Bets 04/10/2025

Careful today - ground will cause problems

1.15 Ascot - Nadra 8/1ew

Back to soft will suit more than most

2.40 Newmarket - Spiritual 33/1ew

Speccy but chance if catches others asleep

3.00 Ascot - Annaf 8/1ew

Best on numbers

3.35 Ascot - Balmacara 11/1ew and Hickory 8/1ew

Both are ahead of marks. Balamacara is offically 7lb ahead of mark and soft ground will be right up street. Hoping low is place to be drawn. 

4.10 Ascot - Venuture Captial 13/2ew

Last chance for this one for me. Should be winning off this mark

4.50 Gowran Park - Nas Na Riogh 9/1ew

Quite well faniced lto. Think cheekpieces will really sharpen up and penultimate race ran really well after break.

Bets 27/09/2025

2.05 Haydock - Duran 7/1ew

Duran must be the stable's only winner here in the last 5 years. On a winnable mark and in great form.

3.15 Haydock - Fondo Blanco 9/2

Positive jockey booking, on a winnable mark.

3.40 - Real Gain 11/1ew

Tough race. Seen many conflicting stats in this race depending on how you look at it, so not spent too much time on it.

Real Gain the only C&D winner in the field. On a winnable mark. Will try to make all and grab the rail.

5.55 - Completely Random 20/1ew

Ran a blinder in the Wokingham. Couple pounds down, easier race. Drawn wrong last two races, good draw now, and Charlton stats very decent (60% at track in Sept and 50% with 4yr+  track, and 33% SR last 14 days....). Solid previous course form and step up in trip looks exciting. Feels more like a 6/1 shot, but Indian Summer does loo a worthy fave. 9/1 top 2 is tempting.

Bets 20/09/2025

If Wobwobwob didn't fluff the start would have placed. It gets tougher this time of the year so playing less races and less stakes. 

1.15 Ayr - Khafiz 5/1ew

Well handicapped on paper and sire and Varian have strong stats for this.

2.05 Newbury - Stressfree 15/2ew

Better value than Dramatic Star. Last off the bridle, coming from wide storming home.

2.25 Ayr - Rousing Encore 20/1ew

1 of 5 horses that met the trends I like. Decent C&D record, and decent strike rate in C2 races with certain other conditions. It was pretty soft on Derby day, the day this one should have won, so ground is fine. Decent run lto when drawn wrong. Trainer/jockey stats not overly strong and few others can make case for (Roberto Caro, Candy esp) but stick with one small stakes

3.35 Ayr - Desert Falcon 18/1ew

Decent winner last week for us. Signficantly ran in that same race (a close second) before winning this. Stays 7f so will try to make all again and burn them all off. 

Bets 19/09/2025

Newbury 2.55 - French Affair 11/2ew

Officially 2lb well in. 

Ayr 3.05 Star of Lady M 10/3

Best on numbers though Beautiful Diamond is a live danger.

 

Ayr 3.40 - Wobwobwob 12/1ew

Previous winner of the Silver Cup, back to 6f ran well lto on wrong side of track so hopefully stays in good nick which is likely with stable in good form.

A few of Goldies were of interest but couldn't pick between them. Kat Bobs was really interesting but kept to one dart.

Bets 18/09/2025

DRAFT - Didn't post these last night. Forgot to hit publish, so prices are gone on the 2.15. Looking at rest of card now.

Ayr 2.15 - Never Dark 16/1ew. Back to form lto. Jardine doubles his SR with first time blinkers. Dropped massively in the weights since the Silver Cup and Marquand who has a 25% SR at Ayr is booked.

JM Jhingree 11/1ew. Didn't want to back two in the race but Goldie does well with horses of this profile and seems to be a fair but of support for it.

Ayr 2.45 - Flying Finn is 25s and been on tracker for a while. It's just not soft enough today?

3.15 Ayr - Aeolian 5/4

3.45 Ayr - Waiting All Night 4/1

4.15 Ayr - Quiet Resolve 10/3

5.20 Ayr - Surrey Belle 3/1

Bets 14/09/2025

Rosario 12/1 placed. Just needed bit more ground. Prydwen 16/1 placed. Just needed bit less ground. Rahiebb 50/1 so close also. Another 14/1 and 10/1 placed as well. Nice to know in the right space looking for winners but alas need more winners like Convergent's who was a decent 10/3 winner.

2.40 Donny - Back in Black 13/2ew

Formline with Shout is decent. Will be ready for Autumn campaign post a decent blow out in a decent enough handicap. Stats all fine.

3.00 Donny - Desert Falcon 11/1ew

Should be fine on soft. Will try to make all and watching it's penultimate race looks to have more in the bag.

4.10 Donny - Jabarra 10/1ew

Backed lto. Not sure would have won if rerun, but think is best horse this distance. Varian obvs is great form which will help

1.30 Curragh - Carla Ridge 18/1ew

 Potentially ahead of mark

3.15 Curragh - Mgeera 10/1ew -

 If breaks well is going to go really close. Has won a G2 even after missed the break. 

Eroandpsyche 50/1ew Sunday fun bet. 2nd in the race before. Back to life lto from a tough draw

Bets 13/09/2025

Maxi King slammed in the betting but only placed, so was nice when Sword Maker was also slammed but duly obliged with couple other winners.

1.15 Doncaster - Point of Contact 9/1ew

1.50 Doncaster - Gewan 7/4

2.25 Doncaster - Rosario 12/1ew. If breaks cleanly, wins. Jordan Electrics 11/1ew. Will cry if Air Force One wins after backing last two times.

3.40 Doncaster - I'm on Lambourn 12/1 and Rahiebb 50/1 Antepost so not looking at the race again for today

4.15 Doncaster - Nova Centurai 2/1

4.50 Doncaster - Mustazeed 10/1ew - Assuming it's soft got a good chance as long as doesn't break slowly like Rosario.

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2.40 Chester - Prydwen12/1ew. Does stay, but needs to step up. A good race to do it in....

3.23 Chester - Jan Steen 14/1ew. Early form is decent. Gelded. Soft will suit. Return to early form and will outrun odds. 

4.00 Chester - Let's Dream 15/2, should have won lto. Winner over C&D in a higher class. Needs to race prominently to avoid traffic

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2.50 Leo - Tribal Nation 10/1ew 

3.50 Leo - Convergent 10/3 best at weights (by far)

4.55 Leo - Expanded 10/1ew  best at weights

5.30 Leo - Hotazhell 12/1ew big fan of horse since bet Dela. Now got soft and ran a cracker lto.

6.05 Leo - Harbour Wind 12/1ew 

Bets 12/09/2025

 1.15 Doncaster - Maxi King 12/1ew, Shadow Dance 4/1, both have solid course form, meet trends and can win from these marks

1.50 Doncaster - Catullus 3/1. Meets key trends and form with Publish strong enough?

3.00 Doncaster - Sweet William 6/4

3.40 Doncaster - Jujubella 22/1ew, Bosphorous Rose 11/2

4.10 Doncaster - Classic Curve 2/1 best on figures

4.45 Doncaster - Sword Maker 8/1ew

5.20 Doncaster - Tyger Bay 11/1ew

Bets 11/09/2025

Hopefully rain doesn't cause any major issues. No time for write ups today.

4.10 Doncaster - Wechaad 9/2.

5.15 Doncaster - Explode 3/1. ticks all the right boxes.  Rogue Impact 12/1ew looked the danger.

Bets 08/09/2025

 Couple places and Tenability winner. Pretty average. Notes for a mate on course today.

3.00 York - Air Force One 5/2 should win this. I need compensation for lto :) Curious Rover 16/1 is too big

3.30 York - Trying to get Artisan Dancer 7/2 beat but struggling with anything solid. Maybe the Williams horse but see if any gossip on course.

4.00 York -  Gunship 13/2ew. Strong form, up until Royal Ascot. I think was too far. Back to in trip. Ferguson is 20% first time gelding. You asked about Zain Blue and yes we backed couple times over C&D but Bulter slipped out of form, though got a decent 5lb claim today. Watch for money on track, but it's competitive and I'd only be ew. Dark Moon Rising is best on stats on best form.

4.30 York - Elmonjed 13/2 ew - On stats at this distance it's tight. Grand Grey #1, Lethal Levi #2, Tiger Bay #3, Price of India #1 and Almeraq #5 in order. All that said Elmonjed ran a blinder over C&D, drawn wrong side at Goodwood and then missed the break when lost to Lethal Levi lto so reckon is a 105+ rated horse. Gets a 3lb pull this time as LL has a penalty. Almeraq is of course the likley winner but I've never given you a punt under 2/1 before, so do what you like :)

5.00 York - Wonderbolt 13/2ew to make all. 

5.30 York - Feel The Need 11/1ew - Always give you a good run for your money at York. Good draw. Jockey one of 4 jockeys who've won at the course.

The tips from the French hotshot are 1.33 Arrow Eagle and 4.00 Leffard. I know we have Bay City Roller in our tracker but dunno if will stay, so do what you want 

Have fun

Bets 06/09/2025

Haydock 2.25 - Way of Stars 12/1ew. 

Last race was a crawl and wouldn't have suited having to sprint finish. Mafting needs to set a quick pace today and will set it up nicely. Really good consistent formlines. Haggas first time pieces is a very poor stat which was enough to put me off Valiancy. Thought long about the other Balding horse Fantasy World but Many Men formline put Way of Stars ahead for me.

Haydock 3.00 - Align The Stars 14/1ew, Adjuvant 18/1ew

Align The Starts has a 12lb pull with Caballo De Mar who is half the price over 2m here. 2m too far for Align and a C&D winner.

Adjuvant and Align The Stars are best on stats for me over this distance.

Haydock 3.35 - Time for Sandals 7/1ew

Progressive. G1 winner. Formline solid. Back to 6f. Draw great as races prominently

Ascot 3.15 - Nightwalker 10/1, Tenability 9/2.

Nightwalker been running in pattern class last 6 races. Sights lowered can win a race like this. Tenability won well over C&D lto and looks progressive

Haydock 5.15 - Tele Red 11/ew

Bets 05/09/2025

Haydock 1.32 - Mission Impossible 9/4

Ascot 2.20 - Raaheeb 11/8

Haydock 2.42 - Changeofmind 9/1ew. Banking on ground being slow to spark revival. Ran pretty well in a C2 over C&D last Sept on soft. 4 lengths off the winner, but broke awkwardly, short of room and ran home on slowest part of track. C4 today and down 14lb Ran well enough lto behind Brazen Bolt. Draw may be an issue. Zrzyni a danger.

