Tuesday 12 February 2013

Bets 12/02/2013

Freaking Puffin Billy. Freaking Vago. I need to learn to control the lumping. It can work, yes, but when it doesn't it hurts. Just keep consistent damnit!

Really nothing exciting today, but some thoughts either way:

Ayr 1.50 – Deepsand looks the easy winner here but 4/6 is short and I’ve been merked by these of late. Elmaatigra looks so butters on paper but has predominately only raced at Kelso, a track in my mind which is fairly specialised. This horse was given a 100 RPR on the flat in a race which worked out pretty well. 3rd place was beat by Ericht 0.75l over hurdles. Trainer has won with 3 out of last 7 runners so 66/1 w/o Deepsand is a totally wild punt but is chance of an e/w here, esp with 4 places as a lot of the horses in here look dead wood.

Ayr 2.55 – There’s some kind of big gamble going on with Pudsey House in from 10/1 to 5/1. Definitely something you couldn’t possibly work out from fact? This means the horse I like will have a bigger price/ Academy’s 3/1 form with Home Run surely stands out a mile? Clearly needs to settle much much better and surprised not to see some form of equip to help, but today might be the day.

Ayr 3.25 – Tap Night Evs was a huge flop last time out. No lumping just hoping.

Total Staked £120.00, Total Returned £71.25
£30.00 Academy 3/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Elmaatigra 66/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Tap Night 11/8 - WIN £71.25
£15.00 e/w Accumulators N/A - LOSE £0.00

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