Saturday 19 May 2012

Bets 19/05/2012 - The Return of The Frankel

Never look a gift horse in the mouth? What a senseless phrase when taken on face value. I was adamant the bookies gave me a 6/1 gift horse yesterday. But, like the City of Troy, taking a gift horse without digging deeper was my undoing. Okay, I didn’t have an Agamemnon burn down my city, take my women and children, massacre my priests and temple, but I was still mugged of £20. On Agamemnon’s returned to Troy he and his followers were ambushed and murdered. Odyssey has written the future. Jay Desai will ambush the gift bearers…maybe not today, as today is all about The Frankelstein.

I’m uber glad I never had more time to bet yesterday. Missed out of the classy Red Cadeaux, but looking at the other results yesterday, phewie. Racingpost’s Tom ‘Pricewise’ Segal has picked out two today:

Newmarket 2.45 – Dark Castle (16/1), Gabriels Lad (20/1)

My thoughts later on, as always…

Newbury 2.00 – Can’t pick between Ibicenco whose trainer won this last year, and has form behind Campanologist which actually is not as good as it looks, Nehaam whose trainer is flying and has solid form behind Fame and Glory or Hawaafez whose trainer is in outer space and hacked hacked hacked up in last race. The ground factor swings it back to Fallon’s mount, but I’m staying clear. Decided.

Newbury 2.30 – Bertiewhittle won a few decent 3yr Handicaps last year. Looked a tad unlucky in last race and seems to be early money for him. I know it’s a cop out but Mac’s Power who is favourite, was 2nd in this last year ought to go close, but may stick with just the former as 4yr olds have a solid record in this as well.

Newbury 3.40 - Ladbrokes don't fancy Excelebration, I don't either. Yes he is he class, but Frankel is 10lb better which is about 3 lengths better. With Strong Suit out, surely nothing can stop the Machine. This would be a terrible day for racing if Frankel lost and terrible on my P&L. Short short price now, so there's the forecast option.

Newbury 5.20 – Dance Company ran a blinder in last race. 7/1 is interesting.

Henry Cecil Special – Frankel, Thomas Chippendale, Noble Mission Treble at 14/1 is definitely worth a pop.

Newmarket 1.40 – Couple of interesting prices in this. Illustrious Prince is on a decent mark and his trainer’s form figures are 128232121. Course winner so 14/1 is a decent price. I was looking at Ongoodform, but may be too high in the weights, so will pass over.

Newmarket 2.15 – Will be so much hype about Noble Mission. Will have to concede weight to win this, but why not.

Newmarket 2.45 – Tough one. 3yr Handicaps always are. Segal has picked Dark Castle. Gabriels Lad is now a NR. I like the look of Pea Shooter. Has some serious form line boosts and the trainers hold in high regard.      

Newmarket 3.55 – Hmm. I’m really drawn to Bernie The Bolt.  On a good mark but really does have to be on top of his game to land this.



Machine

Total Staked £928.81, Total Returned £1,057.97

Antepost Bets:
£100.00 Frankel 2/5 - WIN £140.00
£85.00 Frankel 2/5 - WIN £119.00
£111.26 Frankel 2/5 - WIN £155.76
£85.00 Frankel 2/5 - WIN £119.00
£66.30 Frankel 2/5 - WIN £92.82
£41.25 Frankel 2/5 - WIN £57.75
£150.00 Frankel 2/5 - WIN £210.00
£120.00 Frankel 4/11 - WIN £163.64


Today's Bets:
£10.00 e/w Illustrious Prince 14/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Bernie The Bolt 10/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Bertiewhittle 6/1 - LOSE £0.00
£5.00 e/w Bertiewhittle, Macs Power r f/c N/A - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 Thomas Chippendale, Noble Mission, Frankle Treble 14/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 Doubles N/A - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Dance Company 7/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Pea Shooter 12/1 - LOSE £0.00

P&L @ 19/05/12:
£2,890.88
AntePost P&L @ 19/05/12:
£1,352.39
Total P&L @ 19/05/12:
£4,243.27

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