Ascot 2.55 - Manuever 10/11

Haydock 3.15 - Illustionist 18/1ew - Needs to go soft

Ascot 4.05 - Fine Interview 7/2

Ascot 4.40 - High Degree 4/1 can win off this mark. Thunder Roar 16/1ew will get comp for Spring Mile demotion at some point. Hoping they both stay wide else Shout look biggest danger from low draw.

Haydock 4.55 - Ata Rangi 9/2. Persuasion 12/1ew

Bets 01/09/2025

3.00 Carlisle - Lord Roxby 4/1

 4.05 Carlisle - Awraad 15/8

4.37 Carlisle - One Night Thunder 11/2ew

6.00 Windsor - Just and Hour 13/2/ew

Bets 30/08/2025

Draft. Bold already bet.

Ormolulu surely the unluckiest horse this season and officially my biggest cliff horse....

Taking it easy today. Rain changes everything....

2.05 Beverley - Regional 7/4

Really should be winning this. Should make all and be too good. Tongue tie only concern. First Instinct likely the up and coming threat

3.15 Chester - Witch Hunter 9/1ew

Everything was stacking up nicely for Hawksbill, until I saw that 3year olds don't do as well as exposed older horses. Then back to the 2nd on the list Witch Hunter. Best figures on best form. Back to form lto. Hannon does well in this race and creeping back into form

4.25 Chester - Kinswoman 15/8

Got the speed and draw to make all. Looks ahead of mark. Haggas likely to have a good day today

4.37 Curragh - I am Superman 20/1ew

Solid C&D type. Good form. Haggas horse the main threat. 

Regional Top 2, Kinswoman Top 2, Witchunter Top 6 pays 5/1

Bets 28/08/2025

28/08 - 6.45 Southwell - Ormolulu 10/1ew

Tracker horse that I've backed in 2 of last 3 runs (not the last) and it should have placed in all 3 of them but actually won at least two of them. Combination of extremely poor rides and traffic problems. Tutty is now in very good form and is 26% SR(4/14 and 8 placed) over C&D. Does really well with her horses who have a layoff under 1 week with a 40% SR(4/10 and 5 placed). Ormolulu is a prolific horse over C&D with a 41% SR (5/12 and 10 placed). Muscatt has teamed up with Tutty and Ormolulu once over C&D before and if wasn't for clipping heals with another horse and stumbling would have won that race. There are of course a few dangers in this, but none can claim have gone close to winning a C2 handicap this term and are in good form. Amerbama Gold and Rohaan are of course c2 winners, but not their old force though are still dangers. Finished 3rd, 11th, 5th and 8th and handicapped not touched the mark of 82....

Bets 25/08/2025

 Few bank holiday considerations.

2.45 Epsom - Crimson Spirit 7/2 - Stats are strong and form is okay.

3.15 Ripon -Al Shamham 8/11 very short but should win. Ticks all boxes

3.50 Ripon - Capital Guarantee 7/2. Stats good and form good. Danger is Silent Age down in trip and class

4.23 Ripon - Profitbable Edge 9/1. Back to form as are the Barrons. half a stone below last winning mark. C&D winner. Decent chance.

Al Shamam to win + other 3 to place is 20/1

Bets 23/08/2025

 1.50 York - Gladius 5/1 has pounds to find even with the weight allowance, but is a massive improver an more importantly a dual 9f winner. Has been backed all day long today. Checkandchallenge 25/1 has a decent place chance again, with Knight in decent form. Maybe a tricast play with Kings Gambit.

2.05 Goodwood - Palmers Bay 8/1 still well ahead of mark based on last run. Good draw, good claim.

2.25 York - Struggling to get away from the Balding pair Fantasy World 10/1 and Tarriance 4/1. 

3.00 York - If Audience bounces back to best can win this at a big price, but a big if. Been on Never So Brave 10/3 last two times and can win a Group 1, if not today but for sure soon. Rosallion is clearly the biggest threat.

3.35 York - Been on Siege of Troy when was 22/1 just couple days ago. Can't believe is only 15/2 now! Didn't get many decent accas on! As above, gets a massive pull with Ethical Diamond with a decent claimer. Can see these Troy battling out with the Mullins pair at the end.

4.10 York - Chief Mankato 20/1 is too big given the form with Trefor, but cannot afford a slow start today. Twinlight Calls was really interesting to me, but is 5points bigger on the machine which a big of a worry? Poor old Geoff Oldroyd this week, so close to two winners. Pocklington 6/1 is short, but talented and been hugely consistent this year. Hopefully Jordan Electrics doesn't win this after backing erlier in the week

5.20 York - Westridge 7/2 should win this, but if you wana play longshots, consider Sir Busker 20/1 and Tony Montana 18/1

Bets 22/08/2025

 York being a pain in the arse again. No time for in-depth assessments today. Just hoping it's actually GF and no watering malarky. 

1.50 York - Mount Atlas and French Duke both hit all trends. Couldn't separate them in the time have so played the 18/1 reverse forecast.

2.25 York - At this distance on GF, Dubai Future 25/1 is the best, then Trawlerman / Sweet William. Not sure if I'll bet it yet with only 2 places on show and it's not going to be a moderate pace like it was when Dubai Future beat Trawlerman in Dubai.

3.00 York - Annoyingly Egoli 5/1 has been backed hard already. Was planning a decent 10/1ew, but the form been franked now. Course winner and won Richmond Stakes on the wrong side of the draw.

3.35 York - Asfoora 8/1ew has the best figures and we knew wasn't ready for Ascot or Goodwood. Is ready now. Frost at Dawn's 18/1ew form with American Affair has got to be pretty strong and wouldn't have liked the ground lto. 

4.10 York - Cape Flora 6/1ew. Broke the track record lto and won as if will laugh at a rating of 79.

5.20 York - Ya Mo Be There 13/2ew. Ran in the Guineas (not bad considering was hampered early on). If runs anything like that form is winning this, but traffic issues could be a major risk so Fifth Column 8/1ew worth looking at

Bets 21/08/2025

2.25 - Rikki Tiki Tavi has decent formlines and the 2 Cox runners (Wojtek and Song of Clyde) are interesting but no time to look through card in depth

3.00 - Remooz 9/2 (11/12), Julia Augusta 40/1ew (8/12)

Remooz is quite an obvious pick. Improving C&D winner, who meets all the trends. Does have the rock solid favourite to beat. I'm taking Bullet Point on as is 0/3 when running round a bend and is 9/4 which is short. Burrows is 31% at York 25% in August. Stott is 30% over 1m at York and 2/2 with Burrows at York.

Julia Augusta takes more explaining as stats aren't as strong, but looks a classic O'Meara big pot handicapper. Can def win off this mark. Is 25% win and 37.5% placed on flat tracks. Has won on a galloping track before including going left handed. It's entirely speculative will bounce back today, but does meet all the trends and O'Meara has won this race before, albeit with more fancied runners. 

4.10 - I had it down between Aeolian, Lady Vivian and Alice Monet. No time to decide.

4.45 - Stellar Sunrise 9/2, Hegroin 14, youbestterseethiss 28s. No time to dissect the shortlist

5.20 Dash of Azure 8/1ew (11/12)

Raced with no cover last time out and was too free. Ran very well in the Sandringham. Moore booked. Beckett in decent form, does well with his fillies at the meeting and with the profile of horses like Dash of Azure and Maybe Not he has a 38% SR. I've gone with Dash over Maybe due to booking of Moore and fact been running in better races already. Dance in the Storm has an obvious favourites chance.

Bets 20/08/2025

 1.50 York - The Man a massive winner last time out heads the market. I like this horse but it's tough for a 3year old against seasoned handicappers, especially in this race where they've no wins and placed 1 in 25 attempts). Spencer is off the boil so happy to take it on at the price.

Depending on which trends you take there are 6 - 9 horses that meet the big trends and many look on a winnable mark, including those who don't meet the trends. Therefore it's a really open handicap as you'd expect and I could pick 4 or 5.

Air Force One ran a cracker with 11-10 over C&D and is weighted to reverse with Brazen Bolt. Brazen Bolt is on the rampage and I think can go well again, but on paper have to prefer AFO on weights.

Jordan Electrics ran a blinder in the race last year going down to JM Jungle who has gone on to bigger and better things and was poorly drawn lto

Bergerac a winner of this race two years back is back in really good form and can win off this mark

Squealer's form with JM Jungle from this year can't be ignored, but just wonder if the high draw will put end to chances

Shortlist was: Air Force One 10s (6/12), Bergerac 16s (7/12), Jordans Electric 10s (6/12).

2.25 York - No real interest in the race. Thought Gewan 10/1ew was tempting but only 2 places 

3.00 York - Mount Kilimanjaro 18/1ew worth a small pop, but sadly only 2 places. It's runs at Saint Cloud and Chester were really very good. Assuming it improves further for the trip may give the market leaders something to chew on

4.10 York - Fireblade 9/1ew (8/12)

One of 5 who meets all the trends I've used. Last of the bridle lto won well enough and looks progressive. I think / hope will be a relatively steadily run race and Fireblade has good tactical speed. Doyle has a decent SR for longer distance races at York and Cunha stats in August at York are building up nicely. Terrorise is likely a good ew and Santorini Star looks a big danger and of course any AJMartin horse in a staying handicap is, but I think Fireblade can step up again ahead of them.

4.45 - If Lady Roxby 25/1ew  was drawn lower I'd be really bullish about this one. Is 25/1 vs Luna A who is 6/1. I just don't know whether from this draw can take advantage of the pull. All the horses I like are drawn too high.

Madamoiselle 25/1ew is also too big based on form with Rubys Profit. Lost shoe last run so ignore

5.20 - Saucy Jane 28/1ew

Bets 16/08/2025

Decent win for Mr Chaplin yesterday.

Ripon 3.20 - Fivethousandtoone 22/1ew (9/12)

Pretty long list shortlist for this race on trends and stats

• Fivethousandtoone - A big 25/1 winner at Newcastle and I can't work out why so big today. I think in part is you don't want to be coming from the rear at Ripon, but Mister Sox stablemate did it lto and Allan rode this to win from rear at Newcastle. Meets all the trends, stats are decent and ran a stormer behind Stormy Impact lto and is running off 11lb lower than AW mark. I've watched his last race at Ripon a couple of times. Got squeezed by two horses and was too keen in first time pieces. Has now got used to them and got a decent turn of foot, so if Allan times this right could come flying from the back to win this. He has the most experience of the track and won 16pc of C&D races.

