De France are both massive dangers, but let's hope they get merked by traffic and VF makes all to win to make it 2/3 at the track.

Newcastle 3.35 - Fivethousandtoone 13/2 (Backed this 8/1 Antepost) can win back to backs of this. Was with Balding last year, but Oisin is called back up. Probably should have won last two races and hopefully is bouncing around the same sort of form. Went into overdrive last year when got going. From the draw is always the risk of traffic being a hold up, but most of the pace looks high so something to aim at.

Newcastle 4.07 - Old Harrovian 7/2 (Backed 9/2 Antepost). Absolutely romped home lto and better at the weights than Glen Buck. Balding in rude form.

Newcastle 4.42 - Roaring Legend 3/1 - Likely still pounds in hand and Palmer think would have been competitive in the Dubai World Cup. Won easily over C&D, Probert on again

Lingfield 2.40 - Sterling Knight 12/1ew - Down in class with a decent run over C&D last time. Not sure why such a big price

Lingfield 3.15 - Silkie Wilkie 13/2ew. Was so disappointed with runs in Meydan. Owes me by getting to the front and making all. None from stall 1 - 3 should go forward, so now excuse Went close over C&D in c2 since.

Lingfield 4.50 - Vocal Legend 11/2ew. Well handicapped on formlines and what has shown so far. Hills going well enough.

Bets 17/04/2025

 2.25 Present Times 7/2 best handicapped on best form

3.00 - Noisy Jazz 12/1 and Mythical Guest 25/1. Brioini ws next on list but stick with two

3.35 - Anno Domino 2/1. Im following the Hotazhell formline. Think Hotazhell one I'll follow all season

4.10 - Fair Wind 5/1

5.20 - Camera Shy 9/1

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Added 11am

310 Ripon - Spring Corn 28/1ew

Bets 16/04/2025

3 winners yesterday in the end! Just 3 punts today. 

1.50 Newmarket 

1st  - The Dragon King 8/1 - 

Screwed the start lto, detached from field but still won. Can win off a mark like this. Decent C&D form. Last 2 years: Invincible Army 19%, Cox and Moore are 50% together. I remember Cox going close in this couple years ago with Harry Three.

2nd - Invictus Gold 10/1 - 

Ran a decent race at July course. Stepped up performance in a race which didn't pan out, so marking rating up. 

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3.35 Newmarket 

Amori City 11/2 -  

Improved every run from debut. Solid course experience. Appleby and Buick won this 3 times before together.

Bets 15/04/2025

 Newmarket have watered and it's going to be heavy rain. Hmmmm. Not sure how to play this as will make a massive difference. Let's see, but it's an easy excuse for me when everything gets merked

1.50 - Trefor has a big turn around at the weights with Elmonjed, so 10/1 is potentially big. Problem is Jason Waston is 0/24 at Newmarket. Love Woodhay Wonder over C&D but Im hoping too high in weights now. Vantheman 11/ew looks a likely improver with step back up in trip. Is rapid and won at 6f before. Just hope the rain doesn't slow down the ground too much.

2.25 - Green Storm 5/1ew nearly a G1 winner. Nearly G3 winner at the track. They all have to improve passed him. Ground I think less dependant but maybe softer better.

3.00 - Ottoman Fleet 6/4 to complete the hatrick. First conquest is a risk, but don't think showed any major improvement last 3 runs and will need to to beat OF.

3.35 - Nadra 7/2. Forgot to back this when was 7s yesterday. All stats point to this and was an extremely taking debut

4.10 - Harrys Girl 9/1e/w

4.45 - Victory Queen 6/4

5.20 - Treasure Fleet 11/8

Bets 13/04/2025

 Decent 20s and 10s yesterday.

Bets 12/04/2025

 Newbury 125 - G3 in which none of the runners have won at the distance other than Divina Grace 20s. 19/21 winners had won at this distance or more before winning this. If Sunway runs to Irish Derby form could be tough to beat, but the Bellum Justum looked very solid lto. I'd take this to improve past Sunway. Feigning Madness 33s annoying not   3 places, but feeling feisty today.

Beckett decent record in this race. Balding tried many times.

Newbury 2.00 - Simmering is the best horse in the race on previous. Better Times Ahead 7s is inexperienced, but looks rock solid and Beckett loves winning this race.

Newbury 2.35 - Rashabar is best horse in race, but Meehan's form stinks. Yah Mo Be There very interesting for me, but does have a lot to find on ratings. Rogue Alliance 8s comes with a lot of hype and Omeara won this last year

Newbury 3.12 - Silver Sword and Classic 8s look to have best chances

Newbury 3.54 - Sweet Reward 10s wins.

Gone with the longer odds horses ew. Also played Bellum Justum, Simmering, Rashabar an Silver Sword

Bets 11/04/2025

 

Bet 10/04/2025

Couple decent winners at Meydan and nearly two forecasts. Bit gutted didn't take a chance with Dubai Future nor stick with my AP of Ragging Torrent in the second race. Anyhow we move on.

Not expecting much in low class AW, but need to keep the practice going.

Newcastle 5.00 - Cardarn 4/1.

Newcastle 7.00 - Secret Guest 10/1ew

Newcastle 7.30 - Hidden Verse 14/1ew

Newcastle 8.00 - That's My Boy Luke 9/1ew