• Beyond Borders - Claimers don't seem to do well in this
• Nostrum - Interesting as a group horse, but trying 6 for the first time with top weight. Assume will try to make all and help the pace for Fivethousandtoone 
• Azure Zain - Fahey has won this with a 3year old before, but Azure Zain 2lbs our the weights and not as good as the one that won this.
• Rousing Encore - If this was drawn higher would be my pick. Stalls 1-3 of recent years is not the place to be 0/48. Shame.
• Alzhair - I really like the chances of this horse, handles Epsom so assume be okay here, draw is decent and trainer in good form, but can't back it with Luke Morris onboard who doesn't know how to win here (1 win from 19)
• Mister Sox - A really decent C&D horse and it's between this one and Fivethousandtoone. I think the fact Allan sticking on the stablemate (assuming he had a choice) means I prefer the other slightly.

Newbury 3.35 - Alyanabbi 16/1ew

Newmarket 3.45 - Orchard Keeper 5/1ew

Bets 15/08/2025

 Decent 10/1 winner the other day.

Yarmouth 3.25 - Match Play 10/1ew 

C&D winner of higher mark. Running really well if ignore last run from when drawn high and stayed middle so had no chance. Yard is going well atm

Newmarket 7.00 - Mr Chaplin 13/2 ew (9/12)

Elarak may win this, but was really poor over C&D in a listed race lto. The time before when won over C&D am not convinced beat much and so not convinced is massively ahead of his mark. Not sure why Rhythm Master is next in the betting. I think Sterling Knight has a decent chance today, but who is this jockey Matthew Poon? Mythical Guest, Dutch Decoy and Bopedro all good C&D horses, but all have reached their ceilings of ability and none of them are in great form. Bopedro maybe has excuses last two races and has won this race before, so potentially the winner also.

However, Mr Chaplin based on 2year old form can definitely win this off this mark. On paper you'd think hasn't really progressed but has been running in uber tricky big field handicaps all season. First at Goodwood were was hampered a lot, next at Ascot when drawn wrong side and finally at Goodwood drawn wide got hampered lost place but then finally kept on. The step back to 1m is the right one. Without Parole has limited but decent enough stats over C&D. Beckett has knocked in 4 winners from last 7 runners and a decent set of other stats too. The doubt is the 5lb claimer who is 0/3 at the track, but I've watched a few of his wins over the last week and he's worth the claim and is 20% with Beckett.

There's 4 horses in this being well backed. Mr Chaplin is not one of them. May therefore get a bigger price at some point....

Bets 11/08/2025

 Windsor 7.10

Chief Mankato 10/1ew (8/11) & Change Signs 15/2ew (8/11)

Missed the break lto and had traffic issues, yet gets a 6lb pull with Badri and is double the price. Channon stable back into form and a 42% SR in August at Windsor enough for me to hit the button. Amazonian Dream has plummeted in the weights but has shown nothing of late and don't like the stats. Woolhampton is interesting but think will hit traffic all day long being held up from that draw. The other which difficult to ignore is Change Signs. The form behind Circe over C&D is decent enough. It's run in a G3 at Sandown shows potentially is ahead of mark and I'd just ignore the run lto in the Racing league with cheekpieces on. Was supposed to win at 2/1. The rfc pays 80/1 for those who play loose change on these.

Bets 09/08/2025

Ascot - Shegar Cup is generally one to avoid, but given 3 I think have chances are ridder by Jo or Hollie (only two racing here today with course form, it's worth a go). Sadly, like Haydock no big prices.

2.10 Ascot Handicap - La Vita Nova 4/1 (8/11)

Ran really well in the Curragh stayers handicap and improved last even though running over too shorter distance. Harrington won the race two years back, is in great form and is 2/2 with first time cheekpieces in the last couple years. Only Hollie and Jo have experience of Ascot and Hollie rides this....

3.20 Ascot Handicap - Zayer 7/1ew (6/11)

Opened 11/1 so missed the juicer price but still think there is some value left in the price. Ran a cracker in the Holyroodhouse at Royal Ascot. Step up in trip was a good one. Back to Ascot in a much easier race. Jo Mason onboard. Has an 11lb pull with Prince of India and I'm not sure that's enough to turn the tables, but given the jockey onboard, willing to risk Jo can help turn the tables.

4.30 Ascot Handicap - Treasure Time 11/2ew (8/11)

Hasn't found form this season, and when it does it is going to win a decent handicap / big prize pot (this is a big prize pot). This one has also been backed a fair bit already, and the stats are decent with this one.

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Haydock - No major trends to assess today and I can't find any big price value on the card

2.25 Haydock Non Handicap - Protest 4/1 (8/11)

Improving rapidly. Varian won this twice before.

3.00 Haydock Non Handicap - Royal Dubai 5.1 Exchanges (9/11)

Royal Dubai was an impressive winner LTO. Burrows targets this race and does well with his LTO winner. Jockey/Trainer combo in fields of less than 12 is a whopping 7/9 wins....

5.20 Haydock Handicap - Hawksbill 5/1 (8/11)

The form behind Luther over C&D means this one on a going day is going to win this. Given Palmer still in good form , has won this race before and now second race post gelding op, seems the perfect time to recapture form

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Newmarket

3.07 Newmarket Handicap  - Righthere Rightnow 11/2ew (8/11)

Took a while to get going LTO, but finished well and was a return to form. Is a C&D winner and if runs anything like that could be tough to beat. The price has been nicked on this already as well. Very annoying.

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Curragh

4.35 Curragh - The Highway Rat 7/1ew (2/11)

If runs to C&D mark from that G2 will win this. Only meets 2 of normal 11 markers, but 1 of them is a max. Be warned!!!

5.05 Curragh - Rappell 7/1ew (6/11)

Ran really well over C&D and also LTO over too short. Trainer comes in in good enough form, draw is decent and rest of field relatively average

Bets 07/08/2025

After some tricky handicaps  just some small punts to keep interest until better racing returns

2.20 Notts - Yazaman 10/1

Decent C&D winner on very winnable mark

5.30 Chepstow - Adison Grey 4/1

Likely quite far ahead of opening mark.

7.00 Chepstow - Be Frank 8/1

In good form, likes straight tracks, should have won lto and Saffie knows how to ride this track.

8.30 Chepstow - Austrian Theory 14/1

Likes undulating tracks. Should have won a handicap this season and I think can ff this mark. Easterby and Allan go well enough here

Bets 02/08/2025

Ardestia! I knew was decent. Wish delivered when backed it as 70s! Anyhow onwards. Good to get 2 decent winners on the board after some shocking days.

1.55 Goodwood - Subsequent 11/1ew (5), Feigning Madness 12/1ew (5) (Split stakes)

Runs well after a short breaks and goes on this ground. Balding placed in this race 3/5. Is well handicapped looking at that Ascot run. Stays all you need. The risk is if fooks the start. If doesn't and races prominently can win this. I like Master Builder, but not sure will stay fully at this distance on slow ground. Feigning Madness, highly tried in ground races. 16f was too far. 12f was too short. Running 14f today...

3.05 Goodwood - Completely Random 12/1ew (5), Strike Red 14/1ew (6) (Split stakes)

The draw has got me this week so picking one either side. Completely Random meets trends and gets a good pull with Eljomed. Whelan has ridden it to all 3 wins and low draw dominated on Day 4. Strike Red is just in great form and as I'm backing CR given the pull gets with this that I have to back it from the high draw

3.45 Goodwood - Headmaster 10/1ew (6), The Waco Kid 25/1ew (5) (Split stakes)

I thought Headmaster would be close to fave here. Chucked in on paper based on formlines. Enthusiam is massively tempered with the jockey. Not sure who it is.... The Waco Kid is much riskier. Has to bounce back to form, but if does could make all here and not be caught 

4.05 Thirsk - Darkness 11/1ew (5)

If bounces back to form showed over C&D couple months back can win this

4.55 Goodwood - Killybeg Warrior 33/1ew (6)

On best form this is the best on the going and distance. Ran okay in the Chesterfield Cup last year when running for MJ. Didn't stay the 1m2f. Down 1f, perhaps ground will have dried out more by end of day and can get home. Running off 10lb lower than that. Ran well last time out so hopefully can build on it.

Bet 01/08/2025

Keeping it simple today. Didn't even bother with trends or draw assessment. Goodwood not working out this year :)

Could have got some decent prices if was on the ball earlier when ground turned heavy.  

1.20 Goodwood - Tashkhan 8/1ew

Love soft. Runs well fresh. Can win off this mark.

2.30 Goodwood - Rhoscolyn 12/1ew

Multiple C&D winner on heavy. Ran well enough from poor draw lto. Assuming no worse for it has a great chance in these conditions

3.05 Goodwood - Kerdos 9/1ew

I have Asfoora 8/1 AP and soft no issue. Think the one to beat still but like Kerdos chances. In good form as is Cox and goes in the ground fine. Clarendon House may be a big ew play.

3.45 Goodwood - Carrytheone 9/1ew

Only Liberty Lane is as good on this ground.

4.20 Goodwood - Game Striker 20/1ew

C&D winner and ped says will like soft. I backed Ardisia 70s lto and was potentially really unlucky. Put a small cover on this.

4.55 Goodwood - Ride The Thunder 10/1ew

Decent formlines. Will like the ground and step up

Bets 31/07/2025 - Not So Glorious Goodwood Day 3

 Not sure would have picked many of these winners on Day 2, even in hindsight. 

1.20 - Want a low drawn horse who is prominent. Ersnt Blfeld 25s, is one and the other is Janey Makers. Going for Janey Makers 18/1ew as ran pretty well at goodwood over C&D lto. Missed the break and was running on slower pat of track. Run in Listed twice so obviously rate the horse. Is a bit of juice in her mark. 

1.55 - Coppull 7/2

3.05 - Whirl 11/10

3.45 - Marty Hopkirk 15/2ew. Meets trends. In very good form. Good draw. Prominent runner. Unexposed. Good chance. Wanted to back Nad Alisha Green, but Appelbys horses not running well at Goodwood last couple days.

4.20 - Goldwork 15/2ew. Meets trends. Solid course winner. Eve had two decent winners at GG already. Stellar Sunrise just franked form. Vicotrious One the big danger.

5.30 - Antipodes 8/1ew. Looks well treated and form is working out well

Bets 30/07/2025 - Glorious Goodwood Day 2

Total whitewash. Happens. Didn't expect it. Went with Tony M in the first. Can't find any obvious excuses. Didn't pick but called out Naqeeb 28s and Silawi 18s as ones considered as met trends but Westridge was far too good backed from 22s overnight. Laureate missed the break, Kinross was my best result of the day being a NR. M Appleby's string all ran poorly.

1.20 - Sudu 5/1ew.

Meets the trends. 2lb ahead of handicapper officially, but likely more watching it's win lto. Form of Newbury pretty good. Varian won 2 renewal of this from 3 runners. He also in good nick and his record with lto winners based on this horse profile is over 50%.

Cape Breton, Novelista and Mdawi also met all trends applied.

1.55 - Arabian Dusk 14/1ew

Backed lto. Coming strongly enough but couldn't pick up. I think can get 7f. Pretty strong on ratings for the price.

2.30 - Military Code 7/2

One to beat.

3.45 - Wonder Star 9/1ew.

Wonder Star, Wisper and Patagonia Girl meet the trends applied. I probably missed the value with Wisper but hasn't won of a mark this high before so leaving it.

Wonder Star beat Spirited Style at Ascot by 3lengths. That horse is now rated 106. Even though didn't run that well lto, was some encouragement. Haggas does well with handicap debutants and gotta love Sea the Stars at Goodwood. Think we'll see this horse at Royal Ascot next year. 

4.55 - Diamondonthhill 33/1ew

Ideally you want to be drawn 10 and below. I do wonder with the draw bias today though if anyone is brave enough to move over to grab it in this 7f race. Would only make sense for higher drawn horses to attempt this though.

Native Warrior, Diamondonthehill, Rosycolyn, Physique and Signature Castle meet all trends applied. I can make a strong case for 4 of these, but plumping for the biggest price one. A super consistent horse. Proven at the track. Meets the trends and stable had a 25/1 winner here on Day 1. Jockey is a worry even though takes 5lb claim. I did watch a couple of here rides, and I think she's fine. She won a G1 with JOB in Ireland last month. 

Bets 29/07/2025 - Glorious Goodwood Day 1

1.20 Goodwood - Tony Montana 11/1ew

Naqeeb meets trends but not sure distance is right, though might be one flying home late. Grey Cuban stable in form and meets trends also. Masoun meets trends but JOB no wins here. Silawi is tempting but landed on Tony Montana. Meets the trends, stable in good form and had success in this race. No idea why ran at RA over 8f after two very decent handicap runs. Couple of very solid C&D runs, both with Egan onboard. Form with Thunder Run ties with Nabeeq and this one better on paper so hopefully Tony Montana can be our 'Little Friend'

1.55 Goodwood - Laurete Crown 11/1ew

Got the draw. Decent debut. Palmer in good nick. Had one go very close at 14s last year in this who wasn't as good on paper

2.30 Goodwood - Kinross 5.6

Decent record in the race and ran a stormer lto. Auidence cheekpieces a worry and Noble Champion looks the biggest danger, but 3year olds a 1/22 in the race. Tough one.

3.45 Goodwood - Shagraan 8.6, Dream Composer 22/1ew

Shagraan solid CD performer and well handicapped based on last two runs.

Dream Composer harder to explain as no trends for this race, but when OR of 93 and under is 2 wins, 4 places from 7 runs He also got a 5lb claim who has won at the track before.

4.20 Goodwood - Yorkshire Pud 12/1ew

I remember Big Mojo winning at Molecolmbe at 25/1 after an average debut. Big Evs similar average debut and then won the Windsor Castle at 20/1. Does lightening strike thrice? If any good then the 100/1 for the Gimcrack is going to look decent. Is entered in the Richmond Stakes later in week but this is more winnable. 

4.55 Goodwood - Mahras Love 6.1

Fancies a few for this, but the ped swung it and Haggas won this twice before. Improving horse that knows how to win.

5.30 Goodwood - Harvanna 10/1ew

Back in good form for yard who won this last year

Bets 26/07/2025

Oromulu 100% should have won yesterday. Conor has done the horse over twice now over C&D (as far as I'm concerned)

2.00 York Skybet Dash.

• Those that meet race trends applied are Elmonjed, Jubilee Walk, Aleezdancer and Indian Run.
• Over C&D on Friday those drawn low dominated (3,5,2,4 draw finishing positions). It may mean they all come over and gets crowded.
• I expect Jungle Drums to storm out from stall 1 and make all, setting up those drawn low even better.

Aleezdancer 12/1. Meets all the trends, drawn low, is in stonking form and is a C&D winner off this mark. Stott on fire atm and knows Alzeezdancer well having won 5 times on it so everything set up again for a win.

Rousing Encore 14/1. I'm trying not to make this an emotive bet as should have won at Epsom earlier in the year and cost me a decent pot. A really good C&D win at the Ebor earlier this year. Defo got more improvement in him as showed at Epsom when should have hosed up.

Elmonjed looks an obvious pick as has strong stats all rounds and meets all the trends. As Angus Gold says, he is going to pop up and win a decent handicap. At 5/1 with first time cheekpieces it's enough for me to leave it.

Korker ties in with the RE formline and a massive danger if starts well, but given the draw happy to skip it.

3.00 Ascot International Stakes

• Those that meet race trends applied are Golden Mind, Akkadian Thunder, Oliver Show, Yorkshire, 
• Typically stands side is fastest unless they screw around with watering. Going stick says it's faster so high will have an advantage
• I expect Noble Truth and Northern Express to be the pace and they are drawn 18 and 19 so further setting up those drawn high.

 

Akkadian Thunder 20/1 - For those who follow my blog based on formlines 20/1 was a joke. Market has found it now and it's not as appealing at 6/1, but has the drawn and meets all the trends. O'Meara does my head in thought and has 3 all drawn high. Lord Bertie may well be able to turn the tables with AT.

Billyjoh 10/1. Unlucky in the Bunbury Cup. Maybe should have beaten Akkadian at Doncaster. No chance at Ascot from the draw. Appleby going okay, and had Billy won any of those three races would meet all the trends. 

Golden Mile - 35+ on Exchanges. Could have won the Chesham. Nearly won a big pot at Epsom. Can't find a massive excuse for lto, but if repeats Epsom form given C&D capabilty and that meets the trends is worth a pop

Oliver Show is well handicapped on that Bahrain form and surely is going to win big pot soon, but first time blinkers + current yard form is slightly off putting, but no surprise if went close.

Aalto has a chance on paper but looks too short especially if I'm right about the draw.

I don't think Yorkshire can turn the tables on Akkadian Thunder.

----

2.40 Ascot - Bella Lyra - 7/1

3.35 Ascot - Bullet Point 9/2

4.25 York - Yasser 15/2

Bets 25/07/2025

DRAFT 

York 5.30 - Ormulu 16/1. Should have won lto. Seen the race a few times now. I'm not sure I should be backing it again as stable form has slipped and now no longer drawn as well, but either they are plotting this for something bigger or was just unlucky for an entire minute lto and can make amends

Bets 24/07/2025

 Only just watched the Super Sprint back. Wow Ardesia who backed at 70s was potentially really unlucky. Anyhow it's the result that matters! Someone asked me about who i'd pick for Racing League. I've skimmed through quickly for them. 

5.40 Yarmouth - Sword of Wessex 16/1 

If the gelding op and headgear work is well handicapped. Ped on soft no issue

6.10 Yarmouth - Wreck it Ryley 16/1

Acts on soft and in flying form.

6.40 Yarmouth - Atlantic Gamble 13s Ex

Stats are strong. C&D winner in decent form

7.10 Yarmouth - El Boden 7.8s Ex

Massive race first run of season. Goes well on soft. Stable in good form. If recaptures historic form can go close off a dangerous mark.

7.40 Yarmouth - King of Bears 11.5 Ex

No form on soft, but ped says will improve on it. The fact stays 6f will help on 5f soft. Stats look good enough

8.40 Yarmouth - Epictetus 9/1

Looks well handicapped

Tips will soon be going up here. Few other incredible and consistent tipsters in here.

https://discord.gg/FsJUfdBe

Bets 20/07/2025

 Best decision not to touch racing yesterday. Just couple small bets tomorrow. Nothing strong. Nothing till Ascot after today and then all focus on Goodwood

Curragh 1.15 - Dawn Spirit 10/1, Presence 18/1

Curragh 4.15 - Billie Be Quick 10/1

Bets 19/07/2025

Not bad from Northern Ticker yesterday at a big price.

Tread carefully with the rain....Part of me is thinking DO NOT BET.

2.00 Curragh - Greek Flower 16/1

Big Gossey is a decent place prospect. At 8 I just don't know if can eek out more improvement to win. It's also putting a few of these out the handicap including Greek Flower. Greek Flower's draw is annoying to me as hard to get cover and is no pace drawn low. Draw aside with a decent 7lb is handicapped to win and can turn the tables with Big Gossey in last years race.

2.57 Newbury - Kind of Blue 13/2

I was a massive believer of Kind of Blue last year and glad got it's group 1. I don't think I've backed it this year, but the price is decent enough to chance it. Just assume didn't take to Tapeta. No G1 penalty. Fanshawe does well in this race. Best horse in field on day and if goes soft will have no issues. This is still very risky given current form....

3.30 Newbury - Ardsia 70s (exchanges)

Hurricane Havana obviously the one to beat but assuming starts okay I think can massively outrun price. Stable firing, good form in books, Palmer first time gelding is decent and strong on trends also. Pedigree for this C&D not great but at the prices not quibbling. 

Leaving it here. I think I'll regret looking for winners tomorrow with the pending rain and not knowing what it will do to the ground. Not worth it. Rain screwed me enough over the years. Finally learning my lesson :)

Bets 18/07/2025

 Lunar should have won yesterday. Travelling today so not going to look at cards whish is shame as looks decent.

6.35 Hamilton - I backed Northern Ticker 16s, but I wanted a closer look at Strike Red, Venture Capital (who backed lto) and Bererac. Not sure will get a chance though :(

Bets 17/07/2025

 Oasis won yesterday, but for some reason didn't back the 10/3 single just the double. Anyhow, poor racing again today.

3.22 Hamilton - Sallaal Evs - Best horse in race. Stats and form good. Still hold a G2 entry Hopefully English Oak doesn't revive to form.

3.55 Hamilton - Lunar Eclipse 11/2. In good form and if doesn't hang this time can go very close. Down in class, stats good enough.

5.10 Leicester - Qaaedd 4.8.

Bets 16/07/2025

 3.20 Bath - Sisters in the Sky 8.1

Openish race, but solid C&D win couple runs back. Stumbled out stalls lto, so ignore it. Harris runs 3 in the race, but assume Ray chosen this one.

Might be worth a small double with her runner in the last at Bath Oasis Dream 30/1 double

Bets 15/07/2025

Racing so bad atm, made me look forward.

International Handicap 26th July - Akkadian Thunder 20/1

Big over reaction pushing this out to 20s. Billyjoh 3rd in the Bunbury Cup and Never So Brave winning a G2 all franking the form of the Buckingham Palace. Draw, ground, jockey choice, trainer form, can all play a major part in the race and are right now all unknown, but if this turns up to the race can see it being single figure price. Be interesting if English Oak lined up...

Bets 12/07/2025

War Hawk drifted like lost a leg. Ormolulu drifted like lost a leg and was given a highly suspect ride. Was cruising, could have won, but was purposely put behind horses several times in the home straight. Spicy Marg was a daft bet knowing was going to be hard to beat the fave. Darkness, well typically the other O'Meara horse was looking at wrong. Castan was sooooo close. Anyhow....

Dain Me Nut In bolted in so all good yesterday. 

2.22 Ascot - Never So Brave 9/4 

Solid winner at the festival for me. Looks difficult to beat. Hope Quddwah doesn't decide to bounce back to form

2.35 York - Rosy Affair 22/1

Looks to be improving still and have this down as 100+ rated at least. As went to hit bet slip went from 25 to 22. Annoying.

2.50 Newmarket - Run Boy Run 11.5, Akkadian Thunder 7.0 cover only

Won the far side race at Ascot when drawn wrong. Was first run of season when just beaten by More Thunder. C&D winner. Wish Spencer was in better form, but think still better value than MT.

Given the formlines I also did a Never So Brave/Akkadian Thunder 18/1 double

3.10 York - Naqeeb 11.5, Fox Legacy 11.5 cover only

Tough race for a 3year old. Naqeeb is strong on trends and form for me. Camacho flying. Only thing bugging me is draw, but think good enough o win this. Fox Legacy fits trends and won very easily in penultimate race. Ran well enough at Ascot drawn wrong and might be drawn badly again, but okay with it.

York 4.15 - Dacres Cross 9/1

Ryan 3/4 in the race. Has been short price every one of it's 3 runs. Looked pretty good fto. 

4.35 Newmarket - Flora of Bermuda 7.6, Symbol of Honour 11.6

Can't split them so did 45/1 rfc also

4.45 York - Terrorise 8.5

Looks  much improved horse after spell over hurdles. Ran in a c2 flat handicap and a g1 hurdles. surely must be showing something? Anyhow was staying on well lto in a realistic race. Wish Ellison was in better form but this looks the value in the race

4.50 Ascot - Redorange 5/1

Only draw beats this. Solid form. Cox in form and won the race before. Holkham the fave was an unlucky 33/1 for me at the festival but over further. Think needs the distance.

5.25 York - Fiscal Policy 16/1

I was going to back Juan Les Pins who should have won for me lto. Didn't back when was 11/2 and now 3/1. So want to get it beat now :) I looked at Good Earth, Iris Dancer and Fiscal Policy all have chances. Think the draw makes it harder for Good Earth and Iris Dancer, so in on Fiscal Policy

7.00 Hamilton - Infinity Blue 8/1

Camacho flying and is 30% first headgear. Stiff track 6f looks a good placement

Bets 11/07/2025

Hmm. Crest was backed into fave as was Wheres Freddy. Got the value with both but not the results. We keep going. Played my stakes so that 1 winner from the below gives me profit. 2 and laughing. 

2.10 York - Ormolulu 11/1

Down in class up, up in trip which will suit and posted career best lto so in decent nick. 

2.45 York - Arabian Dusk 10/1

Best horse in race. Nearly won the Sandy Lanes. Back in G3. I was hoping to see this one in the July festival having won the DoC last year at the festival.

3.55 York - Dain My Nut In 14/1

Back to form. Should be a c2 handicap winner. Back to good ground. I think will stay fine. 

5.07 York - Castan 10/1

Very consistent, down in grade, can go close.

------

1.50 Newmarket - Warn Hawk 11/2

Still improving

2.25 Newmarket - Spicy Marg 12/1

Tough to beat the fave but her debut was very good and apaz was in season at Ascot.

3.00 Newmarket Real Dream 9/1

Endless Victory should win this, but when Real Dream runs it's race it's solid. Well handicapped.

4.45 Newmarket - Darkness 16/1

I struggle with O'Meara horses but at this price willing to gamble. Decent C&D winner, won very easily two races ago and generally runs poorly at Epsom like lto. Time to bounce back please :)

Bets 10/07/2025

Been back to the office this week after 6 weeks off. Two whitewashes on the horses this week. Coincidence? Or maybe this is a sign I need to stay at home focus on the racing and be a professional gambler instead :) Imagine.

1.50 Newmarket -

Watched the Vase back couple of times and Scandy comes out on but AOB doesn't have a strong record with 3year olds at the track. I'm just leaving the race.

2.25 Newmarket - 

Can't pick between Maximised and Brussels. At the prices no stress for me not to play this race either.

3.00 Newmarket - Crestofdistinction 12/1 Antepost Main bet. Realign small cover

Rossa will try to make all. I backed this couple days back but can still get 9/1. It's 10lb well in! It's good to have a lightweight in these races. Many dangers in here and maybe Realign is biggest threat.

3.35 Newmarket - 

Another small race and see little value again. I was really keen on Ghostwriter at Ascot and probably the one I like most. Might put in an acca, but no singles for me.

4.45 Newmarket - Royal Playwright 6/1

I don't have a big angle on this race, but I do think if RP doesn't hang this time can go close. Took a big step fwd last time against elders in a g3. Balding is doing pretty well in the big races this year.

5.20 Newmarket - Waiting All Night 14/1 main bet. Where's Freddy 12/1 small cover

Both have solid C&D form. You see many horse flop on the undulations here. Not these two.

Doncaster 4.55  Scatter Penny 16/1 running again. Message from Easterby says "all been well!!!!!!!!!!!!' Not seen a text from to the syndicate like this before...followed by a "let's do it" Hmm.... Anyway put some money on at 16/1 let's wait for his verbal update tomorrow before anymore goes on it. He seems confident.

Bets 09/07/2025

Another Portman 2year old ensured up for the day on singles. Of course had an acca an so lost a small bit overall. I can't crack O'Meara. Always been a challenge. I knew shouldn't have backed Rousing. Stable form should have ruled over chasing a previous loss. 

Pretty poor racing again today, but Island Hopping does seem big at 10s. Much better racing tomorrow

2.20 Catterick - Langholm 4/1

Sort of conditions needs to win. Back in form, good claim, solid consistent course form and Dods winning a few.

3.50 Catterick - Lunar Force 14/1

Very speculative here. Think the step up in trip is going to suit and on some of 2 year old form at the course could outrun odds.

6.00 Fairyhouse - Island Hopping 10/1

3 year olds have a good record in this as does AOB. With the weight allowance is top rated. It was fave to beat Garden of Eden prior to Ascot and Wootton Bassett has the best ped for this C&D/going against the field.

7.20 Kempton - Molten Sea 7/2

Should have won lto. Front two miles clear of rest. Decent stats. Kingdom of Stars the obvious danger.

8.55 Kempton - Kurios George 6/1

This is interesting as Tate is 27% with 4year olds here. Horse does not look good, but Tate is in decent form and the other trainers are all a bit flaky at the moment. I normally wouldn't bet a horse without some sort of form on show, but let's see what happens.

Played a 10/1 placed treble with Langholm, Island Hopping and Molten Sea

Bets 08/07/2025

As I expected the ground didn't help We Still Believe. Came full of running but doesn't like it soft. I thought Red Mirage was getting there but emptied quickly and those that came off the pace did much better then those who chased it. Baba missed the break but not sure would have won. Will wait for Chelmsford for Baba. Anyway I said I shouldn't bet yesterday but I did and had a total whitewash. Fool.

2.10 Pontefract - Sparkling Pink 10/3

Looks on a good mark. Portman 2year olds always interesting

3.10 Pontefract - Julia Augusta 12/1

Ran better than most realise at Ascot. O'Meara 21% with first time tongue tie so knows what he is doing. Decent record in the race also. Charlotte's Web the main danger.

Charlotte Web / Julia Augusta rfc 40/1

3.40 Pontefract - Rousing Encore 4/1

Was a big screw up for me last time out on Derby Day Busted a huge treble and should have won. Unfortunately stable has dropped out of form so it's a risky play for me.

Bets 07/07/2025

I backed We Still Believe last night on assumption ground will be good, but latest update is that it's good to soft, soft in places (esp up home straight). I don't think that's good for it's chances, but seems to have been backed into 12/1 overnight, so who knows.

Annoying Saturday. Ews acca saved me but all singles lost.

Not a day to be betting and throwing your money away. Got the July meeting and a massive Saturday ahead so spare your coins...

2.00 Ayr - We Still Believe 20/1

Not sure why last year's winner is 20/1. Same mark same draw, same form coming into the race, other than lto on soft ground, screwed the start and couldn't get involved. I'm drawing a line through it. I'm not convinced can win as two big dangers, but if they flop and the ground is good tomorrow, well, you never know.

2.30 Ayr- Red Mirage 11/2 

Another highly competitive race and another I'll draw a line through on last race. Stall 12 Chester, not worth trying sometimes. Ran well on seasonal debut and all those who finished ahead had runs this season. Mark is dropping and it's going to win one day soon. Hopefully today.

3.00 Ayr - Baba Reza 18/1

Highly speccy. Was waiting for this one to pop up at Chelmsford, but I think this was making good headway from back lto at Chester before massively hampered. I think is on a winnable mark, the softer ground should help considering previous comments from trainer. 

7.30 Ripon - Sea Regal 11/2

Back to form lto, course winner, and well handicapped on best form. O'Meara started hitting winners and won this race 3 times before.

Bets 05/07/2025

Well, Pearl of Windsor was not a gift and was too good to be true. Head carriage was all over the shot, so I might give it another go esp if pops up at Epsom. Stupidly played 3pts. Haven't done that in a while a big slap to the face as a reminder why not! Also a reminder yesterday of why I don't back too many favourites....

1.50 Sandown - Shagraan 11/1

Looks overpriced to me. Should have won the C&D Bet365 handicap last year. Back to very best form and MA's horses are coming into form. I think Sha is more like a 105 horse and if still improving can go close. Draw okay as long as doesn't try to run through field....

2.25 Sandown - Treasure Time 7/2

Was looking for a big price winner. Can't make a case for one. Both Greek Order and Treasure Time meet trends but given Haggas won this twice before going with TT.

3.15 Haydock - Stressfree 10/1

Decent win for me lto over C&D. Won with a lot more in the tank. Last of the bridle coming pretty much last to first. Obviously more competitive this time round and needs to make sure Box to Box doesn't get too far ahead to reel in.

3.50 Haydock - Juan Les Pins 15/2

Back to form lto, albeit not a clear run. Well backed also. Best handicapped horse on best form is this one

4.55 Haydock - Sea Baaeed 10/1

If you use El Matador as a marker is well handicapped. Hughes is 23% with first time geldings an also 2/2 in this race.

Bets 04/07/2025

Up on singles yesterday but of course punted accas, so ended day down :)

Sick with myself here backing so many faves. Pearl of Windsor looks like a Xmas gift.

3.00 Sandown - Staya 11/8

 

Best horse in race, best form, and Scott is 1/1 in the race.

3.35 Sandown - Peal of Windsor 7.8

C&D winner. Look at last race over CD. Handicapper cannot have screwed up the ratings of 6 horses in the same race. Looks thrown in here of 84. Ran a blinder in the race but was stuck behind horses so the result was no fluke. Conrad last 3 runner 15/2 15/2 11/2 winners..... Surely this is too good to be true?

It's being well backed now which is annoying as looking for a solid double. Hoping it drifts tomorrow, but I can't see why it would based on my view above

6.05 Haydock - Kingmaker 13/8

Down in class, up in trip. The right favourite.

6.40 Haydock - Romantic Spirit 11/4

Improving. Mensiuer some good stats here with horses who won lto. Rest of field doesn't look great to me. 

8.00 Beverley - Tara Iti - 11/4

Owen is 4/4 with horse 4year+ here

Bets 03/07/2025

 Some Saturday and so close to a 3000/1 treble. Really shouldn't be betting average racing as doesn't fair as well but let's go anyway.

Haydock 4.10 - Artic Fox 7.00

Previous winner of this race. Back to form.

Kempton 4.37 - Satavia 3.35

Haydock 5.17 - Captain Harry 6.00

Handicapped to win over C&D on 2 year old form. Back to form lto and form franked. No standouts from a stats perspective in the race and drawn well enough.

Newbury 7.50 - Imperial Trooper 15.00

Back in trip. Can make all. Needs to find 2year old form, but it does can win

Bets 28/06/2025

Harder day than some of the days at Ascot today. Do like Annaf and Perfect Part rest are okayish

1.40 Newcastle - Fivethousandtoone 20s

I'm not sure this is the right thing to do. Stats aren't great. Form isn't great either. I keep watching his C&D win. Will get the pace and Easterby's horses doing well. Maybe, just maybe these two will be the reversal. Have seen the horse improve a stone before post poor patches before. Aramram is the group horse in the race. Drama probably the horse should back

2.10 Newcastle -  Annaf 14s

Not sure why headgear was on lto. Maybe slow starts. If can avoid a slow start, get a clear run then will outrun 14s. Might be tough to beat Kind of Blue who owes me nothing after finally landing a big pot last year, and even with the penalty still clear on ratings, but Annaf, CD winner, stable in form, decent run at Salisbury is where I'm heading.

2.25 York - Lake Forest 11/8

Best horse in race

2.40 Newcastle - Tryfan 7.4

Best on stats, course winner. Trainer coming into form. Being backed. Artisan Dncer was tempting me.

3.00 York - Venture Capital 9s

Was highly progressive. Ryan's know how to windop a sprinter. If resumes progress will go close. Looks very quick

3.15 Newcastle - Spirit Mixer 24s

Price looks big. Balding is flying. The only one to meet the trends I'm looking at. Comes into this race much better than last year. Better jockey, although not won at Newcastle which is a nag. Better draw, though still a risk of not getting a clear run being a hold up like last year, but can go close with a decent clear run. Biggest risk looks like stablemate Who's Glen. Both get a decent pull in weights with East India from Chester Cup run. One Smooth Operator could double up in the race as still couple 

4.10- Chester - Perfect Part 9s

Was my unlucky loser from the Dante meeting at a massive price. Back in handicap again, and still well handicapped from my point of view. Gallant the danger.

4.50 York - Balzarini 40s. (TBC)

Highly competitive race. Bulter solid 3year old record at York and this was running in Group races at 2 and is 100% well handicapped, if retains any of that level. Given a Bulter horse, keeping eye out for money. 

Bets 21/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 5

Glad took on Sig in first race and glad didn't chuck any darts. I think I over leveraged on the high draw though so no need to narrow the field down so quickly

2.30 Chesham - Treamor should just win. Moments of Joy second and maybe Venitian Lace 3rd. I'm not backing Treamor as a single as it's the Appelby RA curse (25/1 Tricast)

3.05 Hardwick -

Ghostwriter 7/1. Performs the best on GF out of this bunch. Assume stays given Amo jokers bought him for a causal 2mill.

3.40 QEII

Satona Reve 5/1 - Isherin won the commonwealth 5 seconds slower than this one....It's fast as fook. Lazzat is also potentially very quick but I think will just set the race up for Satona to fly home. Hope the draw is not an issue though. No idea anymore :(

4.20 Jersey - 

Commache Brave 9/2 best horse on stats. with Californi Dreamer biggest threat

5.00 Wokingham - Following the Rousing Encore formline as this horse should have bolted up lto.

Jarraff 8/1  Potentially chucked in 

Zoum Zoum 25/1 potentially chucked in under same formlines ( Main pick)

Holkham Bay 33/1 

Korker 33/1 

All on the nose on the exchanges. Been a while since backed 4 in one race and not plumped for the obvious group horse in a handicap (MoreThunder)

5.35 Golden Gates

Quai De Bethune 18/1

6.10 QAS - 

Sober 4/5. Trooper Bisdee the big risk esp with Prescott in form

Bets 20/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 4

 4/5 and 7/1 winners with  20/1, 12/1, 33/1, 9/1, 13/2 placed. Frustrating, especially La Botte.

2.30 Ascot - Probably daft, but taking on AOB in this. 12/12 won lto. Other than chucking darts, I can't see who will win. No bet for me

3.05 Ascot - I'm really struggling with this also. Everything says back Shadow of Light, but I don't like horse flipping between distances an Appelby's form now and at Royal Ascot sucks.

*Ideas of March 16/1. Didn't have a good trip in the Breeders over shorter than ideal. Wasn't as effective on soft nto and lto should have won but draw didn't help. Concern is Wayne and how rides today. Needs to come off the pace but can't get trapped against the rail (as assuming they all move towards it)

Shisospicy is going to blaze this. I might put a back to lay on betfair (e.g. back 15s an lay 5s)

3.40 Ascot - First really wild bet this weeks come in this race but just coins of course.

*Ehtical Diamond 4/1 will have improved from last year and has a fave's chance.

Nabeeq and Stressfree were very tempting, but left them

*Brodure 100/1. I think ahead of mark, improving, step up will help and Soumy knows the game.

4.20 Ascot - Another really tough one.

January 8/1

5.00 Ascot - Purple rainbow would have been a big ew for me, but I'm not taking on the draw. 

All three of these draw high and can win off these marks.

Miss Nightfall 4/1 - Missed the big prices :(

Zgahtara 12/1

Maybe wort a tricast with Alfareqa

5.35 Ascot - Hmm still finding today tough...

Nightwalker 12/1

Galveston 28/1

6.10 Ascot - no easier today

Miss Lamai 14/1

Brighton Boy 8/1

Dark Cloud Rising 14/1

Bets 19/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 3

 28/1, 15/2 winners. 7/1, 4/1, 25/1 placed. Better. Blue Brother was backed from 25/1 into 13/2 only to stumble out stalls and get hampered twice. The win was worth £8k in a £20ew double with Crimson A.

According to turtrax stands side is quickest, far side next and centre is slowest.... so any smart jockey should be coming up the stands rail if drawn high.

2.30 Norfolk - 

Not sure much point taking on Charles Darwin 1.8 from this draw. That said AOB runners in Norfolk 5/1 or less are 1 win from 13.

I have an Antepost bets somewhere on Sandals Song 20/1 and Naval Light 12/1, but not sure can beat CD.

Clear Force and Lil Brother might be interesting top 4 bets but largely based on draw and can't trust they'll move to stands as stalls are centred. 

3.05 King George V - 

Propose 25/1 - I remember the year backed the Frankie acca, cashed out thousands and shoved £250ew on South Pacific 25/1 and got another £4k. Propose reminds me of this. Similar draw and looks to have lbs in hand. Currently the same price in the G2 POW in July. Seems a big ew price to me

Serious Contender, Merchant, Gunship, Sing Us a Song and Omni man all have decent chances.

OmniMan 14/1 get's the second play

3.40 Ribblesdale - 

Go Go Boots 12/1 when Serenity Prayer is 10/3 fave makes zero sense. Only just beaten by by SP when behind Whirl. Ground at Oaks was not suitable so given a chilled time in the Oaks.

Life is Beautiful 7/1

Had some coins on Island Hopping 40/1

4.20 Gold Cup - 

Dubai Future 33/1 is tempting. I regret not backing last two times. Trawlerman is the only horse going to lead this, and he doesn't go off very quick, could once again be sprint with DF can win.

5.00 - Britannia Stakes - 

La Boote 9/1 form says is a 104 horse. Really decent chance this one.

Raafedd 10/1 price yesterday afternoon so glad got on as looks ahead of mark but now seen the draw less convinced, but already backed it and can't cash out.

I could make cases for Fearnot, The Lost Kng, The Fingal Raven, Mr Chaplin, Tribal Nation, Artic Grey, Hawksbill, God of War. Put some small coins on Serengeti 50/1, Bris Gris ( top 5 20/1)

5.35 - Hampton Court

Tornado Alert 13/2 - As long a Derby race wasn't too tough, was travelling really well for a long time. Was never staying that trip so back in class and trip with a decent chance

6.10 - Buckingham Palace

Never So Brave 7/1 - Should have won lto. Improving sort. Holguin in theory might be better value, but NSB looked much better

Apiarist 20/1 - Will have a strong pace to aim at. Got a decent turn of foot.

English Oak Antepost Bet - Not sure why so short. Maybe bookies also know it's a total plot job. Based on last years win, if reproduces it wins. If doesn't win here might become a cliff horse.

Bets 18/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 2

Knew was tough yesterday! Three places 20/1, 14/1, 13/2 and a 9/2 win nowhere near enough to cover stakes. I wrote about American Affair being a massive improver and Coppull being worth an ew at big price, but alas, not to be yesterday.

2.30 Queen Mary -  So many with chances

True Love 15/2. Backed this yesterday and price crashed after Gstaad bolted up but O'Brien has not won this race before and so will have another pop.

Society Kiss 7/1. Solid C&D winner

3.05 Queen Vase - AOB has a strong record in this, so brave to take it on

Rahiebb 7/1 - Good form, good stats and think Varian finding form now, and took a pop on the St Leger also.

Pinhole 7/1 - Was second fave to beat Lambourn. Assume will improve and go close

3.40 - Duke of Cambridge -

One Look 9/2

Crimson Advocate 28/1 - Queen Mary winner on fast ground. Still improving

4.20 - Prince of Wales - 

Anmaat 4/1 - Only neg for me is Crowley. Best horse in race.

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup - 

Blue Brother 25s Exchange - Potentially well handicapped on that Zoom form

Epitectus 23s Exchange - Decent course form, dropped down weights and could turn tables with My Cloud if improves for last run

5.35 - Kensington Palace - 

Arsaig 11s Exchange - Should have won lto and can reverse with fave

Julia Augusta 16s Exchange - Potentially well handicapped on previous C&D form (Duke of Cambridge last year!)

6.10 - Windsor Castle - 

Upmost Respect 8s - Decent run lto.

Dickensian 27s - Ryan good record. Went off fave to beat Wise Approach lto

Bets 17/06/2025 - Royal Ascot Day 1

I'm not sure I'll top last year at RA, but let's see...

I think it's a very tough day, playing two in each for most of them. Even if I think the fave can win, you know more often than not at Ascot, I'm playing a bigger priced ew chance :)

James McDonald, Oisin and Moore look to have the best of chances today.

2.30 Queen Anne - 5lb separates the top 7 in this race. Lake Forest not won over the trip before so be a tough test. If Cairo wins, just give up. Notable Speech looks suspect to me over 1m at Ascot and Appleby no record in this race. On RPRs Carl Spackler price is big and maybe a decent ew. Tough to win this though. Quddwah, Sardianian Warrior and Docklands don't meet trends. Dancing Gemini very interesting, but losing Moore means surely held by Lead Artist

Leaves Rosallion and Lead Artist the two most likely winners and Diego Velazquez and Carl Speckler. 

Rosallion is the best horse in the race. Won from stall 1 last year and had to wait for room so can mark that effort up. I remember last year Hannon had 4 winners in few days before Ascot. He's had 1 this year and last 7 favourites beaten. A big worry for me. Gosden has real strong stats for last time out winners before Ascot (13/30) which alone gives Sardinian Warrior and Lead Artist chances. 4 yr old colts who've won the Lockinage are 5/8 wins. Sardinian maybe had a touch race at Longchamp?

I think Diego, Carl and Lead all still look progressive. Colin Keane is decent, but I'm playing the below in the hope the jockey change causes some challenge. Keane is 2/40 at Ascot. I have Rosallion in couple of accas and so here are the plays:

Diego Velazquez 12/1 offers decent ew value with 4 places. A lot of AOB horses not needed the run this year. That Meld stakes performance was solid and is 4/4 on G/GF 1m-1mf.

Carl Spackler 20/1 another that offers decent ew value with 4 places. European ped, RPRs are strong, times are strong. In fact times are faster than anything in field. Has a straight mile instead of a bend....

210/1 Rfc DV/CS

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3.05 Coventry - Military Code only just held on over 5 here so for me that's a no. Postmodern ran slow time and form not done much. Andab and Power Blue form very interesting given AE was the fave and now a NR. Be interesting to see the price Coppull drifts to. Might be worth an ew at big price.

Gstaad 9/2 an easy bet to place. Drawn well. Moore onboard. Beat True Love who is top3 in the Queen Mary on Wednesday and ran best final furlong which important here. 96 RPR decent enough for debut and AOB horse usually come on massively for first run. Saw it at 12/1 few days back, but looks like was hit hard which is annoying.....AOB won this 10 times.

Andab 14/1 should have backed it yesterday when 20/1, but hey decent ew with the AE formline. Will hopefully improve past Power Blue

Father/Son Rfc 60/1

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3.40 King Charles Stakes - Asfoora a massive winner for me last year, but prep looks different this year, plus blinkers added. Might be one for Glorious Goodwood. I've been chewing this one for too long and all the horses I want are drawn low. American Affair looks a massive improver and maybe can turn tables with Mgeera. Asterius is the most interesting of the 3year olds, but with sprinters have to back inform ones.

Believing 9/2 - I think better horse than last year. I am worried about the draw, but best horse behind Asfoora whose prep I don't like

Prime Art 50/1 - Supplemented for the race and came back this year much improved. Should have won lto, but had traffic issues and then was a difficult ride on wrong side of course. Has a solid turn of foot.

120/1 Rfc Believing / Prime Art

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4.20 - St. James Palace Stakes - Looking at times and Henri Matisse times were quick at Longchamp and Del Mar. Faster than anything Field of Gold has done.

Henri Mattisse 9/2

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5.00 Ascot Stakes - Reaching High interesting but not a real lot of experience. Align the Stars and Zoffee interesting at big ew prices. I like East India Dock just not from the draw. All the horses I like including Dawn Rising and Nurburgring all drawn so high I cannot entertain. The fast ground give flat staying horse more chances looking at previous results.

Zoffee 50/1 (Exchanges) - I'm not sure can win, but does have form in the race, generally in good nick after a decent Chester Cup run and Palmer is banging in winners. Decent place chances.

Poniros - 3/1 So much money has come for this and when you think 149 hurdle rating to 91 flat rating got to think is chucked in. I mean it's massive.

Rfc Zoffee / Poniros 90/1

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5.35 - Wolferton Stakes - Sonsandlovers is potentially a 115+ horse. Not sure about draw. Galen and maybe couple others are going to set a lively pace here, so really don't want anytime trapped behind horses. Checkandchallenge is once again a big ew price.

King's Gambit 13/2 - Best horse in race over course, distance and at ratings. Hateem not proven at this distance and Hannon form as above worries me.

Meydaan 14/1 - Potential big improver.

Rfc KG/ Meydaan 95/1 

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6.10 Copper Horse Stakes - Charlus a total unknown to me, but it's a Mullins horse in a staying handicap at RA so can't ignore.. French Master 5/2 with first time blinkers not for me thanks. May well romp but not betting it in a race like this, though will likely put into an acca only. Pappano interesting off this mark but thinks want soft. Not heard of Banso before but on numbers is well handicapped. Fairbanks and Prywden also well handicapped

My Mate Mozzie 33/1 (Antepost). One of the few AP bets had this year. His run in the JH at Chelts was much better than a lot of his runs last year. Therefore I'm stating he's improved. Runs off 4lb lower with Warren F's decent 5lb claim and easily could have won last year.

Barnso 20/1 The form behind Chemistry and Kyprios tell me this is well handicapped. Should have finished closer in a handicap but was staying on far too late. Oisin is booked to master the ride.

214/1 Rfc MMM/Barnso

Bets 14/06/2025

 Couldn't be bothered to blog yesterday and of course hit 9/1 and 33/1 winners. Standard. Anyway, only 3 or 4 people would maybe have followed :) sorry.

1.50 York - Yanifer 9/1. Solid C&D winner coming back to winning mark. Drawn well, stats good and form decent enough (8/10)

2.05 Sandown - Classic 4.8. Another one which is 1 mark off a system bet, but there's a lot in favour other than it's a competitive c2 :) (7/10)

3.35 York - Fast Track Harry 9/1. Good mark, stats good. Form is TBC. Cox loves to try and win this race

3.55 Chester - Dreams Adozen 11/2.  With these conditions horse is 4 wins and 14 places from 14 runs and with CJ finally hitting form can hopefully make it 5 wins. (7/10)

4.45 York - Pisanello 16/1 best handicapped horse in race n best form. loves York. Much lower than when won this last year. (6/10)

Bets 12/06/2025

 Newbury 3.15 - Orchard 8/1. Big field 3year old handicap with the market looking right with Boubyan and Manila Thiller at head of it. With the big field at Newbury it's interesting to me that stall 15/16 do x2 as well as other stalls. Condotti in 15 is going to make all (I hope) and set things up for Orchard. Horse has plenty in hand and stats okay

Newbury 5.00 - Rocking Ends 14/1 and Justcallmepete 25/1. Rocking stats are strong and I think can stay 6f. Drawn 2 which not sure about given above. Justcallmepete is a decent C&D runner. Stabl in form, but stats aren't strong. Hopefully Star Style is not fit....

Newbury 5.33 - Dangerman 5.1

Bets 08/06/2025

Peeved about Rousing Encore. 

 2.10 Goodwood - Fine Interview 11/10 - Gets the soft ground needs. Well supported in much tougher race lto.

2.45 Goodwood - Stellar Surprise 13/8 - Decent debut after being slow away over C&D. Stats good. Spaces Blues fine on soft.

3.15 Goodwood - Nearly didn't bet as really tough. Anna Swan was the one was heading to, but the last race was not cool. El Burdor 11.00 is the most unexposed horse here. Gosdens love maidens into pattern class and stats are strong enough to take a chance at the price

4.10 Goodwood - 3 or 4 could win this, but Moore kicked off his soft season at Epsom, so when it's right will be backing him. Aggagio 5.23 is the one who probably should have won over C&D lto.. Spirit Mixer massive danger, but Moore does better here on stats.

5.20 - Toss up between Nariko who is the best handicapped horse in the race vs Racingbreak Ryders 4.5, who's fit, ready to win and can win off this mark over C&D. Went with the fit horse.

Bets 07/06/2025

 Few winners and Whirl's rider not good enough. A day can lose a lot of money. Not supposed to punt when rain will cause unknown carnage.

1.00 - If gets super soft Sparks Fly will love it. I quite like Spiritual 10.00. Still improving I reckon and ground won't be an issue. Stats are good, but doesn't seem to be any money for it compared to top of market,.

1.35 - Royal Dubai 13.00 second in this last year. Good place chances.

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2.10 - Minefield. Ground unknown. No idea. Two darts. Stormy Impact 11.00 (ped good, form good enough) and Al Hussar 40.00 (proven well on soft, but not sure progressed as 3year old)

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2.45 - Really tricky. Went with 3 darts:

Existent 16.22 - Ready to win and well handicapped.

Fair Wind 13.7 - Well handicapped, and stats most aligned with this one

Vintage Clarets 10.5 - Fahey flying. Soft conditions favour this

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3.30 

Delacroix 3/1 looks pretty decent. I kind of don't want to take Moore on either.

Stanhope Gardens am on Antepost 20/1

4.15 - When it pours just think Gary Moore. Small Fry 4.00 and Miller Spirit 22.0 can both win if soft.

If not soft then might be worth considering Candyman Stan 17.5

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5.00 - Chartwell Jock 5.5. Wondering when Law of Design will win. Meblesh a massive danger.

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5.40 - Keen on Rousing Encore 10.2. Meets trends, stats and form. If Fahey still flying of course Strike Red 9.0 becomes a danger.

Bets 06/06/2025

1.30 - Formal 4.5

2.05 - Havana Hurricane 5.1 (with lay of 1.2 in running)

2.40 Epsom - Can see Continuous making all to make this a proper test, probably favouring Jan Brueghel. AOB won this race 9 times. Some worrying stats on pedigree for Calandgan and Gioveletto, even though these two and JB the only 3 to meet all mjaor trends.

Calangdan is the best horse in the race and should win, but at 4/6 not for me. F/c with Jan will pay peanuts, so just going with this.

Jan Brueghal 5.1 (with lay of 1.2 in running)

3.15 Epsom - I really like Defiance a few days ago. Blue Ribbon form over C&D is decent and then also on a decent mark. Varian 4/4 in the race. This is really tricky. The glaring issue is No prep and tailed off lto. Not ideal for hold up horses either.

Think Westerton 14.7 and Botanical 5.1 (with lay of 1.2 in running) will run solid races. Both can win off these marks. Ward Jamila was next on list

4.00 - On Whirl 10/1 but on at 50/1 in a (win lto + Oaks bet). Just sticking with this. No real other opinion.

4.35 - Two Tempting 9.00 and Mirksy 5.1 (with lay of 1.2 in running). Bopedro going to win a pot at some point soon

5.10 - Boring but can't split Miss Information and Rhoscolyn but just backing Miss Information 3.8

Bets 04/06/2025

 Notts 3.22 - Toptime 13/2ew. Front runner, prime conditions

Bets 31/05/2025

 1.13 Haydock - Chillingham 12/1 (exchanges). On a dangerous mark looking at distance and handicap numbers. Always improves after 1st run of season. Bethell in good form and solid enough stats for me.

NON RUNNER

Changing to Stressfree 8/1. Backed few times before. Can definately win of this mark if trying. Thought my be planned for a big Goodwood plot.

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1.48 Haydock - Pals Battalion 12/1. O'Meara in good enough form and is 2 wins and a place from 7 runners in this race. Stats okay. Horse very consistent and should have won lto and can argue still improving.

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2.23 Haydock - Balmoral Lady 9/1. With sprints I've always gone for in form horses and many of these have questions. Balmoral Lady clearly improving, solid run from wide draw and stats are strong.

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3.33 Haydock - Alyanabbi 10/3. Finding it hard to take on. In decent form. C&D winner. Burrows in 80% SR with 4yr old+ at Haydock and other stats very strong. Audience has been really poor last two runs

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1.30 York - Ray Vonn 12/1. Ridiculously difficult. Have to pluck for a C&D winner in lower half that's ot regressing. Nearly went with Danzan, but assuming is fit (and seems a be a bit of money for it, is back on mark won over C&D

NON RUNNER

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2.40 York - Loom 4/1. The Man won me a massive pot and I think the race times vs JM Jungle might give this the edge. Was too tired too look last night but looks like missed decent prices.

3.15 York - Sueno 3/1. Decent on stats

3.50 York - White Crown Start 9/2. Silver Ghost won me a decent sum last week and think the form is strong enough. 

5.00 York - Quest For Fun 8/1. Unlucky lto. Thought Riot in same camp.

Bets 24/05/2025

 Should have gone to bed and not bet yesterday. oopps

Highly competitive weekend. Playing small stakes across the board as the rain could change everything.

1.30 Goodwood - Silver Ghost 11/1 - Looks decent on trends, stats, form and draw for me.

1.50 Haydock - Sex on Fire 12/1 - C&D winner in good form. Teroom 5/1 is the obvious danger.

2.30 Curragh - Molto Amichi 12/1 - Love that Wayne been booked for this. Riding at 41% SR atm. Bottom of the weights, well handicapped, in decent form and low enough drawn to go well.

3.40 Curragh - Think you know I've backed Hotazhell 9/1. The form is there for everyone to see. 

4.10 Haydock - The Flying Seagull 15/2. Likely would have won lto but for draw. Stable won this last year.

4.55 Goodwood - Captain Kinsella 22/1. If it wasn't for the draw I'd be slamming into this. Ran a blinder as Sandown given had nowhere to run. Pitched in at Listed level last time and ran at least 5lb higher than current mark. Could argue upto 10lb depending on how you read ORs

Swelter 9/2 tomorrow

Bets 23/05/2025

Back from conference. So tired.....

2.40 Goodwood - Trooper Bisdee 8/1. Won fresh 2/2. Back in class. Back in trip which I think will suit. Prescott won this last year. Caeasawitch trial form is fine as that's how we picked Story House. 

3.15 Goodwood - Dancingwithmyslef 16/1. Running consistently well. Think the Redcar form is good as again ties into Story House.

3.00 Haydock - Maw Lam 9/1. Best at weights. Needs to break well.

3.50 Goodwood - Exoplanet 9/1. Assuing doesn't bounce, is potentially one that might keep improving and so offer some price value. Silver Knott back in trip under penalty isn't for me even if lots of questions about the rest of the field.

4.25 Goodwood - Apotheosis 7/4 should be tough to beat.

4.25 Goodwood - Fort George Evs

TWINLIGHT DIAMOND 9.00 WOLVES 9/1ew

BEAULD AS BRASS 2.25 NEWBURY 7/1ew

Bets 16/05/2025

 Dante festival jokes as always.

2.42 York - Can't split Salamanca 7.27 improving and good form, with Buick 2/2 with trainer her at York, and Thunder Run 6.5 who will be happier back on quick ground. Won the Clipper here last year.

3.13 York - Guyla 3.75 should have won lto. The form behind Twirl is solid as.

4.15 York - I like the form of Loom in the Norfolk, but not 100% convinced is well handicapped. Hard to assess last race. 

I backed Amestris in the Queen Mary last year. Got blocked and lost a shoe. Not really come on from that. First time wind op though Bell is 33% SR with first time wind op. Hasn't run this season so really hard to assess. Segal has bloody ruined his price though. At 40s was willing to find out. at 14s. Hmm. May have a small bet on exchange is heads into high 20s. 

The Man and Do It Now as both clearly interesting given the form over C&D behind Tropical Storm. Spencer is 31% post gelding ops (which is mental), which gives The Man a chance on that alone, but again no prep run. Do It Now regressed last season but put in a much better show on seasonal reappearance and with a decent 3lb claim willing to give this one a shot. 

Draw may be tough for Ametris and Do It Now, but the no prep run is annoying me for The Man. I don't see much else so here goes

Ametris (If can get 25+ on exchange)

Do It Now 30

The Man 25

5.20 Newbury - Zakerjack 17.00. Trying something here and nothing to do with horse form, which hard for me to do, but it's a mini trial.

Bets 15/05/2025

 Duck me how unlucky was Perfect Part. Man. So annoying. Won't be getting 25's again on that.

2.10 Can make strong cases for JM Jungle, American Affair and Spartan Arrow but I'm going for Tees Sprit 37.00 as main pick. Ran well in this race last year. Comes into it in better form, technically 1lb lower and yard going well. Father and Son to take it. I think C&D is super important.

JM Jungle 8.0 has a chance to tun tables with American Affair but can see AA flying home late from this higher draw. However, stick with this.

2.42 - Northern Express 15.00, Blue For You 6.5

3.13 - See The Fire 2.55

3.45 - Apline Trail 6.00

4.18 - Start of Mehams 5.00

5.25 - Merchant 2.88

Bets 14/05/2025

 2.10 York - Haggas, Balding, King and Ryan target this race and typically won by 4 or 5 year old progressive sort. Marhaba The Champ was 9/2 for this race last year, but is now 6 and not in form. Been backed from 12/1 into 5/1 so clearly fancied for this? First time headgear offputting enough for me. King's horse also 6 and doesn't meet any stats I look for.

Stressfree is stressing me out. Backed this twice last. It's so well handicapped, but when will O'Meara let it win? I just don't think it's today, but will be livid if it is :) Thinking it's a bigger pot or maybe Goodwood.

See Hector is defo ahead of mark and I really want to back it. Did incredibly well in Dubai. I just can't back it on trainer and jockey stats. Also a 6 year old.

Balding's horse has also been smashed in the betting. Sire doesn't do that well at York. Stats are pretty good otherwise, but pulled up last time which not a good thing to bet on next time out.

The Reverend 5.5. Haggas's horse beaten fave last two races, Marquand will know to race it prominently here. It's definitely got juice in the mark. Twice Haggas has won this with seasonal debutants so not worried about fitness. Think this is the perfect distance and better ground will bring more improvement based on ped. I think this is more like a 5/2 shot.

Opps was a long write up. Better win now.

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2.42 York - Ryan, Fahey, Dods, Easterby, Smart, Camacho, Burke all like a pop at this one and typically goes to a sleeper. GF over this distance you want to be drawn low also. All the ones I like are drawn low which actually makes it harder to pick! Although a stat says 20/22 in this race drawn 5 or higher. hmm

Just looking at the lower end of the draw. Korker think needs slower. We Never Stop is interesting after a decent AW win, but turf form a worry for me.

Bergerac 9.32 is relatively well handicapped. I just don't rate Eaves that much but given Ryan won this last twice and Eaves has won on the horse here a couple times gotta give benefit of doubt.

First Folio 14.0 was a decent RA winner for me and conditions look good for it today. I'm now slighlty worried about stall 2, but I'm sticking with it.

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3.13 York - Super hard. Last year nailed my colours to Kind of Blue, but I'm not sure this year. IF Night Raider was proven on turf think I'd be following that one to RA, but needs to show it. This is really tough for me and other than 1 winner, all had a prep run before this race. I wonder if we go crazy and focus on Marshman and Royal Zabeel. 

Marshman 17.7 was nearly a grimrack winner and it' odd was entered last minute esp when have two others from stable here. Is he so fit that can recpature the sparkling 2year old days? Well he is fit and ha been entered so why not?

Royal Zabeeb 35.0 was rapidly progressing all last season and this season too. Considering pace was too slow lto, ran pretty well. Mill Stream ran in the same race last year before winning this.

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3.45 York - Walker is 4% here with 3year olds, so interesting has been heavily backed. Find it hard to take on Whirl 3.5

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4.18 York - Gallant probably just wins, but this is York. Here for merkage. Perfect Part 26.0 ran a blinder in the Cammidge. Assuming therefore massively improved over break. Didn't get screwed on ratings. Ran flat on AW nto (on purpose?) and now has a really decent 7lb claim. Being held up from 7f is not good though, so let's see 

Double Parked 33.0 could also make all and maybe slightly ahead of mark